# 2022 US Senate Races **URL:** \ **Category:** Politics & Elections\ **Created:** [October 6, 2020, 10:26am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2022-us-senate-races/922327 "2020-10-06T10:26:36Z")\ **Posts on this page:** 20\ **Page:** 51
**Author:** ![EllisDee](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/ellisdee/32/4531_2.png) [@EllisDee](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/EllisDee)\ **Post date:** [October 28, 2022, 12:52pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2022-us-senate-races/922327/1002 "2022-10-28T12:52:43Z")
Presumably he wants Fetterman to be examined by a doctor who makes no political donations. The underlying premise being that anyone who donates must surely be a partisan hack. This feels like an “every accusation is a confession” kind of thing. ---
**Author:** ![Elendil\_s\_Heir](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/e/7cd45c/32.png) [@Elendil\_s\_Heir](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Elendil_s_Heir)\ **Post date:** [October 28, 2022, 1:21pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2022-us-senate-races/922327/1003 "2022-10-28T13:21:01Z")
Chuck holds forth: > **[Schumer: Georgia Senate race 'going downhill' but Pennsylvania debate 'didn't...](https://www.cnn.com/2022/10/27/politics/schumer-georgia-pennsylvania-democrats-senate-midterms/index.html)** > > Senate Majority Leader Chuck Schumer was caught on a hot mic Thursday expressing some concern over Democratic prospects in Georgia in the final weeks before the midterm elections, but he remained hopeful about Pennsylvania after their nominee's... ---
**Author:** ![JKellyMap](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/jkellymap/32/15880_2.png) [@JKellyMap](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/JKellyMap)\ **Post date:** [October 28, 2022, 1:25pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2022-us-senate-races/922327/1004 "2022-10-28T13:25:38Z")
Sounds like reverse psychology, sort of. Probably deep down he’s more worried about Pennsylvania than Georgia, but for Georgia it’s more about getting out the vote (so, need to sound the alarm), while in Pennsylvania it’s more about reassuring those that will vote anyway, that Fetterman is still capable (so, need to sound confident). ---
**Author:** ![Elendil\_s\_Heir](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/e/7cd45c/32.png) [@Elendil\_s\_Heir](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Elendil_s_Heir)\ **Post date:** [October 28, 2022, 1:32pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2022-us-senate-races/922327/1005 "2022-10-28T13:32:36Z")
And in the Granite State: > **[Hassan and Bolduc spar over abortion and election denial in testy New...](https://www.cnn.com/2022/10/27/politics/bolduc-hassan-new-hampshire-senate-debate/index.html)** > > Democrat Sen. Maggie Hassan and Republican Don Bolduc on Thursday sparred over abortion during their second debate in the New Hampshire Senate race, with the retired Army brigadier general getting visibly worked up by the attacks being lobbed at him... ---
**Author:** ![Guest-starring\_Id](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/guest-starring_id/32/21736_2.png) [@Guest-starring\_Id](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Guest-starring_Id)\ **Post date:** [October 28, 2022, 2:57pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2022-us-senate-races/922327/1006 "2022-10-28T14:57:13Z")
> [@JKellyMap](#): > > Sounds like reverse psychology, sort of. Probably deep down he’s more worried about Pennsylvania than Georgia, but for Georgia it’s more about getting out the vote (so, need to sound the alarm), while in Pennsylvania it’s more about reassuring those that will vote anyway, that Fetterman is still capable (so, need to sound confident). Hey I’ll go with jib-cut. ---
**Author:** ![PhillyGuy](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/p/ed655f/32.png) [@PhillyGuy](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/PhillyGuy)\ **Post date:** [October 28, 2022, 11:25pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2022-us-senate-races/922327/1007 "2022-10-28T23:25:51Z")
> [@Lance\_Turbo](#): > > There is no better informed person in the world than Dr. Chen on the topic of John Fetterman’s health. Chen is Fetterman’s family doc. Fetterman’s neurologist may not be better informed, but I’m thinking that doc is at least equally informed, and is better qualifed to interpret what’s in the, I hope, soon-to-be-senator-elect’s, chart. Do I think that Chen is on the same page here with Fetterman’s neurologist and cardiologist? Yes. I’m sure they all cleared him to return to work. As to why [the letter](https://johnfetterman.com/wp-content/uploads/2022/10/JKF-Health-Letter-10.15-.pdf) came the family medicine physician, that’s speculation. But I suspect the routine bloodwork numbers, in that letter, were much less likely to risk harm to the patient’s career than the function tests the neurologist may have given. A letter from a doctor, who has cleared the patient to work, and is written knowing that their patient’s career depends on the content, will likely follow the do not harm principle. And the way to avoid harm to this patient, in writing the letter, is to bend towards the optimistic parts of the picture. In that sense, I think the campaign contribution is irrelevant. Republican family medicine letter writers do the same. I hope John Fetterman wins. I like how he thinks a lot better than how Oz thinks, regardless of who is more articulate. But I see no reason to, on a board like this, minimize Fetterman’s challenges. ---
**Author:** ![Lance\_Turbo](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/lance_turbo/32/6156_2.png) [@Lance\_Turbo](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Lance_Turbo)\ **Post date:** [October 28, 2022, 11:54pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2022-us-senate-races/922327/1008 "2022-10-28T23:54:56Z")
> [@PhillyGuy](#): > > But I see no reason to, on a board like this, minimize Fetterman’s challenges. Do you think that’s what I’m doing? I assure you I am not. ---
**Author:** ![flurb](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/f/51bf81/32.png) [@flurb](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/flurb)\ **Post date:** [October 31, 2022, 12:45pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2022-us-senate-races/922327/1009 "2022-10-31T12:45:14Z")
The three most recent Pennsylvania Senate polls show Oz with a (very slight) lead over Fetterman. > **[Latest Polls](https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/senate/2022/pennsylvania/)** > > The latest political polls and polling averages from FiveThirtyEight. ---
**Author:** ![Lance\_Turbo](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/lance_turbo/32/6156_2.png) [@Lance\_Turbo](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Lance_Turbo)\ **Post date:** [October 31, 2022, 4:51pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2022-us-senate-races/922327/1010 "2022-10-31T16:51:01Z")
And all non-partisan, likely voter polls. Not great. Part of me wants to believe that likely voter screens will be way off this year and Dems will beat polling in most cases. The Kansas abortion amendment makes me think this is still possible. But I don’t want to start unskewing polls. Down that road lies madness. ---
**Author:** ![silenus](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/silenus/32/166_2.png) [@silenus](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/silenus)\ **Post date:** [October 31, 2022, 4:54pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2022-us-senate-races/922327/1011 "2022-10-31T16:54:36Z")
The latest NYTimes/Siena poll shows PA D+6, AZ D+6, NV toss-up, GA D+3. ---
**Author:** ![Guest-starring\_Id](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/guest-starring_id/32/21736_2.png) [@Guest-starring\_Id](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Guest-starring_Id)\ **Post date:** [October 31, 2022, 6:13pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2022-us-senate-races/922327/1012 "2022-10-31T18:13:58Z")
> [@flurb](#): > > The three most recent Pennsylvania Senate polls show Oz with a (very slight) lead over Fetterman. Actually your link shows Fetterman at 47.1% and Oz at 45.6%. Unless there’s been a crazy swing in the last six or so hours. ---
**Author:** ![kenobi\_65](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/kenobi_65/32/13178_2.png) [@kenobi\_65](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/kenobi_65)\ **Post date:** [October 31, 2022, 6:17pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2022-us-senate-races/922327/1013 "2022-10-31T18:17:34Z")
> [@Guest-starring\_Id](#): > > Actually your link shows Fetterman at 47.1% and Oz at 45.6%. It does, but I think that @flurb is referring to the three most recent polls (rather than 538’s model) on that page, all of which have Oz with a 2 to 3 point lead. ---
**Author:** ![Guest-starring\_Id](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/guest-starring_id/32/21736_2.png) [@Guest-starring\_Id](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Guest-starring_Id)\ **Post date:** [October 31, 2022, 6:21pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2022-us-senate-races/922327/1014 "2022-10-31T18:21:16Z")
> [@kenobi\_65](#): > > …@flurb is referring to the three most recent polls (rather than 538’s model) on that page, all of which have Oz with a 2 to 3 point lead. Ah, fair enough. 🤦‍♂️ ---
**Author:** ![Elendil\_s\_Heir](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/e/7cd45c/32.png) [@Elendil\_s\_Heir](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Elendil_s_Heir)\ **Post date:** [October 31, 2022, 7:18pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2022-us-senate-races/922327/1015 "2022-10-31T19:18:15Z")
And then there’s this: > **[Senate control is likely to come down to these four states | CNN Politics](https://www.cnn.com/2022/10/31/politics/2022-midterm-election-senate-control-states/index.html)** > > You know Election Day is closing in when the kids are trick-or-treating. And with the costumes out, the picture for the Senate is clearer than ever. ---
**Author:** ![flurb](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/f/51bf81/32.png) [@flurb](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/flurb)\ **Post date:** [November 1, 2022, 4:05pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2022-us-senate-races/922327/1016 "2022-11-01T16:05:11Z")
For the first time since July, the 538 Deluxe Model has Republicans favored to win the Senate 51-49. ---
**Author:** ![D\_Anconia](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/d/67e7ee/32.png) [@D\_Anconia](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/D_Anconia)\ **Post date:** [November 1, 2022, 4:06pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2022-us-senate-races/922327/1017 "2022-11-01T16:06:57Z")
In Arizona, the Libertarian candidate, Marc Victor, drops out of the Senate race and endorses Republican Blake Masters. [Libertarian Senate candidate Marc Victor drops out of race (abc15.com)](https://www.abc15.com/news/political/elections/libertarian-senate-candidate-marc-victor-drops-out-of-race) ---
**Author:** ![Saint\_Cad](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/saint_cad/32/18907_2.png) [@Saint\_Cad](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Saint_Cad)\ **Post date:** [November 1, 2022, 4:11pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2022-us-senate-races/922327/1018 "2022-11-01T16:11:02Z")
There is hope. Joe O’Dea is a non-Trump Republican and favors same-sex marriage and abortion up to 24 weeks. Now he is climbing the polls. He probably won’t beat Michael Bennet but it shows some backing for moderate Republicans in Colorado. ---
**Author:** ![Lance\_Turbo](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/lance_turbo/32/6156_2.png) [@Lance\_Turbo](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Lance_Turbo)\ **Post date:** [November 1, 2022, 5:58pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2022-us-senate-races/922327/1019 "2022-11-01T17:58:20Z")
> [@Saint\_Cad](#): > > Joe O’Dea Michelob. Ultra. Over. Ice. Also, not really climbing in the polls. > **[ABC News – Breaking News, Latest News and Videos](https://abcnews.go.com/politics)** > > ABC News is your trusted source on political news stories and videos. Get the latest coverage and analysis on everything from the Trump presidency, Senate, House and Supreme Court. ---
**Author:** ![Lance\_Turbo](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/lance_turbo/32/6156_2.png) [@Lance\_Turbo](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Lance_Turbo)\ **Post date:** [November 1, 2022, 6:03pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2022-us-senate-races/922327/1020 "2022-11-01T18:03:27Z")
These are a day old. This one isn’t great. > PredictIt leans more red than 538 except where 538’s underconfidence comes into play. Keep in mind that PredictIt beat 538 hands down in 2020. > ---
**Author:** ![Jackmannii](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/jackmannii/32/311_2.png) [@Jackmannii](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Jackmannii)\ **Post date:** [November 1, 2022, 6:06pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2022-us-senate-races/922327/1021 "2022-11-01T18:06:28Z")
What is “debiased”? Does that mean one’s bias is surgically removed?? [Previous page](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2022-us-senate-races/922327.md?page=50) [Next page](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2022-us-senate-races/922327.md?page=52)