# 2024 US House of Representatives elections **URL:** \ **Category:** Politics & Elections\ **Created:** [April 19, 2024, 6:01pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2024-us-house-of-representatives-elections/1000512 "2024-04-19T18:01:58Z")\ **Posts on this page:** 20\ **Page:** 1
**Author:** ![Elendil\_s\_Heir](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/e/7cd45c/32.png) [@Elendil\_s\_Heir](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Elendil_s_Heir)\ **Post date:** [April 19, 2024, 6:01pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2024-us-house-of-representatives-elections/1000512/1 "2024-04-19T18:01:58Z")
A thread suggested by **Railer13**. Some polling that may be of interest: > **[Generic ballot Polls](https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/generic-ballot/)** > > The latest political polls and polling averages from FiveThirtyEight. > **[2024 CPR House Race ratings | Cook Political Report](https://www.cookpolitical.com/ratings/house-race-ratings)** > **[House Election | Latest Polls | RealClearPolling](https://www.realclearpolling.com/latest-polls/house)** > > Explore up-to-date 2024 House Election polls on RealClearPolling. Gain valuable insights into the evolving political landscape and stay ahead of the latest trends. For the thread on the upper house: [2024 US Senate Elections](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2024-us-senate-elections/975149) ---
**Author:** ![Railer13](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/railer13/32/9742_2.png) [@Railer13](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Railer13)\ **Post date:** [April 19, 2024, 7:11pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2024-us-house-of-representatives-elections/1000512/2 "2024-04-19T19:11:03Z")
I suggested this thread in no small part because of the number of Congress People that are not running for re-election this November. The latest to announce his ‘retirement’ is Jake LaTurner, GOP from the 2nd district in Kansas. He’s just 36 years old, in his 2nd term in the House, and has been viewed as a rising star in the Kansas Republican circles. He may have his sights set elsewhere, but he has not announced any other future political plans. The district is solid Republican, especially after the city of Lawrence was gerrymandered out of the district and placed in the solidly rural first district. Hope, however, can spring eternal, especially if the Dems can find somebody with solid name recognition who wants to attempt a run at the House seat. ---
**Author:** ![Elendil\_s\_Heir](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/e/7cd45c/32.png) [@Elendil\_s\_Heir](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Elendil_s_Heir)\ **Post date:** [April 19, 2024, 7:48pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2024-us-house-of-representatives-elections/1000512/3 "2024-04-19T19:48:32Z")
By all means! Here’s more: [https://www.axios.com/2023/11/18/2024-senators-house-open-seats-reelection](https://www.axios.com/2023/11/18/2024-senators-house-open-seats-reelection) ---
**Author:** ![DrDeth](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/d/b487fb/32.png) [@DrDeth](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/DrDeth)\ **Post date:** [April 19, 2024, 8:01pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2024-us-house-of-representatives-elections/1000512/4 "2024-04-19T20:01:35Z")
One thing that will be a critical edge for the Democrats- trump has taken over the RNC for his own election and legal bills. The RNC and DNC often carefully spend funds on little known purple elections, making very strategic choices. The RNC won’t do that this election. How much will that make a difference? I think quite a bit. The GOP now has a one seat edge, the House can easily go Dem. ---
**Author:** ![Elendil\_s\_Heir](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/e/7cd45c/32.png) [@Elendil\_s\_Heir](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Elendil_s_Heir)\ **Post date:** [April 19, 2024, 8:26pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2024-us-house-of-representatives-elections/1000512/5 "2024-04-19T20:26:22Z")
Please, dear God, may it be so. ---
**Author:** ![flurb](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/f/51bf81/32.png) [@flurb](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/flurb)\ **Post date:** [April 19, 2024, 9:15pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2024-us-house-of-representatives-elections/1000512/6 "2024-04-19T21:15:04Z")
One thing that may help Republicans a bit is that the now-common-place round of mid-decennial redistricting has been in their favor. They all but guaranteed themselves three more seats (and a shot at a fourth) with an aggressive gerrymander in NC. Democrats are likely to pick up a seat each in LA and AL after courts ordered the creation of an additional minority opportunity district. Whereas NY Democrats completely whiffed – given the courts’ blessing to redistrict a judicially imposed map that saw several seats go Republican in 2022, the state Democrats who control the Legislature and the Governors’ office ended up making only minor changes. ---
**Author:** ![Loach](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/loach/32/350_2.png) [@Loach](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Loach)\ **Post date:** [April 24, 2024, 4:46pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2024-us-house-of-representatives-elections/1000512/7 "2024-04-24T16:46:37Z")
Donald Payne Jr just died in office. The district is about as firmly democratic as possible but it hurts the Ds until he’s replaced. He’s been in the hospital for a few weeks. > **[New Jersey Rep. Donald Payne Jr. dead at 65](https://thehill.com/homenews/house/4618099-donald-payne-jr-dead-new-jersey/amp/)** > > Rep. Donald Payne Jr. (D-N.J.), who represented New Jersey in the House for more than a decade, has died at the age of 65. New Jersey Gov. Phil Murphy (D) confirmed Payne’s death in a stateme… ---
**Author:** ![flurb](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/f/51bf81/32.png) [@flurb](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/flurb)\ **Post date:** [April 26, 2024, 8:36pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2024-us-house-of-representatives-elections/1000512/8 "2024-04-26T20:36:49Z")
I love his kind of shit – incumbent Rep. Bill Posey (R-Fla.) announced his retirement just after the deadline to file for the primary. And surprise, surprise, his hand-picked successor quietly filed to run just before the deadline. The maneuver ensures the successor will have no significant primary competition in an overwhelmingly Republican district. [https://www.politico.com/news/2024/04/26/florida-bill-posey-retirement-00154658](https://www.politico.com/news/2024/04/26/florida-bill-posey-retirement-00154658) ---
**Author:** ![Railer13](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/railer13/32/9742_2.png) [@Railer13](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Railer13)\ **Post date:** [April 26, 2024, 8:48pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2024-us-house-of-representatives-elections/1000512/9 "2024-04-26T20:48:15Z")
> [@Railer13](#): > > The district is solid Republican And the reddest of all Kansas Pubs has just filed for this soon-to-be-open seat. > **[Former Kansas AG Derek Schmidt joins Jeff Kahrs in Republican bid for U.S....](https://www.wibw.com/2024/04/26/former-kansas-ag-derek-schmidt-announces-bid-us-congress-seat/)** > > Former Kansas Attorney General Derek Schmidt, left, Friday announced his bid for U.S. Congress, joining Jeff Kahrs as Republican candidates in the race. Schmidt’s a real prick. ---
**Author:** ![Saint\_Cad](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/saint_cad/32/18907_2.png) [@Saint\_Cad](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Saint_Cad)\ **Post date:** [April 26, 2024, 9:09pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2024-us-house-of-representatives-elections/1000512/10 "2024-04-26T21:09:49Z")
Huge might be Colorado D3 and D8 . D3 barely went MAGA with Boebert who has left the district and is running in D4. D8 barely went Democratic (2000 vote difference) and the Republican candidate Barbara Kirkmeyer made a few fumbles during the election, namely being anti-abortion even for incest and rape and then came out saying it’s ok for incest and rape. Either party can pick up a seat which may be huge if we have a split like we do now. ---
**Author:** ![flurb](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/f/51bf81/32.png) [@flurb](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/flurb)\ **Post date:** [May 1, 2024, 1:31pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2024-us-house-of-representatives-elections/1000512/11 "2024-05-01T13:31:14Z")
A three-judge panel overturned Louisianna’s Congressional map yesterday, throwing into chaos what congressional districts will look like just six months before the general election. The Louisianna legislature had just rewritten the maps in January under a federal court order to produce an additional “minority opportunity” district to comply with Voting Rights Act requirements. This federal court panel ruled 2-1 that the new map violates constitutional Equal Protection requirements. The two judges in the majority are both Trump appointees. > **[Federal court blocks Louisiana's latest congressional map - Roll Call](https://rollcall.com/2024/04/30/federal-court-blocks-louisianas-latest-congressional-map/)** > > A three-judge federal court in Louisiana stopped the state on Tuesday from using its new congressional map. ---
**Author:** ![Red\_Wiggler](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/red_wiggler/32/13190_2.png) [@Red\_Wiggler](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Red_Wiggler)\ **Post date:** [May 1, 2024, 2:54pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2024-us-house-of-representatives-elections/1000512/12 "2024-05-01T14:54:52Z")
My periodic and probably annoying reminder that while there are things we can do to slightly improve districting processes, we can not really resolve the problem as long as we insist on having single member districts. Every districting process that winds up in court is a testament to systemic failure. ---
**Author:** ![flurb](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/f/51bf81/32.png) [@flurb](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/flurb)\ **Post date:** [June 19, 2024, 1:33pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2024-us-house-of-representatives-elections/1000512/13 "2024-06-19T13:33:48Z")
Freedom Caucus Chairman Bob Good – one of the infamous eight Republicans who voted to oust Kevin McCarthy – faced a primary election yesterday that is still too close to call. With nearly 98% of votes counted, he trails is his opponent by 0.6%. His opponent was backed both by allies of Kevin McCarthy as well as Trump. > **[Virginia 5th District primary election results 2024 live updates](https://www.washingtonpost.com/elections/results/2024/06/18/virginia-house-district-5-primary/)** > > See live election results and maps of the 2024 Virginia 5th Congressional District primary from The Washington Post. ---
**Author:** ![Loach](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/loach/32/350_2.png) [@Loach](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Loach)\ **Post date:** [June 19, 2024, 3:11pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2024-us-house-of-representatives-elections/1000512/14 "2024-06-19T15:11:02Z")
> [@flurb](#): > > Freedom Caucus Chairman Bob Good – one of the infamous eight Republicans who voted to oust Kevin McCarthy – faced a primary election yesterday that is still too close to call. With nearly 98% of votes counted, he trails is his opponent by 0.6%. His opponent was backed both by allies of Kevin McCarthy as well as Trump. > > [Virginia 5th District primary election results 2024 live updates | The Washington Post](https://www.washingtonpost.com/elections/results/2024/06/18/virginia-house-district-5-primary/) Looks like no good choices. ---
**Author:** ![Elendil\_s\_Heir](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/e/7cd45c/32.png) [@Elendil\_s\_Heir](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Elendil_s_Heir)\ **Post date:** [June 19, 2024, 10:41pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2024-us-house-of-representatives-elections/1000512/15 "2024-06-19T22:41:23Z")
Name your (electoral) poison! ---
**Author:** ![Love\_Rhombus](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/love_rhombus/32/10694_2.png) [@Love\_Rhombus](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Love_Rhombus)\ **Post date:** [June 20, 2024, 12:09pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2024-us-house-of-representatives-elections/1000512/16 "2024-06-20T12:09:27Z")
You’ll all be happy to know that George Santos, Superfood to late-night comedians everywhere, has just created an OnlyFans account. As is common with people running for elected office. At least the infamy can only help his independent bid. ---
**Author:** ![flurb](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/f/51bf81/32.png) [@flurb](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/flurb)\ **Post date:** [June 26, 2024, 2:33am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2024-us-house-of-representatives-elections/1000512/17 "2024-06-26T02:33:45Z")
New York Democratic Representative and “Squad” member Jamaal Bowman lost his primary in NY today. In what was the most expensive House primary in history, he lost to Westchester County Executive George Latimer who was massively backed by the American Israel Public Affairs Committee’s (AIPAC). AIPAC had targeted Bowman over his positions and rhetoric on Israel. ---
**Author:** ![flurb](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/f/51bf81/32.png) [@flurb](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/flurb)\ **Post date:** [June 26, 2024, 2:36am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2024-us-house-of-representatives-elections/1000512/18 "2024-06-26T02:36:09Z")
And sadly it looks like Lauren Boebert’s carpetbagging paid off, as he is projected to win the Republican primary in Colorado’s 4th District. She is almost certain to win the general election in this strongly Republican district. ---
**Author:** ![Elendil\_s\_Heir](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/e/7cd45c/32.png) [@Elendil\_s\_Heir](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Elendil_s_Heir)\ **Post date:** [June 26, 2024, 4:25am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2024-us-house-of-representatives-elections/1000512/19 "2024-06-26T04:25:05Z")
He or she? She, I’d say. ---
**Author:** ![Loach](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/loach/32/350_2.png) [@Loach](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Loach)\ **Post date:** [June 26, 2024, 4:28am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2024-us-house-of-representatives-elections/1000512/20 "2024-06-26T04:28:44Z")
> [@flurb](#): > > New York Democratic Representative and “Squad” member Jamaal Bowman lost his primary in NY today. In what was the most expensive House primary in history, he lost to Westchester County Executive George Latimer who was massively backed by the American Israel Public Affairs Committee’s (AIPAC). AIPAC had targeted Bowman over his positions and rhetoric on Israel. I can believe it was expensive. There were commercials just about every break from one or the other. The commercial I saw over and over was pushing when Bowman went against Biden, nothing about Israel. [Next page](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2024-us-house-of-representatives-elections/1000512.md?page=2)