# A bold prediction - Trump won't be president on Nov. 3, 2020

**URL:** <https://boards.straightdope.com/t/a-bold-prediction-trump-wont-be-president-on-nov-3-2020/832813>\
**Category:** Politics & Elections\
**Created:** [April 20, 2019, 3:43pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/a-bold-prediction-trump-wont-be-president-on-nov-3-2020/832813 "2019-04-20T15:43:25Z")\
**Posts on this page:** 6\
**Page:** 3

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**Author:** ![bobot](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/bobot/32/21622_2.png) [@bobot](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/bobot)\
**Post date:** [April 24, 2019, 11:05am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/a-bold-prediction-trump-wont-be-president-on-nov-3-2020/832813/41 "2019-04-24T11:05:33Z")

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Trump won’t be pres. if Iowa’s longest serving Republican has his way:

> **[Iowa's longest-serving GOP lawmaker joins the Democrats because of Trump |...](https://www.cnn.com/2019/04/23/politics/andy-mckean-iowa-gop-lawmaker-change-party/index.html)**
>
> Iowa's longest-serving Republican state lawmaker is ditching the party in a protest of what he called President Donald Trump's "unacceptable behavior" and is joining the Democrats.

(Must watch short news conference clip)

“I believe that it is just a matter of time before our party pays a heavy price for President Trump’s reckless spending and shortsighted financial policies, his erratic, destabilizing foreign policy and his disregard for environmental concerns,” McKean added.  
“If this is the new normal, I want no part of it.”

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**Author:** ![KarlGauss](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/karlgauss/32/3713_2.png) [@KarlGauss](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/KarlGauss)\
**Post date:** [April 24, 2019, 1:45pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/a-bold-prediction-trump-wont-be-president-on-nov-3-2020/832813/42 "2019-04-24T13:45:10Z")

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> [@bobot](#):
>
> Trump won’t be pres. if Iowa’s longest serving Republican has his way:  
> [https://www.cnn.com/2019/04/23/politics/andy-mckean-iowa-gop-lawmaker-change-party/index.html](https://www.cnn.com/2019/04/23/politics/andy-mckean-iowa-gop-lawmaker-change-party/index.html)

More important, in my opinion, are defections by conservative mandarins like [this one by George Mason’s Antonin Scalia Law School professor JW Verret](https://www.theatlantic.com/ideas/archive/2019/04/gop-staffer-advocates-trumps-impeachment/587785/), an esrtwhile Republican enabler and legal apologist, who now calls for Trump’s impeachment.

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**Author:** ![Akaj](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/akaj/32/145_2.png) [@Akaj](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Akaj)\
**Post date:** [April 24, 2019, 4:31pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/a-bold-prediction-trump-wont-be-president-on-nov-3-2020/832813/43 "2019-04-24T16:31:29Z")

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> [@KarlGauss](#):
>
> More important, in my opinion, are defections by conservative mandarins like [this one by George Mason’s Antonin Scalia Law School professor JW Verret](https://www.theatlantic.com/ideas/archive/2019/04/gop-staffer-advocates-trumps-impeachment/587785/), an esrtwhile Republican enabler and legal apologist, who now calls for Trump’s impeachment.

As much as I hope you’re right, I must invoke the :rolleyes:

Remember all the never-Trumpers in 2016? Many mandarin-like Republicans were disgusted by him and tried to tell the rest of the party how he didn’t represent their values and would cast the party in shame yada yada yada. Look how that turned out. Why would 2020 be any different?

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**Author:** ![SOJA](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/s/e274bd/32.png) [@SOJA](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/SOJA)\
**Post date:** [April 25, 2019, 7:53am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/a-bold-prediction-trump-wont-be-president-on-nov-3-2020/832813/44 "2019-04-25T07:53:45Z")

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He needs to win to prevent him from being indicted on crimes he was involved in when President or on the road to. Pence or someone later can then pardon him. Except he’ll get picked up on state level crimes. So will his children who were involved. That man wants to win and hopefully fall ill in his 2nd term. Becoming President was one of his worst mistakes. Who gave a damn about his dealings before he ran? Yeah, he was an asshole, but no one spent months or years investigating him.

And if press pool accounts are anything to go by, he’s always in a rage and yelling so loud they can hear him in the Oval Office from the press room, doors closed. The best thing Trump has done as a runner and as POTUS was cause so much tension in the GOP and cause them to go above and beyond because assholes that the party is slowly imploding. It’s beautiful.

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**Author:** ![SOJA](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/s/e274bd/32.png) [@SOJA](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/SOJA)\
**Post date:** [April 25, 2019, 7:58am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/a-bold-prediction-trump-wont-be-president-on-nov-3-2020/832813/45 "2019-04-25T07:58:04Z")

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> [@DigitalC](#):
>
> Trump very much enjoyed running for president, even when nobody thought he had a shot. Once campaign season gets going and he is basking in the adulation of his troglodyte base he is going to be all in.

He’s never stopped campaigning.

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**Author:** ![Crane](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/crane/32/3495_2.png) [@Crane](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Crane)\
**Post date:** [June 13, 2019, 2:41am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/a-bold-prediction-trump-wont-be-president-on-nov-3-2020/832813/46 "2019-06-13T02:41:11Z")

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There may come a time when McConnell and the Republican old guard decide that Trump will lose them the Senate along with the Presidency. If that happens they will make Trump an offer he can’t refuse and he will resign. Pence will absolve him of all sins legal and political ending Pence’s political career.

The Republicans are then free to find a plausible candidate - probably Romney.

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