# 2022 US Senate Races

**URL:** <https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2022-us-senate-races/922327>\
**Category:** Politics & Elections\
**Created:** [October 6, 2020, 10:26am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2022-us-senate-races/922327 "2020-10-06T10:26:36Z")\
**Posts on this page:** 20\
**Page:** 53

<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![flurb](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/f/51bf81/32.png) [@flurb](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/flurb)\
**Post date:** [November 8, 2022, 8:11pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2022-us-senate-races/922327/1042 "2022-11-08T20:11:37Z")

</div>

> [@Jas09](#):
>
> I guess Collins and Murkowski might matter if a Scotus seat opens up. But I doubt it.

They will not. Because the most important change that a one-seat Republican majority will effect is that it will make Mitch McConnell Majority Leader. And he alone will decide if and when any Biden nominee is allowed to come up for a vote.

---

<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![Lance\_Turbo](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/lance_turbo/32/6156_2.png) [@Lance\_Turbo](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Lance_Turbo)\
**Post date:** [November 8, 2022, 9:14pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2022-us-senate-races/922327/1043 "2022-11-08T21:14:08Z")

</div>

> [@Saint\_Cad](#):
>
> And of note I don’t trust Collins anymore so maybe the Senate breakdown would more properly read as 50 D + VP / Murkowski + 50 R.

No. Susan Collins will vote for a Republican for Majority Leader, and the Majority decides (for the most part) what things get a vote. Even if Susan Collins votes D once in a while, it will still be nothing like the Dems having a majority.

---

<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![hajario](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/hajario/32/171_2.png) [@hajario](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/hajario)\
**Post date:** [November 8, 2022, 9:19pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2022-us-senate-races/922327/1044 "2022-11-08T21:19:06Z")

</div>

And no way Biden gets to pick a SCOTUS justice. They’ll delay for two years.

---

<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![dtilque](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/d/d6d6ee/32.png) [@dtilque](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/dtilque)\
**Post date:** [November 8, 2022, 9:19pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2022-us-senate-races/922327/1045 "2022-11-08T21:19:43Z")

</div>

> [@Saint\_Cad](#):
>
> I thought the election had loosened up in favor of Murkowski since September.

The 4-way RCV that Alaska has strongly favors Murkowski. The reason is that if the Dem candidate is eliminated, pretty much all their 2nd choice votes will go to her.

---

<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![Lance\_Turbo](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/lance_turbo/32/6156_2.png) [@Lance\_Turbo](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Lance_Turbo)\
**Post date:** [November 8, 2022, 9:26pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2022-us-senate-races/922327/1046 "2022-11-08T21:26:04Z")

</div>

> [@hajario](#):
>
> And no way Biden gets to pick a SCOTUS justice. They’ll delay for two years.

I think you mean “any judge” here. There is no cost to them to just ignore all Biden’s judicial appointments across the board, and they have seen the benefit of packing courts at every level.

---

<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![hajario](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/hajario/32/171_2.png) [@hajario](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/hajario)\
**Post date:** [November 8, 2022, 9:27pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2022-us-senate-races/922327/1047 "2022-11-08T21:27:21Z")

</div>

I think that you’re right. The lame duck Senate needs to jam everything through that they can.

---

<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![DeadTreasSecretaries](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/deadtreassecretaries/32/4817_2.png) [@DeadTreasSecretaries](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/DeadTreasSecretaries)\
**Post date:** [November 8, 2022, 10:14pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2022-us-senate-races/922327/1048 "2022-11-08T22:14:42Z")

</div>

> [@Saint\_Cad](#):
>
> I thought the election had loosened up in favor of Murkowski since September.

> [@dtilque](#):
>
> The 4-way RCV that Alaska has strongly favors Murkowski. The reason is that if the Dem candidate is eliminated, pretty much all their 2nd choice votes will go to her.

Looks like final round polling is widening with a roughly 55/45 split in favor of Murkowski. So she is solidly in the lead although bigger upsets have happened.

In the polls I’ve been looking at (mostly linked from 538) Tshibaka maintains a surprising amount of ground after Chesbro (the dem) drops. Maybe its chaos voters? Or people who don’t actually fill in their 2 and 3 choices. Also possible polling isn’t capturing voter ranked choice behavior optimally. I guess we’ll find out shortly.

---

<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![Lance\_Turbo](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/lance_turbo/32/6156_2.png) [@Lance\_Turbo](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Lance_Turbo)\
**Post date:** [November 8, 2022, 10:41pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2022-us-senate-races/922327/1049 "2022-11-08T22:41:48Z")

</div>

> <https://twitter.com/RalstonReports/status/1590110891344728064>

Um… yikes.

But I think it’s pretty likely that mail in voting is more popular in 2022 than it was in 2018. Once you try mail in voting, as many did in 2020, I can see how it might be more appealing than standing in line for hours to many people.

---

<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![hajario](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/hajario/32/171_2.png) [@hajario](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/hajario)\
**Post date:** [November 9, 2022, 12:00am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2022-us-senate-races/922327/1050 "2022-11-09T00:00:00Z")

</div>

First results are coming in from KY and IN. I like the simple graphics on yahoo

> **[2022 Midterm Elections - Latest Updates and Results](https://news.yahoo.com/midterms)**
>
> Get the latest updates on the 2022 Midterm Elections. Stay informed with fast facts, candidate updates, and key takeaways on the issues, all in one place.

---

<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![hajario](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/hajario/32/171_2.png) [@hajario](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/hajario)\
**Post date:** [November 9, 2022, 12:03am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2022-us-senate-races/922327/1051 "2022-11-09T00:03:48Z")

</div>

IN and SC called for the GOP. No surprise.

---

<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![FavreCo](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/f/a698b9/32.png) [@FavreCo](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/FavreCo)\
**Post date:** [November 9, 2022, 12:04am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2022-us-senate-races/922327/1052 "2022-11-09T00:04:02Z")

</div>

A wipeout of psycho democrats is needed to save democracy and the country

---

<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![rocking\_chair](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/rocking_chair/32/2918_2.png) [@rocking\_chair](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/rocking_chair)\
**Post date:** [November 9, 2022, 12:07am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2022-us-senate-races/922327/1053 "2022-11-09T00:07:10Z")

</div>

Let the see-saw begin!

---

<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![What\_Exit](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/what_exit/32/10652_2.png) [@What\_Exit](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/What_Exit)\
**Post date:** [November 9, 2022, 12:16am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2022-us-senate-races/922327/1054 "2022-11-09T00:16:38Z")

</div>

Warning and Suspension for FavreCo. Combined with post in the Pit, [The Republican Party is the Party of Evil - #1689 by FavreCo](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/the-republican-party-is-the-party-of-evil/937187/1689). your posting privileges are under review.

Warning stands for the post. But at this point your posting privileges are fine.  
Avoid drive by posts like the one above and try actually make contributions to the threads.

---

<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![hajario](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/hajario/32/171_2.png) [@hajario](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/hajario)\
**Post date:** [November 9, 2022, 12:39am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2022-us-senate-races/922327/1055 "2022-11-09T00:39:46Z")

</div>

KY called for the GOP

---

<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![Aspenglow](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/aspenglow/32/76_2.png) [@Aspenglow](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Aspenglow)\
**Post date:** [November 9, 2022, 12:41am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2022-us-senate-races/922327/1056 "2022-11-09T00:41:04Z")

</div>

Disappointing as always, but not a surprise.

---

<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![Euphonious\_Polemic](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/euphonious_polemic/32/3002_2.png) [@Euphonious\_Polemic](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Euphonious_Polemic)\
**Post date:** [November 9, 2022, 12:44am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2022-us-senate-races/922327/1057 "2022-11-09T00:44:42Z")

</div>

Is Warnock really stomping Warner in Georgia? 57:41 with 29% of polls reporting. Or is this just the early mail votes being counted? Or does Georgia count advanced polls last? It’s so confusing.

---

<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![Aspenglow](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/aspenglow/32/76_2.png) [@Aspenglow](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Aspenglow)\
**Post date:** [November 9, 2022, 12:46am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2022-us-senate-races/922327/1058 "2022-11-09T00:46:20Z")

</div>

More votes are going to shift the race more toward Republicans, I think. But Warnock is doing well.

Watch Kornacki. He explains it all so well!

---

<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![Win\_Place\_Show](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/win_place_show/32/13469_2.png) [@Win\_Place\_Show](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Win_Place_Show)\
**Post date:** [November 9, 2022, 12:47am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2022-us-senate-races/922327/1059 "2022-11-09T00:47:52Z")

</div>

Per one of the CNN Decision Desk guys (not John King or Jake Tapper) they’re saying it’s 99% early voting and mail-in, and they expect that (early vote and mail-in) to comprise 61% of the overall total vote when it’s all said and done. So expect these margins to narrow significantly.

---

<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![not\_what\_you\_d\_expect](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/not_what_you_d_expect/32/3246_2.png) [@not\_what\_you\_d\_expect](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/not_what_you_d_expect)\
**Post date:** [November 9, 2022, 12:49am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2022-us-senate-races/922327/1060 "2022-11-09T00:49:33Z")

</div>

Man, Florida is really really red. I spent my first 15 years there and I don’t remember it being that way. I suppose I was just too young to realize it.

Kentucky, what the hell do you people like about Rand Paul?

I’m getting very depressed already.

---

<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![rocking\_chair](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/rocking_chair/32/2918_2.png) [@rocking\_chair](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/rocking_chair)\
**Post date:** [November 9, 2022, 12:52am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2022-us-senate-races/922327/1061 "2022-11-09T00:52:52Z")

</div>

Florida is very heavily gerrymandered. Desantis made sure the new districts skewed republican.

[Previous page](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2022-us-senate-races/922327.md?page=52)

[Next page](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2022-us-senate-races/922327.md?page=54)
