# 2024 US Senate Elections

**URL:** <https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2024-us-senate-elections/975149>\
**Category:** Politics & Elections\
**Created:** [November 18, 2022, 3:41pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2024-us-senate-elections/975149 "2022-11-18T15:41:02Z")\
**Posts on this page:** 20\
**Page:** 21

<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![Precambrianmollusc](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/precambrianmollusc/32/63_2.png) [@Precambrianmollusc](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Precambrianmollusc)\
**Post date:** [October 17, 2024, 2:12am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2024-us-senate-elections/975149/401 "2024-10-17T02:12:59Z")

</div>

> [@DrDeth](#):
>
> _mandate drag shows on military bases_ doesnt cut it for you as crazy enuf?

This is Texas, we have reset the bar when listening to Ted Cruz and talking about drag shows counts as an erudite and comprehensive analysis of Alreds policy positions, that barely flickers the crazy meter

---

<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![dtilque](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/d/d6d6ee/32.png) [@dtilque](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/dtilque)\
**Post date:** [October 17, 2024, 8:48am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2024-us-senate-elections/975149/402 "2024-10-17T08:48:35Z")

</div>

WaPo (gift) article on the Osborn-Fischer Nebraska Senate campaign:

[https://wapo.st/488frxG](https://wapo.st/488frxG)

Hmm, that’s not coming up in OneBox or whatever it’s called. Here’s the title

# Democrats thought their Senate hopes were dead. They were just in Nebraska.

---

<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![PhillyGuy](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/p/ed655f/32.png) [@PhillyGuy](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/PhillyGuy)\
**Post date:** [October 20, 2024, 12:42am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2024-us-senate-elections/975149/403 "2024-10-20T00:42:22Z")

</div>

Is this an actual Bob Casey ad, or some kind of deepfake?

> **[Independent](https://host2.adimpact.com/admo/viewer/a0143526-0c76-44cd-82b0-ca6b50b04959)**
>
> Casey for PA Senate started airing this Positive ad about Casey for PA Senate on 10/18/24 in the PA Senate 2024 General election.

> [@](#):
>
> Casey bucked Biden to protect fracking and he sided with Trump to end NAFTA and put tariffs on China to stop them from cheating. So, in this house, we agree it’s Bob Casey who’s doing right by Pennsylvania. I’m Bob Casey and I definitely approve this message.

I voted for Casey last week, but I definitely do NOT approve this message.

---

<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![bordelond](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/bordelond/32/150_2.png) [@bordelond](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/bordelond)\
**Post date:** [October 20, 2024, 8:27pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2024-us-senate-elections/975149/404 "2024-10-20T20:27:21Z")

</div>

Prognosticators have written off US Senator John Tester (D-MT) too early:

> **[Montana GOP candidate who could flip control of Senate nagged by claims he...](https://www.yahoo.com/news/montana-gop-candidate-could-flip-230041710.html?.tsrc=daily_mail&segment_id=DY_VTO&ncid=crm_19908-1202929-20241020-0&bt_user_id=xZESgThBlZGec6ygdmWrt6X7VhBWu%2FeRfrga%2FOS0VZjNkwRTrolVJxQ2rabrJcSJ&bt_ts=1729434719944)**
>
> A former Park Service ranger said Friday that U.S. Senate hopeful Tim Sheehy of Montana has been lying about a bullet wound that the candidate said came from fighting in Afghanistan — going public with an accusation that has nagged the Republican’s...

---

<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![flurb](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/f/51bf81/32.png) [@flurb](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/flurb)\
**Post date:** [October 24, 2024, 9:45pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2024-us-senate-elections/975149/405 "2024-10-24T21:45:55Z")

</div>

Based on what they perceive in early voting trends, national groups supporting GOP Senate candidates are reducing their investment in Montana (a probably sign that they feel confident Sheehy will beat Tester) while pumping additional funding into the Nevada Senate race.

[What Republicans’ money moves mean for the battle for Senate control](https://www.politico.com/live-updates/2024/10/24/2024-elections-live-coverage-updates-analysis/gop-money-moves-senate-nevada-montana-00185363)

---

<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![Loach](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/loach/32/350_2.png) [@Loach](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Loach)\
**Post date:** [October 25, 2024, 2:49am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2024-us-senate-elections/975149/406 "2024-10-25T02:49:27Z")

</div>

I feel like I’m part of the Texas senate race because I keep getting texts from Ted Cruz asking for money.

Since I’m not actually in Texas I haven’t been too exposed to Colin Allred. I recently looked at some clips of their debate and he was very impressive.

---

<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![PhillyGuy](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/p/ed655f/32.png) [@PhillyGuy](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/PhillyGuy)\
**Post date:** [October 25, 2024, 3:04am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2024-us-senate-elections/975149/407 "2024-10-25T03:04:34Z")

</div>

> [@bordelond](#):
>
> Prognosticators have written off US Senator John Tester (D-MT) too early:

Maybe, except it seems like a rehash of an old story. The main difference seems to be that the WaPo anonymous source has come forward.

This is admittedly a doozy:

> [@](#):
>
> Sheehy said he fell while hiking at Glacier and injured his arm, then concocted the story about the bullet wound to cover up the fact that the 2012 incident may have been friendly fire. He said he didn’t want members of his SEAL unit in Afghanistan to suffer any consequences.

I think it important for the Navy to investigate friendly fire incidents to see if there is a lesson to be learned. Isn’t impeding such an investigation a breach of military discipline?

.

---

<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![dtilque](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/d/d6d6ee/32.png) [@dtilque](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/dtilque)\
**Post date:** [October 26, 2024, 5:55pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2024-us-senate-elections/975149/408 "2024-10-26T17:55:25Z")

</div>

Gift link to a WaPO article on Dan Osborn, the independent running for Senate in Nebraska. One thing is that he insists he won’t caucus with either party if he wins.

> **[Opinion | Republicans Assumed a Nebraska Senate Seat Was Safe. Then This...](https://www.nytimes.com/2024/10/25/opinion/nebraska-senate-dan-osborn.html?unlocked_article_code=1.VE4.fd0f.vNBjlsrj5QoY&smid=url-share)**
>
> Nebraska’s Senate race is far closer than anyone predicted.

---

<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![Loach](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/loach/32/350_2.png) [@Loach](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Loach)\
**Post date:** [October 26, 2024, 5:58pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2024-us-senate-elections/975149/409 "2024-10-26T17:58:45Z")

</div>

> [@dtilque](#):
>
> Gift link to a WaPO article on Dan Osborn, the independent running for Senate in Nebraska. One thing is that he insists he won’t caucus with either party if he wins.
> 
> [https://www.nytimes.com/2024/10/25/opinion/nebraska-senate-dan-osborn.html?unlocked\_article\_code=1.VE4.fd0f.vNBjlsrj5QoY&smid=url-share](https://www.nytimes.com/2024/10/25/opinion/nebraska-senate-dan-osborn.html?unlocked_article_code=1.VE4.fd0f.vNBjlsrj5QoY&smid=url-share)

Does that mean he wouldn’t get any committee assignments?

---

<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![DSeid](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/dseid/32/20194_2.png) [@DSeid](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/DSeid)\
**Post date:** [October 26, 2024, 6:00pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2024-us-senate-elections/975149/410 "2024-10-26T18:00:26Z")

</div>

> [@dtilque](#):
>
> One thing is that he insists he won’t caucus with either party if he wins.

If he and Harris both win, and the Senate is 50 to 49 R advantage if he does not caucus D but tied with VP as tiebreaker, will he stay true to that promise, or bargain for huge power?

---

<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![dtilque](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/d/d6d6ee/32.png) [@dtilque](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/dtilque)\
**Post date:** [October 26, 2024, 6:16pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2024-us-senate-elections/975149/411 "2024-10-26T18:16:08Z")

</div>

I just realized I called it a WaPO article by mistake. It’s a NYT article.

> [@Loach](#):
>
> Does that mean he wouldn’t get any committee assignments?

Normally, yes. Who knows what will happen if the scenario DSeid laid out actually occurs.

---

<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![flurb](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/f/51bf81/32.png) [@flurb](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/flurb)\
**Post date:** [October 26, 2024, 7:07pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2024-us-senate-elections/975149/412 "2024-10-26T19:07:58Z")

</div>

> [@DSeid](#):
>
> If he and Harris both win, and the Senate is 50 to 49 R advantage if he does not caucus D but tied with VP as tiebreaker, will he stay true to that promise, or bargain for huge power?

This is a Senate rules and precedents nerd’s (there are dozens of us, Michael!) dream scenario. How do you determine the Majority Leader? How do you craft an organizing resolution (which can be filibustered)?

Certainly, in this scenario Osborn could name his ticket. I’m a little surprised he doesn’t make this more of his messaging in the campaign: “Vote for Deb Fisher and the most you get is the Chairmanship of the Senate Committee on Rules and Administration. Vote for me, and I’ll relocate the Pentagon to Omaha.”

---

<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![Guest-starring\_Id](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/guest-starring_id/32/21736_2.png) [@Guest-starring\_Id](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Guest-starring_Id)\
**Post date:** [October 26, 2024, 7:37pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2024-us-senate-elections/975149/413 "2024-10-26T19:37:41Z")

</div>

> [@flurb](#):
>
> …I’ll relocate the Pentagon to Omaha

No - Norad. Omaha gets Norad.

---

<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![DrDeth](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/d/b487fb/32.png) [@DrDeth](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/DrDeth)\
**Post date:** [October 26, 2024, 8:13pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2024-us-senate-elections/975149/414 "2024-10-26T20:13:25Z")

</div>

> [@dtilque](#):
>
> One thing is that he insists he won’t caucus with either party if he wins.
> 
> [https://www.nytimes.com/2024/10/25/opinion/nebraska-senate-dan-osborn.html?unlocked\_article\_code=1.VE4.fd0f.vNBjlsrj5QoY&smid=url-share](https://www.nytimes.com/2024/10/25/opinion/nebraska-senate-dan-osborn.html?unlocked_article_code=1.VE4.fd0f.vNBjlsrj5QoY&smid=url-share)

You pretty much have to, or you wont get any committee seats.

> [@Loach](#):
>
> Does that mean he wouldn’t get any committee assignments?

Pretty much.

I think what he means is that he will caucus with whatever side wins.

---

<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![thorny\_locust](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/thorny_locust/32/431_2.png) [@thorny\_locust](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/thorny_locust)\
**Post date:** [October 26, 2024, 9:04pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2024-us-senate-elections/975149/415 "2024-10-26T21:04:53Z")

</div>

> [@DrDeth](#):
>
> I think what he means is that he will caucus with whatever side wins

What he might mean is that he wants everybody to vote for him in the hope that he’ll caucus with their side.

---

<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![dtilque](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/d/d6d6ee/32.png) [@dtilque](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/dtilque)\
**Post date:** [October 26, 2024, 10:57pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2024-us-senate-elections/975149/416 "2024-10-26T22:57:29Z")

</div>

> [@Guest-starring\_Id](#):
>
> No - Norad. Omaha gets Norad.

They already have USSTRATCOM. What more do they want?

Anyway, this guy is running as an extreme outsider, which is why the insistance on not caucusing with either party. If he wins, we’ll see how long that lasts once he gets to Washington.

---

<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![Chronos](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/chronos/32/134_2.png) [@Chronos](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Chronos)\
**Post date:** [October 26, 2024, 11:09pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2024-us-senate-elections/975149/417 "2024-10-26T23:09:19Z")

</div>

My guess is he comes up with some arrangement (probably with the cooperation of whichever side he chooses) where he’s doing something that isn’t officially called “caucusing”, but has exactly the same practical effect.

---

<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![Stratocaster](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/stratocaster/32/16393_2.png) [@Stratocaster](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Stratocaster)\
**Post date:** [October 27, 2024, 12:56am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2024-us-senate-elections/975149/418 "2024-10-27T00:56:48Z")

</div>

That was my thought. Lone wolves don’t get anything done. Plus, wasting the power his win would give him—the likely majority maker—would be idiocy.

---

<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![jsc1953](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/j/5daacb/32.png) [@jsc1953](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/jsc1953)\
**Post date:** [October 29, 2024, 2:42pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2024-us-senate-elections/975149/419 "2024-10-29T14:42:38Z")

</div>

I received junk mail from the Nevada Republicans (addressed to “…or current resident”) breathlessly exclaiming that “A vote for Jacky Rosen is a vote against President Trump!” “She voted to impeach him and she’ll vote against him in the Senate!”

Not seeing a downside. Sounds like a win-win.

---

<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![Elendil\_s\_Heir](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/e/7cd45c/32.png) [@Elendil\_s\_Heir](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Elendil_s_Heir)\
**Post date:** [October 29, 2024, 9:56pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2024-us-senate-elections/975149/420 "2024-10-29T21:56:14Z")

</div>

LOL. My response would be, “And…?”

[Previous page](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2024-us-senate-elections/975149.md?page=20)

[Next page](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2024-us-senate-elections/975149.md?page=22)
