# 2024 US House of Representatives elections **URL:** \ **Category:** Politics & Elections\ **Created:** [April 19, 2024, 6:01pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2024-us-house-of-representatives-elections/1000512 "2024-04-19T18:01:58Z")\ **Posts on this page:** 20\ **Page:** 2
**Author:** ![NDP](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/ndp/32/55_2.png) [@NDP](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/NDP)\ **Post date:** [June 26, 2024, 5:28am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2024-us-house-of-representatives-elections/1000512/21 "2024-06-26T05:28:10Z")
New York Democratic Representative and “Squad” member Jamaal Bowman lost his primary in NY today. In what was the most expensive House primary in history, he lost to Westchester County Executive George Latimer who was massively backed by the American Israel Public Affairs Committee’s (AIPAC). AIPAC had targeted Bowman over his positions and rhetoric on Israel. How solidly Democratic is this district? Is there a chance a significant number of Bowman voters will stay home in November and tip it to the Republican nominee? ---
**Author:** ![Loach](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/loach/32/350_2.png) [@Loach](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Loach)\ **Post date:** [June 26, 2024, 5:32am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2024-us-house-of-representatives-elections/1000512/22 "2024-06-26T05:32:15Z")
> [@NDP](#): > > New York Democratic Representative and “Squad” member Jamaal Bowman lost his primary in NY today. In what was the most expensive House primary in history, he lost to Westchester County Executive George Latimer who was massively backed by the American Israel Public Affairs Committee’s (AIPAC). AIPAC had targeted Bowman over his positions and rhetoric on Israel. > > How solidly Democratic is this district? Is there a chance a significant number of Bowman voters will stay home in November and tip it to the Republican nominee? Very solidly blue. Last election Bowman won with 64% of the vote against the same republican candidate that is running this year. ---
**Author:** ![Jophiel](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/jophiel/32/66_2.png) [@Jophiel](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Jophiel)\ **Post date:** [June 26, 2024, 5:38am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2024-us-house-of-representatives-elections/1000512/23 "2024-06-26T05:38:48Z")
> [@NDP](#): > > How solidly Democratic is this district? Is there a chance a significant number of Bowman voters will stay home in November and tip it to the Republican nominee? Political blogger Taegan Goddard lives in that district and noted that (a) almost all of Bowman’s record setting spending in the race was funded outside the district and (b) that George Latimer is an extremely skilled retail politician with an authentic connection to the people in his district and thirty years political experience in that region. ---
**Author:** ![Darren\_Garrison](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/darren_garrison/32/92_2.png) [@Darren\_Garrison](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Darren_Garrison)\ **Post date:** [June 26, 2024, 6:13am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2024-us-house-of-representatives-elections/1000512/24 "2024-06-26T06:13:20Z")
This is the guy who “accidentally” pulled a fire alarm that time. > [@Government shutdown watch fall 2023 edition](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/government-shutdown-watch-fall-2023-edition/989657/128): > > Always make sure no security camera is watching you before you “accidentally” pull a fire alarm. ---
**Author:** ![Babale](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/babale/32/15666_2.png) [@Babale](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Babale)\ **Post date:** [June 26, 2024, 1:19pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2024-us-house-of-representatives-elections/1000512/25 "2024-06-26T13:19:33Z")
> [@Jophiel](#): > > (a) almost all of Bowman’s record setting spending in the race was funded outside the district And yet, im his concession speech, Bowman claimed that his “opponentS” beat him, rather than his “opponent”. But I guess it’s fine because honest American progressives backed Bowman while Latimer’s backers have “dual loyalties” or something. 🙄 ---
**Author:** ![flurb](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/f/51bf81/32.png) [@flurb](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/flurb)\ **Post date:** [June 26, 2024, 1:23pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2024-us-house-of-representatives-elections/1000512/26 "2024-06-26T13:23:26Z")
> [@Jophiel](#): > > Political blogger Taegan Goddard lives in that district and noted that (a) almost all of Bowman’s record setting spending in the race was funded outside the district and (b) that George Latimer is an extremely skilled retail politician with an authentic connection to the people in his district and thirty years political experience in that region. To be fair, almost all of the spending supporting Latimer came from outside the district as well – pro-Israeli PACs spent more than $16 million on defeating Bowman. ---
**Author:** ![Babale](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/babale/32/15666_2.png) [@Babale](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Babale)\ **Post date:** [June 26, 2024, 1:27pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2024-us-house-of-representatives-elections/1000512/27 "2024-06-26T13:27:23Z")
> [@flurb](#): > > To be fair, almost all of the spending supporting Latimer came from outside the district as well But Bowman has been very intentionally trying to paint the scenario as if this is a case of a grassroots local movement vs outside spending, and if all of his money came from the outside as well, that kinda deflates the whole narrative. ---
**Author:** ![flurb](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/f/51bf81/32.png) [@flurb](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/flurb)\ **Post date:** [June 26, 2024, 1:29pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2024-us-house-of-representatives-elections/1000512/28 "2024-06-26T13:29:00Z")
Fair point. It was also a bad night for Trump-endorsements generally, as his preferred candidates lost in both SC 3rd and CO 5th, as well as the Utah Senate primary. ---
**Author:** ![Elendil\_s\_Heir](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/e/7cd45c/32.png) [@Elendil\_s\_Heir](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Elendil_s_Heir)\ **Post date:** [July 3, 2024, 4:51pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2024-us-house-of-representatives-elections/1000512/29 "2024-07-03T16:51:27Z")
More fallout from Biden’s disastrous first debate. > **[Democrats fear Biden could jeopardize their chances of flipping the House |...](https://www.cnn.com/2024/07/03/politics/democrats-house-biden/index.html)** > > In the days since President Joe Biden’s disappointing debate performance, a number of Democrats running in competitive districts have expressed their fear to the Biden campaign and the White House that the president remaining at the top of the ticket... ---
**Author:** ![Leaper](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/l/4bbf92/32.png) [@Leaper](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Leaper)\ **Post date:** [July 28, 2024, 9:01pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2024-us-house-of-representatives-elections/1000512/30 "2024-07-28T21:01:53Z")
I think it’s time for reexamination of this, given recent events. Now that there’s a surge in the opposite direction, how do we think those downballot races are affected? ---
**Author:** ![DrDeth](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/d/b487fb/32.png) [@DrDeth](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/DrDeth)\ **Post date:** [July 28, 2024, 9:05pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2024-us-house-of-representatives-elections/1000512/31 "2024-07-28T21:05:41Z")
The GOP is gonna have problems- the RNC is now a 100% trump tool. However, one job of the DNC and RNC is to ID smaller down ballot races that can be affected by modest amounts of campaigning. ---
**Author:** ![flurb](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/f/51bf81/32.png) [@flurb](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/flurb)\ **Post date:** [August 7, 2024, 5:19am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2024-us-house-of-representatives-elections/1000512/32 "2024-08-07T05:19:42Z")
Cori Bush becomes the second member of the “Squad” to be ejected in her primary this year by an opponent supported by pro-Israel lobbying groups. > **[Cori Bush becomes second 'Squad' member to lose 2024 primary as Democrats...](https://www.usatoday.com/story/news/politics/elections/2024/08/06/cori-bush-loses-primary/74677311007/)** > > It was the second most expensive House primary in U.S. history, after the contest for Rep. Jamaal Bowman's Bronx-area seat this year. ---
**Author:** ![Loach](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/loach/32/350_2.png) [@Loach](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Loach)\ **Post date:** [August 7, 2024, 5:29am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2024-us-house-of-representatives-elections/1000512/33 "2024-08-07T05:29:07Z")
> [@flurb](#): > > Cori Bush becomes the second member of the “Squad” to be ejected in her primary this year by an opponent supported by pro-Israel lobbying groups. > > [Cori Bush loses St. Louis primary in race defined by Israel criticism](https://www.usatoday.com/story/news/politics/elections/2024/08/06/cori-bush-loses-primary/74677311007/) The result might be linked to the campaign funding of both races. Or maybe Bowman just had a little fire alarm problem. ---
**Author:** ![JKellyMap](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/jkellymap/32/15880_2.png) [@JKellyMap](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/JKellyMap)\ **Post date:** [August 7, 2024, 10:20am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2024-us-house-of-representatives-elections/1000512/34 "2024-08-07T10:20:37Z")
The 538 list (updated often) of individual House race polls is here: > **[U.S. House : 2024 Polls](https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/house/2024/)** > > The latest political polls and polling averages from FiveThirtyEight. 538 also has a running nationwide aggregate percentage for “generic congressional ballot” (“would you prefer a D or an R in Congress?”) – I’m not sure if they’re including the Senate in this. It’s been roughly tied for a while, until this past week (i,e, since August 1); now the Ds are on the upswing, but still only up by 0.6%. ---
**Author:** ![flurb](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/f/51bf81/32.png) [@flurb](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/flurb)\ **Post date:** [August 7, 2024, 1:31pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2024-us-house-of-representatives-elections/1000512/35 "2024-08-07T13:31:42Z")
> [@Loach](#): > > The result might be linked to the campaign funding of both races. Or maybe Bowman just had a little fire alarm problem. There was a ton of money spent against them, but there was also a ton of money spent against them when they first won their seats. Why was it effective now? ---
**Author:** ![wguy123](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/wguy123/32/3161_2.png) [@wguy123](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/wguy123)\ **Post date:** [August 7, 2024, 3:06pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2024-us-house-of-representatives-elections/1000512/36 "2024-08-07T15:06:23Z")
Dan Newhouse who was one of the few Republicans to vote to impeach Trump over 1/6 will most likely be on the Nov ballot. However, one of the TWO Trump endorsed MAGA candidates in the primary has more votes as of today. Adding on the votes from the other Trump MAGA endorsee should assure him an easy victory come November. Also, does Trump typically endorse multiple people in the same race? Guess it ups your chances of picking a winner. > **[Republicans Jerrod Sessler, Dan Newhouse on track to advance in central WA's...](https://www.spokesman.com/stories/2024/aug/06/republicans-jerrod-sessler-dan-newhouse-on-track-t/)** > > Two Republicans appeared on track to advance in Tuesday’s top-two primary and face off to represent central Washington’s 4th Congressional District in November’s general election. ---
**Author:** ![Railer13](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/railer13/32/9742_2.png) [@Railer13](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Railer13)\ **Post date:** [August 7, 2024, 5:11pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2024-us-house-of-representatives-elections/1000512/37 "2024-08-07T17:11:41Z")
> [@wguy123](#): > > Also, does Trump typically endorse multiple people in the same race? He did this year. > Trump-endorsed candidate Lieutenant Governor Mike Kehoe won the Missouri governor’s race on Tuesday, defeating two other conservative candidates endorsed by the former president. They included Missouri’s secretary of state, Jay Ashcroft, the son of the former Missouri governor and U.S. senator and attorney general John Ashcroft. > > Meanwhile, in Missouri’s attorney general race, Trump endorsed both incumbent Andrew Bailey and his challenger, Trump attorney Will Scharf, with Bailey winning last night’s primary, winning 63 percent to Scharf’s 37 percent. [Link from Newsweek](https://www.newsweek.com/donald-trump-primaries-maga-truth-social-1935898) ---
**Author:** ![Loach](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/loach/32/350_2.png) [@Loach](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Loach)\ **Post date:** [August 7, 2024, 7:27pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2024-us-house-of-representatives-elections/1000512/38 "2024-08-07T19:27:26Z")
> [@wguy123](#): > > Dan Newhouse who was one of the few Republicans to vote to impeach Trump over 1/6 will most likely be on the Nov ballot. However, one of the TWO Trump endorsed MAGA candidates in the primary has more votes as of today. Adding on the votes from the other Trump MAGA endorsee should assure him an easy victory come November. > > Also, does Trump typically endorse multiple people in the same race? Guess it ups your chances of picking a winner. > > [Republicans Jerrod Sessler, Dan Newhouse on track to advance in central WA's 4th Congressional District | The Spokesman-Review](https://www.spokesman.com/stories/2024/aug/06/republicans-jerrod-sessler-dan-newhouse-on-track-t/) He doesn’t care who wins as long as they bend the knee. ---
**Author:** ![flurb](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/f/51bf81/32.png) [@flurb](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/flurb)\ **Post date:** [August 14, 2024, 12:14pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2024-us-house-of-representatives-elections/1000512/39 "2024-08-14T12:14:32Z")
The last member of the Squad to face a contested primary this year – Ilhan Omar – easily defeated her challenger and will almost certainly be reelected in the general election in November. Unlike Jamaal Bowman and Cory Bush, AIPAC kept out of this one and Omar herself proved to be a proficient fundraiser. ---
**Author:** ![Babale](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/babale/32/15666_2.png) [@Babale](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Babale)\ **Post date:** [August 14, 2024, 1:46pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2024-us-house-of-representatives-elections/1000512/40 "2024-08-14T13:46:41Z")
> [@flurb](#): > > There was a ton of money spent against them, but there was also a ton of money spent against them when they first won their seats. Why was it effective now? Because this time the money is “evil Jewish money, spoooooky!”. [Previous page](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2024-us-house-of-representatives-elections/1000512.md?page=1) [Next page](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2024-us-house-of-representatives-elections/1000512.md?page=3)