# 2018 Election Day Thread

**URL:** <https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2018-election-day-thread/824079>\
**Category:** Politics & Elections\
**Created:** [November 6, 2018, 3:43pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2018-election-day-thread/824079 "2018-11-06T15:43:30Z")\
**Posts on this page:** 20\
**Page:** 26

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**Author:** ![voltaire](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/voltaire/32/313_2.png) [@voltaire](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/voltaire)\
**Post date:** [November 7, 2018, 4:28pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2018-election-day-thread/824079/502 "2018-11-07T16:28:24Z")

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> [@DigitalC](#):
>
> Actually Florida just gave back voting rights to a whole lot of Democrats.

Forgive me if I don’t share your confidence in the electoral brains and brawn of Florida’s felon constituency.

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**Author:** ![Railer13](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/railer13/32/9742_2.png) [@Railer13](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Railer13)\
**Post date:** [November 7, 2018, 4:30pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2018-election-day-thread/824079/503 "2018-11-07T16:30:51Z")

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> [@Shoeless](#):
>
> My wife and I were arguing about this the other night. The “experts” were saying that Orman was draining votes away from Kelly, but I wasn’t buying it. It was much easier for me to imagine GOP voters who didn’t like Kobach but wouldn’t be caught dead voting D, than D voters who would vote for Orman over Kelly for whatever reason.
> 
> Interesting pattern in the last six Kansas governors:  
> Mike Hayden (R, male)  
> Joan Finney (D, female)  
> Bill Graves (R, male)  
> Kathleen Sebelius (D, female)  
> Sam Brownback (R, male)  
> Laura Kelly (D, female)

But your list of the past six governors would seem to indicate that Republicans in Kansas have voted for Democratic gubernatorial candidates in the past, no? Brownback won re-election in 2014 with barely over 50% of the vote.

Interesting numbers: In 2014, Brownback garnered 433,196 votes. According to the latest numbers I looked at, Kobach actually had a few more votes yesterday, with 433,346 votes. But, as I noted, that 2014 figure was just over half the votes, while Kobach’s total was about 43% of the vote. The total number of votes cast in 2014 was 834,296; in 2018, that total is 988,846.

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**Author:** ![Gyrate](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/gyrate/32/3588_2.png) [@Gyrate](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Gyrate)\
**Post date:** [November 7, 2018, 4:34pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2018-election-day-thread/824079/504 "2018-11-07T16:34:52Z")

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> [@Dale\_Sams](#):
>
> Lets be negative for a second. WHY did the Gubernatorial R win in Florida??? Cause Dems DONT GET IT. They continue to throw all minorities together and act like they owe you their vote and assume they are voting against their interests. If you think blacks, Cubans, other hispanics, and Jews have the same interests then you deserve to lose in Fl. Keep propelling that meme Dems about how racist and horrible Florida is. Its not a winning strategy. If you don’t care about their electoral votes then stop focusing so much on them.

Gee, and here I thought it had more to do with the extensive smear campaign against Gillum involving a combination of overt racism and blatant lies, particularly around claims that Gillum would institute a state income tax and raise property taxes. Before one starts blaming the Democrats for any loss, one has to first factor out the “Republicans lying and cheating” element.

> [@Velocity](#):
>
> Looks like Scott will beat Nelson in Florida.

[Nelson to ask for a recount](https://www.vox.com/policy-and-politics/2018/11/7/18071766/florida-senate-recount-bill-nelson-rick-scott).

And [Stacey Abrams refusing to concede](https://edition.cnn.com/2018/11/07/politics/georgia-governors-race-stacey-abrams/index.html).

I imagine there are a few other races that ain’t quite over yet too.

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**Author:** ![CarnalK](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/carnalk/32/486_2.png) [@CarnalK](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/CarnalK)\
**Post date:** [November 7, 2018, 4:38pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2018-election-day-thread/824079/505 "2018-11-07T16:38:41Z")

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So, am I understanding correctly that the GOP pickup in the senate isn’t final yet? Tester’s possible loss in Montana will put them at 53 seats?

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**Author:** ![Ravenman](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/ravenman/32/2929_2.png) [@Ravenman](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Ravenman)\
**Post date:** [November 7, 2018, 4:38pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2018-election-day-thread/824079/506 "2018-11-07T16:38:57Z")

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Looks like Tester has barely squeaked ahead, 211,596 to 210,575. Roughly 12% of precincts left to report.

This is the last race I have an emotional investment in because Tester is a really cool dude.

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**Author:** ![Clawdio](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/c/d07c76/32.png) [@Clawdio](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Clawdio)\
**Post date:** [November 7, 2018, 4:47pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2018-election-day-thread/824079/507 "2018-11-07T16:47:56Z")

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From what I understand, the uncounted votes in Montana are in the [democratic leaning cities](https://kbzk.com/news/campaign-2018/2018/11/07/rosendale-clings-to-lead-over-tester-in-senate-race-but-many-votes-uncounted/). So currently at about 1,000 vote difference could still swing to Tester.

I don’t get what the deal is in AZ, though. [This CBS story](https://www.cbsnews.com/live-news/arizona-senate-race-2018-results-polls-vote-count-martha-mcsally-kyrsten-sinema-live-updates/) says there are over a million uncounted early vote ballots? That can’t be right can it? maybe just awkward phrasing:

> [@](#):
>
> Arizona’s tight Senate race likely will not be called until later this week, since there are over 1 million outstanding early voting ballots that still must be counted, CBS News’ Fin Gomez reports. As of early Wednesday, McSally had a lead of about 13,000 votes with 63 percent of the precincts reporting.

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**Author:** ![CarnalK](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/carnalk/32/486_2.png) [@CarnalK](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/CarnalK)\
**Post date:** [November 7, 2018, 4:50pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2018-election-day-thread/824079/508 "2018-11-07T16:50:56Z")

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Every Dem should be invested in the Montana result. If the Rs get to 53, that makes 2020 a pretty rough ride to regain the Senate. I heard one numbers guy say that if the Republicans got to 54 it basically guarantees their control of the senate into 2022.

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**Author:** ![asahi](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/asahi/32/8693_2.png) [@asahi](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/asahi)\
**Post date:** [November 7, 2018, 4:53pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2018-election-day-thread/824079/509 "2018-11-07T16:53:59Z")

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> [@CarnalK](#):
>
> Every Dem should be invested in the Montana result. If the Rs get to 53, that makes 2020 a pretty rough ride to regain the Senate. I heard one numbers guy say that if the Republicans got to 54 it basically guarantees their control of the senate into 2022.

Tester was also the one vulnerable Dem who wasn’t afraid to scrap with Trump.

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**Author:** ![jsc1953](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/j/5daacb/32.png) [@jsc1953](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/jsc1953)\
**Post date:** [November 7, 2018, 4:56pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2018-election-day-thread/824079/510 "2018-11-07T16:56:07Z")

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> [@DigitalC](#):
>
> Actually Florida just gave back voting rights to a whole lot of Democrats.

“Democrats Expect to Do Well With Convicted Felons”, while good news, is not exactly the kind of headline you love to see. 🙂

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**Author:** ![N9IWP](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/n9iwp/32/3154_2.png) [@N9IWP](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/N9IWP)\
**Post date:** [November 7, 2018, 4:58pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2018-election-day-thread/824079/511 "2018-11-07T16:58:02Z")

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All precincts in MN district 1 have reported. Hagedorn leads by 1,311 votes out of 382,813 (0.34 %) (there are 574 write-in votes)

> [@SOS web page](#):
>
> •A publicly funded recount for a federal office, state constitutional office, or judicial office may occur if the difference in the number of votes cast for the apparent winning candidate and any other candidate is less than one-quarter of 1 percent (0.25 percent).  
> •A publicly funded recount of the results of an election for a state legislative office may occur if the difference in the number of votes cast for the apparent winning candidate and any other candidate is less than one-half of 1 percent (0.5 percent).  
> •A publicly funded recount may also occur in any race where the difference in votes cast is ten votes or less and the total number of votes cast for the office is 400 or fewer.  
> •A publicly funded recount will occur if the apparent losing candidate requests one by filing a notice with the appropriate filing officer within 48 hours after the canvassing board meeting.

So it looks like Feehan would have to request a recount

Brian

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**Author:** ![Chefguy](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/chefguy/32/138_2.png) [@Chefguy](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Chefguy)\
**Post date:** [November 7, 2018, 5:01pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2018-election-day-thread/824079/512 "2018-11-07T17:01:18Z")

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Just wanted to say my hat’s off to Wisconsin voters and big, hearty ‘go fuck yourself’ to Scott Walker. Don’t let the door hit you in the ass.

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**Author:** ![GreysonCarlisle](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/g/a87d85/32.png) [@GreysonCarlisle](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/GreysonCarlisle)\
**Post date:** [November 7, 2018, 5:05pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2018-election-day-thread/824079/513 "2018-11-07T17:05:53Z")

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> [@HurricaneDitka](#):
>
> Predicted by whom?

[JP Morgan](https://thehill.com/regulation/finance/412076-jpmorgan-says-us-economy-has-better-than-50-50-chance-of-recession-in-next) and [Bernanke](https://thehill.com/blogs/blog-briefing-room/news/391381-bernanke-says-wile-e-coyote-economy-will-have-a-fallout-in-2020), for starters.

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**Author:** ![JKellyMap](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/jkellymap/32/15880_2.png) [@JKellyMap](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/JKellyMap)\
**Post date:** [November 7, 2018, 5:10pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2018-election-day-thread/824079/514 "2018-11-07T17:10:27Z")

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Good to see gun control advocate Lucy McBath win her Georgia district.

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**Author:** ![Elendil\_s\_Heir](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/e/7cd45c/32.png) [@Elendil\_s\_Heir](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Elendil_s_Heir)\
**Post date:** [November 7, 2018, 5:11pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2018-election-day-thread/824079/515 "2018-11-07T17:11:45Z")

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> [@Chefguy](#):
>
> Just wanted to say my hat’s off to Wisconsin voters and big, hearty ‘go fuck yourself’ to Scott Walker. Don’t let the door hit you in the ass.

Yeah, glad to see his luck finally run out.

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**Author:** ![GreysonCarlisle](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/g/a87d85/32.png) [@GreysonCarlisle](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/GreysonCarlisle)\
**Post date:** [November 7, 2018, 5:15pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2018-election-day-thread/824079/516 "2018-11-07T17:15:16Z")

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> [@Chefguy](#):
>
> Just wanted to say my hat’s off to Wisconsin voters and big, hearty ‘go fuck yourself’ to Scott Walker. Don’t let the door hit you in the ass.

After the wins by the cheat in Georgia and the nazi in Iowa, that’s the good news I needed this morning.

Also Kobach and Yoder are out in Kansas.

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**Author:** ![RickJay](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/r/bb73d2/32.png) [@RickJay](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/RickJay)\
**Post date:** [November 7, 2018, 5:20pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2018-election-day-thread/824079/517 "2018-11-07T17:20:28Z")

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Describing what happened in Georgia as a “win” for Kemp is inaccurate. That was not a legitimate election, and so could not have been “won.”

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**Author:** ![RTFirefly](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/r/c77e96/32.png) [@RTFirefly](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/RTFirefly)\
**Post date:** [November 7, 2018, 5:25pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2018-election-day-thread/824079/518 "2018-11-07T17:25:15Z")

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> [@Ravenman](#):
>
> Looks like Tester has barely squeaked ahead, 211,596 to 210,575. Roughly 12% of precincts left to report.
> 
> This is the last race I have an emotional investment in because Tester is a really cool dude.

And the remaining precincts are mostly in Missoula and Bozeman, so it’s favorable territory. Looks like Tester will continue to represent the [Dental Floss State](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=smZA9Jv3qH0) for another term.

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**Author:** ![jsc1953](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/j/5daacb/32.png) [@jsc1953](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/jsc1953)\
**Post date:** [November 7, 2018, 5:33pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2018-election-day-thread/824079/519 "2018-11-07T17:33:57Z")

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Devin Nunes, Trump’s lickspittle toady on the House Intel Committee, and Dana Rohrbacher, subject of the “joke” about being on Putin’s payroll, were re-elected. I’m embarrassed by my fellow Californians.

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**Author:** ![Railer13](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/railer13/32/9742_2.png) [@Railer13](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Railer13)\
**Post date:** [November 7, 2018, 5:40pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2018-election-day-thread/824079/520 "2018-11-07T17:40:02Z")

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> [@RTFirefly](#):
>
> And the remaining precincts are mostly in Missoula and Bozeman, so it’s favorable territory. Looks like Tester will continue to represent the [Dental Floss State](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=smZA9Jv3qH0) for another term.

Yes! Frank Zappa!

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**Author:** ![iiandyiiii](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/iiandyiiii/32/7924_2.png) [@iiandyiiii](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/iiandyiiii)\
**Post date:** [November 7, 2018, 5:43pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2018-election-day-thread/824079/521 "2018-11-07T17:43:16Z")

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> [@jsc1953](#):
>
> Devin Nunes, Trump’s lickspittle toady on the House Intel Committee, and Dana Rohrbacher, subject of the “joke” about being on Putin’s payroll, were re-elected. I’m embarrassed by my fellow Californians.

Rohrbacher is projected to lose. [https://www.sacbee.com/news/politics-government/capitol-alert/article221279775.html](https://www.sacbee.com/news/politics-government/capitol-alert/article221279775.html)

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