# 538 and the Senate

**URL:** <https://boards.straightdope.com/t/538-and-the-senate/766464>\
**Category:** Politics & Elections\
**Created:** [September 20, 2016, 8:25pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/538-and-the-senate/766464 "2016-09-20T20:25:02Z")\
**Posts on this page:** 2\
**Page:** 9

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**Author:** ![Elendil\_s\_Heir](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/e/7cd45c/32.png) [@Elendil\_s\_Heir](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Elendil_s_Heir)\
**Post date:** [November 10, 2016, 7:16pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/538-and-the-senate/766464/161 "2016-11-10T19:16:16Z")

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2018 could be ugly for Dems, even though it’ll be an offyear election, which often favors the party not holding the White House: [https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/United\_States\_Senate\_elections,\_2018](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/United_States_Senate_elections,_2018)

The Dems will have 23 seats (and 2 Dem-aligned Independents) up for grabs that year; GOP will be defending just 8.

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**Author:** ![adaher](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/a/dec6dc/32.png) [@adaher](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/adaher)\
**Post date:** [November 11, 2016, 3:13am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/538-and-the-senate/766464/162 "2016-11-11T03:13:17Z")

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The map is so ugly it might be impossible to gain seats, but if Trump is unpopular it might prevent significant GOP gains. And the House is still the House, it can be won if Trump is unpopular enough.

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