# 22nd Annual Super Bowl Early Picks Thread

**URL:** <https://boards.straightdope.com/t/22nd-annual-super-bowl-early-picks-thread/1012635>\
**Category:** The Game Room\
**Tags:** football-nfl\
**Created:** [January 6, 2025, 3:40pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/22nd-annual-super-bowl-early-picks-thread/1012635 "2025-01-06T15:40:11Z")\
**Posts on this page:** 20\
**Page:** 1

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**Author:** ![AlsoNamedBort](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/alsonamedbort/32/3213_2.png) [@AlsoNamedBort](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/AlsoNamedBort)\
**Post date:** [January 6, 2025, 3:40pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/22nd-annual-super-bowl-early-picks-thread/1012635/1 "2025-01-06T15:40:11Z")

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The playoff teams are set, so it’s time for our annual contest – can you predict the Super Bowl a month before the game and join our list of champions?:

[Year 1](http://boards.straightdope.com/sdmb/showthread.php?t=231858): **Trillionaire**  
[Year 2](http://boards.straightdope.com/sdmb/showthread.php?t=294932): **Uncommon Sense**  
[Year 3](http://boards.straightdope.com/sdmb/showthread.php?t=352167): **Airman Doors, USAF**  
[Year 4](http://boards.straightdope.com/sdmb/showthread.php?t=402369): **Grits and Hard Toast**  
[Year 5](http://boards.straightdope.com/sdmb/showthread.php?t=449706): **Hal Briston**  
[Year 6](http://boards.straightdope.com/sdmb/showthread.php?t=499473): **dalej42**  
[Year 7](http://boards.straightdope.com/sdmb/showthread.php?t=546474): **Justin\_Bailey**  
[Year 8](http://boards.straightdope.com/sdmb/showthread.php?t=591491): **Hamlet**  
[Year 9](http://boards.straightdope.com/sdmb/showthread.php?t=637014): **Hal Briston**  
[Year 10](http://boards.straightdope.com/sdmb/showthread.php?t=677312): **AlsoNamedBort**  
[Year 11](http://boards.straightdope.com/sdmb/showthread.php?t=711681): **Jahiegel**  
[Year 12](http://boards.straightdope.com/sdmb/showthread.php?t=744800): **borschevsky**  
[Year 13](http://boards.straightdope.com/sdmb/showthread.php?t=780013): **Oakminster**  
[Year 14](http://boards.straightdope.com/sdmb/showthread.php?t=815224): **borschevsky**  
[Year 15](https://boards.straightdope.com/sdmb/showthread.php?t=846111): **phungi**  
[Year 16](https://boards.straightdope.com/sdmb/showthread.php?t=868162): **ElvisL1ves**  
[Year 17](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/17th-annual-super-bowl-early-picks-thread/845687/88): **muldoonthief**  
[Year 18](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/18th-annual-super-bowl-early-picks-thread/929812/82): **Telemark**  
[Year 19](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/19th-annual-super-bowl-early-picks-thread/957529/113): **LoneRhino**  
[Year 20](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/20th-annual-super-bowl-early-picks-thread/977939) : **Railer13**  
[Year 21](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/21st-annual-super-bowl-early-picks-thread/995779) : **Intergalactic\_Gladiator**

It’s simple to play – just post your pick for the two Super Bowl teams, and the final score. Deadline for submissions will be 4:30 pm Eastern on **Saturday** , January 11th (just before kickoff of the first playoff game).

My Prediction:

**Bills 27, Buccaneers 24**

PLEASE NOTE: It’s not an absolute requirement, but it’s very helpful to me if you format your pick the same way I did above – “Winning team name and score, losing team name and score”, on its own line. **No locations** , just the name. Feel free to add any other commentary on a separate line. Thanks!

As always, just in case you don’t follow football but still wanna play along, just pick an AFC team, an NFC team, and a couple of numbers that sound vaguely football-scorish.

**AFC Teams:**

Chiefs, Bills, Ravens, Texans, Chargers, Steelers, Broncos

**NFC Teams** :

Lions, Eagles, Buccaneers, Rams, Vikings, Commanders, Packers

The tiebreakers:

1. Picked both teams, got winner correct
2. Picked both teams, got winner wrong
3. Picked winner correctly
4. Picked loser correctly
5. Closest to individual scores
6. Closest to predicted margin of victory

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<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![Velocity](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/velocity/32/18006_2.png) [@Velocity](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Velocity)\
**Post date:** [January 6, 2025, 4:50pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/22nd-annual-super-bowl-early-picks-thread/1012635/2 "2025-01-06T16:50:07Z")

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Bills 35, Lions 31

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**Author:** ![hajario](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/hajario/32/171_2.png) [@hajario](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/hajario)\
**Post date:** [January 6, 2025, 5:08pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/22nd-annual-super-bowl-early-picks-thread/1012635/3 "2025-01-06T17:08:13Z")

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Thanks for doing this again.

Chargers 34, Lions 28

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**Author:** ![dirtball](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/dirtball/32/18772_2.png) [@dirtball](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/dirtball)\
**Post date:** [January 6, 2025, 5:14pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/22nd-annual-super-bowl-early-picks-thread/1012635/4 "2025-01-06T17:14:25Z")

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Ravens 27, Lions 24

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**Author:** ![Happy\_Lendervedder](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/happy_lendervedder/32/8488_2.png) [@Happy\_Lendervedder](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Happy_Lendervedder)\
**Post date:** [January 6, 2025, 5:20pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/22nd-annual-super-bowl-early-picks-thread/1012635/5 "2025-01-06T17:20:49Z")

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Lions 41, Bills 31

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**Author:** ![Bullitt](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/bullitt/32/5725_2.png) [@Bullitt](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Bullitt)\
**Post date:** [January 6, 2025, 5:28pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/22nd-annual-super-bowl-early-picks-thread/1012635/6 "2025-01-06T17:28:17Z")

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Lions 31 - Bills 27

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<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![Jasmine](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/jasmine/32/2964_2.png) [@Jasmine](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Jasmine)\
**Post date:** [January 6, 2025, 5:59pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/22nd-annual-super-bowl-early-picks-thread/1012635/7 "2025-01-06T17:59:45Z")

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Detroit 23, Baltimore 20.

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<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![Atamasama](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/atamasama/32/12961_2.png) [@Atamasama](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Atamasama)\
**Post date:** [January 6, 2025, 8:02pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/22nd-annual-super-bowl-early-picks-thread/1012635/8 "2025-01-06T20:02:02Z")

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**Lions 27, Bills 25**

I actually used math for those scores!!!

First pick the Bills and Lions because I want to see them in the game. (And I think they’re good.)

The Bills scored 525 points and allowed 368 this year. The Lions scored 564 points and allowed 342.

Then to get the Bills score I took their points for and added the Lions’ points allowed, divided that sum by 2 to average it out, then divided by 17 (for the number of games) and rounded down to get 25. I did the same for the Lions and got 27.

Is it scientific? Logical? Good statistics? Probably no to all of that! But normally I make a blind guess so this is maybe better?

We’ll see!

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<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![muldoonthief](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/muldoonthief/32/3188_2.png) [@muldoonthief](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/muldoonthief)\
**Post date:** [January 6, 2025, 10:13pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/22nd-annual-super-bowl-early-picks-thread/1012635/9 "2025-01-06T22:13:20Z")

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**Eagles 28, Bills 21**

I’ve decided the potential negative karma of not picking the Birds and then having them win isn’t worth the increased odds of winning with a “safer” pick.

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**Author:** ![Wilson](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/w/96bed5/32.png) [@Wilson](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Wilson)\
**Post date:** [January 6, 2025, 10:26pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/22nd-annual-super-bowl-early-picks-thread/1012635/10 "2025-01-06T22:26:54Z")

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Ravens 34, Vikings 20.

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<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![RobotDevilDog](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/r/e19adc/32.png) [@RobotDevilDog](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/RobotDevilDog)\
**Post date:** [January 7, 2025, 1:18am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/22nd-annual-super-bowl-early-picks-thread/1012635/11 "2025-01-07T01:18:26Z")

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Lions 27, Ravens 17

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**Author:** ![Zoobi](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/z/13edae/32.png) [@Zoobi](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Zoobi)\
**Post date:** [January 7, 2025, 1:21am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/22nd-annual-super-bowl-early-picks-thread/1012635/12 "2025-01-07T01:21:26Z")

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Chiefs 27  
Lions 24

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<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![Baal\_Houtham](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/baal_houtham/32/13604_2.png) [@Baal\_Houtham](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Baal_Houtham)\
**Post date:** [January 7, 2025, 1:48am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/22nd-annual-super-bowl-early-picks-thread/1012635/13 "2025-01-07T01:48:32Z")

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Rams 30, Chiefs 24

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<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![pirviii](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/pirviii/32/3233_2.png) [@pirviii](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/pirviii)\
**Post date:** [January 7, 2025, 2:48am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/22nd-annual-super-bowl-early-picks-thread/1012635/14 "2025-01-07T02:48:15Z")

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Lions 35, Chiefs 20

I so want it to be Buffalo, but the Chefs are just magic, but I think the Lions D wins the whole thing.

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**Author:** ![Mean\_Mr.Mustard](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/mean_mr.mustard/32/3865_2.png) [@Mean\_Mr.Mustard](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Mean_Mr.Mustard)\
**Post date:** [January 7, 2025, 2:50am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/22nd-annual-super-bowl-early-picks-thread/1012635/15 "2025-01-07T02:50:49Z")

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Lions 28  
Chiefs 17

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<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![Hamlet](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/hamlet/32/2818_2.png) [@Hamlet](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Hamlet)\
**Post date:** [January 7, 2025, 3:45am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/22nd-annual-super-bowl-early-picks-thread/1012635/16 "2025-01-07T03:45:07Z")

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Ravens 31 Vikings 13

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<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![Jackknifed\_Juggernaut](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/j/9de053/32.png) [@Jackknifed\_Juggernaut](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Jackknifed_Juggernaut)\
**Post date:** [January 7, 2025, 4:03am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/22nd-annual-super-bowl-early-picks-thread/1012635/17 "2025-01-07T04:03:01Z")

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KC 31 Detroit 23

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<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![Locrian](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/locrian/32/14146_2.png) [@Locrian](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Locrian)\
**Post date:** [January 7, 2025, 7:05am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/22nd-annual-super-bowl-early-picks-thread/1012635/18 "2025-01-07T07:05:23Z")

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**Eagles 28, Bills 27.**

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<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![Strenger](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/s/ecae2f/32.png) [@Strenger](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Strenger)\
**Post date:** [January 7, 2025, 8:02am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/22nd-annual-super-bowl-early-picks-thread/1012635/19 "2025-01-07T08:02:02Z")

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**Bills 38, Lions 35**

No actual analysis occurred when I just made up these numbers. I’m assuming that Bills’ defense is irradiated and develops ~~superpowers~~ regular powers in the meantime, as well. Could happen!

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<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![Si\_Amigo](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/si_amigo/32/2877_2.png) [@Si\_Amigo](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Si_Amigo)\
**Post date:** [January 7, 2025, 12:19pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/22nd-annual-super-bowl-early-picks-thread/1012635/20 "2025-01-07T12:19:07Z")

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Lions 24, Bills 17

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