# 2022 US Senate Races **URL:** \ **Category:** Politics & Elections\ **Created:** [October 6, 2020, 10:26am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2022-us-senate-races/922327 "2020-10-06T10:26:36Z")\ **Posts on this page:** 20\ **Page:** 27
**Author:** ![Elendil\_s\_Heir](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/e/7cd45c/32.png) [@Elendil\_s\_Heir](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Elendil_s_Heir)\ **Post date:** [May 12, 2022, 2:54pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2022-us-senate-races/922327/522 "2022-05-12T14:54:18Z")
Back in Penna.: > **['Nervous about Oz's prospects': Trump and his allies worry about a Barnette...](https://www.cnn.com/2022/05/12/politics/trump-oz-barnette-pennsylvania/index.html)** > > In the hours after Fox released a poll this week showing Pennsylvania Republican US Senate candidate Kathy Barnette locked in a statistical tie with primary opponents Mehmet Oz and Dave McCormick, allies of former President Donald Trump went to work... ---
**Author:** ![Wesley\_Clark](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/wesley_clark/32/20581_2.png) [@Wesley\_Clark](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Wesley_Clark)\ **Post date:** [May 13, 2022, 2:59am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2022-us-senate-races/922327/523 "2022-05-13T02:59:10Z")
Do dems have a realistic chance in Ohio? I’m hoping PA is a pickup but we’re probably going to lose GA among some other states. ---
**Author:** ![FlikTheBlue](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/fliktheblue/32/10972_2.png) [@FlikTheBlue](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/FlikTheBlue)\ **Post date:** [May 13, 2022, 3:16am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2022-us-senate-races/922327/524 "2022-05-13T03:16:44Z")
My guess is there’s little chance of winning Ohio. I do feel better than you do about Georgia. With both candidates being Black, there will probably be a small but not insignificant number of old school racist white people who refuse to vote for either candidate. It also helps that Stacey Abrams is on the ballot. IMHO best case scenario is 52-48, with Democrats holding all their current seats and picking up Pennsylvania and Wisconsin. I think there’s at least a 1 in 3 chance of that happening. Better if Democrats do a good job on fighting back against Roe vs. Wade being overturned. Worse if we continue to see things like baby formula shortages not being resolved. Either way Ohio and Florida (which I sometimes see listed in lists of top 10 senate seats likely to flip) are both very unlikely to flip. ---
**Author:** ![flurb](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/f/51bf81/32.png) [@flurb](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/flurb)\ **Post date:** [May 13, 2022, 4:59pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2022-us-senate-races/922327/525 "2022-05-13T16:59:04Z")
The best (only?) hope for Ohio is that Vance, having never run for political office before, makes some sort of appalling gaffe that a more experienced politician would know to avoid. I don’t think it’s likely, he seems sharp enough and I assume his handlers will keep him away from many unscripted events where such things can happen. ---
**Author:** ![Gyrate](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/gyrate/32/3588_2.png) [@Gyrate](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Gyrate)\ **Post date:** [May 16, 2022, 11:30am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2022-us-senate-races/922327/526 "2022-05-16T11:30:10Z")
> [@Elendil\_s\_Heir](#): > > Back in Penna.: oh no republicans don’t spend all your campaign funds on fighting a close primary that would be terrible My parents (who live in PA) were regaling me with the details of how much Barnette was annoying the other two Republican challengers. Unfortunately, this just happened, so who know what the general election will be like: > **[John Fetterman hospitalised with stroke](https://www.independent.co.uk/news/world/americas/us-politics/john-fetterman-stroke-pennsylvania-democrat-b2079586.html)** > > ‘The good news is I’m feeling much better, and the doctors tell me I didn’t suffer any cognitive damage. I’m well on my way to a full recovery. So I have a lot to be thankful for’ ---
**Author:** ![flurb](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/f/51bf81/32.png) [@flurb](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/flurb)\ **Post date:** [May 16, 2022, 1:09pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2022-us-senate-races/922327/527 "2022-05-16T13:09:56Z")
> [@Gyrate](#): > > Unfortunately, this just happened, so who know what the general election will be like: The good news is that Fetterman seems to be doing well – he’s clearly lucid in the video his campaign released. According to the polling he’s got an enormous lead on his rivals for the Democratic nomination, so I’d be surprised if this ended up having a major impact on Tuesday. Assuming he doesn’t suffer any further complications, this should just be a bump in the road. ---
**Author:** ![rocking\_chair](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/rocking_chair/32/2918_2.png) [@rocking\_chair](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/rocking_chair)\ **Post date:** [May 16, 2022, 2:17pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2022-us-senate-races/922327/528 "2022-05-16T14:17:40Z")
yep, it sounds like he is recovering well. thus far 2 sitting us senators have had stroke events this year. ---
**Author:** ![Elendil\_s\_Heir](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/e/7cd45c/32.png) [@Elendil\_s\_Heir](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Elendil_s_Heir)\ **Post date:** [May 16, 2022, 11:21pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2022-us-senate-races/922327/529 "2022-05-16T23:21:42Z")
As a longtime proud Ohio Democrat, I have to say it’s very unlikely we’ll be able to flip a Senate seat here this year, but I’d be glad to be proven wrong. ---
**Author:** ![Gyrate](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/gyrate/32/3588_2.png) [@Gyrate](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Gyrate)\ **Post date:** [May 17, 2022, 9:06am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2022-us-senate-races/922327/530 "2022-05-17T09:06:56Z")
Oz wants you to know he is there for you, even when you’re in bed sleeping… > Also, Oz talks about Oz in the third person for some reason. ---
**Author:** ![rocking\_chair](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/rocking_chair/32/2918_2.png) [@rocking\_chair](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/rocking_chair)\ **Post date:** [May 17, 2022, 1:11pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2022-us-senate-races/922327/531 "2022-05-17T13:11:07Z")
Good grief! Who thought that would be a good idea. That is big league creepy. My vote is in. Should be a fun night in pa. ---
**Author:** ![flurb](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/f/51bf81/32.png) [@flurb](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/flurb)\ **Post date:** [May 18, 2022, 12:39am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2022-us-senate-races/922327/532 "2022-05-18T00:39:28Z")
Democrat Cheri Beasley and Trump-backed Republican Rep. Tedd Budd easily won their parties’ nominations for Senate in North Carolina. NC is going to be a hill to climb for any Democrat – the state hasn’t voted for a Democrat for Senate since 2008 and the political climate won’t do Beasley any favors. But NC is usually close, so I wouldn’t count her out. And in positive news, embarrassment to the human species Madison Cawthorn is trailing in his House primary (but with only about half the vote in as of this writing). ---
**Author:** ![Guest-starring\_Id](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/guest-starring_id/32/21736_2.png) [@Guest-starring\_Id](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Guest-starring_Id)\ **Post date:** [May 18, 2022, 12:50am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2022-us-senate-races/922327/533 "2022-05-18T00:50:48Z")
> [@flurb](#): > > …embarrassment to the human species… Embarrassments to the human species expecting an apology for the comparison. ---
**Author:** ![rocking\_chair](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/rocking_chair/32/2918_2.png) [@rocking\_chair](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/rocking_chair)\ **Post date:** [May 18, 2022, 12:55am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2022-us-senate-races/922327/534 "2022-05-18T00:55:28Z")
Fetterman is the projected winner in the dem. primary. ---
**Author:** ![romansperson](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/romansperson/32/17100_2.png) [@romansperson](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/romansperson)\ **Post date:** [May 18, 2022, 12:58am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2022-us-senate-races/922327/535 "2022-05-18T00:58:58Z")
> [@flurb](#): > > And in positive news, embarrassment to the human species Madison Cawthorn is trailing in his House primary (but with only about half the vote in as of this writing). The largest counties in that district are going for Edwards, so ol’ Maddie just might be toast. It’s going to be tight. ---
**Author:** ![Saint\_Cad](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/saint_cad/32/18907_2.png) [@Saint\_Cad](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Saint_Cad)\ **Post date:** [May 18, 2022, 1:09am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2022-us-senate-races/922327/536 "2022-05-18T01:09:00Z")
It early in the vote counting in PA but it looks like McCormick with a decent lead. ---
**Author:** ![rocking\_chair](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/rocking_chair/32/2918_2.png) [@rocking\_chair](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/rocking_chair)\ **Post date:** [May 18, 2022, 1:18am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2022-us-senate-races/922327/537 "2022-05-18T01:18:49Z")
The republican side in pa is down to same day voting. It is going to be unsettled for a bit. ---
**Author:** ![rocking\_chair](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/rocking_chair/32/2918_2.png) [@rocking\_chair](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/rocking_chair)\ **Post date:** [May 18, 2022, 1:43am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2022-us-senate-races/922327/538 "2022-05-18T01:43:33Z")
Mastriano vs Shapiro for govenor in pa. ---
**Author:** ![flurb](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/f/51bf81/32.png) [@flurb](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/flurb)\ **Post date:** [May 18, 2022, 2:00am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2022-us-senate-races/922327/539 "2022-05-18T02:00:00Z")
> [@romansperson](#): > > The largest counties in that district are going for Edwards, so ol’ Maddie just might be toast. It’s going to be tight. Only eight precincts currently unreported and Edwards with about a 1,600 vote lead. Those remaining precincts would need to break very strongly for Cawthorn for him to pull this out. ---
**Author:** ![flurb](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/f/51bf81/32.png) [@flurb](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/flurb)\ **Post date:** [May 18, 2022, 2:34am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2022-us-senate-races/922327/540 "2022-05-18T02:34:50Z")
Apparently Cawthorn has called Edwards to concede. “Fuck the establishment” is usually a pretty good vote getter in a Republican primary, but Cawthorn just found out that push too hard and the establishment can fuck you back. > ---
**Author:** ![rocking\_chair](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/rocking_chair/32/2918_2.png) [@rocking\_chair](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/rocking_chair)\ **Post date:** [May 18, 2022, 2:35am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2022-us-senate-races/922327/541 "2022-05-18T02:35:26Z")
Cawthorne has conceded. [Previous page](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2022-us-senate-races/922327.md?page=26) [Next page](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2022-us-senate-races/922327.md?page=28)