# 20th Annual Super Bowl Early Picks Thread

**URL:** <https://boards.straightdope.com/t/20th-annual-super-bowl-early-picks-thread/977939>\
**Category:** The Game Room\
**Tags:** football-nfl\
**Created:** [January 9, 2023, 8:13pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/20th-annual-super-bowl-early-picks-thread/977939 "2023-01-09T20:13:23Z")\
**Posts on this page:** 20\
**Page:** 5

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**Author:** ![AlsoNamedBort](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/alsonamedbort/32/3213_2.png) [@AlsoNamedBort](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/AlsoNamedBort)\
**Post date:** [January 23, 2023, 4:26pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/20th-annual-super-bowl-early-picks-thread/977939/81 "2023-01-23T16:26:36Z")

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Yep, and that’s happened before where we knew the winner after the championship games.

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**Author:** ![Telemark](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/telemark/32/372_2.png) [@Telemark](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Telemark)\
**Post date:** [January 23, 2023, 4:37pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/20th-annual-super-bowl-early-picks-thread/977939/82 "2023-01-23T16:37:49Z")

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Yes, and it was glorious. 🙂

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**Author:** ![ShadowFacts](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/shadowfacts/32/2934_2.png) [@ShadowFacts](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/ShadowFacts)\
**Post date:** [January 23, 2023, 5:04pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/20th-annual-super-bowl-early-picks-thread/977939/83 "2023-01-23T17:04:29Z")

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I’m content with the way things stand right now. Let’s call it a day and say it’s a 9-way tie for the winner! 😉

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**Author:** ![Atamasama](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/atamasama/32/12961_2.png) [@Atamasama](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Atamasama)\
**Post date:** [January 24, 2023, 1:20am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/20th-annual-super-bowl-early-picks-thread/977939/84 "2023-01-24T01:20:51Z")

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> [@peccavi](#):
>
> If the Bengals and the 49ers are the two super bowl teams, does that entry win regardless of the outcome?

That also doesn’t seem that unlikely either. They’re both pretty solid teams.

It shouldn’t be a surprise though, if you’re in a conference championship you’re pretty good. You might be lucky enough to have a soft schedule, so much so that you end up with a good enough record to be a wildcard, then get matched up with the winner of a bad division. (Or vice versa.) But anyone that wins a divisional game is going to be good team.

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**Author:** ![Rebo](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/rebo/32/13005_2.png) [@Rebo](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Rebo)\
**Post date:** [January 24, 2023, 9:20pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/20th-annual-super-bowl-early-picks-thread/977939/85 "2023-01-24T21:20:28Z")

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This is my first time to play. How does it work among the “one down”?

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**Author:** ![AlsoNamedBort](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/alsonamedbort/32/3213_2.png) [@AlsoNamedBort](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/AlsoNamedBort)\
**Post date:** [January 24, 2023, 9:23pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/20th-annual-super-bowl-early-picks-thread/977939/86 "2023-01-24T21:23:58Z")

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If we had a Superbowl where no one picked the combo, it would go to these tiebreakers:

> [@AlsoNamedBort](#):
>
> - Picked winner correctly
> - Picked loser correctly
> - Closest to individual scores
> - Closest to predicted margin of victory

But since every possible combo has been taken now, if you’re one down, you’ve got no shot.

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**Author:** ![Rebo](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/rebo/32/13005_2.png) [@Rebo](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Rebo)\
**Post date:** [January 24, 2023, 9:25pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/20th-annual-super-bowl-early-picks-thread/977939/87 "2023-01-24T21:25:49Z")

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Ok, thank you. Dammit. 🙂

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**Author:** ![Atamasama](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/atamasama/32/12961_2.png) [@Atamasama](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Atamasama)\
**Post date:** [January 28, 2023, 1:34am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/20th-annual-super-bowl-early-picks-thread/977939/88 "2023-01-28T01:34:46Z")

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> [@Rebo](#):
>
> Dammit.

Indeed. Freaking Bengals!

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**Author:** ![Hamlet](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/hamlet/32/2818_2.png) [@Hamlet](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Hamlet)\
**Post date:** [January 29, 2023, 10:41pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/20th-annual-super-bowl-early-picks-thread/977939/89 "2023-01-29T22:41:23Z")

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It’s a shame the game turned on injuries.

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**Author:** ![peccavi](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/peccavi/32/388_2.png) [@peccavi](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/peccavi)\
**Post date:** [January 30, 2023, 1:05am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/20th-annual-super-bowl-early-picks-thread/977939/90 "2023-01-30T01:05:23Z")

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Well, that’s that for me (throws metaphorical betting slips in the gutter in disgust)

Looks like there are six left in the hunt, narrowing to three after the current game.

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**Author:** ![Airman\_Doors\_USAF](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/a/e36b37/32.png) [@Airman\_Doors\_USAF](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Airman_Doors_USAF)\
**Post date:** [January 30, 2023, 3:39am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/20th-annual-super-bowl-early-picks-thread/977939/91 "2023-01-30T03:39:30Z")

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Well, I’m quite emphatically out.

Given who’s playing I’m very much on board with the Chiefs.

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**Author:** ![Telemark](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/telemark/32/372_2.png) [@Telemark](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Telemark)\
**Post date:** [January 30, 2023, 12:47pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/20th-annual-super-bowl-early-picks-thread/977939/92 "2023-01-30T12:47:32Z")

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Game on!

**Railer13:** Chiefs 31, Eagles 27  
**Hamlet:** Chiefs 34, Eagles 16  
**dirtball:** Eagles 27, Chiefs 21

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**Author:** ![Jasmine](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/jasmine/32/2964_2.png) [@Jasmine](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Jasmine)\
**Post date:** [January 30, 2023, 1:22pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/20th-annual-super-bowl-early-picks-thread/977939/93 "2023-01-30T13:22:16Z")

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After seeing the Mahomes heroics, I have to believe that he simply won’t let the Chiefs lose this Super Bowl.

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**Author:** ![dirtball](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/dirtball/32/18772_2.png) [@dirtball](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/dirtball)\
**Post date:** [January 30, 2023, 3:57pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/20th-annual-super-bowl-early-picks-thread/977939/94 "2023-01-30T15:57:41Z")

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Go Eagles!

I have no real attachment to either team, either on a logical or sentimental basis. I just picked a couple I felt were strong contenders.

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**Author:** ![AlsoNamedBort](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/alsonamedbort/32/3213_2.png) [@AlsoNamedBort](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/AlsoNamedBort)\
**Post date:** [January 30, 2023, 4:24pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/20th-annual-super-bowl-early-picks-thread/977939/95 "2023-01-30T16:24:26Z")

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And then there were three. Let’s hope the Eagles win so I don’t have to do any math…

Still Perfect  
**Railer13:** Chiefs 31, Eagles 27  
**Hamlet:** Chiefs 34, Eagles 16  
**dirtball:** Eagles 27, Chiefs 21

One Down  
**Telemark:** Chiefs 33, ~~49ers~~ 23  
**minlokwat:** Chiefs 38, ~~Cowboys~~ 34  
**SuntanLotion:** Chiefs 31, ~~Vikings~~ 13  
**ShadowFacts:** Eagles 30, ~~Bengals~~ 28  
**Shoeless:** Eagles 28, ~~Bengals~~ 17  
**muldoonthief:** Eagles 30, ~~Bills~~ 24  
**Aramasama:** Eagles 28, ~~Bills~~ 21  
**peccavi:** ~~49ers~~ 27, Chiefs 20  
**iiandyiiii:** ~~Bengals~~ 28, Eagles 24  
**AlsoNamedBort:** ~~Bills~~ 28, Eagles 24  
**Justin\_Bailey:** ~~Bills~~ 34, Eagles 27

Out  
**TroutMan:** ~~49ers~~ 30, ~~Bills~~ 24  
**Jackmannii:** ~~49ers~~ 23, ~~Bills~~ 20  
**garygnu:** ~~49ers~~ 33, ~~Bills~~ 17  
**Rebo:** ~~49ers~~ 36, ~~Bills~~ 28  
**dalej42:** ~~49ers~~ 37, ~~Bills~~ 10  
**Airman\_Doors\_USAF:** ~~Bengals~~ 27, ~~49ers~~ 23  
**Moriarty:** ~~Bills~~ 24, ~~49ers~~ 17  
**Jegpeg:** ~~Bills~~ 24, ~~49ers~~ 20  
**Jahiegel2.0:** ~~Bills~~ 24, ~~49ers~~ 23  
**Velocity:** ~~Bills~~ 52, ~~Cowboys~~ 17  
**Akaj:** ~~Bills~~ 33, ~~Cowboys~~ 28  
**AncientHumanoid:** ~~Bills~~ 21, ~~Giants~~ 20  
**Frosted\_Glass:** ~~Bills~~ 24, ~~Seahawks~~ 17  
**lel:** ~~Buccaneers~~ 28, ~~Bills~~ 21  
**borschevsky:** ~~Chargers~~ 31, ~~49ers~~ 27  
**hajario:** ~~Chargers~~ 34, ~~Buccaneers~~ 28  
**Hal\_Briston:** ~~Giants~~ 26, ~~Bills~~ 23  
**LoneRhino:** ~~Giants~~ 27, ~~Chargers~~ 19  
**Saint\_Cad:** ~~Seahawks~~ 438, ~~Bills~~ 0  
**Procrustus:** ~~Seahawks~~ 26, ~~Dolphins~~ 17  
**racer72:** ~~Vikings~~ 21, ~~Bills~~ 20

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<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![Atamasama](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/atamasama/32/12961_2.png) [@Atamasama](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Atamasama)\
**Post date:** [January 30, 2023, 6:18pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/20th-annual-super-bowl-early-picks-thread/977939/96 "2023-01-30T18:18:20Z")

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Mahomes and Kelce (Travis, not his brother on the Eagles) are hurt. Hopefully they’ll be good by the game but I feel like Mahomes in particular is one minor hit away from being knocked out of a game.

Meanwhile the Eagles are extremely healthy.

I give the edge to them based on that alone.

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**Author:** ![Shoeless](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/shoeless/32/7099_2.png) [@Shoeless](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Shoeless)\
**Post date:** [January 30, 2023, 7:57pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/20th-annual-super-bowl-early-picks-thread/977939/97 "2023-01-30T19:57:47Z")

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Hell, towards the end of the game last night I was yelling “Put Chad Henne in! Mahomes can barely walk!” But it all worked out. I picked Cincinnati to win the AFC but am more than happy to have the Chiefs in the Super Bowl instead.

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**Author:** ![SuntanLotion](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/suntanlotion/32/16165_2.png) [@SuntanLotion](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/SuntanLotion)\
**Post date:** [February 12, 2023, 5:57pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/20th-annual-super-bowl-early-picks-thread/977939/98 "2023-02-12T17:57:00Z")

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I hope someone wins with their guess!

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**Author:** ![SuntanLotion](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/suntanlotion/32/16165_2.png) [@SuntanLotion](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/SuntanLotion)\
**Post date:** [February 13, 2023, 2:25am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/20th-annual-super-bowl-early-picks-thread/977939/99 "2023-02-13T02:25:18Z")

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Dirtball is on it now.

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<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![Atamasama](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/atamasama/32/12961_2.png) [@Atamasama](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Atamasama)\
**Post date:** [February 13, 2023, 8:29am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/20th-annual-super-bowl-early-picks-thread/977939/100 "2023-02-13T08:29:10Z")

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I believe Railer13 came closest; 4 point margin of victory predicted, 3 point margin of victory was the actual result. Also, was within 7 points of the Chiefs final score, and within 8 points of the Eagles final score.

Meanwhile, Hamlet had an 18 point margin of victory. Was only 1 point away from the Chiefs final score, but was a whole 19 points away from the Eagles final score.

Those were the only two people who guessed correctly that the Chiefs would beat the Eagles in the game.

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