# Avengers opening weekend betting pool

**URL:** <https://boards.straightdope.com/t/avengers-opening-weekend-betting-pool/715712>\
**Category:** Cafe Society\
**Created:** [March 22, 2015, 8:55pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/avengers-opening-weekend-betting-pool/715712 "2015-03-22T20:55:06Z")\
**Posts on this page:** 12\
**Page:** 1

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**Author:** ![Little\_Nemo](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/little_nemo/32/3120_2.png) [@Little\_Nemo](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Little_Nemo)\
**Post date:** [March 22, 2015, 8:55pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/avengers-opening-weekend-betting-pool/715712/1 "2015-03-22T20:55:06Z")

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It’s a metaphorical betting pool. No actual money will exchange hands.

The rules are simple. _Avengers: Age of Ultron_ is scheduled to open on May 1, 2015. How much money do you guess it will gross in its opening weekend?

1. One guess per person. No repeating somebody else’s guess.
2. Opening weekend is defined as May 1 through May 3.
3. Domestic ticket sales in the United States only.
4. Guesses should be in United States dollars.
5. All guesses will be rounded off to the nearest million.
6. In the unlikely event the opening gets rescheduled, all guesses will automatically apply to its new opening weekend.
7. The amount published by Box Office Mojo will be the official amount for determining the winner.
8. All guesses must be posted by April 30.

Everyone is of course free to post speculations, opinions, and random thoughts about various factors that will apply.

My guess: $195,000,000

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**Author:** ![WordMan](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/w/e8c25b/32.png) [@WordMan](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/WordMan)\
**Post date:** [March 22, 2015, 9:39pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/avengers-opening-weekend-betting-pool/715712/2 "2015-03-22T21:39:57Z")

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Oh yeah, if The Whedon even remotely delivers - and I believe he will, by all teasers to date and because he’s Joss Whedon - then…hmm, what is the current record for a summer blockbuster? A lot more than that. Say $150mm.

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**Author:** ![RandMcnally](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/r/b782af/32.png) [@RandMcnally](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/RandMcnally)\
**Post date:** [March 22, 2015, 11:02pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/avengers-opening-weekend-betting-pool/715712/3 "2015-03-22T23:02:55Z")

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210 million.

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**Author:** ![silenus](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/silenus/32/166_2.png) [@silenus](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/silenus)\
**Post date:** [March 22, 2015, 11:34pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/avengers-opening-weekend-betting-pool/715712/4 "2015-03-22T23:34:00Z")

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I’ll go for $205 million.

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**Author:** ![Little\_Nemo](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/little_nemo/32/3120_2.png) [@Little\_Nemo](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Little_Nemo)\
**Post date:** [March 22, 2015, 11:42pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/avengers-opening-weekend-betting-pool/715712/5 "2015-03-22T23:42:15Z")

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> [@WordMan](#):
>
> hmm, what is the current record for a summer blockbuster?

$207,000,000 for the first Avengers movie.

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**Author:** ![Mahaloth](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/mahaloth/32/1079_2.png) [@Mahaloth](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Mahaloth)\
**Post date:** [March 23, 2015, 12:05am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/avengers-opening-weekend-betting-pool/715712/6 "2015-03-23T00:05:14Z")

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$220 million

May I cancel this guess and make a new one later? If not, that’s cool.

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**Author:** ![Sefton](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/s/5daacb/32.png) [@Sefton](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Sefton)\
**Post date:** [March 23, 2015, 12:46am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/avengers-opening-weekend-betting-pool/715712/7 "2015-03-23T00:46:42Z")

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$175 million

With a robot villain, it’s not sufficiently interesting to hit the $200m mark.

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**Author:** ![Little\_Nemo](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/little_nemo/32/3120_2.png) [@Little\_Nemo](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Little_Nemo)\
**Post date:** [March 23, 2015, 12:49am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/avengers-opening-weekend-betting-pool/715712/8 "2015-03-23T00:49:19Z")

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> [@Mahaloth](#):
>
> $220 million
> 
> May I cancel this guess and make a new one later? If not, that’s cool.

Sure, as long as you don’t pick a number somebody else has picked.

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**Author:** ![Left\_Hand\_of\_Dorkness](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/left_hand_of_dorkness/32/7156_2.png) [@Left\_Hand\_of\_Dorkness](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Left_Hand_of_Dorkness)\
**Post date:** [March 23, 2015, 12:59am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/avengers-opening-weekend-betting-pool/715712/9 "2015-03-23T00:59:30Z")

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Shoot for the stars: 256 million.

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**Author:** ![Oredigger77](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/oredigger77/32/3181_2.png) [@Oredigger77](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Oredigger77)\
**Post date:** [March 23, 2015, 2:14am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/avengers-opening-weekend-betting-pool/715712/10 "2015-03-23T02:14:14Z")

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Marvel has built a lot of good will I don’t see any reason this won’t beat the first Avengers.

215

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<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![Little\_Nemo](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/little_nemo/32/3120_2.png) [@Little\_Nemo](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Little_Nemo)\
**Post date:** [May 5, 2015, 2:45pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/avengers-opening-weekend-betting-pool/715712/11 "2015-05-05T14:45:33Z")

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[$188,000,000](http://www.boxofficemojo.com/news/?id=4058&p=.htm)

And the person who came closest was … me.

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**Author:** ![gigi](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/g/a587f6/32.png) [@gigi](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/gigi)\
**Post date:** [May 5, 2015, 7:56pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/avengers-opening-weekend-betting-pool/715712/12 "2015-05-05T19:56:03Z")

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> [@Sefton](#):
>
> $175 million
> 
> With a robot villain, it’s not sufficiently interesting to hit the $200m mark.

But it’s a robot villian voiced by James Spader! It’s the only reason I would go see it.
