# 2022 US Senate Races

**URL:** <https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2022-us-senate-races/922327>\
**Category:** Politics & Elections\
**Created:** [October 6, 2020, 10:26am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2022-us-senate-races/922327 "2020-10-06T10:26:36Z")\
**Posts on this page:** 20\
**Page:** 56

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**Author:** ![Lance\_Turbo](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/lance_turbo/32/6156_2.png) [@Lance\_Turbo](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Lance_Turbo)\
**Post date:** [November 12, 2022, 4:51pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2022-us-senate-races/922327/1102 "2022-11-12T16:51:43Z")

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> [@JKellyMap](#):
>
> And thanks for generating those RMS errors, Lance\_Turbo – just what I had been curious about.

I put it in the same G-sheet as the confidence pool leaderboard (“538 v RCP” tab) if you want to take a closer look. The error was pretty heavily in one direction for the most part. The notable exception being Florida.

[LINK](https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1S0_8PUn6kVnogIT-O6Yf4HXUiYhL8qFDI_DgufUz1Ec/edit?usp=sharing)

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**Author:** ![Kolak\_of\_Twilo](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/kolak_of_twilo/32/73_2.png) [@Kolak\_of\_Twilo](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Kolak_of_Twilo)\
**Post date:** [November 13, 2022, 2:19am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2022-us-senate-races/922327/1103 "2022-11-13T02:19:37Z")

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Cortez-Masto just declared the winner! Democrats retain control of the Senate!

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**Author:** ![flurb](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/f/51bf81/32.png) [@flurb](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/flurb)\
**Post date:** [November 13, 2022, 2:28am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2022-us-senate-races/922327/1104 "2022-11-13T02:28:20Z")

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As of this moment it looks like CNN and NBC News are projecting her the winner but other major outlets have not yet followed suit.

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**Author:** ![loriloolee](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/l/5fc32e/32.png) [@loriloolee](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/loriloolee)\
**Post date:** [November 13, 2022, 2:31am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2022-us-senate-races/922327/1105 "2022-11-13T02:31:14Z")

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MSNBC called it.

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**Author:** ![flurb](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/f/51bf81/32.png) [@flurb](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/flurb)\
**Post date:** [November 13, 2022, 2:31am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2022-us-senate-races/922327/1106 "2022-11-13T02:31:55Z")

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ABC News too now, looks like the dominos are falling.

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**Author:** ![romansperson](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/romansperson/32/17100_2.png) [@romansperson](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/romansperson)\
**Post date:** [November 13, 2022, 2:31am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2022-us-senate-races/922327/1107 "2022-11-13T02:31:57Z")

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NYT says Cortez-Masto has 481,659 to Laxalt’s 476,676, with \> 95% of votes counted, so just under 5,000 votes in her favor at this point.

(Also? There’s 11,877 votes marked ‘neither of these candidates’ listed on NYT’s site. That’s actually something you can choose on a ballot in NV?)

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**Author:** ![Ann\_Hedonia](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/ann_hedonia/32/319_2.png) [@Ann\_Hedonia](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Ann_Hedonia)\
**Post date:** [November 13, 2022, 2:33am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2022-us-senate-races/922327/1108 "2022-11-13T02:33:35Z")

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Nothing on Fox yet. I’m waiting for it.

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**Author:** ![loriloolee](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/l/5fc32e/32.png) [@loriloolee](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/loriloolee)\
**Post date:** [November 13, 2022, 2:35am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2022-us-senate-races/922327/1109 "2022-11-13T02:35:35Z")

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I’m wondering how long before we hear from TFG. I imagine he’s absolutely miserable and I can’t tell you just how much joy that brings me.

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**Author:** ![romansperson](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/romansperson/32/17100_2.png) [@romansperson](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/romansperson)\
**Post date:** [November 13, 2022, 2:46am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2022-us-senate-races/922327/1110 "2022-11-13T02:46:36Z")

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I think his unfavored daughter is getting married at his Florida property this weekend. Probably tons of fun for her right now.

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**Author:** ![romansperson](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/romansperson/32/17100_2.png) [@romansperson](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/romansperson)\
**Post date:** [November 13, 2022, 2:47am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2022-us-senate-races/922327/1111 "2022-11-13T02:47:27Z")

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NYT just called for Cortez-Masto.

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**Author:** ![Jas09](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/j/d07c76/32.png) [@Jas09](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Jas09)\
**Post date:** [November 13, 2022, 3:03am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2022-us-senate-races/922327/1112 "2022-11-13T03:03:00Z")

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> [@romansperson](#):
>
> Also? There’s 11,877 votes marked ‘neither of these candidates’ listed on NYT’s site. That’s actually something you can choose on a ballot in NV?

Yes, “None of the above” is a choice in NV. Odd, but actually kind of refreshing.

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**Author:** ![romansperson](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/romansperson/32/17100_2.png) [@romansperson](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/romansperson)\
**Post date:** [November 13, 2022, 3:06am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2022-us-senate-races/922327/1113 "2022-11-13T03:06:27Z")

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> [@Jas09](#):
>
> Yes, “None of the above” is a choice in NV. Odd, but actually kind of refreshing.

And probably a good idea - lets the vote counters know it wasn’t an accident you didn’t select someone there.

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<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![loriloolee](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/l/5fc32e/32.png) [@loriloolee](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/loriloolee)\
**Post date:** [November 13, 2022, 3:27am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2022-us-senate-races/922327/1114 "2022-11-13T03:27:18Z")

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> [@romansperson](#):
>
> And probably a good idea - lets the vote counters know it wasn’t an accident you didn’t select someone there.

I hadn’t thought about that. That’s an excellent point.

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**Author:** ![Sylvanz](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/s/fbc32d/32.png) [@Sylvanz](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Sylvanz)\
**Post date:** [November 13, 2022, 4:01am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2022-us-senate-races/922327/1115 "2022-11-13T04:01:58Z")

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She looks beautiful. (like a real person unlike most of the family) her father looks like he’s behaving.

I’m keeping my fingers crossed for Warnock. I think (hope) he will win. I wish Dems had a bigger majority, but at least they do have one which is better than some talking heads were predicting.

I honestly didn’t think it would be the “bloodbath” “red tsunami” whatever most people were predicting. Heh, I’m a bit giddy about it. I live in Trumpy town, and watching them grind their teeth is entertainment that can’t be beat. 😀

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**Author:** ![Elendil\_s\_Heir](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/e/7cd45c/32.png) [@Elendil\_s\_Heir](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Elendil_s_Heir)\
**Post date:** [November 13, 2022, 4:32am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2022-us-senate-races/922327/1116 "2022-11-13T04:32:41Z")

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Savor the moment!

Will Manchin and Sinema be any less pains in the ass in the Congress? Probably not… but if Warnock wins, too, they might lose a _little_ influence.

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**Author:** ![flurb](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/f/51bf81/32.png) [@flurb](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/flurb)\
**Post date:** [November 13, 2022, 4:55am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2022-us-senate-races/922327/1117 "2022-11-13T04:55:10Z")

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I have a lot more respect for Manchin than most on this board, but honestly, a 51 seat Democratic majority is great for both Manchin and Senate Democrats. It gives him more opportunities to vote against his Democratic colleagues to demonstrate his “independence” in an R+22 state, yet not prevent passage. It’s the Susan Collins formula.

As for Sinema – God only knows what her angle is.

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**Author:** ![Kolak\_of\_Twilo](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/kolak_of_twilo/32/73_2.png) [@Kolak\_of\_Twilo](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Kolak_of_Twilo)\
**Post date:** [November 13, 2022, 5:07am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2022-us-senate-races/922327/1118 "2022-11-13T05:07:04Z")

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Warnock winning means they will lose influence no doubt.

I definitely trust Manchin to be more of a team player than Sinema in a 51D-49R Senate.

Having said that, I’m going to suggest we let this angle die before it derails the thread yet again.

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**Author:** ![Red\_Wiggler](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/red_wiggler/32/13190_2.png) [@Red\_Wiggler](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Red_Wiggler)\
**Post date:** [November 13, 2022, 2:13pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2022-us-senate-races/922327/1119 "2022-11-13T14:13:47Z")

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I think if Sinema becomes an obstacle to passing good legislation too often in the next two years Arizona Dems may begin preparing a nasty surprise for her in the '24 primary. That threat alone may be enough to help her get with the program.

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**Author:** ![iiandyiiii](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/iiandyiiii/32/7924_2.png) [@iiandyiiii](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/iiandyiiii)\
**Post date:** [November 13, 2022, 3:46pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2022-us-senate-races/922327/1120 "2022-11-13T15:46:02Z")

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With 51 senators, Manchin and Sinema can strategically alternate being “mavericks” and “independent” without blocking anything.

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**Author:** ![flurb](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/f/51bf81/32.png) [@flurb](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/flurb)\
**Post date:** [November 15, 2022, 9:00pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2022-us-senate-races/922327/1121 "2022-11-15T21:00:14Z")

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So apparently Rick Scott is going to challenge McConnell for Republican Leader. Senate Republicans are due to elect their leadership tomorrow, although some conservatives are pushing to delay the vote until the AK and GA Senate elections are finalized.

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