# 2018 Election Day Thread **URL:** \ **Category:** Politics & Elections\ **Created:** [November 6, 2018, 3:43pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2018-election-day-thread/824079 "2018-11-06T15:43:30Z")\ **Posts on this page:** 20\ **Page:** 11
**Author:** ![Whack-a-Mole](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/whack-a-mole/32/141_2.png) [@Whack-a-Mole](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Whack-a-Mole)\ **Post date:** [November 7, 2018, 1:40am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2018-election-day-thread/824079/202 "2018-11-07T01:40:17Z")
> [@Left\_Hand\_of\_Dorkness](#): > > The funny thing is I came here to post that exact quote. I’m still gonna major stink-eye them for the heart attack that gave me. Me too. I am surprised they didn’t catch this before. They are pretty savvy usually. This is just lazy and frightening (whether you are red or blue). ---
**Author:** ![Moe](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/moe/32/2972_2.png) [@Moe](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Moe)\ **Post date:** [November 7, 2018, 1:40am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2018-election-day-thread/824079/203 "2018-11-07T01:40:48Z")
Nate Silver: > [@](#): > > Well, I’m trying to do 6 things at once – we think our live election day forecast is definitely being too aggressive and are going to put it on a more conservative setting where it waits more for projections/calls instead of making inferences from partial vote counts. ---
**Author:** ![Ludovic](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/l/7ab992/32.png) [@Ludovic](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Ludovic)\ **Post date:** [November 7, 2018, 1:41am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2018-election-day-thread/824079/204 "2018-11-07T01:41:32Z")
I wouldn’t be too hasty in posting that. Let’s wait until we hear from Nathaniel Rakich before we assume their live forecast was being too aggressive. ---
**Author:** ![skdo23](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/s/a5b964/32.png) [@skdo23](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/skdo23)\ **Post date:** [November 7, 2018, 1:42am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2018-election-day-thread/824079/205 "2018-11-07T01:42:52Z")
CNN: 21 Dems are leading in GOP districts, they need 21 to seize control, this is with less than half the country reporting. ---
**Author:** ![skdo23](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/s/a5b964/32.png) [@skdo23](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/skdo23)\ **Post date:** [November 7, 2018, 1:44am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2018-election-day-thread/824079/206 "2018-11-07T01:44:18Z")
nm ---
**Author:** ![Whack-a-Mole](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/whack-a-mole/32/141_2.png) [@Whack-a-Mole](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Whack-a-Mole)\ **Post date:** [November 7, 2018, 1:47am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2018-election-day-thread/824079/207 "2018-11-07T01:47:36Z")
> [@skdo23](#): > > CNN: 21 Dems are leading in GOP districts, they need 21 to seize control, this is with less than half the country reporting. Are there any Dem districts where Reps are winning? Something to consider that modifies that number. ---
**Author:** ![Fiveyearlurker](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/f/da6949/32.png) [@Fiveyearlurker](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Fiveyearlurker)\ **Post date:** [November 7, 2018, 1:48am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2018-election-day-thread/824079/208 "2018-11-07T01:48:10Z")
Braun ® winning Indiana Senate not good. ---
**Author:** ![skdo23](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/s/a5b964/32.png) [@skdo23](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/skdo23)\ **Post date:** [November 7, 2018, 1:48am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2018-election-day-thread/824079/209 "2018-11-07T01:48:38Z")
> [@Whack-a-Mole](#): > > Are there any Dem districts where Reps are winning? > > Something to consider that modifies that number. Right now it’s 24 vs 4. ---
**Author:** ![iiandyiiii](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/iiandyiiii/32/7924_2.png) [@iiandyiiii](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/iiandyiiii)\ **Post date:** [November 7, 2018, 1:48am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2018-election-day-thread/824079/210 "2018-11-07T01:48:42Z")
Crap, Dems lose IN Senate. Very low chance of a blue Senate without IN. ---
**Author:** ![Whack-a-Mole](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/whack-a-mole/32/141_2.png) [@Whack-a-Mole](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Whack-a-Mole)\ **Post date:** [November 7, 2018, 1:49am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2018-election-day-thread/824079/211 "2018-11-07T01:49:49Z")
> [@iiandyiiii](#): > > Crap, Dems lose IN Senate. Very low chance of a blue Senate without IN. Chances of dems taking the senate was always a long shot. Bummer but not unexpected. ---
**Author:** ![skdo23](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/s/a5b964/32.png) [@skdo23](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/skdo23)\ **Post date:** [November 7, 2018, 1:50am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2018-election-day-thread/824079/212 "2018-11-07T01:50:49Z")
FL 27th goes blue for the first time in 30 yrs. ---
**Author:** ![Whack-a-Mole](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/whack-a-mole/32/141_2.png) [@Whack-a-Mole](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Whack-a-Mole)\ **Post date:** [November 7, 2018, 1:51am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2018-election-day-thread/824079/213 "2018-11-07T01:51:08Z")
> [@skdo23](#): > > Right now it’s 24 vs 4. So just below the 21 needed. Lot of time left… ---
**Author:** ![jayjay](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/jayjay/32/6765_2.png) [@jayjay](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/jayjay)\ **Post date:** [November 7, 2018, 1:52am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2018-election-day-thread/824079/214 "2018-11-07T01:52:02Z")
> [@iiandyiiii](#): > > Crap, Dems lose IN Senate. Very low chance of a blue Senate without IN. Blue Senate was always iffy at best. It’s a bad year structurally for Dems in the upper chamber. ---
**Author:** ![Moe](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/moe/32/2972_2.png) [@Moe](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Moe)\ **Post date:** [November 7, 2018, 1:52am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2018-election-day-thread/824079/215 "2018-11-07T01:52:20Z")
538 just went from 4 in 7 to 5 in 8 for dems taking the house. I can at least take a breath now, but this is way too close. ---
**Author:** ![UltraVires](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/u/ecccb3/32.png) [@UltraVires](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/UltraVires)\ **Post date:** [November 7, 2018, 1:56am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2018-election-day-thread/824079/216 "2018-11-07T01:56:31Z")
ABC Projects Donnelly loses in IN. ---
**Author:** ![UltraVires](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/u/ecccb3/32.png) [@UltraVires](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/UltraVires)\ **Post date:** [November 7, 2018, 1:58am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2018-election-day-thread/824079/217 "2018-11-07T01:58:03Z")
> [@Ludovic](#): > > I wouldn’t be too hasty in posting that. Let’s wait until we hear from Nathaniel Rakich before we assume their live forecast was being too aggressive. What? Cite? ---
**Author:** ![jsc1953](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/j/5daacb/32.png) [@jsc1953](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/jsc1953)\ **Post date:** [November 7, 2018, 1:59am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2018-election-day-thread/824079/218 "2018-11-07T01:59:00Z")
MSNBC’s version of the bogus 538 number is, as of this moment: 65% chance of Democrats taking the House. ---
**Author:** ![iiandyiiii](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/iiandyiiii/32/7924_2.png) [@iiandyiiii](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/iiandyiiii)\ **Post date:** [November 7, 2018, 1:59am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2018-election-day-thread/824079/219 "2018-11-07T01:59:19Z")
Manchin wins WV ---
**Author:** ![asahi](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/asahi/32/8693_2.png) [@asahi](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/asahi)\ **Post date:** [November 7, 2018, 1:59am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2018-election-day-thread/824079/220 "2018-11-07T01:59:38Z")
This seems eerily familiar. ---
**Author:** ![Fair\_Rarity](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/fair_rarity/32/153_2.png) [@Fair\_Rarity](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Fair_Rarity)\ **Post date:** [November 7, 2018, 1:59am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2018-election-day-thread/824079/221 "2018-11-07T01:59:40Z")
I was the 50th vote cast in my precinct at 7:15am. I had to wait in a very tiny line for about 10 seconds. I never have to wait. I wore my dorky sticker proudly and in public. Normally I don’t but I ran out of fucks to give two years ago. Plus it was this whole huge to-do locally because we didn’t do stickers and people were like “If I buy them can you distribute them” and people flipped out and much drama was to be had. I’m panicking a lot. I know it’s not a blue tsunami. But I need something good to happen. Some hope to cling to. Breaking: Crooked Media is saying FL Amendment 4 passed! [Previous page](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2018-election-day-thread/824079.md?page=10) [Next page](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2018-election-day-thread/824079.md?page=12)