# 6/08 Primary Tuesday Prediction Thread **URL:** \ **Category:** Politics & Elections\ **Created:** [June 8, 2010, 11:59am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/6-08-primary-tuesday-prediction-thread/542412 "2010-06-08T11:59:48Z")\ **Posts on this page:** 20\ **Page:** 1
**Author:** ![CyclopticXander](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/c/59ef9b/32.png) [@CyclopticXander](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/CyclopticXander)\ **Post date:** [June 8, 2010, 11:59am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/6-08-primary-tuesday-prediction-thread/542412/1 "2010-06-08T11:59:48Z")
Well 12 more states go to the polls today in an election year full of surprises. Now’s a good time to put in any of your last minute predictions as the polls close. [Tuesday targets: Nine races to watch - POLITICO](http://www.politico.com/news/stories/0610/38238.html) Here’s a good rundown at the most attention grabbing contests. As for me, I’m predicting Bill Halter will take the biggest prize of the night, and the lion’s share of the media coverage going into Wednesday. Also Nikki Haley will get close to the 50% needed for a runoff, but come just shy and end up in a rematch with Gresham Barrett in a few weeks. ---
**Author:** ![jayjay](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/jayjay/32/6765_2.png) [@jayjay](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/jayjay)\ **Post date:** [June 8, 2010, 1:24pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/6-08-primary-tuesday-prediction-thread/542412/2 "2010-06-08T13:24:21Z")
I’m also predicting Halter. I have no opinion on the SC goobernatorial race…my blip of sympathy for Haley over the “raghead” comment has faded (the Palin-taint was too much to overcome), so I don’t really give much of a damn about it. Same with most of the other races (although it will be fun to track whether Chickenlady or Ms Teabag 2010 is going up against Reid in November). ---
**Author:** ![The\_Understander](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/t/3da27b/32.png) [@The\_Understander](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/The_Understander)\ **Post date:** [June 8, 2010, 1:44pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/6-08-primary-tuesday-prediction-thread/542412/3 "2010-06-08T13:44:32Z")
Predictions, I have none. Just hopes that Bill Halter gets the duke over Blanche [del]Lieberman[/del] Lincoln in AR and that some how, some way, Carly Fiorina goes down. ---
**Author:** ![Squink](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/s/b5e925/32.png) [@Squink](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Squink)\ **Post date:** [June 8, 2010, 1:45pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/6-08-primary-tuesday-prediction-thread/542412/4 "2010-06-08T13:45:45Z")
> [@jayjay](#): > > I’m also predicting Halter. Nah, Halter’s going to get [screwed by polling station shenanigans:](http://www.politicsdaily.com/2010/06/08/arkansas-halter-lincoln-runoff-voter-irregularities-brewing/) > [@](#): > > The battleground? Garland County, a populous county that sits 55 miles from Little Rock. > It was the most heavily populated county that Halter won in the May 18 primary. On that day, the county had 41 polling places open, but for Tuesday’s runoff, there will only open two in order to save money. > Obviously, that plan does not set well with Halter. Not that there’s anything wrong with party insiders fixing the vote. Oh, wait… ---
**Author:** ![Marley23](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/m/45deac/32.png) [@Marley23](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Marley23)\ **Post date:** [June 8, 2010, 3:02pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/6-08-primary-tuesday-prediction-thread/542412/5 "2010-06-08T15:02:02Z")
I think Carly Fiorina is going to get the GOP Senate nomination in California. I know that’s a pretty safe prediction based on the polls. I just wanted to go on record as saying it because I actually had a dream about that race last night. I’d read exactly one article about the race and I thought it was an odd topic for a dream. ---
**Author:** ![Captain\_Amazing](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/c/6de8d8/32.png) [@Captain\_Amazing](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Captain_Amazing)\ **Post date:** [June 8, 2010, 4:33pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/6-08-primary-tuesday-prediction-thread/542412/6 "2010-06-08T16:33:50Z")
Also, in California, I think Meg Whitman is going to get the gubernatorial nomination. Also not really a very risky position, given the polls, but at least the information didn’t come to me in a dream. Also, fo the Democrats, it will be interesting to see if Jane Harman can hold onto her seat. She probably will, but… ---
**Author:** ![Chronos](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/chronos/32/134_2.png) [@Chronos](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Chronos)\ **Post date:** [June 8, 2010, 10:06pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/6-08-primary-tuesday-prediction-thread/542412/7 "2010-06-08T22:06:28Z")
And I’m going to go out on a limb and say that absolutely nothing of interest will happen here in Montana. ---
**Author:** ![Stuffy](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/s/f17d59/32.png) [@Stuffy](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Stuffy)\ **Post date:** [June 8, 2010, 10:44pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/6-08-primary-tuesday-prediction-thread/542412/8 "2010-06-08T22:44:28Z")
I predict that I’m going to laugh my ass off if Orly Taitz wins the the nom for SOS in California. ---
**Author:** ![Happy\_Fun\_Ball](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/happy_fun_ball/32/17664_2.png) [@Happy\_Fun\_Ball](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Happy_Fun_Ball)\ **Post date:** [June 9, 2010, 2:12am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/6-08-primary-tuesday-prediction-thread/542412/9 "2010-06-09T02:12:16Z")
> [@Marley23](#): > > I think Carly Fiorina is going to get the GOP Senate nomination in California. I know that’s a pretty safe prediction based on the polls. I just wanted to go on record as saying it because I actually had a dream about that race last night. I’d read exactly one article about the race and I thought it was an odd topic for a dream. I was just reading about Carly and her run for the senate last night. And I quote: \*I watched as the Lamb opened the first of the seven seals. Then I heard one of the seven living creatures say in a voice like thunder, “Come!” I looked, and there before me was a white horse! Its rider held a bow, and he was given a crown, and he rode out as a conqueror bent on Conquest. \* Can you tell I am an ex-HP (Agilent) employee? ---
**Author:** ![BrainGlutton](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/b/82dd89/32.png) [@BrainGlutton](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/BrainGlutton)\ **Post date:** [June 9, 2010, 2:17am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/6-08-primary-tuesday-prediction-thread/542412/10 "2010-06-09T02:17:30Z")
> [@Stuffy](#): > > I predict that I’m going to laugh my ass off if Orly Taitz wins the the nom for SOS in California. I didn’t know she was running, but [just this](http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Orly_taitz#Candidacy_for_California_Secretary_of_State) is laugh-my-ass-off material: > [@](#): > > In March of 2010, Taitz successfully qualified to run for the office of California Secretary of State.[35] At the same time, she unsuccessfully challenged the eligibility of her Republican Party primary opponent, former NFL player Damon Dunn, claiming that he is pretending to be a Republican.[36] Dunn had registered as a Democrat in the state of Florida in 1999, but that registration had lapsed before he filed for the Republican primary.[37][38] > > On May 12, 2010, Barnett (named plaintiff from Taitz’s lawsuit Barnett v. Obama) filed a lawsuit in Sacramento County Superior Court alleging that Dunn is not eligible to run for Secretary of State.[39] ---
**Author:** ![jayjay](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/jayjay/32/6765_2.png) [@jayjay](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/jayjay)\ **Post date:** [June 9, 2010, 2:18am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/6-08-primary-tuesday-prediction-thread/542412/11 "2010-06-09T02:18:28Z")
> [@BrainGlutton](#): > > I didn’t know she was running, but [just this](http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Orly_taitz#Candidacy_for_California_Secretary_of_State) is laugh-my-ass-off material: I’m detecting a pattern here… ---
**Author:** ![Squink](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/s/b5e925/32.png) [@Squink](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Squink)\ **Post date:** [June 9, 2010, 2:30am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/6-08-primary-tuesday-prediction-thread/542412/12 "2010-06-09T02:30:57Z")
[Halter Complains It Was Hard to Vote in Garland Co., Ark.](http://blogs.wsj.com/washwire/2010/06/08/halter-complains-it-was-hard-to-vote-in-garland-co-ark/?mod=rss_whats_news_us&utm_source=feedburner&utm_medium=feed&utm_campaign=Feed:+wsj/xml/rss/3_7011+%28WSJ.com:+What%27s+News+US%29) > [@](#): > > Natasha Naragon, a spokeswoman for the Arkansas Secretary of State, said Garland County election officials failed to notify voters of the reduced number of polling stations, as required by state law. Then again, Halter’s now up 51-49 with 59.5% counted. The forces of evil may yet be thwarted tonight. ---
**Author:** ![davidm](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/davidm/32/225_2.png) [@davidm](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/davidm)\ **Post date:** [June 9, 2010, 2:40am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/6-08-primary-tuesday-prediction-thread/542412/13 "2010-06-09T02:40:31Z")
> [@Stuffy](#): > > I predict that I’m going to laugh my ass off if Orly Taitz wins the the nom for SOS in California. Chris Matthews (MSNBC) just said that it looks like she’s won. I didn’t see the numbers so I can’t say if he’s right or not. If she does win the primary, how the hell can the Republican Party support her in the general election without looking like loons? But how can they not support their party’s candidate? 😛 ---
**Author:** ![Squink](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/s/b5e925/32.png) [@Squink](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Squink)\ **Post date:** [June 9, 2010, 2:42am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/6-08-primary-tuesday-prediction-thread/542412/14 "2010-06-09T02:42:42Z")
Looks like Politico had the numbers reversed when I checked. [Now it’s Lincoln 51, Halter 49.](http://www.politico.com/2010/maps/#/Senate/2010/AR) ---
**Author:** ![The\_Understander](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/t/3da27b/32.png) [@The\_Understander](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/The_Understander)\ **Post date:** [June 9, 2010, 2:58am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/6-08-primary-tuesday-prediction-thread/542412/15 "2010-06-09T02:58:20Z")
> [@davidm](#): > > Chris Matthews (MSNBC) just said that it looks like she’s won. I didn’t see the numbers so I can’t say if he’s right or not. > > If she does win the primary, how the hell can the Republican Party support her in the general election without looking like loons? But how can they not support their party’s candidate? 😛 First off, ten points will be taken from California, for its serious lack of judgment. I can’t imagine that it’ll be a matter of supporting or not supporting O RLY for CA Repubs, especially if the Secretary of State’s office is as toothless there as it is here. How much does it take to pose for the picture that hangs in the DMV? IMO, they’ll focus on the gubernatorial and senatorial races and let the chips fall where they may for SoS. Of course, I would hope even Democrats have the political savvy to be able to take advantage of an escaped mental patient being anywhere near their opponents’ ticket. I know, I know. I’m a dreamer. ---
**Author:** ![davidm](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/davidm/32/225_2.png) [@davidm](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/davidm)\ **Post date:** [June 9, 2010, 3:05am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/6-08-primary-tuesday-prediction-thread/542412/16 "2010-06-09T03:05:29Z")
Oh, I think the Democrats will at least try to hang her around their opponents necks if they can. Even if they don’t, the media will do the job for them since they won’t be able to resist her antics and the ratings that will come with reporting them. ---
**Author:** ![jayjay](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/jayjay/32/6765_2.png) [@jayjay](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/jayjay)\ **Post date:** [June 9, 2010, 3:07am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/6-08-primary-tuesday-prediction-thread/542412/17 "2010-06-09T03:07:22Z")
The AP called it for Lincoln. I hope Arkansas likes their new Republican senator in November. ---
**Author:** ![BrainGlutton](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/b/82dd89/32.png) [@BrainGlutton](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/BrainGlutton)\ **Post date:** [June 9, 2010, 3:39am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/6-08-primary-tuesday-prediction-thread/542412/18 "2010-06-09T03:39:57Z")
Analysis from _The Nation:_ [Arkansas’ Lincoln Clings to Narrow Lead as Tea Partisans Show Strength in the South.](http://www.thenation.com/blog/arkansas-lincoln-clings-narrow-lead-tea-partisans-show-strength-south) ---
**Author:** ![Stuffy](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/s/f17d59/32.png) [@Stuffy](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Stuffy)\ **Post date:** [June 9, 2010, 3:46am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/6-08-primary-tuesday-prediction-thread/542412/19 "2010-06-09T03:46:12Z")
> [@davidm](#): > > Chris Matthews (MSNBC) just said that it looks like she’s won. I didn’t see the numbers so I can’t say if he’s right or not. > > If she does win the primary, how the hell can the Republican Party support her in the general election without looking like loons? But how can they not support their party’s candidate? 😛 Which is why I plan on laughing like a hyena. ---
**Author:** ![E-Sabbath](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/e/e19adc/32.png) [@E-Sabbath](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/E-Sabbath)\ **Post date:** [June 9, 2010, 4:50am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/6-08-primary-tuesday-prediction-thread/542412/20 "2010-06-09T04:50:40Z")
Doesn’t Secretary of State certify candidates for election? [Next page](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/6-08-primary-tuesday-prediction-thread/542412.md?page=2)