# 2024 US Senate Elections

**URL:** <https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2024-us-senate-elections/975149>\
**Category:** Politics & Elections\
**Created:** [November 18, 2022, 3:41pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2024-us-senate-elections/975149 "2022-11-18T15:41:02Z")\
**Posts on this page:** 20\
**Page:** 3

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**Author:** ![BobLibDem](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/boblibdem/32/3149_2.png) [@BobLibDem](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/BobLibDem)\
**Post date:** [March 28, 2023, 7:12pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2024-us-senate-elections/975149/41 "2023-03-28T19:12:08Z")

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Thanks, Tester. I wouldn’t discount Sherrod Brown in Ohio- the state may be reddening but if you add enough orange it could turn purplish enough to rescue Brown. Between draconian abortion laws and the specter or the orange menace, it could be a blue wave year.

Thanks, Warren. I like her a lot and she’s got great ideas, but people don’t want ideas. They want someone who can win and I don’t think she can win the presidency.

My hopes for keeping the Senate are pretty high for what looks like a real crappy Senate map in 2024. I don’t see any vulnerable Republican seats so we need to keep guys like Tester around.

The one I worry about is AZ, where Sinema pre-emptively avoided a primary loss by dropping out of the party. Will she siphon off enough D votes to throw the seat to Republicans?

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**Author:** ![flurb](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/f/51bf81/32.png) [@flurb](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/flurb)\
**Post date:** [March 28, 2023, 7:53pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2024-us-senate-elections/975149/42 "2023-03-28T19:53:00Z")

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Senator Steve Daines (head of the National Republican Senatorial Committee this cycle) gave an interview this weekend basically saying that if Republicans whiff again this election, they’ll likely be shut out of power in the Senate for a decade. The not-so-subtle message to the base being, “don’t nominate unelectable whack jobs if you ever want to see conservative judges appointed again.” Will they listen? Remains to be seen.

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**Author:** ![Lance\_Turbo](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/lance_turbo/32/6156_2.png) [@Lance\_Turbo](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Lance_Turbo)\
**Post date:** [March 29, 2023, 12:14am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2024-us-senate-elections/975149/43 "2023-03-29T00:14:36Z")

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I bet Steve Daines is glad that they typically rotate this position every two years.

> **[Trump suggests he would ‘fight like hell’ for Greene if she ran for Senate](https://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/3918324-trump-suggests-he-would-fight-like-hell-for-greene-if-she-ran-for-senate/)**
>
> Former President Trump suggested on Saturday that he would “fight like hell” for Rep. Marjorie Taylor Greene (R-Ga.) if she were to run for Senate. “Would you like to run for the Senate?” Tru…

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**Author:** ![That\_Don\_Guy](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/that_don_guy/32/538_2.png) [@That\_Don\_Guy](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/That_Don_Guy)\
**Post date:** [March 29, 2023, 6:30pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2024-us-senate-elections/975149/44 "2023-03-29T18:30:02Z")

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> [@flurb](#):
>
> Senator Steve Daines (head of the National Republican Senatorial Committee this cycle) gave an interview this weekend basically saying that if Republicans whiff again this election, they’ll likely be shut out of power in the Senate for a decade. The not-so-subtle message to the base being, “don’t nominate unelectable whack jobs if you ever want to see conservative judges appointed again.” Will they listen? Remains to be seen.

The question may become, would somebody who isn’t an “unelectable whack job” necessarily vote to confirm a conservative judge? Unfortunately, any “litmus test” probably went out the window when at least one justice who testified that they considered Roe as “settled law” then voted to reconsider it.

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**Author:** ![flurb](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/f/51bf81/32.png) [@flurb](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/flurb)\
**Post date:** [April 12, 2023, 1:39pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2024-us-senate-elections/975149/45 "2023-04-12T13:39:59Z")

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Democratic Wisconsin Senator Tammy Baldwin announcing today that she will run for reelection. This is obviously good news for Democrats – even after the comfortable margin in the state Supreme Court race, Wisconsin remains a closely politically divided state.

> **[Wisconsin Sen. Tammy Baldwin launches run for 3rd term](https://www.msn.com/en-us/news/politics/wisconsin-sen-tammy-baldwin-launches-run-for-3rd-term/ar-AA19LoOF?ocid=msedgdhp&pc=U531&cvid=a9b3c7ce65fe4f3cbbf879c3a4d92cdd&ei=8)**
>
> MADISON, Wis. (AP) — Democratic U.S. Sen. Tammy Baldwin, who spearheaded legislation to protect same-sex and interracial marriages last year, announced on Wednesday that she is seeking a third term in battleground Wisconsin. Baldwin, 60, said in a...

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**Author:** ![flurb](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/f/51bf81/32.png) [@flurb](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/flurb)\
**Post date:** [April 27, 2023, 4:14pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2024-us-senate-elections/975149/46 "2023-04-27T16:14:33Z")

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West Virginia Governor Jim Justice has registered to run against Joe Manchin for the WV Senate seat. He’ll have primary opposition — Republican Rep Alex Mooney has declared — but Justice is one of the most popular governors in the country and has a net worth of $450 million or so. He will be heavily, heavily by favored in a Presidential election year.

I’d be surprised if Manchin runs for reelection now. He won his last race by 3 points in the blue wave 2018 midterm election against a lackluster opponent. Trump won WV by 40 points in 2020 and whoever the Republican candidate is next year will likely do the same. Trying to outpace that while your half-a-billionaire opponent drops millions of dollars in negative advertising on you can’t be fun. This seat is likely gone.

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**Author:** ![That\_Don\_Guy](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/that_don_guy/32/538_2.png) [@That\_Don\_Guy](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/That_Don_Guy)\
**Post date:** [May 1, 2023, 8:09pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2024-us-senate-elections/975149/47 "2023-05-01T20:09:08Z")

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[Maryland Senator Ben Cardin will not seek re-election for a fourth term in 2024](https://www.cnn.com/2023/05/01/politics/cardin-retirement-reelection-decision/index.html)

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<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![flurb](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/f/51bf81/32.png) [@flurb](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/flurb)\
**Post date:** [May 1, 2023, 8:28pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2024-us-senate-elections/975149/48 "2023-05-01T20:28:12Z")

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Almost certainly a safe Democratic seat, although I’m sure that Republicans will try to tempt former Governor Larry Hogan into the race.

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**Author:** ![Lance\_Turbo](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/lance_turbo/32/6156_2.png) [@Lance\_Turbo](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Lance_Turbo)\
**Post date:** [May 1, 2023, 10:48pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2024-us-senate-elections/975149/49 "2023-05-01T22:48:41Z")

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Michael Steele could maybe win as a Republican in Maryland. He might be the sane Republican everyone keeps talking about and he’s a former Lieutenant Governor of the state.

Still long odds.

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**Author:** ![Kolak\_of\_Twilo](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/kolak_of_twilo/32/73_2.png) [@Kolak\_of\_Twilo](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Kolak_of_Twilo)\
**Post date:** [May 2, 2023, 2:56am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2024-us-senate-elections/975149/50 "2023-05-02T02:56:16Z")

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I could see Michael Steele in the U.S. Senate. What I can’t see is him ever again running as a Republican.

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<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![Lance\_Turbo](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/lance_turbo/32/6156_2.png) [@Lance\_Turbo](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Lance_Turbo)\
**Post date:** [May 2, 2023, 3:03am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2024-us-senate-elections/975149/51 "2023-05-02T03:03:13Z")

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He’d need like a 16 person primary field to get the nom too.

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<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![flurb](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/f/51bf81/32.png) [@flurb](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/flurb)\
**Post date:** [May 2, 2023, 3:08am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2024-us-senate-elections/975149/52 "2023-05-02T03:08:36Z")

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Some good news in Texas: US Rep Colin Allred is planning to announce for U.S. Senate against Ted Cruz. Yes, Texas is still a red state. But Allred has the resume that can make him competitive – former NFL player, government experience in the Obama Administration, and he won his seat by knocking off an incumbent Republican in the traditionally-GOP Dallas suburbs.

It’ll still be an uphill climb – especially in a Presidential election year. But the only way Texas Democrats are going to break through is by promoting promising talents like Allred instead of the geriatric, accommodationists Democrats broken by decades of GOP one-party rule who dominate the state party.

> **[Texas Rep. Colin Allred prepares challenge to Sen. Ted Cruz - Roll Call](https://rollcall.com/2023/05/01/texas-rep-colin-allred-prepares-challenge-to-sen-ted-cruz/)**
>
> Democratic Rep. Colin Allred, a former NFL player, is preparing to seek the nomination to challenge GOP Sen. Ted Cruz in Texas next year.

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<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![Lance\_Turbo](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/lance_turbo/32/6156_2.png) [@Lance\_Turbo](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Lance_Turbo)\
**Post date:** [May 2, 2023, 3:48am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2024-us-senate-elections/975149/53 "2023-05-02T03:48:34Z")

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> [@flurb](#):
>
> US Rep Colin Allred is planning to announce for U.S. Senate against Ted Cruz.

I like this a lot. Has potential.

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<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![Lance\_Turbo](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/lance_turbo/32/6156_2.png) [@Lance\_Turbo](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Lance_Turbo)\
**Post date:** [May 3, 2023, 12:15pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2024-us-senate-elections/975149/54 "2023-05-03T12:15:00Z")

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Colin Allred campaign launch ad…

> <https://twitter.com/ColinAllredTX/status/1653727403536183301>

Not bad.

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<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![flurb](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/f/51bf81/32.png) [@flurb](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/flurb)\
**Post date:** [May 3, 2023, 1:08pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2024-us-senate-elections/975149/55 "2023-05-03T13:08:05Z")

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Yeah, I’m a big fan of Allred, if only because he got into office by knocking off Pete Sessions. He’s got a good biography and politically he’s right where a Democrat should be to be successful statewide – moderate in his positions but not trying to hide the fact that he’s a Democrat. And he doesn’t come across as loopy as Beto could at times.

Still, it shouldn’t be underestimated how much of an uphill climb he faces. Texas is as “purple” as it’s been in decades, but that’s still at best a deeply red shade of purple. Republicans in the Legislature are busy right now passing bills to game the system, including a law that would allow our (Republican-appointed) Secretary of State to seize control of election administration from counties (a bill clearly aimed at Harris County i.e. Houston). Also, Cruz won’t be as distracted and caught with his pants down as he was last time.

I’m greatly hoping that Allred can beat the odds and will be doing what I can to make it happen!

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<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![Elendil\_s\_Heir](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/e/7cd45c/32.png) [@Elendil\_s\_Heir](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Elendil_s_Heir)\
**Post date:** [May 3, 2023, 2:32pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2024-us-senate-elections/975149/56 "2023-05-03T14:32:22Z")

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That’d be awesome, if he can pull it off.

CNN’s latest projections:

> **[The 10 Senate seats most likely to flip in 2024 | CNN Politics](https://www.cnn.com/2023/04/30/politics/senate-race-rankings-may-elections/index.html)**
>
> Opportunity is ripe for Republicans to win back the Senate next year -- if they can land the candidates to pull it off.

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<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![Paul\_was\_in\_Saudi](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/p/b77776/32.png) [@Paul\_was\_in\_Saudi](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Paul_was_in_Saudi)\
**Post date:** [May 3, 2023, 11:00pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2024-us-senate-elections/975149/57 "2023-05-03T23:00:27Z")

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Democratic Senator Ben Cardin of Maryland has said he will retire. His seat is now open for 2024.

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<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![That\_Don\_Guy](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/that_don_guy/32/538_2.png) [@That\_Don\_Guy](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/That_Don_Guy)\
**Post date:** [May 4, 2023, 7:19pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2024-us-senate-elections/975149/58 "2023-05-04T19:19:03Z")

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Gee, where have I heard that before?

> [@2024 US Senate Elections](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2024-us-senate-elections/975149/47):
>
> [Maryland Senator Ben Cardin will not seek re-election for a fourth term in 2024](https://www.cnn.com/2023/05/01/politics/cardin-retirement-reelection-decision/index.html)

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<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![flurb](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/f/51bf81/32.png) [@flurb](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/flurb)\
**Post date:** [May 23, 2023, 1:58pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2024-us-senate-elections/975149/59 "2023-05-23T13:58:04Z")

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Democratic Delaware Senator Tom Carper announcing that he will not seek reelection next year after four terms in the Senate. Of note, Carper is the only remaining Vietnam veteran serving in the Senate. While Delaware used to be willing to elect moderate Republicans like William Roth (of the Roth IRA), those days are long gone.

> **[Sen. Tom Carper will not run for fifth term in Delaware next year - Roll Call](https://rollcall.com/2023/05/22/sen-tom-carper-will-not-run-for-fifth-term-in-delaware-next-year/)**
>
> Sen. Thomas R. Carper won't seek another term. He is the fourth Democratic senator to announce plans to retire.

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<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![Lance\_Turbo](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/lance_turbo/32/6156_2.png) [@Lance\_Turbo](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Lance_Turbo)\
**Post date:** [May 24, 2023, 9:40pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2024-us-senate-elections/975149/60 "2023-05-24T21:40:29Z")

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This is just the break the ‘I am not a witch’ campaign was waiting for.

> **['I'm Not A Witch,' Republican Candidate Christine O'Donnell Tells Delaware...](https://www.npr.org/sections/thetwo-way/2010/10/05/130353168/-i-m-not-a-witch-republican-senate-candidate-christine-o-donnell-says-in-new-ad)**
>
> The ad is in response to a video clip of her, from 'Politically Incorrect,' in which she claimed to have 'dabbled into witchcraft' earlier in her life.

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