# Aeschines, Statistician Extraordinaire

**URL:** <https://boards.straightdope.com/t/aeschines-statistician-extraordinaire/983380>\
**Category:** The BBQ Pit\
**Created:** [April 30, 2023, 8:03pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/aeschines-statistician-extraordinaire/983380 "2023-04-30T20:03:52Z")\
**Posts on this page:** 20\
**Page:** 6

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**Author:** ![GIGObuster](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/gigobuster/32/421_2.png) [@GIGObuster](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/GIGObuster)\
**Post date:** [May 1, 2023, 4:59pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/aeschines-statistician-extraordinaire/983380/101 "2023-05-01T16:59:17Z")

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> [@Aeschines](#):
>
> I’ve largely been a very boring, uncontroversial poster here for the past 20 years, not even getting into debates much. There have been a few exceptions, but not many.

Uh, the OP might had been lame, but the coverup here is what can get you in trouble like Nixon. It reminds others about what a dunderhead you were until taken to task.

[The non-rhetorical pit of Aeschines or Time Adventures: episode I - The BBQ Pit - Straight Dope Message Board](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/the-non-rhetorical-pit-of-aeschines-or-time-adventures-episode-i/225872)

After that, I did notice a big improvement on your contributions… until now.

(So yeah, **Aeschines** still has his “ass-cheek tied behind his back”.)

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**Author:** ![Exapno\_Mapcase](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/exapno_mapcase/32/1051_2.png) [@Exapno\_Mapcase](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Exapno_Mapcase)\
**Post date:** [May 1, 2023, 5:35pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/aeschines-statistician-extraordinaire/983380/102 "2023-05-01T17:35:05Z")

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I bow before the master. No, you don’t need to thank me.

I don’t post in the Pit for precisely the reasons shown in this thread. I succumbed to the opportunity to vent on a long-standing peeve. The board is infested by and poisoned by people who behave like the Black Knight, confidently proclaiming their invincibility after their limbs have been cut off. Cute in a movie; brain-damaging in an ever-longer and more futile thread.

Only a troll could enjoy engendering a pile-on by exasperated posters dedicated to fact and sanity. Only an extraordinary troll could continue the act for decades.

Why the mods don’t consider that behavior as trolling is as mysterious to me as trolling itself.

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**Author:** ![Kimstu](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/k/ecd19e/32.png) [@Kimstu](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Kimstu)\
**Post date:** [May 1, 2023, 5:39pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/aeschines-statistician-extraordinaire/983380/103 "2023-05-01T17:39:25Z")

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> [@Aeschines](#):
>
> > [@Aeschines](#):
> >
> > Well, 80 posts with AFAICT all observers concurring that the OP’s correct and the Pittee is awkwardly trolling counts as attaining a reasonably good level of “action”, ISTM. Not every Pit thread of a deserving target is destined to turn into a multi-kilopost open-ended hog hunt, after all.

I think you accidentally misattributed to yourself this quote from my post #81; submitted mod fix request.

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**Author:** ![Miller](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/miller/32/481_2.png) [@Miller](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Miller)\
**Post date:** [May 1, 2023, 5:47pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/aeschines-statistician-extraordinaire/983380/104 "2023-05-01T17:47:16Z")

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Fixed.

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**Author:** ![Kimstu](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/k/ecd19e/32.png) [@Kimstu](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Kimstu)\
**Post date:** [May 1, 2023, 5:48pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/aeschines-statistician-extraordinaire/983380/105 "2023-05-01T17:48:31Z")

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Quick service! Thanks!

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**Author:** ![ParallelLines](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/parallellines/32/3575_2.png) [@ParallelLines](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/ParallelLines)\
**Post date:** [May 1, 2023, 8:33pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/aeschines-statistician-extraordinaire/983380/106 "2023-05-01T20:33:08Z")

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That was glorious @GIGObuster, thanks for digging it up.

And yeah, the childlike nature of the defense of citied in the threat that prompted the mocking seems quite similar to today’s target.

BUT, if they only drop to that level every 10-20 years, that’s still a good sign, and I won’t pretend I don’t have my mulish moments as well, so here’s hoping.

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**Author:** ![NinthAcolyte](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/ninthacolyte/32/13676_2.png) [@NinthAcolyte](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/NinthAcolyte)\
**Post date:** [May 1, 2023, 8:41pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/aeschines-statistician-extraordinaire/983380/107 "2023-05-01T20:41:14Z")

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… Who still says “pwn?” For a second I thought I was back in, like, 2008.

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**Author:** ![Dr\_Paprika](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/dr_paprika/32/3042_2.png) [@Dr\_Paprika](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Dr_Paprika)\
**Post date:** [May 1, 2023, 9:07pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/aeschines-statistician-extraordinaire/983380/108 "2023-05-01T21:07:03Z")

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This thread is so pathetic I get a tax credit just for reading these posts.

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**Author:** ![Gatopescado](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/gatopescado/32/5711_2.png) [@Gatopescado](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Gatopescado)\
**Post date:** [May 1, 2023, 10:46pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/aeschines-statistician-extraordinaire/983380/109 "2023-05-01T22:46:15Z")

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> [@Aeschines](#):
>
> Air? That ain’t what YO MOMMA sucked.

This one did kinda make me chuckle.

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**Author:** ![digs](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/digs/32/14889_2.png) [@digs](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/digs)\
**Post date:** [May 1, 2023, 11:04pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/aeschines-statistician-extraordinaire/983380/110 "2023-05-01T23:04:23Z")

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Am I missing something? Isn’t this a perfect example of Right or Wrong? Either 538 had Hillary “at like 95%” or it didn’t.

A fact that @Aeschines could’ve looked up in twenty seconds?

**Shouldn’t this thread have been two posts long?**  
The OP, then a reply: “Ha, look here! 538 said that Hillary had a 99.99% chance on 11/1/16.”  
or “Oops, sorry, my numbers were off, but my point stands that I don’t like Nate any more.”

And, we could’ve avoided outing all those mothers…

.

I’ve told a lot of Dopers that the Pit is a great place, full of content, not just insults. I just hope none of them see this thread…

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**Author:** ![TroutMan](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/troutman/32/6721_2.png) [@TroutMan](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/TroutMan)\
**Post date:** [May 2, 2023, 12:09am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/aeschines-statistician-extraordinaire/983380/111 "2023-05-02T00:09:52Z")

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it wasn’t just the % he was wrong on. After it was pointed out to him that Hillary was never at 95%, he started arguing that 538 is wrong for publishing any percentages at all, because people might get the wrong idea. All statistics should be described as either “definitely will happen” or “toss-up”. It’s just impossible for someone to understand the difference between 50%, 75%, and 95%.

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**Author:** ![ParallelLines](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/parallellines/32/3575_2.png) [@ParallelLines](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/ParallelLines)\
**Post date:** [May 2, 2023, 12:41am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/aeschines-statistician-extraordinaire/983380/112 "2023-05-02T00:41:59Z")

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For those who found the pitting boring, it was a pretty unemotionally charged OP.

@Stranger_On_A_Train just wanted @Aeschines to own up to their errors. No insults, just a demand that A-- admit they were wrong and retract that parties own very insulting statement in the prior thread.

And then Aes just decided that rather than do the adult thing, to come in with the tact and command of language of a petulant 12 year old over and over and over again.

So yeah, it’s boring, because it’s asking for rationality from someone throwing a temper tantrum in this thread. No comment about other threads, although the historical documents were also quite similar in tenor.

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**Author:** ![Stranger\_On\_A\_Train](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/s/13edae/32.png) [@Stranger\_On\_A\_Train](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Stranger_On_A_Train)\
**Post date:** [May 2, 2023, 12:53am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/aeschines-statistician-extraordinaire/983380/113 "2023-05-02T00:53:22Z")

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> [@ParallelLines](#):
>
> @Stranger_On_A_Train just wanted @Aeschines to own up to their errors. No insults, just a demand that A-- admit they were wrong and retract that parties own very insulting statement in the prior thread

I was honestly not even expecting a response to the request for retraction; I just wanted to pull the poster in question away from the “FiveThirtyEight decimated by Disney Layoffs” thread so we could continue to discuss that general issue instead of getting bogged down in @Aeschines’ misunderstanding of statistical forecasting and the string of sophomoric “Yo Mamma” jokes, which mostly worked. The wild gyrations about how people here were not responding in kind with sufficient interest to satisfy his pathetic need to be the center of attention was just a bonus sideshow of infantile trolling which I didn’t even anticipate.

Stranger

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**Author:** ![Buck\_Godot](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/buck_godot/32/6573_2.png) [@Buck\_Godot](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Buck_Godot)\
**Post date:** [May 2, 2023, 1:41am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/aeschines-statistician-extraordinaire/983380/114 "2023-05-02T01:41:35Z")

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> [@Stranger\_On\_A\_Train](#):
>
> The wild gyrations about how people here were not responding in kind with sufficient interest to satisfy his pathetic need to be the center of attention was just a bonus sideshow of infantile trolling which I didn’t even anticipate

Of course the answer to my [previous qurey](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/aeschines-statistician-extraordinaire/983380/32) is obvious, I don’t know why I didn’t see it before. Its all just acting out to get any attention of any type whether its good or bad. Perhaps I can help him if I approach him at his own level.

Yo Mamma was so neglectful that she didn’t give you the love and attention you needed to grow into a fully functional adult instead of one who continually repeats Yo momma jokes as a cry for any attention whether good or bad in a Pavlovian response to feelings of low self esteem and lonliness, which all is very sad and not your fault and for which I hope you seek professional help.

That was my first Yo mamma joke I hope I did it right.

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**Author:** ![Czarcasm](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/czarcasm/32/4050_2.png) [@Czarcasm](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Czarcasm)\
**Post date:** [May 2, 2023, 1:48am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/aeschines-statistician-extraordinaire/983380/115 "2023-05-02T01:48:40Z")

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Yo Momma woulda been proud of you.

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**Author:** ![Aeschines](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/aeschines/32/16251_2.png) [@Aeschines](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Aeschines)\
**Post date:** [May 2, 2023, 1:56am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/aeschines-statistician-extraordinaire/983380/116 "2023-05-02T01:56:15Z")

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Hey guys. Real sorry here. I _was_ wrong. It wasn’t 95%–it was some other percent. I admit that now. Also, I had some bad weed last night, and I was trying out some new material, trying to get into some comedy clubs here. And it just went tits up. Sorry about some of the shit I said. Hope you can forgive and forget. Thank you, peace out.

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**Author:** ![Euphonious\_Polemic](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/euphonious_polemic/32/3002_2.png) [@Euphonious\_Polemic](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Euphonious_Polemic)\
**Post date:** [May 2, 2023, 2:46am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/aeschines-statistician-extraordinaire/983380/117 "2023-05-02T02:46:26Z")

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Comedy club?

Don’t quit your day job.

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**Author:** ![GIGObuster](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/gigobuster/32/421_2.png) [@GIGObuster](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/GIGObuster)\
**Post date:** [May 2, 2023, 2:54am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/aeschines-statistician-extraordinaire/983380/118 "2023-05-02T02:54:40Z")

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… I was gonna go to work but then I got high (ohh, ohh)  
I just got a new promotion but I got high (la da da da da)  
Now I’m _trolling the dope_ and I know why (why man?)

… 'Cause I got high  
Because I got high  
Because I got high

-With apologies to Afroman.

Well, as usual, time will tell; apology accepted… for now.

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**Author:** ![Aeschines](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/aeschines/32/16251_2.png) [@Aeschines](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Aeschines)\
**Post date:** [May 2, 2023, 3:07am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/aeschines-statistician-extraordinaire/983380/119 "2023-05-02T03:07:21Z")

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> [@GIGObuster](#):
>
> Well, as usual, time will tell; apology accepted… for now.

Thanks, baby! You know how it is…

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**Author:** ![Aeschines](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/aeschines/32/16251_2.png) [@Aeschines](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Aeschines)\
**Post date:** [May 2, 2023, 3:07am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/aeschines-statistician-extraordinaire/983380/120 "2023-05-02T03:07:45Z")

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Yeah, gotta work on my material some more.

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