# 2022 Senate Confidence Pool Contest **URL:** \ **Category:** Politics & Elections\ **Created:** [October 10, 2022, 10:44pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2022-senate-confidence-pool-contest/973042 "2022-10-10T22:44:59Z")\ **Posts on this page:** 19\ **Page:** 6
**Author:** ![JKellyMap](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/jkellymap/32/15880_2.png) [@JKellyMap](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/JKellyMap)\ **Post date:** [December 6, 2022, 7:32pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2022-senate-confidence-pool-contest/973042/101 "2022-12-06T19:32:53Z")
Bumping because we should have a winner, in about 12 hours! ---
**Author:** ![Karen\_Lingel](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/karen_lingel/32/18649_2.png) [@Karen\_Lingel](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Karen_Lingel)\ **Post date:** [December 6, 2022, 7:34pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2022-senate-confidence-pool-contest/973042/102 "2022-12-06T19:34:00Z")
I hope it’s not me; I hope it’s not me… ---
**Author:** ![Lance\_Turbo](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/lance_turbo/32/6156_2.png) [@Lance\_Turbo](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Lance_Turbo)\ **Post date:** [December 6, 2022, 7:41pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2022-senate-confidence-pool-contest/973042/103 "2022-12-06T19:41:59Z")
Thanks for bumping. I feel like this one is going blue and it will be over relatively quickly. Closer to five hours from now than twelve. Polls close 7 ET. ---
**Author:** ![JKellyMap](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/jkellymap/32/15880_2.png) [@JKellyMap](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/JKellyMap)\ **Post date:** [December 6, 2022, 9:05pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2022-senate-confidence-pool-contest/973042/104 "2022-12-06T21:05:03Z")
> [@Lance\_Turbo](#): > > I feel like this one is going blue and it will be over relatively quickly. Inshallah. ---
**Author:** ![Lance\_Turbo](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/lance_turbo/32/6156_2.png) [@Lance\_Turbo](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Lance_Turbo)\ **Post date:** [December 7, 2022, 2:47am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2022-senate-confidence-pool-contest/973042/105 "2022-12-07T02:47:32Z")
Wasserman has seen enough. > Congrats @Hawkeyeop ! ---
**Author:** ![JKellyMap](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/jkellymap/32/15880_2.png) [@JKellyMap](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/JKellyMap)\ **Post date:** [December 7, 2022, 2:53am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2022-senate-confidence-pool-contest/973042/106 "2022-12-07T02:53:13Z")
Woo hoo! ---
**Author:** ![Lance\_Turbo](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/lance_turbo/32/6156_2.png) [@Lance\_Turbo](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Lance_Turbo)\ **Post date:** [December 7, 2022, 2:56am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2022-senate-confidence-pool-contest/973042/107 "2022-12-07T02:56:04Z")
No network has called it yet. But Dave Wasserman plus PredictIt bettors have called it. [https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7107](https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7107) It’s over. ---
**Author:** ![Lance\_Turbo](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/lance_turbo/32/6156_2.png) [@Lance\_Turbo](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Lance_Turbo)\ **Post date:** [December 7, 2022, 3:25am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2022-senate-confidence-pool-contest/973042/108 "2022-12-07T03:25:19Z")
NBC made their call. Here are the final results. Thank you for your participation. | Rank | Name | Score | Max | Hits | Misses | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 1 | Hawkeyeop | 55 | 55 | 10 | 0 | | 2 | DSeid | 54 | 54 | 9 | 1 | | 2 | Jas09 | 54 | 54 | 9 | 1 | | 2 | JKellyMap | 54 | 54 | 9 | 1 | | 2 | Railer13 | 54 | 54 | 9 | 1 | | 6 | BobLibDem | 51 | 51 | 8 | 2 | | 6 | SlipperyPete | 51 | 51 | 9 | 1 | | 8 | Karen\_Lingel | 49 | 49 | 8 | 2 | | 8 | Kolak\_of\_Twilo | 49 | 49 | 8 | 2 | | 10 | flurb | 46 | 46 | 7 | 3 | | 11 | Lance\_Turbo | 44 | 44 | 6 | 4 | | 12 | smitty300 | 40 | 40 | 5 | 5 | | 13 | racer72 | 24 | 24 | 6 | 4 | ---
**Author:** ![Hawkeyeop](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/h/958977/32.png) [@Hawkeyeop](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Hawkeyeop)\ **Post date:** [December 7, 2022, 4:06am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2022-senate-confidence-pool-contest/973042/109 "2022-12-07T04:06:01Z")
Thanks. Glad my strategy of trust the goals with a Democratic tie-breaker worked out. Would have been nice to have been wrong on Wisconsin, but certainly not a bad outcome. ---
**Author:** ![Karen\_Lingel](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/karen_lingel/32/18649_2.png) [@Karen\_Lingel](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Karen_Lingel)\ **Post date:** [December 7, 2022, 6:21am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2022-senate-confidence-pool-contest/973042/110 "2022-12-07T06:21:38Z")
All Hail the Mighty Psychic Hawkeyeop! Dude, you nailed it! ---
**Author:** ![Karen\_Lingel](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/karen_lingel/32/18649_2.png) [@Karen\_Lingel](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Karen_Lingel)\ **Post date:** [December 7, 2022, 6:24am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2022-senate-confidence-pool-contest/973042/111 "2022-12-07T06:24:21Z")
And thanks to Lance Turbo for running the contest. It was a lovely diversion (no matter what Pit Thread Guy thinks…) ---
**Author:** ![JKellyMap](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/jkellymap/32/15880_2.png) [@JKellyMap](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/JKellyMap)\ **Post date:** [December 7, 2022, 12:14pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2022-senate-confidence-pool-contest/973042/112 "2022-12-07T12:14:21Z")
I echo Karen\_Lingel’s sentiments. (The pit guy was just confused about “fun and games” vs. “game theory”). The high accuracy of most of our collective choices is, in part, a testament to the quite accurate polling in 2022 (and of models based mainly on aggregate polling). ---
**Author:** ![Railer13](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/railer13/32/9742_2.png) [@Railer13](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Railer13)\ **Post date:** [December 7, 2022, 2:48pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2022-senate-confidence-pool-contest/973042/113 "2022-12-07T14:48:54Z")
> [@JKellyMap](#): > > The high accuracy of most of our collective choices is, in part, a testament to the quite accurate polling in 2022 And here I thought it was because we is all real smart. ---
**Author:** ![flurb](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/f/51bf81/32.png) [@flurb](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/flurb)\ **Post date:** [December 7, 2022, 6:45pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2022-senate-confidence-pool-contest/973042/114 "2022-12-07T18:45:23Z")
My picks did terribly and I couldn’t be happier about it. ---
**Author:** ![Lance\_Turbo](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/lance_turbo/32/6156_2.png) [@Lance\_Turbo](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Lance_Turbo)\ **Post date:** [December 7, 2022, 6:59pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2022-senate-confidence-pool-contest/973042/115 "2022-12-07T18:59:08Z")
I agree. I only beat the guy who picked all D and the guy who picked all R except CO, and I am quite pleased with that outcome. ---
**Author:** ![SlipperyPete](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/s/ba9def/32.png) [@SlipperyPete](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/SlipperyPete)\ **Post date:** [December 7, 2022, 7:09pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2022-senate-confidence-pool-contest/973042/116 "2022-12-07T19:09:13Z")
So close! Wisconsin was my only miss! Thanks, Lance that was fun. ---
**Author:** ![DSeid](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/dseid/32/20194_2.png) [@DSeid](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/DSeid)\ **Post date:** [December 7, 2022, 7:13pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2022-senate-confidence-pool-contest/973042/117 "2022-12-07T19:13:42Z")
> [@Railer13](#): > > And here I thought it was because we is all real smart. As a tied for second place contestant… being smart enough to open up 538’s page and then too lazy to keep updating as polling moved slightly more south is hopefully not my intellectual pinnacle. But I’ll take it! Yea for losing! ---
**Author:** ![Kolak\_of\_Twilo](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/kolak_of_twilo/32/73_2.png) [@Kolak\_of\_Twilo](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Kolak_of_Twilo)\ **Post date:** [December 7, 2022, 7:17pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2022-senate-confidence-pool-contest/973042/118 "2022-12-07T19:17:40Z")
Yup, very happy to end up tied for 8th place. Thanks for doing all the heavy lifting with this @Lance_Turbo ! ---
**Author:** ![Lance\_Turbo](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/lance_turbo/32/6156_2.png) [@Lance\_Turbo](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Lance_Turbo)\ **Post date:** [December 7, 2022, 7:31pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2022-senate-confidence-pool-contest/973042/119 "2022-12-07T19:31:36Z")
You’re welcome all. See you in a couple years. [Previous page](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2022-senate-confidence-pool-contest/973042.md?page=5)