# 2022 US Senate Races

**URL:** <https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2022-us-senate-races/922327>\
**Category:** Politics & Elections\
**Created:** [October 6, 2020, 10:26am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2022-us-senate-races/922327 "2020-10-06T10:26:36Z")\
**Posts on this page:** 20\
**Page:** 40

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**Author:** ![JKellyMap](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/jkellymap/32/15880_2.png) [@JKellyMap](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/JKellyMap)\
**Post date:** [September 21, 2022, 11:27am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2022-us-senate-races/922327/782 "2022-09-21T11:27:10Z")

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Nooo!! This is from FiveThirtyEight, about Wisconsin.

“…Since then, though, we have gotten four new polls that have averaged out to a 1-point Johnson lead. That suggests the race could be shifting in Johnson’s favor, especially since one of the more recent polls came from a pollster — Marquette — that had previously given Barnes a healthy lead. In this case, Marquette found that Johnson had gained 4 points — and Barnes had dropped 4 points — in the span of a month.

That shift could be because Republicans have blanketed television airwaves with attack ads since Barnes won the Democratic primary on Aug. 9. The ads have focused primarily on crime, which according to Marquette is the second-most concerning issue to Wisconsin voters. The ads, which highlight Barnes’s support for ending cash bail and tie him to the “defund the police” movement, have also been criticized for being racist dog whistles.”

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**Author:** ![Icarus](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/icarus/32/72_2.png) [@Icarus](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Icarus)\
**Post date:** [September 21, 2022, 12:41pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2022-us-senate-races/922327/783 "2022-09-21T12:41:26Z")

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Wisconsin would be Exhibit A in evidence of [Bill Clinton says GOP will find ‘some new way to scare the living daylights out of swing voters’](https://news.yahoo.com/bill-clinton-says-gop-way-165447421.html?fr=yhssrp_catchall)

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**Author:** ![Jackmannii](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/jackmannii/32/311_2.png) [@Jackmannii](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Jackmannii)\
**Post date:** [September 21, 2022, 1:08pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2022-us-senate-races/922327/784 "2022-09-21T13:08:36Z")

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Well, to paraphrase one-time Senator Roman Hruska (famous for defending a “mediocre” Supreme Court nominee), why shouldn’t Georgia have a dumbass Senator? There are plenty of dumbass Georgians\* who need representation, right?

\*the sizable dumbass contingent in Ohio and Pennsylvania also need a fellow dumbass to look out for them. And there’s [a made-to-order campaign song](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=6HvqdNV7VYo).

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**Author:** ![Jas09](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/j/d07c76/32.png) [@Jas09](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Jas09)\
**Post date:** [September 21, 2022, 1:14pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2022-us-senate-races/922327/785 "2022-09-21T13:14:08Z")

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> [@Jackmannii](#):
>
> Well, to paraphrase Roman Hruska (famous for defending a “mediocre” Supreme Court nominee), why shouldn’t Georgia have a dumbass Senator? There are plenty of dumbass Georgians\* who need representation, right?

And remember that the only thing that pisses off the current MAGA base more than Democrats is RINOs. They would much prefer a dumbass Senator that will just do whatever Trump tells him to do than one that actually thinks for himself.

“I’m an idiot football player that will vote with Trump, not a know-it-all Reverend that thinks he’s smarter than you” is actually a very good pitch these days…

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**Author:** ![MikeF](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/m/45deac/32.png) [@MikeF](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/MikeF)\
**Post date:** [September 21, 2022, 6:19pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2022-us-senate-races/922327/786 "2022-09-21T18:19:33Z")

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The very fact that Walker and Oz are in neck and neck races is so disheartening that is makes me question our form democracy. In the end, we may all reap what the minority sows.

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**Author:** ![JKellyMap](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/jkellymap/32/15880_2.png) [@JKellyMap](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/JKellyMap)\
**Post date:** [September 21, 2022, 11:10pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2022-us-senate-races/922327/787 "2022-09-21T23:10:06Z")

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> [@whitetho](#):
>
> “I’ve come to the conclusion, and I want to be definitive on this: The election was not stolen,” Bolduc said, adding that while he still believes there was fraud, “Elections have consequences and, unfortunately, President Biden is the legitimate president of this country.”

Is this guy seeing if it’s possible to get ZERO votes?

Of course I’m exaggerating…but seriously, who would bother voting for this guy now?

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**Author:** ![SunUp](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/s/ea5d25/32.png) [@SunUp](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/SunUp)\
**Post date:** [September 22, 2022, 3:02am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2022-us-senate-races/922327/788 "2022-09-22T03:02:31Z")

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> [@JKellyMap](#):
>
> Of course I’m exaggerating…but seriously, who would bother voting for this guy now?

People who pay little attention to politics before October 1st every election year.

I’ll betcha Bolduc focus-grouped and poll-tested some messages for a mix of Republican voters and unattached, unaware and unaffiliated regular voters, and the math works out that he has a better chance to win with a radical change in message.

And, sad to say, he may be right.

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**Author:** ![Lance\_Turbo](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/lance_turbo/32/6156_2.png) [@Lance\_Turbo](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Lance_Turbo)\
**Post date:** [September 23, 2022, 4:56am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2022-us-senate-races/922327/789 "2022-09-23T04:56:31Z")

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There seems to be a slight rightward across all senate races in the last week or two. I hope it’s noise or transitory if it’s happening for some reason.

47 days to go.

FWIW, I personally had my hopes set on a small senate gain a bit ago. Now I’m just hoping to hold.

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**Author:** ![flurb](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/f/51bf81/32.png) [@flurb](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/flurb)\
**Post date:** [September 23, 2022, 1:05pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2022-us-senate-races/922327/790 "2022-09-23T13:05:09Z")

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The way I look at it, Democrats have done what they need to do to be competitive. This was always going to be an election very heavily stacked against them, given the historical “midterm curse,” inflation and the aftershocks of COVID. But they’ve nominated quality candidates, they have their fundraising in order, and they’ve got some potent lines of attack around abortion and the Republican threat to democracy.

But there’s no consolation prize in politics, so it doesn’t really matter if they do better than expected but still lose. These last few weeks Democratic campaigns need to go into overdrive on their in-person voter outreach and GOTV efforts (something they notably pulled back on in 2020 due to COVID). It’s gonna be a nailbiter.

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**Author:** ![JKellyMap](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/jkellymap/32/15880_2.png) [@JKellyMap](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/JKellyMap)\
**Post date:** [September 24, 2022, 11:14am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2022-us-senate-races/922327/791 "2022-09-24T11:14:27Z")

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The Senate race seems to be tightening in Nevada — dead even, if you average recent polls, whereas the Democrat Cortez Masto had led by a few points over the Republican Laxalt in most previous polls (since early August).

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**Author:** ![dalej42](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/d/67e7ee/32.png) [@dalej42](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/dalej42)\
**Post date:** [September 24, 2022, 1:16pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2022-us-senate-races/922327/792 "2022-09-24T13:16:45Z")

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> [@JKellyMap](#):
>
> The Senate race seems to be tightening in Nevada — dead even, if you average recent polls, whereas the Democrat Cortez Masto had led by a few points over the Republican Laxalt in most previous polls (since early August

I will say that Nevada is a very tough state to poll, transient with a lot of shift workers and a sparse population outside of the two metro areas.

But it’s also a state that should be a red state based on demographics. The Reid machine and service employee unions help keep it purple.

As of now, I’m not going to blame the DSA takeover of the state Democratic Party. They did some stupid shit early on, but have been invisible lately to my knowledge.

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**Author:** ![Elendil\_s\_Heir](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/e/7cd45c/32.png) [@Elendil\_s\_Heir](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Elendil_s_Heir)\
**Post date:** [September 28, 2022, 5:46pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2022-us-senate-races/922327/793 "2022-09-28T17:46:43Z")

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And in the Keystone State:

> **['We fought for this right, dammit': Pennsylvania women motivated by abortion...](https://www.cnn.com/2022/09/28/politics/fetterman-abortion-women-roe-pennsylvania/index.html)**
>
> Pink "Fetter-woman" shirts and gray hair dotted the line that snaked around the block outside John Fetterman's first rally here in Philadelphia since his stroke in May.

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**Author:** ![Bijou\_Drains](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/bijou_drains/32/2814_2.png) [@Bijou\_Drains](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Bijou_Drains)\
**Post date:** [September 29, 2022, 3:35am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2022-us-senate-races/922327/794 "2022-09-29T03:35:16Z")

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Unless he screws up here in NC Budd wins by around 5. Beasley has run lots of TV ads but she is boring.

Kay Hagan beat GOP Liz Dole in 2008 but Dole was a bad candidate Obama helped her. John Edwards also beat a weak GOP guy in 1998

Otherwise we are red for Senate

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**Author:** ![Elendil\_s\_Heir](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/e/7cd45c/32.png) [@Elendil\_s\_Heir](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Elendil_s_Heir)\
**Post date:** [September 30, 2022, 6:20pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2022-us-senate-races/922327/795 "2022-09-30T18:20:22Z")

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> [@Bijou\_Drains](#):
>
> Unless he screws up here in NC Budd wins by around 5. Beasley has run lots of TV ads but she is boring…

She also keeps sending me fundraising letters, despite my repeatedly using her postage-paid envelopes asking her to stop. Doesn’t fill me with too much confidence as to how well she’d run her Senate office.

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**Author:** ![flurb](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/f/51bf81/32.png) [@flurb](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/flurb)\
**Post date:** [September 30, 2022, 6:33pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2022-us-senate-races/922327/796 "2022-09-30T18:33:22Z")

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North Carolina is also only a few state legislative races away from a Republican supermajority in the General Assembly, which would let them override Roy Cooper’s veto and pass whatever voter suppression and election audit bullshit they want to in advance of the 2024 election. They’re in good position to do so after the last redistricting.

Politically, NC is a very frustrating state.

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**Author:** ![flurb](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/f/51bf81/32.png) [@flurb](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/flurb)\
**Post date:** [October 4, 2022, 12:52am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2022-us-senate-races/922327/797 "2022-10-04T00:52:39Z")

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Well this should be interesting. . .

> **[‘Pro-Life’ Herschel Walker Paid for Girlfriend’s Abortion](https://www.thedailybeast.com/pro-life-herschel-walker-paid-for-girlfriends-abortion-georgia-senate)**
>
> The woman has receipts—and a “get well” card she says the football star, now a Senate candidate, sent her.

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**Author:** ![JohnT](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/johnt/32/15048_2.png) [@JohnT](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/JohnT)\
**Post date:** [October 4, 2022, 4:00am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2022-us-senate-races/922327/798 "2022-10-04T04:00:12Z")

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Jesus F Christ, Twitter has been a damn _madhouse_ tonight, what with Herschel’s son, Christian, _completely and utterly losing his shit_ while attacking his father for the betrayal and his lies. He claims that Herschel is abusive, threatened family, and forced them to move 6 times in 6 months as they were “running from (Herschel’s) violence”.

Went ahead and screenshotted these in case he sobers up at 5am and deletes them:

[![Imgur](https://live.staticflickr.com/65535/52402766552_3c90e77937_b.jpg "SmartSelect\_20221003-225503\_Twitter") ](https://www.flickr.com/photos/68782016@N08/52402766552/)

[![Imgur](https://live.staticflickr.com/65535/52403777053_4518db74cc_b.jpg "SmartSelect\_20221003-225529\_Twitter") ](https://www.flickr.com/photos/68782016@N08/52403777053/)

Jack Probescik tried to mediate and got slapped down:

[![Imgur](https://live.staticflickr.com/65535/52403707220_eb5d4f854f_b.jpg "SmartSelect\_20221003-225452\_Twitter") ](https://www.flickr.com/photos/68782016@N08/52403707220/)

The revelations in Christian’s tweets are new and unreported on. It’s guaranteed that journalists are sending emails and making lists of 8am calls as I type this, so I expect more details will be forthcoming:

[![Imgur](https://live.staticflickr.com/65535/52403707165_bf16999a06_b.jpg "SmartSelect\_20221003-225604\_Twitter") ](https://www.flickr.com/photos/68782016@N08/52403707165/)

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**Author:** ![JohnT](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/johnt/32/15048_2.png) [@JohnT](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/JohnT)\
**Post date:** [October 4, 2022, 4:12am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2022-us-senate-races/922327/799 "2022-10-04T04:12:26Z")

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In addition, it was reported that Doctor Oz is personally responsible for the deaths of 296 dogs.

It’s literally hard to imagine that the Senate candidate who killed hundreds of dogs isn’t having the worst evening of this group, but Herschel’s son managed to pull it off.

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**Author:** ![Tamerlane](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/tamerlane/32/7602_2.png) [@Tamerlane](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Tamerlane)\
**Post date:** [October 4, 2022, 4:25am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2022-us-senate-races/922327/800 "2022-10-04T04:25:42Z")

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> [@JohnT](#):
>
> In addition, it was reported that Doctor Oz is personally responsible for the deaths of 296 dogs.

Research? Oz is not in my good graces to say the least. But while I oppose unnecessary vivisection, I am not reflexively anti-vivisection. Animal experimentation should hopefully be declining in use, but it had its place at one time. Barring particularly heinous details, i.e. he violated protocols in any number of ways that increased suffering unnecessarily, I’m not inclined to jump down his throat for that.

There are plenty of other reasons for why he sucks.

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**Author:** ![JohnT](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/johnt/32/15048_2.png) [@JohnT](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/JohnT)\
**Post date:** [October 4, 2022, 4:30am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2022-us-senate-races/922327/801 "2022-10-04T04:30:32Z")

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> <https://twitter.com/LEBassett/status/1576992095897669633?t=BgDJN2feXebiYFk5aRlqiQ&s=19>

> **[Dr. Oz’s Scientific Experiments Killed Over 300 Dogs, Entire Litter of Puppies](https://jezebel.com/dr-oz-s-scientific-experiments-killed-over-300-dogs-e-1849609272?rev=1664818805194)**
>
> Columbia's internal investigation found that Oz's research team inflicted extensive suffering on canine test subjects in violation of the Animal Welfare Act.

Earlier in this thread I linked to a just-breaking story about this issue:

> [@2022 US Senate Races](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2022-us-senate-races/922327/734):
>
> Oz is done. Definitely, if this pans out: About 5 hours ago, some snoop found a 2015 writeup re: investigative complaints about his treatment of puppies in a 2004 experiment he ran at Columbia University. This is the snippet beginning to make the rounds on the Twits: [[Imgur] ](https://www.flickr.com/photos/68782016@N08/52345120847/) I cannot vouch for the accuracy of the info, it’s only from one source and this is still very fresh. But we will see…

… and it seems the Jezebel people did their jobs and followed up with questions of their own.

And got answers. 329 dead dogs, many of them puppies, some of whom died screaming.

[![Imgur](https://live.staticflickr.com/65535/52345120847_5a9abb20e2_b.jpg "20220909\_161636") ](https://www.flickr.com/photos/68782016@N08/52345120847/)

We genuinely need to stop giving these monsters the benefit of a doubt.

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