# 20th Annual Super Bowl Early Picks Thread

**URL:** <https://boards.straightdope.com/t/20th-annual-super-bowl-early-picks-thread/977939>\
**Category:** The Game Room\
**Tags:** football-nfl\
**Created:** [January 9, 2023, 8:13pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/20th-annual-super-bowl-early-picks-thread/977939 "2023-01-09T20:13:23Z")\
**Posts on this page:** 20\
**Page:** 2

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**Author:** ![borschevsky](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/b/97f17d/32.png) [@borschevsky](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/borschevsky)\
**Post date:** [January 10, 2023, 4:15pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/20th-annual-super-bowl-early-picks-thread/977939/21 "2023-01-10T16:15:23Z")

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Chargers 31, 49ers 27

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**Author:** ![Jackmannii](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/jackmannii/32/311_2.png) [@Jackmannii](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Jackmannii)\
**Post date:** [January 10, 2023, 4:21pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/20th-annual-super-bowl-early-picks-thread/977939/22 "2023-01-10T16:21:46Z")

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49ers 23, Bills 20.\*

\*Given my track record, this prediction virtually assures that both teams will suffer early playoff upsets.

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**Author:** ![ShadowFacts](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/shadowfacts/32/2934_2.png) [@ShadowFacts](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/ShadowFacts)\
**Post date:** [January 10, 2023, 4:24pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/20th-annual-super-bowl-early-picks-thread/977939/23 "2023-01-10T16:24:19Z")

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Eagles 30, Bengals 28

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**Author:** ![AlsoNamedBort](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/alsonamedbort/32/3213_2.png) [@AlsoNamedBort](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/AlsoNamedBort)\
**Post date:** [January 10, 2023, 4:43pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/20th-annual-super-bowl-early-picks-thread/977939/24 "2023-01-10T16:43:05Z")

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Ugh, forgot to post the tiebreakers _again_

The tiebreakers:

1. Picked both teams, got winner correct
2. Picked both teams, got winner wrong
3. Picked winner correctly
4. Picked loser correctly
5. Closest to individual scores
6. Closest to predicted margin of victory

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**Author:** ![Frosted\_Glass](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/frosted_glass/32/3926_2.png) [@Frosted\_Glass](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Frosted_Glass)\
**Post date:** [January 10, 2023, 4:48pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/20th-annual-super-bowl-early-picks-thread/977939/25 "2023-01-10T16:48:11Z")

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Bills 24, Seahawks 17

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**Author:** ![Telemark](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/telemark/32/372_2.png) [@Telemark](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Telemark)\
**Post date:** [January 10, 2023, 5:04pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/20th-annual-super-bowl-early-picks-thread/977939/26 "2023-01-10T17:04:16Z")

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Chiefs 33, 49ers 23

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**Author:** ![garygnu](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/garygnu/32/2924_2.png) [@garygnu](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/garygnu)\
**Post date:** [January 10, 2023, 5:04pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/20th-annual-super-bowl-early-picks-thread/977939/27 "2023-01-10T17:04:38Z")

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49ers 33, Bills 17

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**Author:** ![racer72](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/racer72/32/3075_2.png) [@racer72](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/racer72)\
**Post date:** [January 10, 2023, 5:12pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/20th-annual-super-bowl-early-picks-thread/977939/28 "2023-01-10T17:12:15Z")

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Vikings 21, Bills 20

One of these teams will have to win a SB one day.

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**Author:** ![Jasmine](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/jasmine/32/2964_2.png) [@Jasmine](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Jasmine)\
**Post date:** [January 10, 2023, 5:14pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/20th-annual-super-bowl-early-picks-thread/977939/29 "2023-01-10T17:14:10Z")

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I like the way the 49ers are looking in the NFC, and I think Kansas City will represent the AFC. If the Bills could have gotten home field advantage, I would have picked them.

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**Author:** ![Procrustus](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/procrustus/32/2994_2.png) [@Procrustus](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Procrustus)\
**Post date:** [January 10, 2023, 5:20pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/20th-annual-super-bowl-early-picks-thread/977939/30 "2023-01-10T17:20:34Z")

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Seahawks 26, Dolphins 17

(Yes, highly unlikely. Perhaps impossible. But I’ll look like a genius if it happens.)

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**Author:** ![Hal\_Briston](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/h/a9a28c/32.png) [@Hal\_Briston](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Hal_Briston)\
**Post date:** [January 10, 2023, 7:57pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/20th-annual-super-bowl-early-picks-thread/977939/31 "2023-01-10T19:57:01Z")

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My Giants got me my first two titles, time for them to get me my third!

Giants 26, Bills 23

(And thanks to all who have kept this game going!)

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**Author:** ![Rebo](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/rebo/32/13005_2.png) [@Rebo](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Rebo)\
**Post date:** [January 10, 2023, 9:25pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/20th-annual-super-bowl-early-picks-thread/977939/32 "2023-01-10T21:25:17Z")

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49ers 36, Bills 28

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**Author:** ![dougrb](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/d/76d3ee/32.png) [@dougrb](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/dougrb)\
**Post date:** [January 11, 2023, 12:35am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/20th-annual-super-bowl-early-picks-thread/977939/33 "2023-01-11T00:35:47Z")

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> [@Akaj](#):
>
> Intentionally flipping

Hey! That’s my strategy. I flipped the last time the Bills beat the Chiefs.

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**Author:** ![AlsoNamedBort](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/alsonamedbort/32/3213_2.png) [@AlsoNamedBort](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/AlsoNamedBort)\
**Post date:** [January 12, 2023, 4:51pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/20th-annual-super-bowl-early-picks-thread/977939/34 "2023-01-12T16:51:57Z")

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Current list, let me know if I missed anyone:

**AlsoNamedBort:** Bills 28, Eagles 24  
**Saint\_Cad:** Seahawks 438, Bills 0  
**muldoonthief:** Eagles 30, Bills 24  
**lel:** Buccaneers 28, Bills 21  
**Railer13:** Chiefs 31, Eagles 27  
**TroutMan:** 49ers 30, Bills 24  
**dirtball:** Eagles 27, Chiefs 21  
**Aramasama:** Eagles 28, Bills 21  
**minlokwat:** Chiefs 38, Cowboys 34  
**SuntanLotion:** Chiefs 31, Vikings 13  
**LoneRhino:** Giants 27, Chargers 19  
**dougrb:** Chiefs 24, Bills 20  
**Airman\_Doors\_USAF:** Bengals 27, 49ers 23  
**iiandyiiii:** Bengals 28, Eagles 24  
**Velocity:** Bills 52, Cowboys 17  
**hajario:** Chargers 34, Buccaneers 28  
**Akaj:** Bills 33, Cowboys 28  
**Moriarty:** Bills 24, 49ers 17  
**borschevsky:** Chargers 31, 49ers 27  
**Jackmannii:** 49ers 23, Bills 20  
**Frosted\_Glass:** Bills 24, Seahawks 17  
**Telemark:** Chiefs 33, 49ers 23  
**garygnu:** 49ers 33, Bills 17  
**racer72:** Vikings 21, Bills 20  
**Procrustus:** Seahawks 26, Dolphins 17  
**Hal\_Briston:** Giants 26, Bills 23  
**Rebo:** 49ers 36, Bills 28

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<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![Railer13](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/railer13/32/9742_2.png) [@Railer13](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Railer13)\
**Post date:** [January 12, 2023, 6:43pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/20th-annual-super-bowl-early-picks-thread/977939/35 "2023-01-12T18:43:43Z")

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> [@AlsoNamedBort](#):
>
> **dougrb:** Chiefs 24, Bills 20

Um, what?

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**Author:** ![AlsoNamedBort](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/alsonamedbort/32/3213_2.png) [@AlsoNamedBort](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/AlsoNamedBort)\
**Post date:** [January 12, 2023, 6:50pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/20th-annual-super-bowl-early-picks-thread/977939/36 "2023-01-12T18:50:55Z")

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Ha, didn’t even catch that. @dougrb , you’ve got two AFC teams.

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**Author:** ![ShadowFacts](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/shadowfacts/32/2934_2.png) [@ShadowFacts](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/ShadowFacts)\
**Post date:** [January 12, 2023, 7:42pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/20th-annual-super-bowl-early-picks-thread/977939/37 "2023-01-12T19:42:02Z")

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> [@AlsoNamedBort](#):
>
> Current list, let me know if I missed anyone:

You did, indeed, miss my brilliant and winning pick:

> [@ShadowFacts](#):
>
> Eagles 30, Bengals 28

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**Author:** ![TroutMan](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/troutman/32/6721_2.png) [@TroutMan](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/TroutMan)\
**Post date:** [January 12, 2023, 8:13pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/20th-annual-super-bowl-early-picks-thread/977939/38 "2023-01-12T20:13:50Z")

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I note that four of us picked 49ers to win, and every one of the four picked the Bills as their opponent. I’d say the opportunity is there for someone to pick a different team to lose to the 49ers, except everyone knows it will be the Bills.

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**Author:** ![Akaj](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/akaj/32/145_2.png) [@Akaj](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Akaj)\
**Post date:** [January 12, 2023, 9:12pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/20th-annual-super-bowl-early-picks-thread/977939/39 "2023-01-12T21:12:11Z")

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> [@TroutMan](#):
>
> I note that four of us picked 49ers to win, and every one of the four picked the Bills as their opponent.

ISTR someone at ESPN (Berman?) making Niners-Bills their preseason Super Bowl pick every year in the 90s when both teams were very good. Never happened.

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**Author:** ![Railer13](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/railer13/32/9742_2.png) [@Railer13](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Railer13)\
**Post date:** [January 12, 2023, 10:30pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/20th-annual-super-bowl-early-picks-thread/977939/40 "2023-01-12T22:30:17Z")

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> [@Akaj](#):
>
> making Niners-Bills their preseason Super Bowl pick every year in the 90s when both teams were very good. Never happened.

For several years, he probably was half-right.

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