# A Poll on Biden

**URL:** <https://boards.straightdope.com/t/a-poll-on-biden/851946>\
**Category:** Politics & Elections\
**Created:** [April 16, 2020, 8:20pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/a-poll-on-biden/851946 "2020-04-16T20:20:34Z")\
**Posts on this page:** 20\
**Page:** 13

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**Author:** ![What\_Exit](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/what_exit/32/10652_2.png) [@What\_Exit](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/What_Exit)\
**Post date:** [August 27, 2020, 6:32pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/a-poll-on-biden/851946/241 "2020-08-27T18:32:16Z")

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Right now Biden has a narrow electoral college lead. If he can take Florida, it is all over. Ohio, North Carolina or Georgia are all considered toss-ups and any of those 3 would also be enough right now. Arizona wouldn’t hurt, it brings 11 EC votes.

Trump has to hold the remaining Red & pink states and win all of the Toss-up states (91 EC votes) and still take a decent size light blue state, lets say Wisconsin.

[url][https://www.270towin.com/[/url]](https://www.270towin.com/%5B/url%5D) Graphical view of what I just said.

Now dream a little dream with me. Biden takes all of the toss-ups and Texas, we now have a landslide repudiation of Trump & the current Republican Leadership. 405 to 131 would be the largest margin\* in a long time. I doubt McConnell would survive in a leadership role if this happened.

- George H. W. Bush won 426-111.

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**Author:** ![DesertDog](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/desertdog/32/11503_2.png) [@DesertDog](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/DesertDog)\
**Post date:** [September 3, 2020, 9:20pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/a-poll-on-biden/851946/242 "2020-09-03T21:20:38Z")

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If you want to look back a bit further  
1980 Reagan vs. Carter 489 - 89

and even further  
1936 FDR vs. Landon 523 - 8

which I believe is the record.

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**Author:** ![ThisIsTheEnd](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/thisistheend/32/4713_2.png) [@ThisIsTheEnd](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/ThisIsTheEnd)\
**Post date:** [September 3, 2020, 9:53pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/a-poll-on-biden/851946/243 "2020-09-03T21:53:26Z")

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Nixon 520 - 17 in 1972.

Don’t blame me.

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**Author:** ![Elendil\_s\_Heir](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/e/7cd45c/32.png) [@Elendil\_s\_Heir](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Elendil_s_Heir)\
**Post date:** [September 4, 2020, 2:08pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/a-poll-on-biden/851946/244 "2020-09-04T14:08:18Z")

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From Massachusetts, eh…?

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**Author:** ![DesertDog](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/desertdog/32/11503_2.png) [@DesertDog](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/DesertDog)\
**Post date:** [September 4, 2020, 10:47pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/a-poll-on-biden/851946/245 "2020-09-04T22:47:40Z")

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_That_ was the one I was trying to remember. How could I forget Tricky Dick’s win?

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**Author:** ![What\_Exit](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/what_exit/32/10652_2.png) [@What\_Exit](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/What_Exit)\
**Post date:** [September 5, 2020, 2:47pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/a-poll-on-biden/851946/246 "2020-09-05T14:47:05Z")

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Florida is as usual too close to predict.  
Trafalgar Group ® Biden 46, Trump 49 Trump +3  
Quinnipiac Biden 48, Trump 45 Biden +3

Trump needs Florida to keep his job.

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**Author:** ![What\_Exit](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/what_exit/32/10652_2.png) [@What\_Exit](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/What_Exit)\
**Post date:** [September 9, 2020, 7:47pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/a-poll-on-biden/851946/247 "2020-09-09T19:47:29Z")

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Lots of polls today in swing states!

| Race/Topic (Click to Sort) | Poll | Results | Spread |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| Wisconsin: Trump vs. Biden | Marquette\* | Biden 47, Trump 43 | Biden +4 |
| Florida: Trump vs. Biden | St. Pete Polls | Biden 50, Trump 47 | Biden +3 |
| Florida: Trump vs. Biden | CNBC/Change Research (D) | Biden 49, Trump 46 | Biden +3 |
| North Carolina: Trump vs. Biden | CNBC/Change Research (D) | Biden 49, Trump 47 | Biden +2 |
| Arizona: Trump vs. Biden | CNBC/Change Research (D) | Biden 49, Trump 45 | Biden +4 |
| Wisconsin: Trump vs. Biden | CNBC/Change Research (D) | Biden 50, Trump 44 | Biden +6 |
| Michigan: Trump vs. Biden | CNBC/Change Research (D) | Biden 49, Trump 43 | Biden +6 |
| Pennsylvania: Trump vs. Biden | CNBC/Change Research (D) | Biden 50, Trump 46 | Biden +4 |
| Pennsylvania: Trump vs. Biden | NBC News/Marist | Biden 53, Trump 44 | Biden +9 |
| General Election: Trump vs. Biden | Rasmussen Reports | Biden 48, Trump 46 | Biden +2 |
| General Election: Trump vs. Biden | CNBC/Change Research (D)\* | Biden 49, Trump 43 | Biden +6 |
| General Election: Trump vs. Biden | USC Dornsife | Biden 53, Trump 41 | Biden +12 |
| General Election: Trump vs. Biden | Economist/YouGov | Biden 52, Trump 43 | Biden +9 |
| General Election: Trump vs. Biden vs. Jorgensen vs. Hawkins | CNBC/Change Research (D) | Biden 49, Trump 43, Jorgensen 3, Hawkins 2 | Biden +6 |
| Michigan Senate - James vs. Peters | CNBC/Change Research (D) | Peters 50, James 46 | Peters +4 |
| Arizona Senate - McSally vs. Kelly | CNBC/Change Research (D) | Kelly 51, McSally 45 | Kelly +6 |
| North Carolina Senate - Tillis vs. Cunningham | CNBC/Change Research (D) | Cunningham 51, Tillis 44 | Cunningham +7 |
| 2020 Generic Congressional Vote | USC Dornsife | Democrats 51, Republicans 44 | Democrats +7 |
| 2020 Generic Congressional Vote | Economist/YouGov | Democrats 48, Republicans 41 | Democrats +7 |
| President Trump Job Approval | Monmouth | Approve 42, Disapprove 55 | Disapprove +13 |
| President Trump Job Approval | CNBC/Change Research (D) | Approve 45, Disapprove 55 | Disapprove +10 |
| — | — | — | — |
| President Trump Job Approval | Rasmussen Reports | Approve 48, Disapprove 51 | Disapprove +3 |
| President Trump Job Approval | Economist/YouGov | Approve 43, Disapprove 57 | Disapprove +14 |
| Congressional Job Approval | Economist/YouGov | Approve 17, Disapprove 58 | Disapprove +41 |
| Direction of Country | Economist/YouGov | Right Direction 28, Wrong Track 64 | Wrong Track +36 |
| Direction of Country | Monmouth | Right Direction 27, Wrong Track 67 | Wrong Track +40 |

Thanks to [RealClearPolitics - 2022 - Latest Polls](https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/latest_polls/)

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<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![Buck\_Godot](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/buck_godot/32/6573_2.png) [@Buck\_Godot](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Buck_Godot)\
**Post date:** [September 9, 2020, 10:48pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/a-poll-on-biden/851946/248 "2020-09-09T22:48:02Z")

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By the way, does it bother anyone else that on the 538 election graphics, Trump looks like a smug SOB, while Biden looks like he’s got constipation?

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**Author:** ![What\_Exit](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/what_exit/32/10652_2.png) [@What\_Exit](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/What_Exit)\
**Post date:** [September 9, 2020, 11:12pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/a-poll-on-biden/851946/249 "2020-09-09T23:12:26Z")

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I hadn’t noticed but Trump often looks like a smug SOB.

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**Author:** ![Buck\_Godot](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/buck_godot/32/6573_2.png) [@Buck\_Godot](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Buck_Godot)\
**Post date:** [September 9, 2020, 11:13pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/a-poll-on-biden/851946/250 "2020-09-09T23:13:53Z")

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Hey, I never said it wasn’t a good likeness, it’s just that the urge to punch it is costing me a fortune in broken monitors.

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<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![What\_Exit](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/what_exit/32/10652_2.png) [@What\_Exit](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/What_Exit)\
**Post date:** [September 9, 2020, 11:16pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/a-poll-on-biden/851946/251 "2020-09-09T23:16:03Z")

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I can see that being a real problem.

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**Author:** ![Elendil\_s\_Heir](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/e/7cd45c/32.png) [@Elendil\_s\_Heir](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Elendil_s_Heir)\
**Post date:** [September 10, 2020, 4:07am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/a-poll-on-biden/851946/252 "2020-09-10T04:07:37Z")

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I can’t even stand to hear his voice anymore, and now I find that Trump’s hair irrationally irritates me.

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**Author:** ![DrDeth](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/d/b487fb/32.png) [@DrDeth](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/DrDeth)\
**Post date:** [September 10, 2020, 4:40am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/a-poll-on-biden/851946/253 "2020-09-10T04:40:41Z")

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trump IS a smug SOB.

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**Author:** ![DesertDog](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/desertdog/32/11503_2.png) [@DesertDog](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/DesertDog)\
**Post date:** [September 10, 2020, 4:56pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/a-poll-on-biden/851946/254 "2020-09-10T16:56:48Z")

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> [@Elendil\_s\_Heir](#):
>
> I can’t even stand to hear his voice anymore, and now I find that Trump’s hair irrationally irritates me.

I’ve found I can’t stand listening to his voice any more, even when I’m watching a Sarah Cooper YouTube.

On another note, he’s not seeming quite so orange to me anymore. I’m wondering if he’s toed down the bronzer a little bit is is it me (shudder) adjusting to a new norm?

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**Author:** ![Skunkdog](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/s/c2a13f/32.png) [@Skunkdog](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Skunkdog)\
**Post date:** [September 10, 2020, 5:38pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/a-poll-on-biden/851946/255 "2020-09-10T17:38:14Z")

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Is it just me or did anyone else like Marianne Williamson more than some of the more mainstream candidates? I read her book “A Return To Love” and thought that it was surprisingly good. Plus, she had a great vibe in the debates even though she was a bit New Age-y for the tastes of most. I never did find out why Richard Ojeda dropped out so early, even before there were many other people running for the Democratic nomination. He seemed to be a nice contrast to the usual candidate and I would have liked to see how he performed.

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**Author:** ![Elendil\_s\_Heir](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/e/7cd45c/32.png) [@Elendil\_s\_Heir](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Elendil_s_Heir)\
**Post date:** [September 10, 2020, 5:42pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/a-poll-on-biden/851946/256 "2020-09-10T17:42:05Z")

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Let MW be a lifecoach or a guru or start a cult if she wants to. She had no business running for POTUS.

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<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![What\_Exit](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/what_exit/32/10652_2.png) [@What\_Exit](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/What_Exit)\
**Post date:** [September 10, 2020, 5:49pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/a-poll-on-biden/851946/257 "2020-09-10T17:49:07Z")

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I think it was just a very small number of people. Might not be anyone else on the Straight Dope. Marianne Williamson barely registered in polls.

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**Author:** ![Gyrate](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/gyrate/32/3588_2.png) [@Gyrate](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Gyrate)\
**Post date:** [September 11, 2020, 3:38pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/a-poll-on-biden/851946/258 "2020-09-11T15:38:06Z")

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MW raised a few valid points in the debates, and that is to her credit. But it’s not enough to warrant election to the presidency, and she was way too flaky IMO to be remotely considered. She was way down near the bottom of my list.

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<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![What\_Exit](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/what_exit/32/10652_2.png) [@What\_Exit](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/What_Exit)\
**Post date:** [September 11, 2020, 3:50pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/a-poll-on-biden/851946/259 "2020-09-11T15:50:26Z")

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Wisconsin is looking better and better in the polls for Biden. Pennsylvania is looking good. That is a good chunk of what Biden needs right there. As Michigan looks very likely to go Biden, his chance of taking the Electoral College is pretty strong.

Of course if he can then grab Florida, Arizona, Ohio or North Carolina all the better.

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**Author:** ![Kolak\_of\_Twilo](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/kolak_of_twilo/32/73_2.png) [@Kolak\_of\_Twilo](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Kolak_of_Twilo)\
**Post date:** [September 11, 2020, 5:25pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/a-poll-on-biden/851946/260 "2020-09-11T17:25:26Z")

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Arizona and North Carolina are the best bets of those four in my opinion. Ohio seems to have taken a sharp turn to the right of late. And as I’ve said, Florida is too flaky and unreliable for a Democrat to count on. Even with Biden’s poll numbers there looking good I just don’t trust it.

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