# 2022 US Senate Races

**URL:** <https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2022-us-senate-races/922327>\
**Category:** Politics & Elections\
**Created:** [October 6, 2020, 10:26am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2022-us-senate-races/922327 "2020-10-06T10:26:36Z")\
**Posts on this page:** 20\
**Page:** 32

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**Author:** ![Airbeck](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/airbeck/32/6574_2.png) [@Airbeck](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Airbeck)\
**Post date:** [June 30, 2022, 1:48pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2022-us-senate-races/922327/622 "2022-06-30T13:48:45Z")

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NY Post? That’s all I needed to see.

Yes, lets ask the extreme right what they think about Biden. That won’t be biased at all.

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**Author:** ![Gyrate](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/gyrate/32/3588_2.png) [@Gyrate](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Gyrate)\
**Post date:** [June 30, 2022, 2:29pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2022-us-senate-races/922327/623 "2022-06-30T14:29:26Z")

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> [@LivingGhost371](#):
>
> "Out of touch as ever, President Biden celebrated record-high gas prices Monday, gushing that the pump pain was part of “an incredible transition” of the US economy away from fossil fuels. "

> [@flurb](#):
>
> That article doesn’t come anywhere close to what you claim Biden said.

Yeah, please point to the part where Biden actually “praises” or “celebrates” high gas prices.

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**Author:** ![BobLibDem](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/boblibdem/32/3149_2.png) [@BobLibDem](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/BobLibDem)\
**Post date:** [June 30, 2022, 3:13pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2022-us-senate-races/922327/624 "2022-06-30T15:13:45Z")

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It’s the New York Post for God’s sake. About as useful as the writing on a mens’ room stall.

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**Author:** ![Airbeck](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/airbeck/32/6574_2.png) [@Airbeck](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Airbeck)\
**Post date:** [June 30, 2022, 4:15pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2022-us-senate-races/922327/625 "2022-06-30T16:15:21Z")

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I’ve seen things written in the snow with urine that I give more credibility to than the NY Post

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**Author:** ![Elendil\_s\_Heir](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/e/7cd45c/32.png) [@Elendil\_s\_Heir](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Elendil_s_Heir)\
**Post date:** [July 10, 2022, 4:54pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2022-us-senate-races/922327/626 "2022-07-10T16:54:34Z")

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Understandably.

The latest from CNN: [The 10 Senate seats most likely to flip in 2022 | CNN Politics](https://www.cnn.com/2022/07/09/politics/senate-race-rankings-july-elections/index.html)

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**Author:** ![hajario](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/hajario/32/171_2.png) [@hajario](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/hajario)\
**Post date:** [July 10, 2022, 5:18pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2022-us-senate-races/922327/627 "2022-07-10T17:18:12Z")

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FiveThirtyEight just came out with their forecast:

GOP has a 54% chance of taking the Senate and an 87% percent chance of taking the House according to the models. I know that a lot can happen between now and November but if recent events didn’t move the needle, I don’t know what will. We are doomed.

> **[2022 FiveThirtyEight Election Forecast](https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2022-election-forecast/)**
>
> Latest forecasts and polls for the 2022 midterm elections from ABC News’s FiveThirtyEight

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**Author:** ![flurb](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/f/51bf81/32.png) [@flurb](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/flurb)\
**Post date:** [July 11, 2022, 1:19pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2022-us-senate-races/922327/628 "2022-07-11T13:19:17Z")

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The House going R is all but a done deal. The size of the wave still matters though – with a narrow majority, McCarthy (or whoever gets the gavel) may find it difficult to balance his wingnuts with the still-somewhat-sane caucus. Pelosi’s done an incredible job keeping her party together with the narrowest of margins, but I don’t think the Republicans have the same discipline.

As for the Senate, it’ll come down to whether Republicans nominating flawed or untested candidates in GA, PA, WI and OH will matter light of the Republican wave. Hershel Walker is proving to be a terrible campaigner, but that doesn’t mean he won’t be carried into office by the wave.

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**Author:** ![dtilque](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/d/d6d6ee/32.png) [@dtilque](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/dtilque)\
**Post date:** [July 11, 2022, 4:00pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2022-us-senate-races/922327/629 "2022-07-11T16:00:53Z")

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> [@flurb](#):
>
> As for the Senate, it’ll come down to whether Republicans nominating flawed or untested candidates in GA, PA, WI and OH will matter light of the Republican wave.

And possibly even MO. Missouri is very red, so it’d take a really flawed candidate to put that state in play. But Eric Greitens is up to the task and the last I heard, he was leading in the primary there.

> [@flurb](#):
>
> Hershel Walker is proving to be a terrible campaigner, but that doesn’t mean he won’t be carried into office by the wave.

I don’t think the red wave will hit Georgia as hard as elsewhere. For one thing, Kemp is on the ballot as governor and he’s in Trump’s shithouse. The D-seat I’m worried about is NV.

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**Author:** ![Elendil\_s\_Heir](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/e/7cd45c/32.png) [@Elendil\_s\_Heir](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Elendil_s_Heir)\
**Post date:** [July 12, 2022, 10:00pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2022-us-senate-races/922327/630 "2022-07-12T22:00:12Z")

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Not likely to ever be described as an environmental policy wonk:

> **[Herschel Walker just proved (again) what a massive risk he is for Republicans...](https://www.cnn.com/2022/07/11/politics/herschel-walker-republican-risk-campaign-trail/index.html)**
>
> Herschel Walker is a walking gaffe machine.

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**Author:** ![silenus](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/silenus/32/166_2.png) [@silenus](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/silenus)\
**Post date:** [July 13, 2022, 4:17pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2022-us-senate-races/922327/631 "2022-07-13T16:17:03Z")

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It’s Georgia, so I’m not surprised. Remember, this is the state where a state rep proposed a law to put Georgia on permanent Daylight Saving Time, because “criminals like the dark, so changing to perpetual DST will deprive them of the cover they desire.”

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**Author:** ![FlikTheBlue](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/fliktheblue/32/10972_2.png) [@FlikTheBlue](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/FlikTheBlue)\
**Post date:** [July 14, 2022, 6:32pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2022-us-senate-races/922327/632 "2022-07-14T18:32:31Z")

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> [@dtilque](#):
>
> I don’t think the red wave will hit Georgia as hard as elsewhere. For one thing, Kemp is on the ballot as governor and he’s in Trump’s shithouse. The D-seat I’m worried about is NV.

I’m also not worried about Georgia. Not only is Kemp on the ballot, but so is Stacey Abrams. Warnock is also no slouch himself. It’s NH and NV that worry me. Democrats would have to win both PA and WI to balance them out, so that’s where the focus should b. I don’t think there’s a chance for any other pick ups other than those two. As for the other races, IMHO the people who talk about Ohio, Florida, and even Missouri possibly flipping must have their rose colored glasses on.

Right now my guess is 51-49 D with Democrats losing NV, keeping NH an GA, and winning PA and WI.

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**Author:** ![BobLibDem](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/boblibdem/32/3149_2.png) [@BobLibDem](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/BobLibDem)\
**Post date:** [July 14, 2022, 6:36pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2022-us-senate-races/922327/633 "2022-07-14T18:36:26Z")

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I’m quite optimistic about the Democrats increasing their numbers in the Senate. I think GA stays blue since Herschel Walker is nothing more than an athletic male version of Sarah Palin. Will OH voters be interested enough in the 2020 election enough to vote for JD Vance? I don’t think so, I see a blue flip here. I don’t think PA voters are going to go for a Jersey boy quack, another blue pickup. So I see 52-48 D Senate. Maybe even 53-47 if WI voters have finally had their fill of Ron Johnson.

In the House, I think the combination of Roe and the possible candidacy announcement of DJT will be enough to hold on for the Democrats. Inflation should be easing by then and I bet gas goes under $3.50 by then.

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**Author:** ![Elendil\_s\_Heir](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/e/7cd45c/32.png) [@Elendil\_s\_Heir](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Elendil_s_Heir)\
**Post date:** [July 14, 2022, 8:28pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2022-us-senate-races/922327/634 "2022-07-14T20:28:18Z")

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I like the cut of your jib, **BLD** … but I’m not that optimistic, not by a long shot.

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**Author:** ![flurb](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/f/51bf81/32.png) [@flurb](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/flurb)\
**Post date:** [July 15, 2022, 12:54am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2022-us-senate-races/922327/635 "2022-07-15T00:54:40Z")

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I’m still predicting a red wave, but there is some polling that shows that individual Democratic candidates are significantly outperforming Biden’s dismal job approval numbers. If Trump announces for President in September as is being floated in the press, all bets are off.

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**Author:** ![Morgyn](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/morgyn/32/3041_2.png) [@Morgyn](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Morgyn)\
**Post date:** [July 15, 2022, 1:30am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2022-us-senate-races/922327/636 "2022-07-15T01:30:52Z")

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You’re being unjust to Palin. She’s FAR smarter than Walker.

Now consider where she set that bar, and shudder at the idea that Walker might get elected.

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**Author:** ![Paul\_was\_in\_Saudi](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/p/b77776/32.png) [@Paul\_was\_in\_Saudi](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Paul_was_in_Saudi)\
**Post date:** [July 15, 2022, 12:36pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2022-us-senate-races/922327/637 "2022-07-15T12:36:56Z")

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I think it is looking better for the Democrats than they dared hope two years ago when this thread started.

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**Author:** ![rocking\_chair](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/rocking_chair/32/2918_2.png) [@rocking\_chair](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/rocking_chair)\
**Post date:** [July 15, 2022, 1:02pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2022-us-senate-races/922327/638 "2022-07-15T13:02:24Z")

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i’m a bit more optimistic about warnock. in the last race he went ahead and never lost the lead it was close…but he held the lead. it was ossoff that seesawed and was a nail biter.

i believe he has a good solid base behind him.

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**Author:** ![Elendil\_s\_Heir](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/e/7cd45c/32.png) [@Elendil\_s\_Heir](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Elendil_s_Heir)\
**Post date:** [July 19, 2022, 6:22pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2022-us-senate-races/922327/639 "2022-07-19T18:22:33Z")

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Hmmm:

> **[Democratic Senate contenders smash fundraising records as Donald Trump's cash...](https://www.cnn.com/2022/07/16/politics/senate-trump-second-quarter-2022-fundraising/index.html)**
>
> New fundraising reports show Donald Trump's political operation continuing to pull in millions of dollars from his army of supporters -- but at a slower pace -- as Democratic Senate candidates in key battleground states rake in massive amounts of...

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**Author:** ![aurora\_maire](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/aurora_maire/32/328_2.png) [@aurora\_maire](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/aurora_maire)\
**Post date:** [July 26, 2022, 11:22pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2022-us-senate-races/922327/640 "2022-07-26T23:22:37Z")

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John Fetterman is killing it going after Dr. Oz (yeah, easy target). This is awesome. Hopefully, Pennsylvania is listening.

[![](https://img.youtube.com/vi/ihRX-hXQjgo/maxresdefault.jpg "VIRAL Dr. Oz ‘Wizard Of Lies’ attack ad just broke the Internet!") ](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ihRX-hXQjgo)

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<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![iiandyiiii](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/iiandyiiii/32/7924_2.png) [@iiandyiiii](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/iiandyiiii)\
**Post date:** [July 26, 2022, 11:33pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2022-us-senate-races/922327/641 "2022-07-26T23:33:13Z")

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Wow, that’s a great ad. Negative ads work, especially when they’re funny, like this one.

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