# 2018 Election Day Thread

**URL:** <https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2018-election-day-thread/824079>\
**Category:** Politics & Elections\
**Created:** [November 6, 2018, 3:43pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2018-election-day-thread/824079 "2018-11-06T15:43:30Z")\
**Posts on this page:** 20\
**Page:** 8

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**Author:** ![The\_Other\_Waldo\_Pepper](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/the_other_waldo_pepper/32/12370_2.png) [@The\_Other\_Waldo\_Pepper](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/The_Other_Waldo_Pepper)\
**Post date:** [November 7, 2018, 12:13am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2018-election-day-thread/824079/142 "2018-11-07T00:13:26Z")

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> [@EscAlaMike](#):
>
> There have been a couple of candidates over the years (exactly two that I can remember) for various offices that I have been genuinely proud and happy to vote for. But more often than not, you’re only voting in order to prevent a greater evil by enabling a lesser evil.
> 
> The act of voting is a legitimizing act, which is always very morally conflicting for me.

Preventing a greater evil _is_ something I’ve been genuinely proud and happy about, which _isn’t_ something I feel morally conflicted about: if the alternative involves standing back to let some greater evil happen, if it’s that or the lesser of two evils, then _how is it even an interesting question?_ I obviously can’t pick “greater”, so where the heck is the conflict supposed to come in?

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**Author:** ![UltraVires](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/u/ecccb3/32.png) [@UltraVires](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/UltraVires)\
**Post date:** [November 7, 2018, 12:18am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2018-election-day-thread/824079/143 "2018-11-07T00:18:02Z")

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Drudge says “Exit Polls Show Huge Dem Wave Building\*”

[https://www.drudgereport.com/](https://www.drudgereport.com/)

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**Author:** ![CaptMurdock](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/captmurdock/32/11736_2.png) [@CaptMurdock](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/CaptMurdock)\
**Post date:** [November 7, 2018, 12:20am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2018-election-day-thread/824079/144 "2018-11-07T00:20:29Z")

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> [@UltraVires](#):
>
> Drudge says “Exit Polls Show Huge Dem Wave Building\*”
> 
> [https://www.drudgereport.com/](https://www.drudgereport.com/)

Well, in the broken-clock sense, Drudge _is_ about due for an occasion to actually be right about something…it has been years since Lewinsky. 🆒

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**Author:** ![JohnT](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/johnt/32/15048_2.png) [@JohnT](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/JohnT)\
**Post date:** [November 7, 2018, 12:33am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2018-election-day-thread/824079/145 "2018-11-07T00:33:08Z")

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> [@UltraVires](#):
>
> Drudge says “Exit Polls Show Huge Dem Wave Building\*”
> 
> [https://www.drudgereport.com/](https://www.drudgereport.com/)

With an asterisk which leads to “Clinton campaign manager says ‘exit polls will break your heart’.”

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**Author:** ![Derleth](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/d/b9e5f3/32.png) [@Derleth](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Derleth)\
**Post date:** [November 7, 2018, 12:34am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2018-election-day-thread/824079/146 "2018-11-07T00:34:27Z")

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> [@UltraVires](#):
>
> BTW, from my observations, turnout here was HUGE. Lines at my precinct, lines everywhere. That’s usually not good for the GOP.

Yeah, more participation in the political process is generally bad for the GOP.

I’m not going to be allowed to draw any conclusions from that, I’m sure.

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**Author:** ![UltraVires](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/u/ecccb3/32.png) [@UltraVires](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/UltraVires)\
**Post date:** [November 7, 2018, 12:37am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2018-election-day-thread/824079/147 "2018-11-07T00:37:25Z")

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Listening to WV Metronews. Exit Polling is 49-47 Morrissey over Manchin in WV.

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**Author:** ![UltraVires](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/u/ecccb3/32.png) [@UltraVires](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/UltraVires)\
**Post date:** [November 7, 2018, 12:40am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2018-election-day-thread/824079/148 "2018-11-07T00:40:10Z")

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Wirt County, WV…Morrissey 333, Manchin 317!!! 🙂

1 precinct reporting!

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**Author:** ![iiandyiiii](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/iiandyiiii/32/7924_2.png) [@iiandyiiii](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/iiandyiiii)\
**Post date:** [November 7, 2018, 12:40am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2018-election-day-thread/824079/149 "2018-11-07T00:40:56Z")

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Early results consistent with 538’s forecast, by my reading – likely blue House, red Senate, Gillum looking good in FL, Abrams not so good in GA.

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**Author:** ![MaxTheVool](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/m/9fc29f/32.png) [@MaxTheVool](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/MaxTheVool)\
**Post date:** [November 7, 2018, 12:41am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2018-election-day-thread/824079/150 "2018-11-07T00:41:06Z")

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538 has a real-time forecast for both house and senate. At the start of the night, Dems were 6/7 to retake the house, GOP 6/7 to keep the senate. Odds have gone up for Dems to 14/15 to retake the house, and are now only 5/6 for GOP to keep the senate. So… yay?

Still sweating bullets here of course.

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**Author:** ![Ludovic](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/l/7ab992/32.png) [@Ludovic](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Ludovic)\
**Post date:** [November 7, 2018, 12:43am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2018-election-day-thread/824079/151 "2018-11-07T00:43:47Z")

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538 has adjusted their House forecast to 94% chance for a takeover, which makes sense as all the races so far have been pretty close to expectations, and when Democrats had the advantage, no change is to their advantage. They still have the chance for a Blue senate at 1 in 6 although I don’t know if they just haven’t updated it yet or if the Dems are doing slightly better than expected but not good enough to push the needle.

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**Author:** ![Buck\_Godot](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/buck_godot/32/6573_2.png) [@Buck\_Godot](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Buck_Godot)\
**Post date:** [November 7, 2018, 12:44am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2018-election-day-thread/824079/152 "2018-11-07T00:44:33Z")

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Well 538 now has Dems with a 95% chance to take the house.

Still 1 in 6 for the senate though.

ETA: Damn you Ludovic

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**Author:** ![iiandyiiii](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/iiandyiiii/32/7924_2.png) [@iiandyiiii](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/iiandyiiii)\
**Post date:** [November 7, 2018, 12:47am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2018-election-day-thread/824079/153 "2018-11-07T00:47:26Z")

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Barbara Comstock loses in VA-10, which is not a huge surprise but is absolutely awesome.

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**Author:** ![MaxTheVool](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/m/9fc29f/32.png) [@MaxTheVool](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/MaxTheVool)\
**Post date:** [November 7, 2018, 12:49am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2018-election-day-thread/824079/154 "2018-11-07T00:49:30Z")

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In the last 10 minutes, chances of dems winning house went from 14/15 up to 19/20, then down to 11/12, then back up to 14/15. Watching this too closely is probably not good for my sanity.

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**Author:** ![raventhief](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/raventhief/32/4_2.png) [@raventhief](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/raventhief)\
**Post date:** [November 7, 2018, 12:51am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2018-election-day-thread/824079/155 "2018-11-07T00:51:17Z")

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> [@iiandyiiii](#):
>
> Barbara Comstock loses in VA-10, which is not a huge surprise but is absolutely awesome.

Huzzah!

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**Author:** ![Whack-a-Mole](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/whack-a-mole/32/141_2.png) [@Whack-a-Mole](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Whack-a-Mole)\
**Post date:** [November 7, 2018, 12:52am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2018-election-day-thread/824079/156 "2018-11-07T00:52:53Z")

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> [@Buck\_Godot](#):
>
> Well 538 now has Dems with a 95% chance to take the house.

A nitpick but I am seeing 538 as [87.9% to take the House](https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2018-midterm-election-forecast/house/). Still good though!

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**Author:** ![galen\_ubal](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/galen_ubal/32/4440_2.png) [@galen\_ubal](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/galen_ubal)\
**Post date:** [November 7, 2018, 12:53am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2018-election-day-thread/824079/157 "2018-11-07T00:53:06Z")

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> [@iiandyiiii](#):
>
> Barbara Comstock loses in VA-10, which is not a huge surprise but is absolutely awesome.

Expanding on this a bit:  
With 58% of the vote in, Wexton (D) has a 58-42 lead over Comstock (R). In 2016, Comstock won with [53% of the vote,](https://www.nytimes.com/elections/2016/results/virginia) and in 2014 Comstock won [with 56.6%.](https://www.nytimes.com/elections/2014/virginia-elections)

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**Author:** ![Andy\_L](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/a/c67d28/32.png) [@Andy\_L](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Andy_L)\
**Post date:** [November 7, 2018, 12:56am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2018-election-day-thread/824079/158 "2018-11-07T00:56:37Z")

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> [@Whack-a-Mole](#):
>
> A nitpick but I am seeing 538 as [87.9% to take the House](https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2018-midterm-election-forecast/house/). Still good though!

That’s the final pre-election projection from 11 this morning.

The currently updating projections are here [What Went Down In The 2018 Midterms | FiveThirtyEight](https://fivethirtyeight.com/live-blog/2018-election-results-coverage/?ex_cid=extra_banner)

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**Author:** ![iiandyiiii](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/iiandyiiii/32/7924_2.png) [@iiandyiiii](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/iiandyiiii)\
**Post date:** [November 7, 2018, 12:59am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2018-election-day-thread/824079/159 "2018-11-07T00:59:14Z")

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FL 27 (Donna Shallala) goes blue! That one was more in doubt, so that’s great news for Democrats.

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**Author:** ![Whack-a-Mole](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/whack-a-mole/32/141_2.png) [@Whack-a-Mole](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Whack-a-Mole)\
**Post date:** [November 7, 2018, 1:02am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2018-election-day-thread/824079/160 "2018-11-07T01:02:57Z")

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> [@Andy\_L](#):
>
> That’s the final pre-election projection from 11 this morning.
> 
> The currently updating projections are here [What Went Down In The 2018 Midterms | FiveThirtyEight](https://fivethirtyeight.com/live-blog/2018-election-results-coverage/?ex_cid=extra_banner)

Ah! Thanks! (Although it says 86.3% right now)

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<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![Andy\_L](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/a/c67d28/32.png) [@Andy\_L](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Andy_L)\
**Post date:** [November 7, 2018, 1:03am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2018-election-day-thread/824079/161 "2018-11-07T01:03:37Z")

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> [@Whack-a-Mole](#):
>
> Ah! Thanks!

No problem!

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