American Civil War/When/how would the south have abolished slavery without it

No one was going to start a war over the slavery issue alone. The South seceded. The North started the war, remember? Lincoln warned in his inaugural address he would only invade to enforce the tariff. He most likely did this to appease his Northern industrialist backers who were all about tariffs, not so big on emancipation, and never would have started a war for it.