# 2025 NJ Gubernatorial Election
**URL:** https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2025-nj-gubernatorial-election/1019338
**Category:** Politics & Elections
**Created:** [June 8, 2025, 4:50pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2025-nj-gubernatorial-election/1019338 "2025-06-08T16:50:17Z")
**Posts on this page:** 20
**Page:** 2
### Author:  [@RitterSport](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/RitterSport)
#### Post date: [June 11, 2025, 1:43am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2025-nj-gubernatorial-election/1019338/21 "2025-06-11T01:43:00Z")
I believe you. For me, she’s well known, since she’s my congresswoman.
I have to believe, though, that this presidential administration has been so disastrous that people can’t go for someone endorsed by that clown. But, who knows.
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### Author:  [@Loach](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Loach)
#### Post date: [June 11, 2025, 1:50am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2025-nj-gubernatorial-election/1019338/22 "2025-06-11T01:50:29Z")
> [@RitterSport](#):
>
> I believe you. For me, she’s well known, since she’s my congresswoman.
>
> I have to believe, though, that this presidential administration has been so disastrous that people can’t go for someone endorsed by that clown. But, who knows.
Unfortunately I have to deal with Tom Kean Jr. I have the feeling that like Jack he’s not a true MAGA believer but they know it’s the only way to win a primary right now.
You would think that everyone would have jumped ship right now but that’s not what I’m seeing. Hopefully enough voter regret to lead to an easy victory
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### Author:  [@RitterSport](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/RitterSport)
#### Post date: [June 11, 2025, 2:03am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2025-nj-gubernatorial-election/1019338/23 "2025-06-11T02:03:25Z")
Tom Kean is the emptiest of empty suits. I met him when he was running for something around me.
Half of his voters probably thinks they’re voting for his father.
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### Author:  [@Loach](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Loach)
#### Post date: [June 11, 2025, 10:27pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2025-nj-gubernatorial-election/1019338/24 "2025-06-11T22:27:39Z")
Unfortunately this probably means Bill Spada will return to radio.
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### Author:  [@Hari\_Seldon](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Hari_Seldon)
#### Post date: [June 11, 2025, 10:57pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2025-nj-gubernatorial-election/1019338/25 "2025-06-11T22:57:48Z")
Trump won’t be on the ballot. That should keep a lot of the deplorables home. That seems to be the Votemaster’s take.
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### Author:  [@Loach](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Loach)
#### Post date: [June 15, 2025, 12:51am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2025-nj-gubernatorial-election/1019338/26 "2025-06-15T00:51:34Z")
I very much disagree. His supporters rabidly support him and will come out for his candidate. I hope that a lot more on the other side will be motivated to come out and vote. Too many stayed home last election
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### Author:  [@Loach](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Loach)
#### Post date: [July 31, 2025, 1:30am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2025-nj-gubernatorial-election/1019338/27 "2025-07-31T01:30:45Z")
A Farleigh Dickenson poll came out giving Sherrill an 8 point lead, 45-37. That does not comfort me. Ciattarelli was behind by 20 Something after the primary in the last election and wound up losing by 3%.
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### Author:  [@RitterSport](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/RitterSport)
#### Post date: [July 31, 2025, 11:52am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2025-nj-gubernatorial-election/1019338/28 "2025-07-31T11:52:26Z")
That is way closer than I would have expected! Hopefully it will widen out when people start paying closer attention.
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### Author:  [@Loach](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Loach)
#### Post date: [August 5, 2025, 8:16pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2025-nj-gubernatorial-election/1019338/29 "2025-08-05T20:16:07Z")
> [@RitterSport](#):
>
> That is way closer than I would have expected! Hopefully it will widen out when people start paying closer attention.
Lately my feelings about political races have been spot on, and not in a way I like. My current feeling is the governorship will flip. Due to running multiple times he has more name recognition. Murphy isn’t popular. She is going to be seen as an extension of Murphy’s policies. Still solidly blue but not nearly what it was. It’s always been the case that if the people aren’t happy they blame the executive. That’s how a blue state could get Whitman and Christie.
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### Author:  [@RitterSport](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/RitterSport)
#### Post date: [August 5, 2025, 8:29pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2025-nj-gubernatorial-election/1019338/30 "2025-08-05T20:29:53Z")
And, NJ isn’t even really super blue.
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### Author:  [@Loach](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Loach)
#### Post date: [November 5, 2025, 2:45am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2025-nj-gubernatorial-election/1019338/31 "2025-11-05T02:45:47Z")
It’s been called for Sherrell. It will be interesting to see what the final percentage will be. Some last minute polls were showing a dead heat. It doesn’t look to be that close. I don’t think either ran a particularly good campaign. I hope the main reason for the win is because he bent the knee and had to keep kissing Trump’s ass. Could be a good sign for next year.
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### Author:  [@Kolak\_of\_Twilo](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Kolak_of_Twilo)
#### Post date: [November 5, 2025, 2:51am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2025-nj-gubernatorial-election/1019338/32 "2025-11-05T02:51:11Z")
Last I saw it was looking like a decisive victory - 56% Sherrill and 43% Ciattarelli with 73% of the vote counted.
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### Author:  [@What\_Exit](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/What_Exit)
#### Post date: [November 5, 2025, 2:52am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2025-nj-gubernatorial-election/1019338/33 "2025-11-05T02:52:48Z")
Damn good news.
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### Author:  [@JRDelirious](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/JRDelirious)
#### Post date: [November 5, 2025, 3:04am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2025-nj-gubernatorial-election/1019338/34 "2025-11-05T03:04:57Z")
> [@Loach](#):
>
> Some last minute polls were showing a dead heat. It doesn’t look to be that close.
Yeah, the homestretch chatter made it look closer than it turned out to be (similarly in Virginia).
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### Author:  [@Loach](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Loach)
#### Post date: [November 5, 2025, 3:06am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2025-nj-gubernatorial-election/1019338/35 "2025-11-05T03:06:24Z")
> [@Kolak\_of\_Twilo](#):
>
> Last I saw it was looking like a decisive victory - 56% Sherrill and 43% Ciattarelli with 73% of the vote counted.
Yes it looks like a much bigger margin than some of the polls. During the last election Ciattarelli was much closer than that. 3% I think. This is a big victory. Hopefully it’s the last time we hear about Jack.
If I read things right there will have to be special election for Sherrill’s seat in Congress. Her district is not a sure thing for the Democratic Party.
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### Author:  [@RitterSport](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/RitterSport)
#### Post date: [November 5, 2025, 3:22am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2025-nj-gubernatorial-election/1019338/36 "2025-11-05T03:22:07Z")
I think the Dems will have no problem keeping that seat.
I’m posting here to ask what happened with the polls? They were like 1%, 3% difference, and it’s looking like the margin will be around 13% for Sherrill. Spanberger in VA was showing a consistent big lead, but polling in NJ was super close.
What went wrong with the pollsters? Or, will the remaining districts make it closer than it is now?
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### Author:  [@Kolak\_of\_Twilo](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Kolak_of_Twilo)
#### Post date: [November 5, 2025, 3:24am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2025-nj-gubernatorial-election/1019338/37 "2025-11-05T03:24:46Z")
Clearly voter fraud. All the illegals being allowed to vote skewed the polls. /s
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### Author:  [@Loach](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Loach)
#### Post date: [November 5, 2025, 3:31am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2025-nj-gubernatorial-election/1019338/38 "2025-11-05T03:31:36Z")
> [@Kolak\_of\_Twilo](#):
>
> Clearly voter fraud. All the illegals being allowed to vote skewed the polls. /s
Don’t forget the drones.
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### Author:  [@What\_Exit](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/What_Exit)
#### Post date: [November 5, 2025, 1:36pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2025-nj-gubernatorial-election/1019338/39 "2025-11-05T13:36:59Z")
So both Sherrill and Spanberger won their races.
Spanberger will become Virginia’s first female governor.
These are a blue and blue leaning state respectively but still good to see wide margins in both.
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### Author:  [@RitterSport](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/RitterSport)
#### Post date: [November 5, 2025, 1:40pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2025-nj-gubernatorial-election/1019338/40 "2025-11-05T13:40:13Z")
I’m not sure which is bluer these days – VA seems super blue lately.
Do you think anyone will do a post-mortem of the polling miss? I don’t think any recent polls had anything like this blowout.
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