# 2018 Election Day Thread

**URL:** <https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2018-election-day-thread/824079>\
**Category:** Politics & Elections\
**Created:** [November 6, 2018, 3:43pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2018-election-day-thread/824079 "2018-11-06T15:43:30Z")\
**Posts on this page:** 20\
**Page:** 9

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**Author:** ![UltraVires](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/u/ecccb3/32.png) [@UltraVires](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/UltraVires)\
**Post date:** [November 7, 2018, 1:09am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2018-election-day-thread/824079/162 "2018-11-07T01:09:05Z")

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Florida is tighter than my high school prom date. Any links to what votes are still out?

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**Author:** ![Whack-a-Mole](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/whack-a-mole/32/141_2.png) [@Whack-a-Mole](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Whack-a-Mole)\
**Post date:** [November 7, 2018, 1:09am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2018-election-day-thread/824079/163 "2018-11-07T01:09:25Z")

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First results have Cruz leading Beto in Texas but with only 1% reporting that one is far from over.

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**Author:** ![jsc1953](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/j/5daacb/32.png) [@jsc1953](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/jsc1953)\
**Post date:** [November 7, 2018, 1:10am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2018-election-day-thread/824079/164 "2018-11-07T01:10:43Z")

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Any speculation as to why the early Georgia governor returns are so hugely Republican? (Other than skullduggery?) 64%-36% Kemp at this moment.

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**Author:** ![UltraVires](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/u/ecccb3/32.png) [@UltraVires](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/UltraVires)\
**Post date:** [November 7, 2018, 1:12am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2018-election-day-thread/824079/165 "2018-11-07T01:12:54Z")

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> [@Whack-a-Mole](#):
>
> First results have Cruz leading Beto in Texas but with only 1% reporting that one is far from over.

> [@jsc1953](#):
>
> Any speculation as to why the early Georgia governor returns are so hugely Republican? (Other than skullduggery?) 64%-36% Kemp at this moment.

Early raw vote totals are garbage. We don’t know where they came from or if they are representative of the state vote.

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**Author:** ![lisiate](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/l/f05b48/32.png) [@lisiate](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/lisiate)\
**Post date:** [November 7, 2018, 1:13am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2018-election-day-thread/824079/166 "2018-11-07T01:13:22Z")

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> [@Whack-a-Mole](#):
>
> Ah! Thanks! (Although it says 86.3% right now)

Down to 5 in 7 now (72.9%)

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**Author:** ![Left\_Hand\_of\_Dorkness](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/left_hand_of_dorkness/32/7156_2.png) [@Left\_Hand\_of\_Dorkness](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Left_Hand_of_Dorkness)\
**Post date:** [November 7, 2018, 1:14am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2018-election-day-thread/824079/167 "2018-11-07T01:14:32Z")

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> [@lisiate](#):
>
> Down to 5 in 7 now (72.9%)

don’tbearepeatof2016don’tbearepeatof2016don’tbearepeatof2016don’tbearepeatof2016don’tbearepeatof2016

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**Author:** ![Whack-a-Mole](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/whack-a-mole/32/141_2.png) [@Whack-a-Mole](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Whack-a-Mole)\
**Post date:** [November 7, 2018, 1:15am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2018-election-day-thread/824079/168 "2018-11-07T01:15:10Z")

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> [@lisiate](#):
>
> Down to 5 in 7 now (72.9%)

For my health I should probably stop watching and just go to bed and see what happened tomorrow. It’s like watching the stock market last week.

But of course I won’t.

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**Author:** ![Whack-a-Mole](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/whack-a-mole/32/141_2.png) [@Whack-a-Mole](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Whack-a-Mole)\
**Post date:** [November 7, 2018, 1:16am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2018-election-day-thread/824079/169 "2018-11-07T01:16:11Z")

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> [@lisiate](#):
>
> Down to 5 in 7 now (72.9%)

Now 67.6% (2 in 3) :eek:

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**Author:** ![Fiveyearlurker](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/f/da6949/32.png) [@Fiveyearlurker](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Fiveyearlurker)\
**Post date:** [November 7, 2018, 1:17am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2018-election-day-thread/824079/170 "2018-11-07T01:17:00Z")

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> [@Whack-a-Mole](#):
>
> Now 67.6% (2 in 3) :eek:

What’s moving the needle? Doesn’t seem there’s anything that should have moved anything.

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**Author:** ![MaxTheVool](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/m/9fc29f/32.png) [@MaxTheVool](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/MaxTheVool)\
**Post date:** [November 7, 2018, 1:17am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2018-election-day-thread/824079/171 "2018-11-07T01:17:23Z")

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Jesus, the house projection is dropping like a stone. Now down to 2/3. Please tell me this is just statistical noise based on which districts have reported, etc, not an actual trend.

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**Author:** ![lisiate](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/l/f05b48/32.png) [@lisiate](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/lisiate)\
**Post date:** [November 7, 2018, 1:17am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2018-election-day-thread/824079/172 "2018-11-07T01:17:26Z")

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> [@Whack-a-Mole](#):
>
> Now 67.6% (2 in 3) :eek:

Eek indeed.

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**Author:** ![Kolak\_of\_Twilo](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/kolak_of_twilo/32/73_2.png) [@Kolak\_of\_Twilo](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Kolak_of_Twilo)\
**Post date:** [November 7, 2018, 1:18am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2018-election-day-thread/824079/173 "2018-11-07T01:18:24Z")

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Gillum just feel slightly behind DeSantis in Florida.

Same for Nelson with Scott taking the lead.

Looks like the wave may be faltering.

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**Author:** ![Left\_Hand\_of\_Dorkness](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/left_hand_of_dorkness/32/7156_2.png) [@Left\_Hand\_of\_Dorkness](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Left_Hand_of_Dorkness)\
**Post date:** [November 7, 2018, 1:21am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2018-election-day-thread/824079/174 "2018-11-07T01:21:15Z")

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Down to 50% for Dems in house.

Oh god.

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**Author:** ![Fiveyearlurker](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/f/da6949/32.png) [@Fiveyearlurker](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Fiveyearlurker)\
**Post date:** [November 7, 2018, 1:22am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2018-election-day-thread/824079/175 "2018-11-07T01:22:11Z")

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> [@Left\_Hand\_of\_Dorkness](#):
>
> Down to 50% for Dems in house.
> 
> Oh god.

But nothing is actually happening.

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<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![Whack-a-Mole](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/whack-a-mole/32/141_2.png) [@Whack-a-Mole](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Whack-a-Mole)\
**Post date:** [November 7, 2018, 1:22am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2018-election-day-thread/824079/176 "2018-11-07T01:22:34Z")

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> [@Left\_Hand\_of\_Dorkness](#):
>
> Down to 50% for Dems in house.
> 
> Oh god.

39.3%

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<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![MaxTheVool](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/m/9fc29f/32.png) [@MaxTheVool](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/MaxTheVool)\
**Post date:** [November 7, 2018, 1:23am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2018-election-day-thread/824079/177 "2018-11-07T01:23:02Z")

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> [@Left\_Hand\_of\_Dorkness](#):
>
> Down to 50% for Dems in house.
> 
> Oh god.

The 538 commentators aren’t even mentioning that real time forecast. Which makes me think they know something we don’t know about how meaningful it is. I f\*\*\*ing hope. Because it’s now 60% for the GOP to keep the house.

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**Author:** ![UltraVires](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/u/ecccb3/32.png) [@UltraVires](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/UltraVires)\
**Post date:** [November 7, 2018, 1:23am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2018-election-day-thread/824079/178 "2018-11-07T01:23:16Z")

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> [@Kolak\_of\_Twilo](#):
>
> Gillum just feel slightly behind DeSantis in Florida.
> 
> Same for Nelson with Scott taking the lead.
> 
> Looks like the wave may be faltering.

I hope so. 🙂 But if the votes outstanding are in Palm Beach, Broward, and Miami, then the GOP is screwed.

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**Author:** ![Celidin](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/c/cc9497/32.png) [@Celidin](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Celidin)\
**Post date:** [November 7, 2018, 1:24am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2018-election-day-thread/824079/179 "2018-11-07T01:24:16Z")

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Oh man, I’m having massive flashbacks to 2016. This is feeling not good, not good at all.

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**Author:** ![Kolak\_of\_Twilo](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/kolak_of_twilo/32/73_2.png) [@Kolak\_of\_Twilo](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Kolak_of_Twilo)\
**Post date:** [November 7, 2018, 1:25am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2018-election-day-thread/824079/180 "2018-11-07T01:25:02Z")

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> [@UltraVires](#):
>
> I hope so. 🙂 But if the votes outstanding are in Palm Beach, Broward, and Miami, then the GOP is screwed.

Most of them do appear to be in Broward and Miami. Palm Beach is mostly in.

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**Author:** ![skdo23](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/s/a5b964/32.png) [@skdo23](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/skdo23)\
**Post date:** [November 7, 2018, 1:25am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2018-election-day-thread/824079/181 "2018-11-07T01:25:10Z")

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I think the 538 updates are automated and therefore erratic, there’s no way Nate Silver could be keeping up with individual House districts in real time, also consider that no west coast districts have reported anything. According to CNN, the Blue Wave does not seem to be in danger.

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