# 2022 US Senate Races

**URL:** <https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2022-us-senate-races/922327>\
**Category:** Politics & Elections\
**Created:** [October 6, 2020, 10:26am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2022-us-senate-races/922327 "2020-10-06T10:26:36Z")\
**Posts on this page:** 20\
**Page:** 54

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**Author:** ![Euphonious\_Polemic](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/euphonious_polemic/32/3002_2.png) [@Euphonious\_Polemic](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Euphonious_Polemic)\
**Post date:** [November 9, 2022, 12:56am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2022-us-senate-races/922327/1062 "2022-11-09T00:56:54Z")

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> [@Win\_Place\_Show](#):
>
> 61% of the overall total vote when it’s all said and done. So expect these margins to narrow significantly.

I thought it might be something like that. So perhaps a nail biter…

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**Author:** ![Euphonious\_Polemic](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/euphonious_polemic/32/3002_2.png) [@Euphonious\_Polemic](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Euphonious_Polemic)\
**Post date:** [November 9, 2022, 12:58am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2022-us-senate-races/922327/1063 "2022-11-09T00:58:41Z")

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> [@rocking\_chair](#):
>
> Florida is very heavily gerrymandered. Desantis made sure the new districts skewed republican.

As I’ve said before, thank God that there is no such thing in Canada, as our electoral boundries are drawn by non-partisan groups with plenty of transparency and opportunity for public input in the process.

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**Author:** ![Win\_Place\_Show](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/win_place_show/32/13469_2.png) [@Win\_Place\_Show](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Win_Place_Show)\
**Post date:** [November 9, 2022, 12:59am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2022-us-senate-races/922327/1064 "2022-11-09T00:59:41Z")

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Fetterman back to 56% on Predictit (very, very fluid obviously, but an encouraging sign).

[PredictIt Pennsylvania Senate](https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7016/Which-party-will-win-the-US-Senate-election-in-Pennsylvania-in-2022)

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**Author:** ![Win\_Place\_Show](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/win_place_show/32/13469_2.png) [@Win\_Place\_Show](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Win_Place_Show)\
**Post date:** [November 9, 2022, 1:09am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2022-us-senate-races/922327/1065 "2022-11-09T01:09:23Z")

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And we have the NY Times “needle” firing up with this latest round of poll closings.

[The Needle: Senate and House Election Results Forecast 2022 - The New York Times (nytimes.com)](https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2022/11/08/us/elections/results-needle-forecast.html)

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**Author:** ![D\_Anconia](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/d/67e7ee/32.png) [@D\_Anconia](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/D_Anconia)\
**Post date:** [November 9, 2022, 1:27am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2022-us-senate-races/922327/1066 "2022-11-09T01:27:03Z")

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Gerrymandering doesn’t effect U.S. Senate races at all, since they’re statewide.

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**Author:** ![Leaper](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/l/4bbf92/32.png) [@Leaper](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Leaper)\
**Post date:** [November 9, 2022, 1:41am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2022-us-senate-races/922327/1067 "2022-11-09T01:41:22Z")

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Noting that there’s a watch along thread now: [US Midterm Election watch along thread](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/us-midterm-election-watch-along-thread/974619)

Not sure which thread would be better for ongoing breaking results.

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**Author:** ![rocking\_chair](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/rocking_chair/32/2918_2.png) [@rocking\_chair](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/rocking_chair)\
**Post date:** [November 9, 2022, 1:41am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2022-us-senate-races/922327/1068 "2022-11-09T01:41:24Z")

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That is true. It does however explain why it is so red.

Just checked my building’s vote totals, we had 2 machines. I was number 248, there was a line behind me as people got back from work. The numbers for Fetterman and Shapiro were triple digits, oz and mastriano double digits, and 3rd party got a handful of votes. The gov.s race got more votes than the sen.s. For some reason when things were totaled there were about 8ish people that didn’t vote for gov. or sen…

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**Author:** ![FlikTheBlue](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/fliktheblue/32/10972_2.png) [@FlikTheBlue](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/FlikTheBlue)\
**Post date:** [November 9, 2022, 2:18am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2022-us-senate-races/922327/1069 "2022-11-09T02:18:53Z")

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One thing tonight confirms is that elections are no longer a stay up all night for the final results type of thing. I’m going to call it an early night and hope that tomorrow brings good news.

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**Author:** ![dtilque](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/d/d6d6ee/32.png) [@dtilque](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/dtilque)\
**Post date:** [November 9, 2022, 2:45am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2022-us-senate-races/922327/1070 "2022-11-09T02:45:24Z")

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> [@Lance\_Turbo](#):
>
> [https://twitter.com/RalstonReports/status/1590110891344728064](https://twitter.com/RalstonReports/status/1590110891344728064)
> 
> Um… yikes.
> 
> But I think it’s pretty likely that mail in voting is more popular in 2022 than it was in 2018. Once you try mail in voting, as many did in 2020, I can see how it might be more appealing than standing in line for hours to many people.

Nevada is 100% VbM now. I don’t know what he meant by “Election Day turnout”.

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**Author:** ![rocking\_chair](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/rocking_chair/32/2918_2.png) [@rocking\_chair](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/rocking_chair)\
**Post date:** [November 9, 2022, 3:35am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2022-us-senate-races/922327/1071 "2022-11-09T03:35:29Z")

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There are huge lines in Nevada at malls to vote. Josh is hanging out at a mall in Henderson and the line was out the door.

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**Author:** ![flurb](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/f/51bf81/32.png) [@flurb](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/flurb)\
**Post date:** [November 9, 2022, 3:41am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2022-us-senate-races/922327/1072 "2022-11-09T03:41:45Z")

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> [@dtilque](#):
>
> Nevada is 100% VbM now. I don’t know what he meant by “Election Day turnout”.

All Nevadans received a mail ballot, but there was an opt-out option and even those who got the mail ballot may vote in person if they did not send it in.

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**Author:** ![D\_Anconia](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/d/67e7ee/32.png) [@D\_Anconia](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/D_Anconia)\
**Post date:** [November 9, 2022, 3:47am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2022-us-senate-races/922327/1073 "2022-11-09T03:47:27Z")

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> [@rocking\_chair](#):
>
> It does however explain why it is so red.

How so? Please explain. Gerrymandering has nothing at all to do with whether people vote blue or red for Senate.

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**Author:** ![dtilque](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/d/d6d6ee/32.png) [@dtilque](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/dtilque)\
**Post date:** [November 9, 2022, 3:50am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2022-us-senate-races/922327/1074 "2022-11-09T03:50:43Z")

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> [@rocking\_chair](#):
>
> There are huge lines in Nevada at malls to vote.

Clearly these people need a lesson in how to do Vote-by-Mail. Maybe they misread it as Vote-by-Mall…

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**Author:** ![hajario](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/hajario/32/171_2.png) [@hajario](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/hajario)\
**Post date:** [November 9, 2022, 4:06am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2022-us-senate-races/922327/1075 "2022-11-09T04:06:15Z")

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Two key races have not flipped.

Dems keep NH and GOP keeps OH.

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<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![rocking\_chair](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/rocking_chair/32/2918_2.png) [@rocking\_chair](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/rocking_chair)\
**Post date:** [November 9, 2022, 4:20am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2022-us-senate-races/922327/1076 "2022-11-09T04:20:22Z")

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NC called for budd. Kelly is looking good.

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**Author:** ![Ann\_Hedonia](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/ann_hedonia/32/319_2.png) [@Ann\_Hedonia](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Ann_Hedonia)\
**Post date:** [November 9, 2022, 4:44am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2022-us-senate-races/922327/1077 "2022-11-09T04:44:07Z")

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Trump had this to say about the loss in NH.

[![Imgur](https://i.imgur.com/uIcs86A.png "imgur.com") ](https://imgur.com/uIcs86A)

I just grabbed the screenshot off Truth Social.

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**Author:** ![flurb](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/f/51bf81/32.png) [@flurb](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/flurb)\
**Post date:** [November 9, 2022, 4:56am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2022-us-senate-races/922327/1078 "2022-11-09T04:56:16Z")

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> [@rocking\_chair](#):
>
> NC called for budd. Kelly is looking good.

I still don’t understand why the NC Senate race seemed to be treated by Democrats as at best a second-tier pickup opportunity. Tillis only won reelection last cycle by 1.5%, and that was after Cunningham got busted with his pants down. Trump only won NC by 1.3%. And yet Beasley never seemed to get the big money or media push that might have made her more competitive.

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**Author:** ![rocking\_chair](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/rocking_chair/32/2918_2.png) [@rocking\_chair](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/rocking_chair)\
**Post date:** [November 9, 2022, 4:58am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2022-us-senate-races/922327/1079 "2022-11-09T04:58:40Z")

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Should have sent Obama to North Carolina.

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**Author:** ![Jas09](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/j/d07c76/32.png) [@Jas09](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Jas09)\
**Post date:** [November 9, 2022, 5:04am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2022-us-senate-races/922327/1080 "2022-11-09T05:04:34Z")

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Looks like, as expected, it will all come down to Nevada. Which somehow hasn’t released any results yet.

And possibly a run-off in GA. Which will probably depend on how many ballots Gwinnett and Fulton have left. If there are enough, then neither will reach 50%.

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**Author:** ![Ann\_Hedonia](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/ann_hedonia/32/319_2.png) [@Ann\_Hedonia](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Ann_Hedonia)\
**Post date:** [November 9, 2022, 5:06am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2022-us-senate-races/922327/1081 "2022-11-09T05:06:46Z")

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I found Beasley’s campaigning very frustrating. She was good about articulating her positions, but she never made it clear that those positions were under attack by her opponent. She kept trying to position herself as an outsider who was frustrated with both parties, and she was just too mainstream to pull it off. She seemed to actively avoid mentioning that she was a Democrat.  
I get that she was trying to appeal to independent moderates, but I think that even if she accomplished that, it was at the expense of motivating turnout within her own party.

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