# 2022 US Senate Races **URL:** \ **Category:** Politics & Elections\ **Created:** [October 6, 2020, 10:26am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2022-us-senate-races/922327 "2020-10-06T10:26:36Z")\ **Posts on this page:** 20\ **Page:** 37
**Author:** ![not\_what\_you\_d\_expect](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/not_what_you_d_expect/32/3246_2.png) [@not\_what\_you\_d\_expect](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/not_what_you_d_expect)\ **Post date:** [September 5, 2022, 2:09pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2022-us-senate-races/922327/722 "2022-09-05T14:09:15Z")
Dr. Oz is something else. This is cracking me up this morning. He grew up just “south of Philadelphia”. > ---
**Author:** ![Jackmannii](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/jackmannii/32/311_2.png) [@Jackmannii](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Jackmannii)\ **Post date:** [September 5, 2022, 2:29pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2022-us-senate-races/922327/723 "2022-09-05T14:29:56Z")
Sounds like Oz grew up under water, but not as bad as it would’ve been if his youth had been spent on the east side of Chicago. ---
**Author:** ![rocking\_chair](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/rocking_chair/32/2918_2.png) [@rocking\_chair](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/rocking_chair)\ **Post date:** [September 5, 2022, 2:33pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2022-us-senate-races/922327/724 "2022-09-05T14:33:46Z")
The Delaware river is south of phila…then I guess New Jersey…. ---
**Author:** ![Gyrate](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/gyrate/32/3588_2.png) [@Gyrate](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Gyrate)\ **Post date:** [September 5, 2022, 3:08pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2022-us-senate-races/922327/725 "2022-09-05T15:08:43Z")
I grew up south of Canada. Guess I should run for Prime Minister. ---
**Author:** ![flurb](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/f/51bf81/32.png) [@flurb](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/flurb)\ **Post date:** [September 5, 2022, 4:27pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2022-us-senate-races/922327/726 "2022-09-05T16:27:38Z")
I know that the NRSC has cut some spending in Pennsylvania, but I wonder how much longer until Republicans write off Oz completely. Pennsylvania’s a fairly expensive state to campaign in. Those resources might be put to better effect shoring up Ohio and Wisconsin, while trying to flip GA and a less expensive state like Nevada or New Hampshire. ---
**Author:** ![flurb](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/f/51bf81/32.png) [@flurb](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/flurb)\ **Post date:** [September 6, 2022, 1:32pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2022-us-senate-races/922327/727 "2022-09-06T13:32:38Z")
CNN has put out their latest rankings of which Senate seats are most likely to flip. Not a lot of surprise here, with Wisconsin moving up while Arizona moves down. They still think Sen. Catherine Cortez Masto in Nevada is the most endangered Democratic incumbent (and #2 most likely to flip overall). > **[The 10 Senate seats most likely to flip in 2022 | CNN Politics](https://us.cnn.com/2022/09/06/politics/senate-race-rankings-september-elections/index.html)** > > A lot can change in a couple of months. Democrats now face a midterm environment that looks decidedly brighter than it was in the middle of the summer. ---
**Author:** ![JKellyMap](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/jkellymap/32/15880_2.png) [@JKellyMap](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/JKellyMap)\ **Post date:** [September 6, 2022, 11:44pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2022-us-senate-races/922327/728 "2022-09-06T23:44:23Z")
FiveThirtyEight is up to Dems winning the Senate in 70% of their model runs (“deluxe” version, which combines polls with other data like the economy). That’s still a significant probability that the Republicans win, but it’s a heck of a lot better than the 40% of a few months ago. ---
**Author:** ![N9IWP](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/n9iwp/32/3154_2.png) [@N9IWP](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/N9IWP)\ **Post date:** [September 7, 2022, 12:14am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2022-us-senate-races/922327/729 "2022-09-07T00:14:25Z")
Wisconsin is now 51/49 Johnson compared to ~68/32 a month ago. Brian ---
**Author:** ![DoctorJ](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/doctorj/32/2904_2.png) [@DoctorJ](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/DoctorJ)\ **Post date:** [September 7, 2022, 2:42am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2022-us-senate-races/922327/730 "2022-09-07T02:42:09Z")
> [@not\_what\_you\_d\_expect](#): > > Dr. Oz is something else. This is cracking me up this morning. He grew up just “south of Philadelphia”. On the playground was where he spent most of his days. ---
**Author:** ![Gyrate](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/gyrate/32/3588_2.png) [@Gyrate](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Gyrate)\ **Post date:** [September 7, 2022, 10:10am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2022-us-senate-races/922327/731 "2022-09-07T10:10:54Z")
_He’s just a city boy_ _Born and raised in south of Philadelphia._ ---
**Author:** ![Elendil\_s\_Heir](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/e/7cd45c/32.png) [@Elendil\_s\_Heir](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Elendil_s_Heir)\ **Post date:** [September 9, 2022, 8:47pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2022-us-senate-races/922327/732 "2022-09-09T20:47:56Z")
More from the Tarheel State: > **[A competitive Senate race in North Carolina has Republicans worried](https://www.aol.com/news/competitive-senate-race-north-carolina-101749803-160910364.html)** > > In his campaign for the U.S. Senate in North Carolina, Republican candidate Ted Budd has described himself as a "conservative warrior" and a "liberal agenda crusher." While Democratic candidate Cheri Beasley has spent the summer running TV ads and... ---
**Author:** ![jsc1953](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/j/5daacb/32.png) [@jsc1953](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/jsc1953)\ **Post date:** [September 9, 2022, 9:18pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2022-us-senate-races/922327/733 "2022-09-09T21:18:31Z")
> [@slash2k](#): > > Biden won Nevada by only two percentage points, and Democratic turnout in midterm elections there has not historically been very good. Moreover, the state’s tourism-dependent economy was really hit hard by the pandemic, and Cortez Masto isn’t a high-profile senator with the deep name recognition of her predecessor (Harry Reid) or the Rand Pauls and Elizabeth Warrens of the Senate. (Plus, nearly half of Nevada’s voters have registered since she was last on the ballot in 2016.) I just moved from the SF Bay Area to Northern Nevada a few months ago…and there are about a million others here just like me. It’s possible that Nevada may get slightly more blue over time. We’re flooded with advertising for the Senate and Governor’s race, and absolutely nothing else (I’m not even sure who my Congressperson is, I’m ashamed to say). Apparently Cortez Masto is a big-spending liberal and Laxalt is in the pocket of Big Pharma. Laxalt never mentions that he’s running for the job previously held by his father. And there’s a generic Republican commercial that implies that the worst thing you can say about a politician is that they’re aligned with California – it lists all the cases where the Nevada legislature has enacted similar legislation to California’s, with the tagline “Don’t let Nevada get Newsomed.” ---
**Author:** ![JohnT](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/johnt/32/15048_2.png) [@JohnT](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/JohnT)\ **Post date:** [September 9, 2022, 9:25pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2022-us-senate-races/922327/734 "2022-09-09T21:25:51Z")
Oz is done. Definitely, if this pans out: About 5 hours ago, some snoop found a 2015 writeup re: investigative complaints about his treatment of puppies in a 2004 experiment he ran at Columbia University. This is the snippet beginning to make the rounds on the Twits: [![Imgur](https://live.staticflickr.com/65535/52345120847_5a9abb20e2_b.jpg "20220909\_161636") ](https://www.flickr.com/photos/68782016@N08/52345120847/) I cannot vouch for the accuracy of the info, it’s only from one source and this is still _very_ fresh. But we will see… > ---
**Author:** ![hajario](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/hajario/32/171_2.png) [@hajario](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/hajario)\ **Post date:** [September 9, 2022, 9:33pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2022-us-senate-races/922327/735 "2022-09-09T21:33:25Z")
What leads you to believe that MAGA voters care about puppies? This will have about as much effect as Trump’s scandal regarding pussies. ---
**Author:** ![slash2k](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/s/439d5e/32.png) [@slash2k](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/slash2k)\ **Post date:** [September 9, 2022, 9:53pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2022-us-senate-races/922327/736 "2022-09-09T21:53:04Z")
MAGA voters probably don’t, but Oz can’t win without attracting some more traditional Republican/ independent voters, and puppy-killers aren’t going to score points with soccer moms. ---
**Author:** ![PhillyGuy](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/p/ed655f/32.png) [@PhillyGuy](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/PhillyGuy)\ **Post date:** [September 10, 2022, 1:16am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2022-us-senate-races/922327/737 "2022-09-10T01:16:26Z")
> [@](#): > > Speaking in the suburban Philadelphia community of Springfield, he recalled his years as a medical student at the University of Pennsylvania as he continued to criticize Mr. Fetterman on crime. “I lived in West Philly,” Dr. Oz said. “I could walk to school. It wasn’t a problem. I can’t make that walk today. You can’t either.” – [New York Times, Sept. 8, 2022](https://www.nytimes.com/2022/09/08/us/politics/pennsylvania-senate-oz-fetterman.html) There are enough people in the Philadelphia suburbs, who are just plain afraid of the city, to make such fear-mongering politically plausble. But it makes for a complicated fact check. Here’s a challenge. Find (I tried a bit of googling and failed) out where Oz lived in West Philadelphia. There’s been enough gentification near the Penn campus to make that then-and-now statement possibly ludicrous were we to know where Oz then lived. P.S. for extra credit: Where did DJT live when at Penn and not on the [West Philadelphia golf course](https://whyy.org/articles/barrier-breaking-cobbs-creek-golf-course-to-reopen-with-65m-restoration/)? I’ve looked harder for that info, and also can’t find it. You’d think any school with a presidential alum would want to put up a plaque outside his dorm, right 😜 ---
**Author:** ![flurb](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/f/51bf81/32.png) [@flurb](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/flurb)\ **Post date:** [September 10, 2022, 2:19am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2022-us-senate-races/922327/738 "2022-09-10T02:19:35Z")
I’m as happy about the current state of affairs as anyone, but do not underestimate what the upcoming Republican campaign spending blitz will be able to accomplish. Even as their candidates have fallen behind in traditional fundraising, there’s an ocean of Republican-affiliated dark money sitting out there. And the more talk there is that Democrats are likely to hold the Senate and maybe even the House, the more those megadonors are going to open the spigot. ---
**Author:** ![Elendil\_s\_Heir](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/e/7cd45c/32.png) [@Elendil\_s\_Heir](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Elendil_s_Heir)\ **Post date:** [September 13, 2022, 8:59pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2022-us-senate-races/922327/739 "2022-09-13T20:59:14Z")
Democratic candidate Tim Ryan of Ohio has a talented friend, at least: > **[Singer Paul Simon to perform at Ryan senate fundraiser in Canfield](https://www.wfmj.com/story/47195910/singer-paul-simon-to-perform-at-ryan-senate-fundraiser-in-canfield)** > > The private event will be Sept. 23 in Canfield. ---
**Author:** ![flurb](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/f/51bf81/32.png) [@flurb](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/flurb)\ **Post date:** [September 13, 2022, 10:54pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2022-us-senate-races/922327/740 "2022-09-13T22:54:48Z")
In introducing his bill, Graham said, "If we take back the House and the Senate, I can assure you we’ll have a vote on our bill.” Give Lindsey credit, he’s clarifying the stakes in these races. > **[Graham introduces bill to ban abortions nationwide after 15 weeks](https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/2022/09/13/abortion-graham-republicans-nationwide-ban/)** > > The bill comes just weeks after Graham and most Republicans had defended the Supreme Court’s decision to overturn Roe v. Wade by arguing that abortion rights should be decided at the state level. ---
**Author:** ![DrDeth](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/d/b487fb/32.png) [@DrDeth](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/DrDeth)\ **Post date:** [September 13, 2022, 11:05pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2022-us-senate-races/922327/741 "2022-09-13T23:05:04Z")
If that bill set _all_ abortion laws to that standard, I would be okay with it. _…15 weeks, no abortion on demand except in cases of rape, incest or to save the life of the mother,…_ So, if this new law overrides states abortion laws- not so bad. But of course it does not. That is not far out of line with EU standards. [Previous page](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2022-us-senate-races/922327.md?page=36) [Next page](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2022-us-senate-races/922327.md?page=38)