# 2020 POTUS election polls
**URL:** https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2020-potus-election-polls/919769
**Category:** Politics & Elections
**Created:** [September 4, 2020, 2:40am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2020-potus-election-polls/919769 "2020-09-04T02:40:49Z")
**Posts on this page:** 10
**Page:** 1
### Author:  [@Snowboarder\_Bo](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Snowboarder_Bo)
#### Post date: [September 4, 2020, 2:40am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2020-potus-election-polls/919769/1 "2020-09-04T02:40:49Z")
I thought we could prolly use a thread to post polls and talk specifically about them. It seems to me that there are far too many threads with random foci where polling numbers might be part of the conversation, but they’d get lost for anyone trying to find them.
I’ll start off with a poll from Military Times that shows Trump’s support from military members is slipping:
> **[Trump’s popularity slips in latest Military Times poll — and more troops say...](https://www.militarytimes.com/news/pentagon-congress/2020/08/31/as-trumps-popularity-slips-in-latest-military-times-poll-more-troops-say-theyll-vote-for-biden/)**
>
> About half of troops surveyed for the poll said they have an unfavorable view of the commander in chief.
[/cloudfront-us-east-1.images.arcpublishing.com/mco/WRDYQUQ5SNCNHIHT7HBKY7ZJW4.jpg) ](https://www.armytimes.com/resizer/ZoSJXIkztffMNnquJvdIf6Jwiqc=/800x0/filters:quality(100)/cloudfront-us-east-1.images.arcpublishing.com/mco/WRDYQUQ5SNCNHIHT7HBKY7ZJW4.jpg)
And then I’ll offer up this Quinnipiac poll (this was cited by Nate Silver today on Twitter) that shows Biden leading Trump in nearly every category plus questions that indicate people are not happy with Trump’s time in office:
> **[Poll Results | Quinnipiac University Poll](https://poll.qu.edu/poll-results/)**
>
> Quinnipiac University Poll’s list of recent and past poll results for political races, state and national elections, and issues of public concern.
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### Author:  [@RetroVertigo](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/RetroVertigo)
#### Post date: [September 4, 2020, 4:11am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2020-potus-election-polls/919769/2 "2020-09-04T04:11:08Z")
I see a lot of Trump supporters are laying all of their hopes on the Trafalgar Group polling that consistently has Trump ahead everywhere.
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### Author:  [@rocking\_chair](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/rocking_chair)
#### Post date: [September 4, 2020, 1:56pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2020-potus-election-polls/919769/3 "2020-09-04T13:56:16Z")
I should hope his support in the military is waning. after the atlantic article and other things he has said and done… stomach churning.
biden edging up at 538.
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### Author:  [@Elendil\_s\_Heir](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Elendil_s_Heir)
#### Post date: [September 4, 2020, 2:37pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2020-potus-election-polls/919769/4 "2020-09-04T14:37:09Z")
This thread may also be of interest:
> [@Swing state polling and the electoral college map](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/swing-state-polling-and-the-electoral-college-map/854994):
>
> CNBC has the first swing state polls in a while so it’s a good time to examine state polling and the implied electoral college map. The poll has Biden up 7 points nationally but the swing states aren’t nearly as comfortable. If we give the Wisconsin tie to Trump, and allot the other states by the lead in this poll and 2016 results I think that would imply this [map](https://www.270towin.com/maps/1NQr0) with Biden up by 292-246. However it would be a precarious lead based on 1-2 points in Michigan and North Carolina. Biden is mo…
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### Author:  [@iiandyiiii](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/iiandyiiii)
#### Post date: [September 4, 2020, 3:02pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2020-potus-election-polls/919769/5 "2020-09-04T15:02:36Z")
The best (and only, IMO) election model to follow:
> **[2020 Election Forecast](https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2020-election-forecast/)**
>
> Latest forecast of the 2020 presidential election between President Donald Trump and Joe Biden by Nate Silver’s FiveThirtyEight
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### Author:  [@Hari\_Seldon](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Hari_Seldon)
#### Post date: [September 4, 2020, 4:29pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2020-potus-election-polls/919769/6 "2020-09-04T16:29:32Z")
Today’s Votemaster has Biden up by 10% in Wisconsin. OTOH, PA is now a statistical tie, as are FL, NC, and GA. They use an average of recent polls, at least those they have reason to think are honest.
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### Author:  [@Elendil\_s\_Heir](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Elendil_s_Heir)
#### Post date: [September 4, 2020, 5:40pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2020-potus-election-polls/919769/7 "2020-09-04T17:40:18Z")
Biden was _born_ in Penna. Hope he’ll really fight for it.
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### Author:  [@Snowboarder\_Bo](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Snowboarder_Bo)
#### Post date: [September 4, 2020, 7:18pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2020-potus-election-polls/919769/8 "2020-09-04T19:18:21Z")
> [@Elendil\_s\_Heir](#):
>
> Biden was _born_ in Penna. Hope he’ll really fight for it.
HA! Says you!
> [@](#):
>
> “He’d say he was born here,” Trump told listeners in Scranton. “But he left when he was like 8, 9 or 10. So he left 68 years ago, he left — a long time ago. So I view it differently. **He wasn’t born here.** He abandoned Scranton!”
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### Author:  [@Elendil\_s\_Heir](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Elendil_s_Heir)
#### Post date: [September 5, 2020, 12:51am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2020-potus-election-polls/919769/9 "2020-09-05T00:51:52Z")
“View it differently” has always been synonymous for him with “Ignoring objective reality because I want to.”
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### Author:  [@JKellyMap](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/JKellyMap)
#### Post date: [September 5, 2020, 1:22am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2020-potus-election-polls/919769/10 "2020-09-05T01:22:45Z")
Sure enough (as I predicted in another thread), Biden is slipping in Florida (Quinnipiac poll, rated B+ by Nate Silver, has him only up 3%). You just can’t trust that state.
(Good news in Wisconsin and Arizona, though.)