# 7th Annual SDMB Early Super Bowl Pick Contest

**URL:** <https://boards.straightdope.com/t/7th-annual-sdmb-early-super-bowl-pick-contest/523698>\
**Category:** The Game Room\
**Created:** [January 5, 2010, 12:46am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/7th-annual-sdmb-early-super-bowl-pick-contest/523698 "2010-01-05T00:46:16Z")\
**Posts on this page:** 20\
**Page:** 5

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**Author:** ![Bearflag70](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/b/8e7dd6/32.png) [@Bearflag70](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Bearflag70)\
**Post date:** [January 18, 2010, 8:12pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/7th-annual-sdmb-early-super-bowl-pick-contest/523698/81 "2010-01-18T20:12:36Z")

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> [@Bearflag70](#):
>
> If someone picks both teams correctly, how do you break the tie?

someone = multiple people

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**Author:** ![Death\_of\_Rats](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/d/a6a055/32.png) [@Death\_of\_Rats](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Death_of_Rats)\
**Post date:** [January 18, 2010, 8:22pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/7th-annual-sdmb-early-super-bowl-pick-contest/523698/82 "2010-01-18T20:22:26Z")

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> [@drm](#):
>
> Colts 35 - Saints 31
> 
> I feel like I’m jinxing the colts in picking them, so how about this? Curtis Painter will be the Colts starting QB as Manning takes over as coach of the Canadian Olympic Mens Hockey team (who lose to Iceland in the final 4-1).
> 
> There. I bound to get one of the two right?!

I have returned from the future and I am here to tell you that it was a heartbreaker for the Canadian Olympic Mens Hockey team, but they played thier hearts out for Peyton.

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**Author:** ![ToeJam](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/t/dfb087/32.png) [@ToeJam](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/ToeJam)\
**Post date:** [January 18, 2010, 8:23pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/7th-annual-sdmb-early-super-bowl-pick-contest/523698/83 "2010-01-18T20:23:51Z")

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Probably by whoever gets the closest final score predictions.

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**Author:** ![MovieMogul](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/m/f08c70/32.png) [@MovieMogul](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/MovieMogul)\
**Post date:** [January 18, 2010, 8:27pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/7th-annual-sdmb-early-super-bowl-pick-contest/523698/84 "2010-01-18T20:27:17Z")

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There are 3 viable combinations right now:

Colts vs. Saints (4 people)  
Colts vs. Vikings (4 people)  
Jets vs. Saints (2 people)

Nobody picked Jets vs. Vikings.

For CvS, 2 people picked the Saints to win and 2 the Colts. So I’m assuming it will come down to whose scores are closer to the final scores (or perhaps, who was closer in the spread).

The most competitive contest will be if the Colts beat the Vikings, since 3 people predicted that.

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**Author:** ![Hal\_Briston](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/h/a9a28c/32.png) [@Hal\_Briston](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Hal_Briston)\
**Post date:** [January 18, 2010, 8:33pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/7th-annual-sdmb-early-super-bowl-pick-contest/523698/85 "2010-01-18T20:33:42Z")

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> [@Bearflag70](#):
>
> If someone picks both teams correctly, how do you break the tie?

Never came down to it before – I think it’d break down this way:

1. Picked both teams, got winner correct
2. Picked both teams, got winner wrong
3. Picked winner correctly
4. Picked loser correctly
5. Closest to total score
6. Closest to predicted margin of victory

So it’s likely that this year will come down to #5 or #6.

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**Author:** ![fisha](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/f/da6949/32.png) [@fisha](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/fisha)\
**Post date:** [January 18, 2010, 9:59pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/7th-annual-sdmb-early-super-bowl-pick-contest/523698/86 "2010-01-18T21:59:36Z")

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> [@Hal\_Briston](#):
>
> Never came down to it before – I think it’d break down this way:
> 
> 1. Picked both teams, got winner correct
> 2. Picked both teams, got winner wrong
> 3. Picked winner correctly
> 4. Picked loser correctly
> 5. Closest to total score
> 6. Closest to predicted margin of victory
> 
> So it’s likely that this year will come down to #5 or #6.

How do you figure? I am the only one to pick Vikes to win.

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**Author:** ![Hal\_Briston](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/h/a9a28c/32.png) [@Hal\_Briston](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Hal_Briston)\
**Post date:** [January 25, 2010, 12:02pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/7th-annual-sdmb-early-super-bowl-pick-contest/523698/87 "2010-01-25T12:02:59Z")

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Following the Conference Championship Round:

Still Alive  
**Hal Briston** - Colts 37, Saints, 34  
**kenobi 65** - Saints 35, Colts 31  
**Justin\_Bailey** - Saints 34, Colts 24  
**drm** - Colts 35, Saints 31

Half-Dead  
**garygnu** - Colts 27, [del]Vikings[/del] 23  
**ToeJam** - Colts 27, [del]Vikings[/del] 24  
**notfrommensa** - Colts 34, [del]Vikings[/del] 17  
**fisha** - [del]Vikings[/del] 24, Colts 20  
**RealityChuck** - [del]Jets[/del] 21, Saints 20  
**fubbleskag** - [del]Jets[/del] 38, Saints 35  
**Sanity Challenged** - Colts 35, [del]Packers[/del] 24  
**Gangster Octopus** - [del]Packers[/del] 27, Colts 14  
**Winston Smith** - [del]Patriots[/del] 28, Saints 21  
**Little Nemo** - [del]Patriots[/del] 35, Saints 14  
**picker** - [del]Packers[/del] 38, Colts 35  
**Really Not All That Bright** - Colts 24, [del]Packers[/del] 20  
**VarlosZ** - Saints 31, [del]Patriots[/del] 24  
**Darth Sensitive** - [del]Cowboys[/del] 35, Colts 28  
**Larry Borgia** - Colts 27, [del]Cowboys[/del] 21  
**UncleNito** - [del]Chargers[/del] 27, Saints 22  
**MeDrewNotYou** - Colts 28, [del]Cardinals[/del] 7  
**Oakminster** - Saints 28, [del]Chargers[/del] 24  
**Yeticus Rex** - [del]Chargers[/del] 34, Saints 24  
\*\*borschevsky \*\* - [del]Chargers[/del] 41, Saints 31  
**ArchiveGuy** - [del]Chargers[/del] 28, Saints 24  
**moldybread** - Saints 31, [del]Chargers[/del] 14

Outta Here  
**Duck Quack’s Echo** - [del]Packers[/del] 21, [del]Patriots[/del] 17  
**FoieGrasIsEvil** - [del]Bengals 28[/del], [del]Packers[/del] 17  
**Gray Ghost** - [del]Packers[/del] 28, [del]Ravens[/del] 24  
**gonzomax** - [del]Ravens[/del] 24, [del]Cowboys[/del] 17  
**MadTheSwine** - [del]Chargers[/del] 31, [del]Eagles[/del] 13  
**Taber** - [del]Chargers[/del] 35, [del]Packers[/del] 31  
**Locrian** - [del]Chargers[/del] 28, [del]Eagles[/del] 21  
**Kid\_A** - [del]Packers[/del] 31, [del]Chargers[/del] 27  
**Drain Bead** - [del]Chargers[/del] 31, [del]Cowboys[/del] 28  
**Wargamer** - [del]Chargers[/del] 31, [del]Cowboys[/del] 27  
**Bearflag70** - [del]Cowboys[/del] 27, [del]Chargers[/del] 24  
**divemaster** - [del]Cowboys[/del] 38, [del]Chargers[/del] 20  
**TheBoltEater** - [del]Chargers[/del] 31, [del]Cowboys[/del] 24  
**Hampshire** - [del]Patriots[/del] 34, [del]Vikings[/del] 31  
**Redwing** - [del]Patriots[/del] 21, [del]Vikings[/del] 28  
**labtrash** - [del]Patriots[/del] 27, [del]Vikings[/del] 24  
**Airman Doors, USAF** - [del]Chargers[/del] 27, [del]Cardinals[/del] 21  
**dalej42** - [del]Cardinals[/del] 34, [del]Chargers[/del] 17  
**Yossarian** - [del]Cowboys[/del] 31, [del]Chargers[/del] 21  
**fifty-six** - [del]Cowboys[/del] 35, [del]Chargers[/del] 23  
**ReticulatingSplines** - [del]Chargers[/del] 24, [del]Vikings[/del] 17  
**hajario** - [del]Chargers[/del] 31, [del]Vikings[/del] 24  
**ShibbOleth** - [del]Chargers[/del] 35, [del]Vikings[/del] 30  
**Khadaji** - [del]Vikings[/del] 38, [del]Chargers[/del] 24  
**unwashed brain** - [del]Vikings[/del] 34, [del]Chargers[/del] 21  
**jeezums** - [del]Chargers[/del] 24, [del]Vikings[/del] 17  
**Omniscient** - [del]Chargers[/del] 30, [del]Vikings[/del] 20  
**Jules Andre** - [del]Vikings[/del] 24, [del]Chargers[/del] 34  
**Jahiegel** - [del]Vikings[/del] 27, [del]Chargers[/del] 24

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<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![Airman\_Doors\_USAF](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/a/e36b37/32.png) [@Airman\_Doors\_USAF](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Airman_Doors_USAF)\
**Post date:** [January 25, 2010, 1:23pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/7th-annual-sdmb-early-super-bowl-pick-contest/523698/88 "2010-01-25T13:23:33Z")

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The people who are Half-Dead are now fully dead, because no matter what happens they missed the second team.

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**Author:** ![Hal\_Briston](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/h/a9a28c/32.png) [@Hal\_Briston](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Hal_Briston)\
**Post date:** [January 25, 2010, 2:15pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/7th-annual-sdmb-early-super-bowl-pick-contest/523698/89 "2010-01-25T14:15:19Z")

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> [@Airman\_Doors\_USAF](#):
>
> The people who are Half-Dead are now fully dead, because no matter what happens they missed the second team.

Yeah, but when the dust settles, I want those who who picked the SB winner before the postseason began to get credit for their pick.

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<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![Hal\_Briston](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/h/a9a28c/32.png) [@Hal\_Briston](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Hal_Briston)\
**Post date:** [January 25, 2010, 2:24pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/7th-annual-sdmb-early-super-bowl-pick-contest/523698/90 "2010-01-25T14:24:39Z")

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With this year’s potential winners narrowed down to a pool of four players, here’s how things will shape up in 13 days time:

If the Colts win:  
Total score of 69+, **Hal Briston**  
Total score of 68-, **drm**

Saints Win:  
Total score over 62, **kenobi 65**  
Total score under 62, **Justin\_Bailey**

If the Saints win and the total score is exactly 62, then it goes to tiebreaker #6: “Closest to predicted margin of victory”. Justin went with a 10-point margin, kenobi with a four-point margin. If the margin winds up being seven points, well, then I’m open to fair suggestions for tiebreakers #7, 8 and 9.

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<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![Bearflag70](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/b/8e7dd6/32.png) [@Bearflag70](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Bearflag70)\
**Post date:** [January 25, 2010, 4:45pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/7th-annual-sdmb-early-super-bowl-pick-contest/523698/91 "2010-01-25T16:45:14Z")

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#7: Closest winning team points  
#8: Closest losing team points

?

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<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![Justin\_Bailey](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/justin_bailey/32/8792_2.png) [@Justin\_Bailey](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Justin_Bailey)\
**Post date:** [January 25, 2010, 4:58pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/7th-annual-sdmb-early-super-bowl-pick-contest/523698/92 "2010-01-25T16:58:41Z")

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> [@Hal\_Briston](#):
>
> Still Alive  
> **Hal Briston** - Colts 37, Saints, 34  
> **kenobi 65** - Saints 35, Colts 31  
> **Justin\_Bailey** - Saints 34, Colts 24  
> **drm** - Colts 35, Saints 31

I am Touchdown Nostradamus! 😃

Good luck to **Hal, kenobi** and **drm** , but this contest is mine. The Saints are a team of destiny this year and I don’t think the Colts will put up more than 24.

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<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![fubbleskag](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/f/c2a13f/32.png) [@fubbleskag](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/fubbleskag)\
**Post date:** [January 25, 2010, 5:06pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/7th-annual-sdmb-early-super-bowl-pick-contest/523698/93 "2010-01-25T17:06:16Z")

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damn that nfl-fixing hurricane!

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<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![Little\_Nemo](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/little_nemo/32/3120_2.png) [@Little\_Nemo](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Little_Nemo)\
**Post date:** [January 25, 2010, 6:41pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/7th-annual-sdmb-early-super-bowl-pick-contest/523698/94 "2010-01-25T18:41:18Z")

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> [@](#):
>
> With this year’s potential winners narrowed down to a pool of four players, here’s how things will shape up in 13 days time:
> 
> If the Colts win:  
> Total score of 69+, Hal Briston  
> Total score of 68-, drm
> 
> Saints Win:  
> Total score over 62, kenobi 65  
> Total score under 62, Justin\_Bailey

Why total points? The more common issue is point spreads.

Hal Briston - Colts 37, Saints, 34 (3 point spread)  
drm - Colts 35, Saints 31 (4 point spread)  
kenobi 65 - Saints 35, Colts 31 (4 point spread)  
Justin\_Bailey - Saints 34, Colts 24 (10 point spread)

So the winners are:  
Hal Briston - if the Colts win by 3 points or less  
drm - if the Colts win by 4 points or more  
kenobi 65 - if the Saints win by 6 points or less  
Justin\_Bailey - if the Saints win by 8 points or more

If the Saints win by 7 points, then the tie breaker can be whose point total was closest. Kenobi wins if it’s more than 62 points and Justin wins if it’s less than 62 points. (Exactly 62 points will be impossible with a 7 point victory as that would give a final score of Saints 34.5 to Colts 27.5.)

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<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![Airman\_Doors\_USAF](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/a/e36b37/32.png) [@Airman\_Doors\_USAF](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Airman_Doors_USAF)\
**Post date:** [February 8, 2010, 4:03am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/7th-annual-sdmb-early-super-bowl-pick-contest/523698/95 "2010-02-08T04:03:38Z")

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> [@Justin\_Bailey](#):
>
> I am Touchdown Nostradamus! 😃
> 
> Good luck to **Hal, kenobi** and **drm** , but this contest is mine. The Saints are a team of destiny this year and I don’t think the Colts will put up more than 24.

Looks like you win, dude. Welcome to the club.

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<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![Hal\_Briston](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/h/a9a28c/32.png) [@Hal\_Briston](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Hal_Briston)\
**Post date:** [February 9, 2010, 11:20pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/7th-annual-sdmb-early-super-bowl-pick-contest/523698/96 "2010-02-09T23:20:58Z")

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Yup, we can make this official – congratulations to **Justin\_Bailey** , this year’s SDMBESBPC winner! Before the playoffs got under way, he called the Super Bowl as Saints 34, Colts 24 – the closest anyone came to the actual result of Saints 31, Colts 17. Nicely done!

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<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![Oakminster](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/o/77aa72/32.png) [@Oakminster](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Oakminster)\
**Post date:** [February 9, 2010, 11:47pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/7th-annual-sdmb-early-super-bowl-pick-contest/523698/97 "2010-02-09T23:47:33Z")

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Would this be a good time to mention the Time Honored Tradition of the Board\* that the winner buys the booze for the post-season party? 😃

\*If there isn’t such a tradition previously established, we could always ex post facto it in this year to score some free drinks…

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<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![Gangster\_Octopus](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/g/a8b319/32.png) [@Gangster\_Octopus](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Gangster_Octopus)\
**Post date:** [February 9, 2010, 11:47pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/7th-annual-sdmb-early-super-bowl-pick-contest/523698/98 "2010-02-09T23:47:50Z")

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Saints 31  
Colts 17

So what day is the Super Bowl, anyway?

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<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![Justin\_Bailey](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/justin_bailey/32/8792_2.png) [@Justin\_Bailey](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Justin_Bailey)\
**Post date:** [February 10, 2010, 5:08pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/7th-annual-sdmb-early-super-bowl-pick-contest/523698/99 "2010-02-10T17:08:01Z")

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> [@Hal\_Briston](#):
>
> Yup, we can make this official – congratulations to **Justin\_Bailey** , this year’s SDMBESBPC winner! Before the playoffs got under way, he called the Super Bowl as Saints 34, Colts 24 – the closest anyone came to the actual result of Saints 31, Colts 17. Nicely done!

Thank you, thank you all. Like I said, team of destiny.

Now if only I had bet some actual money on the game (and the whole playoffs) like I had planned to. :smack:

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<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![Airman\_Doors\_USAF](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/a/e36b37/32.png) [@Airman\_Doors\_USAF](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Airman_Doors_USAF)\
**Post date:** [February 10, 2010, 6:17pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/7th-annual-sdmb-early-super-bowl-pick-contest/523698/100 "2010-02-10T18:17:14Z")

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Good luck going back to back. Nobody’s done it yet, although I plan on being the first two-time winner next year.

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