[QUOTE=Little Nemo]
I liked Clinton and thought he was a good President. I’d vote for him a third time.
But I’m totally opposed to any repeal of the 22nd Amendment during George W. Bush’s lifetime.
[/quote]
This is a ludicrous stance. One should never decide whether or not to alter the constitution based on one man.
I side with RickJay here, our country was an old one when we passed the 22nd Amendment. In all that time, a single man served more than 8 years as President, FDR. Primarily this was fueled by the fact that the Republicans nominated some terrible candidates, and that FDR was providing consistent leadership in a very long period of crisis.
If the American Civil War had continued on until the end of Lincoln’s second term in office (had Lincoln not been assassinated, obviously) I do not doubt Lincoln would have ran for and won a third term. There are rare cases in history where I think one man was the leader of the hour. Lincoln was that man, and there would have been nothing egregious about a third term to Lincoln’s Presidency.
But, if you look at our history only a few men have ever tried for third terms. Ulysses S. Grant, Theodore Roosevelt, Harry Truman (discounting FDR who we have already established as having served a full three terms and a small part of a fourth.) Of interesting note is by-and-large, all three of these men essentially lost their bids to become President for a third term because of the internal workings of their party.
Party members by tradition had come to expect that a President would serve two terms and move on, this was the tradition. Influential party members would naturally start to feel like it was “their turn” after the second term was over, regardless of the 22nd Amendment. Grant lost his party’s renomination, Theodore Roosevelt lost his party’s renomination, and Truman did so poorly in the early primary season he gave up his efforts. Note that Roosevelt continued on as an independent after the Republican party rebuked him (he essentially had won all the primaries and State caucuses but lost because of his era’s equivalents of superdelegates, not an situation unlike the one some Dopers fear Obama could land in), but I don’t view Roosevelt as having lost to Woodrow Wilson, I think he primarily lost because the GOP refused to nominate him and instead nominated Taft. Had he been nominated I think he would have defeated Wilson, as it was I think Roosevelt knew he was splitting the Republican vote and did not care–at that point he wanted to keep Taft out of office.
In any case I think the point is clear, American politics is not very receptive to people running for a third term. History also shows how difficult it is to even win a second term.