Guys like A-Rod, Bonds, Clemens, and Rose were (and still are) seen as egotistical jerks, which is probably not that uncommon among top-level athletes, but I think it’s also the case that their denials have held far more weight with the voters than their insincere apologies.
So, when they consider those guys, it’s not only “you did this bad thing,” but also “and I have a hard time viewing you sympathetically.”
Jones was one of the greatest defensive centerfielders I’ve ever seen. He also let himself get out of shape and basically pissed away his talent after he turned 30.
Thinking more about this, and it makes me think that there are two general paths for players who are stars early, but don’t continue playing at that level.
The guys who just seem to hit a wall (often around age 30, like Andruw Jones), and/or get injured and are never the same afterwards – but either way, they keep playing for a number of years, at a substantially lower level than they had before. Players in this camp who come to mind are Dale Murphy and Fred Lynn.
The guys who are still playing at a high level, and are forced to suddenly retire due to injury or illness. Sandy Koufax and Lou Gehrig are the poster children for this, but I’d put Kirby Puckett into this group, too.
I may not be correct in this analysis, but it seems to me that HoF voters are more willing to reject guys in Group 1, maybe in part due to the non-awesome second halves of their careers, while Group 2 is seen more sympathetically.
To be fair, Sandy Koufax and Lou Gehrig were rather EXTREME cases of peak value. Mad props to Dale Murphy but his MVP years weren’t even without shouting distance of the peak years of Gehrig or Koufax.
However… you may be on to something. There are other examples too though that are not guys with the dominance of Koufax or Gehrig - Dizzy Dean comes to mind. Dizzy is an odd choice, to say the least. He’s precisely as qualified as, say, Johan Santana or Tim Lincecum.
what you and others have pointed out is what irritates me about voters for HoF, using personality instead of objective on the field results (would Ty Cobb be elected today based on his conduct on and off the field?). Same thing with Albert Belle not being selected for All-Star games because of his “attitude” despite his convincing stats
One of the things I’ve learned in recent years (largely thanks to baseball experts here, like @RickJay ) is that a lot of the modern popular knowledge about Cobb – in particular, things like racism – were likely inflated, if not fabricated entirely, by certain writers, especially Al Stump, who wrote a very critical biography about Cobb shortly after his death; that portrayal has remained, and been inflated by things like the 1994 movie about him.
He was an intense player, and an intense person, but his reputation was likely slandered.
A more relevant, modern-day example: Curt Schilling.
Performance-wise, Schilling had a pretty good case for the Hall. He had eight straight seasons with a bWAR of 4.9 or better, and six with a 6.0+. Six All-Star teams, came in second place for the Cy Young three times, and earned three World Series rings.
He topped out at 71% of the votes in his 9th year on the ballot, but it’s pretty clear that he lost support due to, frankly, being an argumentative asshole and a generally miserable human being, especially in recent years.
Regardless, the Hall of Fame, famously, does have the “character clause” in its guidance to voters on what to consider in candidates. So, the Hall itself tells voters to consider things beyond “objective on the field results.”
Schilling’s open hostility and shady business dealings post-career are clearly what has kept him out. He was extremely respected DURING his career. (In my opinion, he should be in; he is a dickfuck, but not in any way that seems to have affected his value or honesty as a ballplayer. He was a great pitcher who helped many teams win.)
Cobb, by comparison, was not really in any sort of controversy at all AFTER his career. His most prominent baseball opinion in retirement was his limitless admiration of Roy Campanella.