Now that India has been shut down, it seems that the number of spam calls saying I’m to be arrested for Social Security fraud or something has gone way down.
Several death rates are down:
[ul]
[li]flu and other non-Covid communicable diseases[/li][li]auto accidents[/li][li]air pollution[/li][/ul]
I may have missed some. Of course, deaths due to domestic violence are probably up, but it wouldn’t surprise me if the net effect of the virus and all the distancing and quarantining is a reduced overall death rate.
I’ve been using Worldometer. that website has improved over time. They recently added deaths per million which is something I was calculating on a spreadsheet.
Venice, which was polluted and crowded to the point of damage, is now not polluted and crowded: the canals are so clear you can see fish!
Repeated advice to DON’T TOUCH YOUR FACE! is going to see a dramatic drop in teenage acne (if they pay any attention.)
And on a purely personal note In my city, women normally expect and assert right-of-way on the footpaths. But now they’re walking single file, and even stepping off onto the grass for blokes like me to go past
With everyone here on mandatory telework, departments which had been reluctant to offer week-long teleworking or any at all will likely realize that their fears of losing productivity weren’t valid.
Based on the daily increase numbers - which have flattened off - I think it’s likely that we have at least caught up with our testing or, even possibly, started to see some effectiveness to shelter-at-home.
My 14 year old son, who loves math and statistics, pointed me to this site:
He pointed out if you go to the US section here:
…and scroll down to the chart called “Daily New Cases in the United States” you can see that we’re about at the top of the bell curve, so we should be about halfway out of the woods. (NOTE: that’s “Daily New Cases”, not “Total Coronavirus Cases”, which shows no sign of leveling off yet.)
Comparing it to China’s “Daily New Cases”, you can see the complete bell curve as they got through their outbreak (with a couple spikes where they instituted mass testing on a couple different days well into the outbreak).
Italy’s “Daily New Cases” bell curve is interesting-- it’s a double bell curve, on the downslope for the second time. I’m not sure, but I’m guessing they thought they were almost through it and let their guard down at one point. So we hopefully won’t do the same.
I know that this is supposed to be “good news” but, in the interest of correctness, it should be pointed out that:
It’s not a bell curve, the expected shape is a sharp rise followed by a very gentle slope back down.
Resumption of normal activities - because things have leveled off - could cause new growth spikes. China, for example, should expect to see a massive wave of infections if they relieve any restrictions, unless they can either cure the disease or somehow ensure that 100% of the people who have it are identified, have fully recovered, and that no human being enters the nation from an outside country until a cure for Covid-19 is discovered.
It’s highly unlikely that China’s current infection and death rates are the levels that they say they are. I wouldn’t be surprised if the country has already re-spiked in a few regions a few times.
There’s a company out there that makes Internet-connected thermometers so they are getting a lot of data on random people’s temperatures and posting it online. They have a good track record in seeing flu outbreaks ahead of the CDC.
The news is good. Outside of a couple areas they are seeing a flattening of the number of people with fevers.
Caveats: There’s no reliability as to the same people taking their temps repeatedly. (E.g., some people might go into denial mode and not take their temp when they feel symptoms.) Also the demo is likely skewed heavily towards younger people who might be asymptomatic, etc.
Still, I like it. Except for S. Colorado being an exception. Have several relatives in and near that area.