# Adaher 2016 cycle election prediction thread **URL:** \ **Category:** Politics & Elections\ **Created:** [September 18, 2015, 12:53pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/adaher-2016-cycle-election-prediction-thread/731664 "2015-09-18T12:53:41Z")\ **Posts on this page:** 20\ **Page:** 6
**Author:** ![iiandyiiii](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/iiandyiiii/32/7924_2.png) [@iiandyiiii](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/iiandyiiii)\ **Post date:** [December 4, 2015, 4:28am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/adaher-2016-cycle-election-prediction-thread/731664/101 "2015-12-04T04:28:39Z")
> [@adaher](#): > > Remember what she had to deal with against Obama? She does. I’ve been having fun lately watching Daily Show and Colbert from the period. Just vicious. And I bet we’re all going to have lots of fun looking back at these predictions. ---
**Author:** ![iiandyiiii](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/iiandyiiii/32/7924_2.png) [@iiandyiiii](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/iiandyiiii)\ **Post date:** [December 19, 2015, 6:15pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/adaher-2016-cycle-election-prediction-thread/731664/102 "2015-12-19T18:15:46Z")
Here’s a recent prediction, but it’s more a combination of previous predictions, I think: > [@2016 USA election predictions thread.](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2016-usa-election-predictions-thread/731757/56): > > I agree that it won’t be Trump of Clinton, but Christie or Kasich need a lot to fall the right way for them to win. > > Rubio is the default nominee and he’s campaigning like it, not really trying to hard but just waiting to be the guy. The downside to that is that if a credible alternative does emerge, such as Christie or Kasich or Bush, he’s toast. The upside is that he might actually be the only plausible nominee, so why spend all your money? ---
**Author:** ![Do\_Not\_Taunt](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/do_not_taunt/32/2968_2.png) [@Do\_Not\_Taunt](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Do_Not_Taunt)\ **Post date:** [December 19, 2015, 10:26pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/adaher-2016-cycle-election-prediction-thread/731664/103 "2015-12-19T22:26:21Z")
I don’t really see much of a prediction in there, except that it won’t be “Trump of Clinton.” And I’m not entirely sure what that even means. 😃 ---
**Author:** ![adaher](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/a/dec6dc/32.png) [@adaher](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/adaher)\ **Post date:** [December 20, 2015, 4:02am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/adaher-2016-cycle-election-prediction-thread/731664/104 "2015-12-20T04:02:42Z")
My list of possible Presidents is earlier in the thread. Trump and Clinton are not among them. ---
**Author:** ![Kolak\_of\_Twilo](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/kolak_of_twilo/32/73_2.png) [@Kolak\_of\_Twilo](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Kolak_of_Twilo)\ **Post date:** [December 20, 2015, 5:06am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/adaher-2016-cycle-election-prediction-thread/731664/105 "2015-12-20T05:06:11Z")
> [@Do\_Not\_Taunt](#): > > I don’t really see much of a prediction in there, except that it won’t be “Trump of Clinton.” And I’m not entirely sure what that even means. 😃 Me neither, but our friend seems to be betting heavily on Rubio and absolutely certain Clinton can’t win because of her “unfavoribility” percentages. He doesn’t factor in any of the batshit crazy that is the current GOP field, just Hillary’s supposed “untrustworthiness”. ---
**Author:** ![adaher](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/a/dec6dc/32.png) [@adaher](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/adaher)\ **Post date:** [December 20, 2015, 5:19am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/adaher-2016-cycle-election-prediction-thread/731664/106 "2015-12-20T05:19:26Z")
Why factor in the batshit crazy? It’s never been a general election factor before. Why expect it to finally happen this time? We let out our primal scream during the primaries and then get serious when it actually comes time to select our nominee. ---
**Author:** ![Kolak\_of\_Twilo](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/kolak_of_twilo/32/73_2.png) [@Kolak\_of\_Twilo](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Kolak_of_Twilo)\ **Post date:** [December 20, 2015, 5:47am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/adaher-2016-cycle-election-prediction-thread/731664/107 "2015-12-20T05:47:25Z")
> [@adaher](#): > > Why factor in the batshit crazy? Because this time the GOP field is nothing BUT batshit crazy! ---
**Author:** ![adaher](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/a/dec6dc/32.png) [@adaher](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/adaher)\ **Post date:** [December 20, 2015, 6:03am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/adaher-2016-cycle-election-prediction-thread/731664/108 "2015-12-20T06:03:06Z")
Yeah, heard that before too. ---
**Author:** ![ElvisL1ves](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/e/5daacb/32.png) [@ElvisL1ves](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/ElvisL1ves)\ **Post date:** [December 20, 2015, 10:52pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/adaher-2016-cycle-election-prediction-thread/731664/109 "2015-12-20T22:52:23Z")
Now that you’re giving up on Kasich too, who \*are \*you confident of now? ---
**Author:** ![adaher](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/a/dec6dc/32.png) [@adaher](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/adaher)\ **Post date:** [December 21, 2015, 3:33am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/adaher-2016-cycle-election-prediction-thread/731664/110 "2015-12-21T03:33:35Z")
I was supporting Kasich. I never predicted who would win the nomination. I still support John Kasich. ---
**Author:** ![Qin\_Shi\_Huangdi](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/q/f04885/32.png) [@Qin\_Shi\_Huangdi](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Qin_Shi_Huangdi)\ **Post date:** [December 21, 2015, 9:48am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/adaher-2016-cycle-election-prediction-thread/731664/111 "2015-12-21T09:48:46Z")
> [@adaher](#): > > I was supporting Kasich. I never predicted who would win the nomination. I still support John Kasich. You frequently implied Koch Kuck Kasich had some sort of a plausible chance of making it big. ---
**Author:** ![adaher](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/a/dec6dc/32.png) [@adaher](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/adaher)\ **Post date:** [December 21, 2015, 9:55am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/adaher-2016-cycle-election-prediction-thread/731664/112 "2015-12-21T09:55:00Z")
And I still think he’s got a chance. Just not as much of one as when he started. He assured supporters he’d learned from his failed 2000 run but it looks like he’s just making different mistakes now. ---
**Author:** ![Qin\_Shi\_Huangdi](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/q/f04885/32.png) [@Qin\_Shi\_Huangdi](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Qin_Shi_Huangdi)\ **Post date:** [December 21, 2015, 10:17am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/adaher-2016-cycle-election-prediction-thread/731664/113 "2015-12-21T10:17:58Z")
> [@adaher](#): > > And I still think he’s got a chance. Just not as much of one as when he started. He assured supporters he’d learned from his failed 2000 run but it looks like he’s just making different mistakes now. Kasich only has a “chance” in the sense that doing so won’t (at least to my knowledge) violate the laws of physics. ---
**Author:** ![Frank](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/f/3d9bf3/32.png) [@Frank](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Frank)\ **Post date:** [December 21, 2015, 11:51am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/adaher-2016-cycle-election-prediction-thread/731664/114 "2015-12-21T11:51:21Z")
> [@Qin\_Shi\_Huangdi](#): > > …Koch Kuck Kasich… What do you intend this to mean? ---
**Author:** ![BobLibDem](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/boblibdem/32/3149_2.png) [@BobLibDem](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/BobLibDem)\ **Post date:** [December 21, 2015, 11:51am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/adaher-2016-cycle-election-prediction-thread/731664/115 "2015-12-21T11:51:34Z")
Kasich never had a chance, never will. He is, however, a wonderful example of the best in animatronics and embalming. ---
**Author:** ![Do\_Not\_Taunt](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/do_not_taunt/32/2968_2.png) [@Do\_Not\_Taunt](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Do_Not_Taunt)\ **Post date:** [December 21, 2015, 7:03pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/adaher-2016-cycle-election-prediction-thread/731664/116 "2015-12-21T19:03:35Z")
> [@adaher](#): > > My list of possible Presidents is earlier in the thread. Trump and Clinton are not among them. Can you link to it or reproduce it here? I skimmed that thread, and all I saw (other than the quoted post) was a bunch of discussion around the VP. I probably just missed it, but it’d be nice to have your predictions aggregated in one place. ---
**Author:** ![Lance\_Turbo](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/lance_turbo/32/6156_2.png) [@Lance\_Turbo](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Lance_Turbo)\ **Post date:** [December 21, 2015, 9:19pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/adaher-2016-cycle-election-prediction-thread/731664/117 "2015-12-21T21:19:11Z")
It’s in post #2 of _this_ thread. This is the thread for aggregating **addy** predictions. ---
**Author:** ![Do\_Not\_Taunt](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/do_not_taunt/32/2968_2.png) [@Do\_Not\_Taunt](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Do_Not_Taunt)\ **Post date:** [December 21, 2015, 10:21pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/adaher-2016-cycle-election-prediction-thread/731664/118 "2015-12-21T22:21:34Z")
> [@Lance\_Turbo](#): > > It’s in post #2 of _this_ thread. This is the thread for aggregating **addy** predictions. That makes sense… I thought he was claiming that he had a (potentially different) list of presidents in the thread that had been quoted that he was responding to. This certainly makes more sense. ---
**Author:** ![Qin\_Shi\_Huangdi](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/q/f04885/32.png) [@Qin\_Shi\_Huangdi](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Qin_Shi_Huangdi)\ **Post date:** [December 21, 2015, 10:54pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/adaher-2016-cycle-election-prediction-thread/731664/119 "2015-12-21T22:54:27Z")
> [@Frank](#): > > What do you intend this to mean? [Exactly What It Says on the Tin](http://tvtropes.org/pmwiki/pmwiki.php/Main/ExactlyWhatItSaysOnTheTin)-that is, Kasich is a tool of the plutocratic class. Also a very nice alliteration. ---
**Author:** ![Frank](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/f/3d9bf3/32.png) [@Frank](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Frank)\ **Post date:** [December 21, 2015, 11:06pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/adaher-2016-cycle-election-prediction-thread/731664/120 "2015-12-21T23:06:57Z")
> [@Qin\_Shi\_Huangdi](#): > > [Exactly What It Says on the Tin](http://tvtropes.org/pmwiki/pmwiki.php/Main/ExactlyWhatItSaysOnTheTin)-that is, Kasich is a tool of the plutocratic class. Also a very nice alliteration. Well, I got the Koch and the Kasich, since they’re both names, but I am still unfamiliar with the word Kuck. Gibberish that is “Exactly What It Says on the Tin” is still gibberish. [Previous page](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/adaher-2016-cycle-election-prediction-thread/731664.md?page=5) [Next page](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/adaher-2016-cycle-election-prediction-thread/731664.md?page=7)