You can’t frame a hypothesis without assuming that the causal events to be explained must share certain testable implications with similar causal events we have already observed and explained to our satisfaction.
Some examples of how analogical reasoning works in science are here:
No argument is wholly reliant upon analogy. An analogy is used when you’re making what you consider to be a valid argument but the person you’re making it to doesn’t see its point. So you apply the same argument to a different situation in hopes that he will comprehend the point you’re making and then be able to apply it back to the original issue.
But that’s the point - too often the debate gets derailed to argue about whether the analogy is valid instead of trying to understand the point the analogy is trying to make.
Witness the whole “same sex marriage is like marrying a washing machine” fiasco.
So, you don’t have to dance with my sister.
That’s what I’m talking about. That hijack wouldn’t happen without the analogy. The point of any analogy is to try to show the likenesses, but the setting of a debate makes accepting someone else’s argument a challenge. They have a strong motivation to find the “flaws” in the analogy.
Bingo!
But this brings up a related point, that analogies can be poor tools in educational settings, too.
I haven’t read the book, but Edwards points out in his review that Hofstadter and Sander bring up this very point.
I don’t know the validity of that specific conjecture, but the Schrödinger’s Cat one is a great example. As mentioned, Schrödinger didn’t intend his analogy to explain QM, he was trying to demonstrate by argumentum ad absurdum the ramifications of the Copenhagen interpretation, and how preposterous it is.
Similarly, when trying to study the idea of the Big Bang and the expansion of the universe while the universe has no physical center, two analogies are often used: the balloon and the muffin.
The balloon analogy says the universe is like a big balloon with dots drawn on the surface. Inflate the balloon more, the dots spread further apart, but there’s no physical center on the surface of the balloon. That’s great, except it relies on curvature in a third dimension. Does that mean the universe is curved through a different dimension?
The muffin example says blueberries in the muffin, when the muffin bakes it expands, but the blueberries move apart. Except a muffin has a physical center.
I have run into those examples many times, and typically the person doesn’t get the point of the analogy, they get hung up on the points I mentioned.
And if you’re trying to craft an analogy, a lot of care should be put into this element.
Okay, that’s an interesting way to approach it. Too many debates use bad analogies and hammers to belittle their opponents rather than as maps to show the way. Or something like that.
Thank you.
No, I think they are always flawed, it’s just sometimes we overlook the flaws and sometimes we get caught up by them. I’m using “flawed” to mean “not completely the same” - because with analogies the value is in the similarities and the differences. In lawman’s terms, we get caught up talking about valid analogies and invalid analogies. Subterraneanus points out that strictly speaking that is the wrong evaluation to make of analogies. Instead, you evaluate an analogy on how strong it is. A “good” analogy is one that the premises between the points of interest are the same, a “bad” analogy is one where the premises differ. The difficulty is identifying which premises are relevant and which can be ignored.
All analogies have holes, it’s just how big the holes are. If the holes are tiny compared to the issues, the argument can’t leak through. If the holes are big, the argument falls out the bottom.
Because the value in analogies is in connecting the premises of one situation with the premises of the other situation. But debate situations (especially here, where “debate” often means “piss on each other until it’s too deep to breathe”) are not built on an atmosphere of learning from the other person, but rather an atmosphere of telling them why they are wrong. So instead of accepting an analogy for what it is trying to show, the response is typically to try to overextend the analogy to show that it is flawed, and thus the point the person was trying to make with the analogy is, therefore, invalid. Or they change the analogy to replace it with one that highlights what they want to say rather than look at the analogy given and accept what it shows.
Well, it certainly would be nice.
The argument against the tactic is that the conversation gets hijacked into arguing over whether or not washing machines can enter contracts.
Um, it’s an awful tactic doesn’t mean it shouldn’t be used?
And you just introduced a flawed analogy to make your point. So I can spend time telling you why the analogy is flawed, and thereby do exactly what I say is the problem with analogies - they distract from the conversation.*
That gets back to the argument presented by Hofstadter and Sander.
He’s saying that analogies can’t be measured by being “valid” or “invalid”. Rather, they can only be measured for being “strong” or “weak”. A strong inductive argument has conclusions that are likely based upon the premises, and a weak inductive argument has conclusions that are less likely based upon the premises.
Similarly, a strong analogy is one where more of the relevant issues are similar between the two items being compared, and a weak analogy has fewer similar issues taken into account, or some of the relevant issues are ignored.
In other words, all analogies are flawed, it’s just a matter of how important the flaws are to the point being made. Is it a hairline scratch in the paint or is the car totaled?
(Yes, I am using analogies. Sue me.)
What kind of a fight is it? A boxing match with structured rules? A duel? An attack by a mugger (wielding a fish)? I would say unless it’s a structured competition, any tool that gets the job done is a good tool. A frozen herring wouldn’t be an ideal tool, but if one is handy it’s certainly got merits. A poor tool would be a wet spaghetti noodle - it’s limp, doesn’t have much mass, and poor structural integrity. Hit me in the nuts with it all you want, it’s not dropping me to the floor gasping. And anything that’s not a structured competition, there’s no such thing as an illegal groin hit. If it’s a structured competition, then the opponent who used the groin hit is going to face sanctions, up to and including being disqualified. Getting yourself disqualified is a horrible tool for winning.
And if you’re having a clown fight, then a frozen herring is a great tool.
Well that’s the issue, isn’t it? It’s why I used the example of a red herring as a tool in a fight. If it works, it isn’t awful for the winner. Hell, just disrupting a debate is considered a win for somebody who doesn’t want an issue discussed.
Yes, and since the internet isn’t structured, even if you show with little doubt an analogy is an awful weapon, that doesn’t mean anyone will stop using one.