# A forecast of the 2024 US presidential election -- are the assumptions and results reasonable?

**URL:** <https://boards.straightdope.com/t/a-forecast-of-the-2024-us-presidential-election-are-the-assumptions-and-results-reasonable/997960>\
**Category:** Politics & Elections\
**Tags:** trump\
**Created:** [February 22, 2024, 8:13pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/a-forecast-of-the-2024-us-presidential-election-are-the-assumptions-and-results-reasonable/997960 "2024-02-22T20:13:37Z")\
**Posts on this page:** 1\
**Showing post:** 7

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**Author:** ![bordelond](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/bordelond/32/150_2.png) [@bordelond](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/bordelond)\
**Post date:** [February 23, 2024, 3:29pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/a-forecast-of-the-2024-us-presidential-election-are-the-assumptions-and-results-reasonable/997960/7 "2024-02-23T15:29:53Z")

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@Horatius was good enough to post this in the active “anti-Trump resistance” thread (which are in turn cross-posts from other P&E threads). Trump’s support is showing cracks.

> [@The anti-Trump resistance has become exhausted](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/the-anti-trump-resistance-has-become-exhausted/997846/101):
>
> And then there’s this nice bit from the Schadenfreude thread. Who is it who is “exhausted”?

EDIT: To summarize the link – (1) Biden’s campaign out-raised Trump’s in January 2024 by almost 2 to 1, and (2) the conservative CPAC convention has notably poorer attendance this year than in recent years.

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