No, the years I picked were pretty close: 1997 vs. 1999-2001. My problem was that I compared the city of Amsterdam with the country of the United States of America. This was highly dubious (though unintentional). Oops.
I suspect that this would be the case.
------- Preferences and trends matter far more than legality and taxes.
Ok, but “Preferences and trends”, can be read as, “Reasons we don’t know about”.
I don’t want to overstate matters. Still the differences in reported usage among licit and illicit drugs are fairly striking, valid concerns regarding underreporting notwithstanding. A serious attempt to sort through some of these issues (not by us) might be interesting.
I’d like to amplify an earlier point of mine. Following legalization, it can be reasonably predicted that Corporations would soon dominate the supply side of the market. They would apply standard business tools: these include marketing, advertising, lobbying, lawyering and process engineering. Any initial regulatory barriers would be circumvented, after the public’s attention turns to the next issue. Furthermore, the companies would have an enthusiastic subculture of voters (and rural suppliers) to call upon.
------ this regulatory capture argument feels more like grasping at straws than anything substantial.
You overstate my concern frankly. I’m simply pointing out the inevitable response by business to the lifting of legal restrictions. Judging from past experience, methinks that efforts to promote their product will not be in vain. Teams of business professionals are very good at what they do.
Holland hasn’t experienced any of this: for this reason, I’d characterize their drug policy as something other very different than full legalization.
OTOH, though I wouldn’t look forward to seeing ads for EZSmokes: Smoothe! or Weed: When One Toke Isn’t Enough, prohibition opponents can rightfully point out the waste associated with the US’s aggressive program of interdiction and incarceration.