# 2024 US Senate Elections

**URL:** <https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2024-us-senate-elections/975149>\
**Category:** Politics & Elections\
**Created:** [November 18, 2022, 3:41pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2024-us-senate-elections/975149 "2022-11-18T15:41:02Z")\
**Posts on this page:** 20\
**Page:** 23

<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![mozchron](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/m/c2a13f/32.png) [@mozchron](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/mozchron)\
**Post date:** [November 7, 2024, 9:39pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2024-us-senate-elections/975149/441 "2024-11-07T21:39:52Z")

</div>

Casey loses. Damn.

Fuck the Green and Liberation parties.

---

<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![That\_Don\_Guy](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/that_don_guy/32/538_2.png) [@That\_Don\_Guy](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/That_Don_Guy)\
**Post date:** [November 7, 2024, 10:13pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2024-us-senate-elections/975149/442 "2024-11-07T22:13:49Z")

</div>

New York Times and CNN apparently haven’t gotten the memo yet (5:15 Eastern, Thursday) - and isn’t there an automatic recount in PA if it’s this close?

---

<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![mozchron](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/m/c2a13f/32.png) [@mozchron](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/mozchron)\
**Post date:** [November 7, 2024, 10:14pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2024-us-senate-elections/975149/443 "2024-11-07T22:14:55Z")

</div>

Maybe? idk

---

<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![DrDeth](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/d/b487fb/32.png) [@DrDeth](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/DrDeth)\
**Post date:** [November 7, 2024, 10:19pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2024-us-senate-elections/975149/444 "2024-11-07T22:19:19Z")

</div>

> [@mozchron](#):
>
> Fuck the Green and Liberation parties.

Yep, Casey loses by around 32000 votes. Green got 64000, and Libertarian got 87K. If the Green party votes went to Casey, he would have won.

Those minor parties are hurting America.

---

<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![That\_Don\_Guy](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/that_don_guy/32/538_2.png) [@That\_Don\_Guy](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/That_Don_Guy)\
**Post date:** [November 7, 2024, 10:21pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2024-us-senate-elections/975149/445 "2024-11-07T22:21:38Z")

</div>

Don’t expect Ranked Choice Voting in red states any time soon…

---

<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![flurb](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/f/51bf81/32.png) [@flurb](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/flurb)\
**Post date:** [November 7, 2024, 10:33pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2024-us-senate-elections/975149/446 "2024-11-07T22:33:06Z")

</div>

> [@That\_Don\_Guy](#):
>
> New York Times and CNN apparently haven’t gotten the memo yet (5:15 Eastern, Thursday) - and isn’t there an automatic recount in PA if it’s this close?

If the margin is 0.5% or less.

---

<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![jsc1953](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/j/5daacb/32.png) [@jsc1953](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/jsc1953)\
**Post date:** [November 7, 2024, 11:26pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2024-us-senate-elections/975149/447 "2024-11-07T23:26:29Z")

</div>

Ranked choice voting just got shot down in Nevada.

---

<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![Elendil\_s\_Heir](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/e/7cd45c/32.png) [@Elendil\_s\_Heir](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Elendil_s_Heir)\
**Post date:** [November 8, 2024, 4:24am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2024-us-senate-elections/975149/448 "2024-11-08T04:24:40Z")

</div>

And everywhere it was on the ballot except Washington, D.C., I believe.

---

<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![Marvin\_the\_Martian](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/marvin_the_martian/32/2898_2.png) [@Marvin\_the\_Martian](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Marvin_the_Martian)\
**Post date:** [November 8, 2024, 9:20pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2024-us-senate-elections/975149/449 "2024-11-08T21:20:28Z")

</div>

> [@hajario](#):
>
> I’ll take any result that doesn’t have Lake

It’s starting to get tight, Gallego up about 41k with up to 725k ballots left to count. The slow counting in AZ has been complicated by the two-sheet (four page) ballot (thanks to a crap ton of ballot measures put on by the legislature) which is taking longer to process than the usual single-sheet (two page) ballot. The drip-drip-drip will continue through the weekend.

Then of course if Lake loses she will spend at least the next two years filing court challenges. The last challenges she filed about her 2022 governor’s race loss just got tossed this week.

---

<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![flurb](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/f/51bf81/32.png) [@flurb](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/flurb)\
**Post date:** [November 9, 2024, 6:05am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2024-us-senate-elections/975149/450 "2024-11-09T06:05:47Z")

</div>

Nevada has been called for Democrat Jacky Rosen, leaving only Arizona uncalled.

> **[Democratic US Sen. Jacky Rosen is reelected in Nevada, securing battleground...](https://apnews.com/article/nevada-senate-election-race-2024-f6646cfc6bdfb00d78897322cd25ae44)**
>
> Nevada Democratic Sen. Jacky Rosen won reelection, beating Republican Sam Brown in a tight but unusually quiet race for the battleground state.

---

<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![Marvin\_the\_Martian](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/marvin_the_martian/32/2898_2.png) [@Marvin\_the\_Martian](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Marvin_the_Martian)\
**Post date:** [November 10, 2024, 8:04pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2024-us-senate-elections/975149/451 "2024-11-10T20:04:56Z")

</div>

Gallego is currently up 48k with somewhere between 300k and 400k left to count. Just under 300k are just awaiting tabulation: 124k in Maricopa (strong Gallego lean), 87k in Pima (very strong Gallego lean), 30k in each of Cochise, Yuma, and Yavapai (all very strong Lake lean). Newsmax has called for Gallego, not aware of anyone else calling yet.

Also 68k early ballots still being processed (a chunk of these are awaiting “curing”) and 44k provisionals (many of which will not be counted).

Still have my fingers crossed about the one uncalled house race, with the R leading by 2500 votes but waiting on votes from Pima and Cochise counties. If the D makes a comeback that would be a flip.

---

<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![hajario](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/hajario/32/171_2.png) [@hajario](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/hajario)\
**Post date:** [November 10, 2024, 9:20pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2024-us-senate-elections/975149/452 "2024-11-10T21:20:01Z")

</div>

Some outlets have already called it for Gallego.

---

<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![Marvin\_the\_Martian](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/marvin_the_martian/32/2898_2.png) [@Marvin\_the\_Martian](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Marvin_the_Martian)\
**Post date:** [November 11, 2024, 6:23am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2024-us-senate-elections/975149/453 "2024-11-11T06:23:44Z")

</div>

Gallego sitting with a 66k lead (2.2%) lead. Lake would have to take 62% of the remaining votes, most of which are coming from Maricopa and Pima counties. Very unlikely.

That sound you hear is Kari Lake revving up her election denial machine. Not sure if it is going to get any traction this time. It mainly ran up attorney’s fees last time around.

---

<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![Marvin\_the\_Martian](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/marvin_the_martian/32/2898_2.png) [@Marvin\_the\_Martian](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Marvin_the_Martian)\
**Post date:** [November 12, 2024, 5:41am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2024-us-senate-elections/975149/454 "2024-11-12T05:41:29Z")

</div>

AP, NBC, and CNN call the race for Gallego.

AZ 6th Congressional District still not called, but R is up 4900 votes. Possible D flip, but looking less possible than ever.

---

<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![aurora\_maire](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/aurora_maire/32/328_2.png) [@aurora\_maire](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/aurora_maire)\
**Post date:** [November 12, 2024, 6:00am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2024-us-senate-elections/975149/455 "2024-11-12T06:00:10Z")

</div>

> [@Marvin\_the\_Martian](#):
>
> That sound you hear is Kari Lake revving up her election denial machine. Not sure if it is going to get any traction this time.

She can’t go with “rigged election” this time since Trump has sanctioned this election as a-ok. Guess she’s just a loser. And we know what Trump thinks of that so good-bye to her political career. At least someone in this nightmare gets what they deserve.

---

<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![flurb](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/f/51bf81/32.png) [@flurb](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/flurb)\
**Post date:** [November 12, 2024, 2:46pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2024-us-senate-elections/975149/456 "2024-11-12T14:46:44Z")

</div>

With the Gallego call, we know (absent some sort of miracle in PA) the final disposition of the Senate – 53 Republicans and 47 Democrats. There may still be some changes in personnel should Trump appoint some Republican Senators to his Administratio (e.g. Rubio), but they’ll all certainly be from states where a Republican Governor can appoint their replacement.

It’s hard to overstate how much of a disaster this is. With Romney gone, only Collins and Murkowski remain of those Senators occasionally willing to push back on Trump during his first term. And with the VP tiebreaker, Republicans can lose up to three Republican Senators on any vote. All of Trump’s nominees are getting confirmed. This is actually great for Collins (who’s up in 2026) – she can freely vote against a few nominees to demonstrate her “independence” without riling up the base too much since they’ll be confirmed anyway.

I think it’s likely that the filibuster on legislation will be nuked this term. Whoever the new Majority Leaders is, he’ll be in a weaker position than McConnell was vis-a-vis his caucus. When Trump starts loudly demanding that Republicans kill the filibuster on some key component of his agenda, Senate Republicans will oblige. Susan Collins will wail at the incivility of it all.

It’s going to be a long two years (most likely four years, quite possibly six years and more).

---

<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![Elendil\_s\_Heir](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/e/7cd45c/32.png) [@Elendil\_s\_Heir](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Elendil_s_Heir)\
**Post date:** [November 12, 2024, 6:04pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2024-us-senate-elections/975149/457 "2024-11-12T18:04:55Z")

</div>

> [@aurora\_maire](#):
>
> > [@Marvin\_the\_Martian](#):
> >
> > That sound you hear is Kari Lake revving up her election denial machine. Not sure if it is going to get any traction this time.
> 
> She can’t go with “rigged election” this time since Trump has sanctioned this election as a-ok. Guess she’s just a loser. And we know what Trump thinks of that so good-bye to her political career. At least someone in this nightmare gets what they deserve.

I suspect she’ll say the election was A-OK in showing that Trump carried Arizona, but completely crooked, corrupt and stolen as to her run for the U.S. Senate. Cognitive dissonance is part of the goddamn GOP brand these days.

---

<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![thorny\_locust](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/thorny_locust/32/431_2.png) [@thorny\_locust](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/thorny_locust)\
**Post date:** [November 12, 2024, 7:02pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2024-us-senate-elections/975149/458 "2024-11-12T19:02:59Z")

</div>

Yeah. There were plenty of them last time claiming the election was rigged because Biden won it, but was obviously entirely fair when they themselves won it – on the same ballots.

---

<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![Elendil\_s\_Heir](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/e/7cd45c/32.png) [@Elendil\_s\_Heir](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Elendil_s_Heir)\
**Post date:** [November 21, 2024, 6:33pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2024-us-senate-elections/975149/459 "2024-11-21T18:33:16Z")

</div>

Meanwhile, in the Keystone State:

> **[Recount in Senate race between Bob Casey and Dave McCormick now underway in...](https://6abc.com/post/philadelphia-county-board-elections-begins-us-senate-race-recount-between-bob-casey-david-mccormick/15563050/)**
>
> A ballot recount is underway in Philadelphia and across Pennsylvania as the result of the U.S. Senate race in the state remains up in the air.

---

<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![Elendil\_s\_Heir](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/e/7cd45c/32.png) [@Elendil\_s\_Heir](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Elendil_s_Heir)\
**Post date:** [November 21, 2024, 7:06pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2024-us-senate-elections/975149/460 "2024-11-21T19:06:20Z")

</div>

Very, very sorry to see Sen. Sherrod Brown lose here in Ohio. His thoughts now: [https://www.politico.com/news/magazine/2024/11/16/sherrod-brown-democrats-00189956](https://www.politico.com/news/magazine/2024/11/16/sherrod-brown-democrats-00189956)

[Previous page](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2024-us-senate-elections/975149.md?page=22)

[Next page](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2024-us-senate-elections/975149.md?page=24)
