# Another Monty Hall Problem question

**URL:** <https://boards.straightdope.com/t/another-monty-hall-problem-question/918336>\
**Category:** In My Humble Opinion\
**Created:** [August 17, 2020, 5:10pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/another-monty-hall-problem-question/918336 "2020-08-17T17:10:09Z")\
**Posts on this page:** 5\
**Page:** 1

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**Author:** ![mixdenny](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/mixdenny/32/2962_2.png) [@mixdenny](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/mixdenny)\
**Post date:** [August 17, 2020, 5:10pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/another-monty-hall-problem-question/918336/1 "2020-08-17T17:10:09Z")

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I made this a new topic after searching various sources as best as I could. I’m not discussing the math, that’s been done to death. It’s simple:

Has anyone gone through archives of the show and compiled the actual results? It would be even more interesting if the results were shown for before and after Marylin’s article.

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**Author:** ![AlsoNamedBort](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/alsonamedbort/32/3213_2.png) [@AlsoNamedBort](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/AlsoNamedBort)\
**Post date:** [August 17, 2020, 5:20pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/another-monty-hall-problem-question/918336/2 "2020-08-17T17:20:20Z")

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You don’t actually get to switch on Let’s Make a Deal (at least not for the Big Deal). The original question never actually mentions Monty Hall, it just proposes a theoretical game show.

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**Author:** ![Telemark](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/telemark/32/372_2.png) [@Telemark](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Telemark)\
**Post date:** [August 17, 2020, 5:27pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/another-monty-hall-problem-question/918336/3 "2020-08-17T17:27:21Z")

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And there was never any rule that Monty had to offer a switch (when they were possible) so there’s no way to gather meaningful statistics.

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**Author:** ![Riemann](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/riemann/32/3133_2.png) [@Riemann](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Riemann)\
**Post date:** [August 17, 2020, 9:14pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/another-monty-hall-problem-question/918336/4 "2020-08-17T21:14:55Z")

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> [@Telemark](#):
>
> And there was never any rule that Monty had to offer a switch

Yup, that’s obviously critical. If he knowns where the car is and he’s not constrained to act in a specified way every time, then it’s no longer a probabilistic question. Auric Goldfinger’s perspective is more relevant:

> Once is happenstance. Twice is coincidence. The third time it’s enemy action.

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**Author:** ![mixdenny](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/mixdenny/32/2962_2.png) [@mixdenny](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/mixdenny)\
**Post date:** [August 18, 2020, 3:01am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/another-monty-hall-problem-question/918336/5 "2020-08-18T03:01:33Z")

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Guess I should have watched TV more…
