# 2022 US Senate Races

**URL:** <https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2022-us-senate-races/922327>\
**Category:** Politics & Elections\
**Created:** [October 6, 2020, 10:26am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2022-us-senate-races/922327 "2020-10-06T10:26:36Z")\
**Posts on this page:** 20\
**Page:** 31

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**Author:** ![PhillyGuy](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/p/ed655f/32.png) [@PhillyGuy](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/PhillyGuy)\
**Post date:** [June 14, 2022, 11:19pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2022-us-senate-races/922327/602 "2022-06-14T23:19:24Z")

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> [@dtilque](#):
>
> Meeting with people in small groups and things like that. That’s actually a good way, perhaps the only way, to counter the Republican bubble that most such places are in. I think Fetterman has been doing similar in PA, so I’m optimistic about him too.

[This is from 5 days ago](https://www.economist.com/united-states/2022/06/09/mehmet-oz-and-john-fetterman-square-off-in-pennsylvania) and is still true for Fetterman:

> [@](#):
>
> Three weeks after a primary election, victorious Senate candidates have typically already logged many miles on the road to make their pitch to the broader electorate. Not so in Pennsylvania, where both candidates have been in limbo.

As far as the value of daily meet and greets, it is hard to see it hurting, but is there any political science evidence on it?

I think Fetterman is a strong candidate even if he needs to takes rests while campaigning. The political science evidence says that moderates tend to win, and, whether it is true or not, Fetterman is extremely good at giving the impression of being a highly normal guy.

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**Author:** ![rocking\_chair](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/rocking_chair/32/2918_2.png) [@rocking\_chair](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/rocking_chair)\
**Post date:** [June 15, 2022, 1:31am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2022-us-senate-races/922327/603 "2022-06-15T01:31:07Z")

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I have seen more Fetterman commercials than oz commercials.

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**Author:** ![Elendil\_s\_Heir](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/e/7cd45c/32.png) [@Elendil\_s\_Heir](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Elendil_s_Heir)\
**Post date:** [June 16, 2022, 1:21pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2022-us-senate-races/922327/604 "2022-06-16T13:21:25Z")

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Down in the Peach State:

> **[Herschel Walker is having a very bad week | CNN Politics](https://www.cnn.com/2022/06/15/politics/herschel-walker-son-georgia-republican/index.html)**
>
> It's hard to overstate the risk Georgia Republicans took when they nominated Herschel Walker as the party's nominee against Democratic Sen. Raphael Warnock.

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**Author:** ![Red\_Wiggler](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/red_wiggler/32/13190_2.png) [@Red\_Wiggler](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Red_Wiggler)\
**Post date:** [June 16, 2022, 3:34pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2022-us-senate-races/922327/605 "2022-06-16T15:34:35Z")

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Not that I want to give them any helpful advice but if Walker loses in November, GA Republicans may want to change their nominating procedures to one like VA Republicans used to pick Glenn Youngkin for their candidate for governor.

Briefly, the VA GOP eschewed a popular primary, limited voting to delegates and used RCV to select a consensus candidate (and keep the nuttiest out).

I don’t know if that’s legal in Georgia, though.

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**Author:** ![Guest-starring\_Id](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/guest-starring_id/32/21736_2.png) [@Guest-starring\_Id](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Guest-starring_Id)\
**Post date:** [June 18, 2022, 5:21pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2022-us-senate-races/922327/606 "2022-06-18T17:21:24Z")

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> **[John Fetterman has a nine-point lead over Dr. Oz in the Pennsylvania Senate...](https://www.businessinsider.com/fetterman-oz-pennsylvania-senate-election-poll-shapiro-mastriano-2022-6)**
>
> While Republicans are poised to make major gains in Congress this year, national Democrats are optimistic about their chances in Pennsylvania.

> [@](#):
>
> Fetterman is currently doing a better job of holding onto his base, as only six percent of Democrats cross over to back Oz, while ten percent of Republicans say they’ll vote for Fetterman. Fetterman also boasts a wide lead with independent voters in the poll, winning a 44 percent plurality, compared to Oz’s 24 percent with this group. In the survey, 24 percent of independents said they were undecided. At the moment, Fetterman is on positive ground with Pennsylvania voters with a 45 percent favorable rating, compared to 27 percent who view him unfavorably. Oz’s current unfavorable rating stands at 50 percent, while 28 percent view him favorably.

Not that I usually hold much stock in polls (Rasmussen, anyone?) but hopefuly there’s some legitimacy here.

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**Author:** ![flurb](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/f/51bf81/32.png) [@flurb](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/flurb)\
**Post date:** [June 19, 2022, 3:17am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2022-us-senate-races/922327/607 "2022-06-19T03:17:59Z")

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You can tell what Republicans think of Herschel Walker based on how they’re handling him. No press interviews outside of friendly media like Fox (and even then, [he’s giving nonsensical answers](https://www.cnn.com/2022/05/26/politics/herschel-walker-gun-violence-fox-news/index.html) to questions he should have been prepared for). Refusing to debate primary opponents (he’s apparently agreed in principle to debate Warnock in the fall without committing to a specific number of or schedule for debates). No public events that aren’t stage managed down to the second.

I’m sure the ideal situation for his campaign would be to put him in a box until November and put our press releases about how much Biden sucks and do you remember that Bulldogs national championship team? That’s hard to maintain for five months, though.

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**Author:** ![Elendil\_s\_Heir](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/e/7cd45c/32.png) [@Elendil\_s\_Heir](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Elendil_s_Heir)\
**Post date:** [June 19, 2022, 7:32pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2022-us-senate-races/922327/608 "2022-06-19T19:32:32Z")

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Not that they probably won’t try….

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**Author:** ![Steve\_MB](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/steve_mb/32/5339_2.png) [@Steve\_MB](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Steve_MB)\
**Post date:** [June 19, 2022, 7:43pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2022-us-senate-races/922327/609 "2022-06-19T19:43:03Z")

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> [@Red\_Wiggler](#):
>
> GA Republicans may want to change their nominating procedures to one like VA Republicans used to pick Glenn Youngkin for their candidate for governor

Psst! The RINO Establishment wants to change the rules to silence the voices of True Merkins! Pass it on!!

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**Author:** ![flurb](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/f/51bf81/32.png) [@flurb](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/flurb)\
**Post date:** [June 21, 2022, 8:34pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2022-us-senate-races/922327/610 "2022-06-21T20:34:09Z")

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January 6 Commission testimony today that Senator Ron Johnson tried to handoff to Pence a list of fake Trump electors just before the VP was about to start the electoral count. Apparently it was shut down by aides.

Sadly, I’m not sure if this hurts him or helps him this fall.

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**Author:** ![Bijou\_Drains](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/bijou_drains/32/2814_2.png) [@Bijou\_Drains](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Bijou_Drains)\
**Post date:** [June 22, 2022, 1:11am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2022-us-senate-races/922327/611 "2022-06-22T01:11:08Z")

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As mentioned in NC the Dem was only a judge never in state house , state senate, etc. So they are going over her rulings with a fine tooth comb to find cases she ruled on they are using to bash her

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**Author:** ![flurb](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/f/51bf81/32.png) [@flurb](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/flurb)\
**Post date:** [June 28, 2022, 1:05pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2022-us-senate-races/922327/612 "2022-06-28T13:05:17Z")

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Some interesting polling in Utah, where incumbent Republican Mike Lee leads independent candidate Evan McMullin only 41-35 in recent polling. Twenty percent were undecided in a race between the two. You may remember McMullin from this 2016 presidential bid where he ran as a “never Trump” independent conservative. He got less than 1% of the vote nationally but won 21% in Utah.

Lee’s probably fine, but Utah Democrats are not running their own candidate. In 2016, the combined vote for Clinton and McMullin was 49% vs 45% for Trump. Could at least keep it interesting.

> **[How does Evan McMullin stack up against Sen. Mike Lee in potential Senate...](https://www.deseret.com/utah/2022/6/22/23177697/how-evan-mcmullin-stack-up-against-mike-lee-utah-senate-race-becky-edwards-ally-isom-cyrstal-ball)**
>
> Independent Senate candidate Evan McMullin continues to put the heat on Utah Republican Sen. Mike Lee in a possible November matchup. A new Deseret News/Hinckley Institute of Politics poll shows 41% of Utahns would vote for Lee and 35% for McMullin...

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<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![Elendil\_s\_Heir](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/e/7cd45c/32.png) [@Elendil\_s\_Heir](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Elendil_s_Heir)\
**Post date:** [June 28, 2022, 10:01pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2022-us-senate-races/922327/613 "2022-06-28T22:01:47Z")

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Ugh ugh ugh. I suspect they’re not paying attention to the Jan. 6 hearings or SCOTUS’s lurch to the right:

> **[More than 1 million voters switch to GOP, raising alarm for Democrats](https://www.pbs.org/newshour/politics/more-than-1-million-voters-switch-to-gop-raising-alarm-for-democrats)**
>
> The phenomenon is playing out in virtually every region of the country — red states, blue states, in cities and in small towns — in the months since President Joe Biden replaced former President Donald Trump.

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**Author:** ![Win\_Place\_Show](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/win_place_show/32/13469_2.png) [@Win\_Place\_Show](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Win_Place_Show)\
**Post date:** [June 28, 2022, 10:22pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2022-us-senate-races/922327/614 "2022-06-28T22:22:04Z")

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I’ve heard the counter-argument that they’re doing it to vote in Republican primaries, for the “less trumpy” candidate. Not sure how valid that theory is.

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**Author:** ![John\_Bredin](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/j/96bed5/32.png) [@John\_Bredin](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/John_Bredin)\
**Post date:** [June 28, 2022, 11:11pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2022-us-senate-races/922327/615 "2022-06-28T23:11:11Z")

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“One swallow does not a summer make” and all that, but my _very_ Democratic wife took a GOP ballot in today’s primaries (Illinois) to vote for the least Trumpy/MAGA/dominionist candidate for governor (Schimpf), as the incumbent Dem. governor (Pritzker) has virtually no primary challenger and indeed very few Dem primaries in our suburban county are contested.

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**Author:** ![LivingGhost371](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/l/b9e5f3/32.png) [@LivingGhost371](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/LivingGhost371)\
**Post date:** [June 29, 2022, 12:40am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2022-us-senate-races/922327/616 "2022-06-29T00:40:15Z")

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Of maybe they’re paying attention to how the Biden told them on May 23rd that it was good they were suffering due to high gas prices because it’ll force them to go buy a $30,000 electric car with all the spare change they have in their pockets. Or paying attention to how the Democrats are reacting to the exploding crime rate that’s now spreading from the city to the suburbs where they live with “Defund the Police”. Or how they can’t put a finger on much of anything that this administrations done to benefit middle class suburbanites.

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**Author:** ![squeegee](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/squeegee/32/14537_2.png) [@squeegee](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/squeegee)\
**Post date:** [June 29, 2022, 4:12am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2022-us-senate-races/922327/617 "2022-06-29T04:12:44Z")

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> [@LivingGhost371](#):
>
> Biden told them on May 23rd that it was good they were suffering due to high gas prices because it’ll force them to go buy a $30,000 electric car

I shouldn’t bother but Cite?

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**Author:** ![Gyrate](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/gyrate/32/3588_2.png) [@Gyrate](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Gyrate)\
**Post date:** [June 29, 2022, 5:48pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2022-us-senate-races/922327/618 "2022-06-29T17:48:10Z")

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> [@LivingGhost371](#):
>
> Of maybe they’re paying attention to how the Biden told them on May 23rd that it was good they were suffering due to high gas prices because it’ll force them to go buy a $30,000 electric car with all the spare change they have in their pockets.

I too would like a cite for that. I mean, I’m aware that Trump explicitly asked the Saudis to cut production in 2020 for the express purpose of raise oil prices and oil and gas company profits, and I’m aware that Republicans have voted against the various measures Biden has undertaken to reduce gas prices, and I’m aware that US oil drilling and exports are actually up in the past year, but I haven’t seen anything about Biden telling people that it was “good that they were suffering due to high gas prices”.

> [@](#):
>
> Or paying attention to how the Democrats are reacting to the exploding crime rate that’s now spreading from the city to the suburbs where they live with “Defund the Police”.

A cite for this would be useful as well.

> [@](#):
>
> Or how they can’t put a finger on much of anything that this administrations done to benefit middle class suburbanites.

Infrastructure, COVID relief and reduced unemployment all benefit middle class suburbanites - in fact they benefit everyone - and I could name those off the top of my head.

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<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![Elendil\_s\_Heir](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/e/7cd45c/32.png) [@Elendil\_s\_Heir](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Elendil_s_Heir)\
**Post date:** [June 29, 2022, 8:26pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2022-us-senate-races/922327/619 "2022-06-29T20:26:22Z")

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This may also be of interest:

> **[Takeaways from first primaries since Roe v. Wade overturned](https://www.aol.com/news/takeaways-first-primaries-since-roe-033656996-092450728.html)**
>
> Democrats hoped that the Supreme Court's controversial decision would give them an advantage in several swing states.

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<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![LivingGhost371](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/l/b9e5f3/32.png) [@LivingGhost371](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/LivingGhost371)\
**Post date:** [June 30, 2022, 3:20am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2022-us-senate-races/922327/620 "2022-06-30T03:20:04Z")

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> **[Biden praises high gas prices as part of ‘incredible transition’](https://nypost.com/2022/05/23/biden-praises-gas-prices-as-part-of-incredible-transition/)**
>
> President Biden gushed that high gas prices are part of “an incredible transition” of the US economy away from fossil fuels. 

"Out of touch as ever, President Biden celebrated record-high gas prices Monday, gushing that the pump pain was part of “an incredible transition” of the US economy away from fossil fuels. "

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**Author:** ![flurb](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/f/51bf81/32.png) [@flurb](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/flurb)\
**Post date:** [June 30, 2022, 3:27am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2022-us-senate-races/922327/621 "2022-06-30T03:27:49Z")

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That article doesn’t come anywhere close to what you claim Biden said.

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