Am I more likely to win the lottery by picking the numbers myself or going with easy pick?

Go with easy or quick pick. Always.

Because if you have a set of lucky numbers, and one day you do not play, and they come up, you will blame yourself for years.

Numbers considered lucky (7)? Do lottery numbers go up to 69? Numbers divisible by 5?

You avoid using numbers you think others might use so you don’t have to split winnings, decreasing the chances of winning. You do you.

This may be an example of the “gambler’s fallacy.” Just because a particular set of numbers has already been picked, this does not make it any less or more likely for that same set of numbers to be picked again (by a different, independent machine, or even by the same machine if the process it uses to pick numbers does so in such a way that its picks are sufficiently random and independent).

How does this decrease the chances of winning?

You totally missed their point. They know the odds. It would just sting a little if their regular numbers so happened to be picked the one week they didn’t use them.

Nobody can see all the other numbers picked. No matter how fancy your method, there’s always a chance that someone else will pick the same numbers as you.

But you can see a significant sampling of the numbers others have picked, and from that, you can determine numbers that are less likely to match anyone else’s. Especially since a lot of people follow really easy patterns like dates.

How? Other than by guessing. 8 is a lucky number for Chinese people so I won’t use that number…

If you eliminate a number because you think others will use it, you might eliminate a winning number. The more numbers you eliminate, the less chance you have of winning if any of those numbers are drawn.

I’m not following you.

Here is what is true:
-Any set of numbers is equally likely to win.
-If you could magically find out all of the sequences chosen and then use that information to choose a unique one, you will be the only winner if you win and not have to split.
-If you could see the historical data of all of the numbers individually chosen over the last few weeks and make your sequence out of the more infrequently chosen numbers, you will be less likely to split should your numbers come up.

No, it doesn’t work that way. It makes no difference what numbers were chosen in the past. None, nada, zilch. That’s the “Gambler’s Fallacy”.

I thought you wanted to know what numbers were used on the current lottery to avoid matching someone else and having to split the pot. If you are talking about numbers from the previous lotteries, they have no impact on what numbers are drawn the next time, or the next time, assuming the drawing is random and not biased.

If you want to use the previous numbers to determine what numbers are commonly picked, you reduce the chances of ever winning since all numbers have an equal chance of winning.

Yeah. That’s literally what I said.

Also literally what I said. Are you responding to me? I am talking about a strategy to reduce the chances of splitting should I win. This does not rely on past lottery results (I thought I was clear about that). This relies in what numbers people tend to choose and selecting numbers that people tend not to like so I am less likely to split if I win.

Since all numbers have an equal chance of winning, eliminating any numbers for any reason, reduces your overall chance of winning since you are eliminating possible winning numbers. True? I’d rather split than win nothing.

I am not talking about the chances of winning. I am talking about the chances of splitting in the event that I win.

Any sequence has an equal chance of winning. If I choose a sequence, I have eliminated all of the other numbers by definition. You are seemingly doing some sort of weird semantic thing.

For all you people concerned about splitting; do you look at a megamillions win that is split 5 ways and say “Thank god I didn’t win that one!”

If you can find out the most common betting combinations, and avoid those, if you happen to win you have less chance of splitting, assuming that nobody does the same thing you are doing.

I don’t think that any of us play the lottery at all. We’re just math nerds. The fewer than ten times I bought lotto tickets, it was a quick pick.

Also, there were many times that I threw in $5 for the work lotto pool that they’d do when the pot was high enough. It was hundreds of quick picks. Now that was irrational but I didn’t want to be that one asshole who still had to work while thirty of my co-workers were on the celebratory Caribbean cruise.

And once again, exactly what I said.

I just find it amusing. If you’ve successfully avoided splitting, then you have successfully avoided winning. Hooray!

Not how it works.

The statement is objectively true. Unless for some reason you don’t consider splitting to be winning.
Now if you want to argue that it isn’t actually possible to avoid splitting making the statement not very meaningful, I might agree with you there.

No strategy will make winning the lottery more likely. Not even a strategy of NOT picking the numbers 1,2,3,4,5.

You don’t understand on a very fundamental level. I am not sure how to make it more clear.

Obviously anyone would rather split than lose. If you had certain information, you can reduce the chance of splitting while keeping the chance of winning the same. This is what is being discussed.