# Adaher 2016 cycle election prediction thread

**URL:** <https://boards.straightdope.com/t/adaher-2016-cycle-election-prediction-thread/731664>\
**Category:** Politics & Elections\
**Created:** [September 18, 2015, 12:53pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/adaher-2016-cycle-election-prediction-thread/731664 "2015-09-18T12:53:41Z")\
**Posts on this page:** 1\
**Showing post:** 178

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**Author:** ![iiandyiiii](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/iiandyiiii/32/7924_2.png) [@iiandyiiii](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/iiandyiiii)\
**Post date:** [February 10, 2016, 1:02pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/adaher-2016-cycle-election-prediction-thread/731664/178 "2016-02-10T13:02:51Z")

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One more prediction about NH that we can pretty clearly mark as wrong:

> [@2016 Bernie Sanders (D-VT) campaign for POTUS thread](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2016-bernie-sanders-d-vt-campaign-for-potus-thread/718754/150):
>
> I’m calling it now: Sanders wins NH, race thrown into turmoil, a big name candidate jumps in to “save the party”. Probably Liz Warren. The clamor for a viable Clinton alternative will be overwhelming at that point. Sanders can’t pull it off, but if he can win an early state against Clinton it shows that Clinton can’t either.

We’ve known Sanders would win NH for at least a month, I think, so this isn’t a big surprise. NH is probably the best fit for Sanders in the country, aside from Vermont.

Like Nate Silver, I don’t think Hillary is in much trouble at this point – she’s way ahead in SC, and limiting polling in Nevada also puts her far ahead. If this changes, then maybe she is in trouble, but no sign of this yet.

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