# Biden considering dropping out (Update: Biden drops out)

**URL:** <https://boards.straightdope.com/t/biden-considering-dropping-out-update-biden-drops-out/1003690>\
**Category:** Politics & Elections\
**Tags:** trump\
**Created:** [July 3, 2024, 4:50pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/biden-considering-dropping-out-update-biden-drops-out/1003690 "2024-07-03T16:50:05Z")\
**Posts on this page:** 20\
**Page:** 58

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**Author:** ![DSeid](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/dseid/32/20194_2.png) [@DSeid](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/DSeid)\
**Post date:** [July 13, 2024, 7:22pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/biden-considering-dropping-out-update-biden-drops-out/1003690/1141 "2024-07-13T19:22:25Z")

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> [@Jackmannii](#):
>
> but still off-kilter enough to unsettle queasy voters

As a queasy voter who has been arguing the case here that he should step down, I’ll disagree.

These last two have gone a long way to settle me. I’m not yet sure that he has the stamina needed, and his hole is still deep, but the Biden that fielded questions at the press conference, and who worked the room at the rally, has a very realistic chance of building some momentum at the convention and riding it to November.

I hope they keep that doppelgänger who showed up at the debate locked in the attic though! _He_ gets out and about again and we are doomed!!!

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**Author:** ![Jackmannii](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/jackmannii/32/311_2.png) [@Jackmannii](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Jackmannii)\
**Post date:** [July 13, 2024, 7:27pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/biden-considering-dropping-out-update-biden-drops-out/1003690/1142 "2024-07-13T19:27:13Z")

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> [@DSeid](#):
>
> > [@Jackmannii](#):
> >
> > but still off-kilter enough to unsettle queasy voters
> 
> As a queasy voter who has been arguing the case here that he should step down, I’ll disagree.

“President Putin” and “Vice-President Trump” just gave you an up-vote. 😃

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**Author:** ![DavidNRockies](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/davidnrockies/32/6279_2.png) [@DavidNRockies](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/DavidNRockies)\
**Post date:** [July 13, 2024, 7:28pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/biden-considering-dropping-out-update-biden-drops-out/1003690/1143 "2024-07-13T19:28:03Z")

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It’s almost as if you’ve forgotten the _shellacking_ that we gave Medicare 😉

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**Author:** ![DSeid](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/dseid/32/20194_2.png) [@DSeid](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/DSeid)\
**Post date:** [July 13, 2024, 7:34pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/biden-considering-dropping-out-update-biden-drops-out/1003690/1144 "2024-07-13T19:34:05Z")

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Those are standard Biden misspeaks that he’s done since forever. Very seriously they don’t worry me. He held court to a variety of questions on complex subjects fluidly and lucidly for something like a hour. And over 20 million people tuned to watch him do it.

It was much more good than bad.

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**Author:** ![Jackmannii](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/jackmannii/32/311_2.png) [@Jackmannii](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Jackmannii)\
**Post date:** [July 13, 2024, 7:35pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/biden-considering-dropping-out-update-biden-drops-out/1003690/1145 "2024-07-13T19:35:53Z")

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> [@DSeid](#):
>
> Those are standard Biden misspeaks that he’s done since forever. Very seriously they don’t worry me.

You’re not the kind of voter we need to worry about.

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**Author:** ![DSeid](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/dseid/32/20194_2.png) [@DSeid](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/DSeid)\
**Post date:** [July 13, 2024, 7:42pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/biden-considering-dropping-out-update-biden-drops-out/1003690/1146 "2024-07-13T19:42:14Z")

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If any of us were going to worry about them then we shouldn’t have run him last time. Time ran an article on his [top ten gaffes](https://content.time.com/time/specials/packages/article/0,28804,1895156_1894977_1846609,00.html) back when he was VP 18 years ago. They are part and parcel of who he is, a known aspect. The debate was different than that.

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**Author:** ![DrDeth](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/d/b487fb/32.png) [@DrDeth](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/DrDeth)\
**Post date:** [July 13, 2024, 7:44pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/biden-considering-dropping-out-update-biden-drops-out/1003690/1147 "2024-07-13T19:44:21Z")

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> [@iiandyiiii](#):
>
> The DNC has no power to do anything but schedule primaries and the convention… They’ve never had any independent power or influence.

Yeah, that idea that the DNC can drop Biden is ridiculous.

> [@Smapti](#):
>
> In fact, they’ve already started.

What the heck do they mean by “DEI”?

> [@wolfpup](#):
>
> To those who can read polls, the need to replace Biden – a great and accomplished elder statesman now well past his prime – is overwhelmingly clear.

The polls say nothing of the kind. Since no other Dem polls as well.

> **[Bernie Sanders backs Biden and urges Democrats to ‘stop the bickering’](https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/article/2024/jul/13/bernie-sanders-biden-democrats)**
>
> Senator hails ‘most effective president in modern history’ and says Biden is strongest bet to beat ‘demagogue’ Trump

_Bernie Sanders has offered his backing to Joe Biden, dismissing calls for the man he described as the “most effective president in the modern history of our country” to stand down in the upcoming US presidential election._

_Sanders, the totemic progressive US senator, used an [opinion piece](https://www.nytimes.com/2024/07/13/opinion/joe-biden-president.html?partner=slack&smid=sl-share) in the New York Times to endorse Biden, who has come under increasing fire from fellow Democrats over his ability to beat Donald Trump following a disastrous televised debate between the two._

_Republicans ramp up attacks on Kamala Harris amid swirl over Biden future_

_“Despite my disagreements with him on particular issues, he has been the most effective president in the modern history of our country and is the strongest candidate to defeat [Donald Trump](https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/donaldtrump) – a demagogue and pathological liar,” Sanders wrote._

_“It’s time to learn a lesson from the progressive and centrist forces in France who, despite profound political differences, came together this week to soundly defeat rightwing extremism.”_

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**Author:** ![Smapti](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/smapti/32/17938_2.png) [@Smapti](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Smapti)\
**Post date:** [July 13, 2024, 7:45pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/biden-considering-dropping-out-update-biden-drops-out/1003690/1148 "2024-07-13T19:45:24Z")

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> [@DrDeth](#):
>
> What the heck do they mean by “DEI”?

“N\_\_\_\_\_”, usually.

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**Author:** ![Biffster](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/biffster/32/339_2.png) [@Biffster](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Biffster)\
**Post date:** [July 13, 2024, 7:48pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/biden-considering-dropping-out-update-biden-drops-out/1003690/1149 "2024-07-13T19:48:14Z")

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> [@sciurophobic](#):
>
> I have seen no pattern. Every appearance by Biden since the debate has been better than the one before. By pattern do you really mean he’s never allowed to mess up again in the slightest?

There’s a difference between speaking to a supportive crowd at one of your own rallies, and facing off against Donald Trump one to one with no audience beyond the questioners. Trump did fine under those conditions, because he’s a bullshit artist anyway, while Biden caved under the pressure. This would be closer to a real world condition. It’s Biden under pressure we’re concerned about.

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**Author:** ![Zakalwe](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/zakalwe/32/270_2.png) [@Zakalwe](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Zakalwe)\
**Post date:** [July 13, 2024, 7:49pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/biden-considering-dropping-out-update-biden-drops-out/1003690/1150 "2024-07-13T19:49:26Z")

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> [@DrDeth](#):
>
> What the heck do they mean by “DEI”?

To answer seriously, Diversity, Equity, Inclusion. It’s a catch-all term for programs that seek to promote the above. One of the far right’s latest hatreds.

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**Author:** ![Oly](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/oly/32/8255_2.png) [@Oly](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Oly)\
**Post date:** [July 13, 2024, 7:51pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/biden-considering-dropping-out-update-biden-drops-out/1003690/1151 "2024-07-13T19:51:19Z")

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The two people who poll the best against Trump are Biden and Harris. They’re both on the ticket. What more do people want?

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**Author:** ![Czarcasm](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/czarcasm/32/4050_2.png) [@Czarcasm](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Czarcasm)\
**Post date:** [July 13, 2024, 7:54pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/biden-considering-dropping-out-update-biden-drops-out/1003690/1152 "2024-07-13T19:54:22Z")

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> [@Mr.Moto](#):
>
> It’s obvious from looking at photos over time that he has had hair transplants

Let’s see the pictures, then. Show us the best “before” and “after” you’ve got. BTW, I thought it was “obvious” he had plastic surgery? Are we going to get new baseless claims every time previous claims are challenged?

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**Author:** ![Leaper](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/l/4bbf92/32.png) [@Leaper](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Leaper)\
**Post date:** [July 13, 2024, 8:09pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/biden-considering-dropping-out-update-biden-drops-out/1003690/1153 "2024-07-13T20:09:32Z")

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If I were Dope Dictator, I’d ban the words “obvious” and “clearly” for this entire topic.

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**Author:** ![Czarcasm](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/czarcasm/32/4050_2.png) [@Czarcasm](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Czarcasm)\
**Post date:** [July 13, 2024, 8:12pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/biden-considering-dropping-out-update-biden-drops-out/1003690/1154 "2024-07-13T20:12:22Z")

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Not before we get rid of “in other words…” and “so what you’re really saying is…”

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**Author:** ![wolfpup](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/wolfpup/32/10618_2.png) [@wolfpup](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/wolfpup)\
**Post date:** [July 13, 2024, 8:19pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/biden-considering-dropping-out-update-biden-drops-out/1003690/1155 "2024-07-13T20:19:26Z")

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> [@Czarcasm](#):
>
> > [@Mr.Moto](#):
> >
> > It’s obvious from looking at photos over time that he has had hair transplants
> 
> Let’s see the pictures, then. Show us the best “before” and “after” you’ve got. BTW, I thought it was “obvious” he had plastic surgery? Are we going to get new baseless claims every time previous claims are challenged?

Who the hell cares? In a thread where we’re discussing what aspects of Biden’s condition and performance may or may not be relevant to his electability, we’re now going to digress into whether he’s had hair transplants or cosmetic treatments? 🙄

If that’s to be the criterion, then it has be compared with Trump who’s basically a spray-painted plastic figure with the pelt of an orange marmoset glued to the top.

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**Author:** ![Czarcasm](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/czarcasm/32/4050_2.png) [@Czarcasm](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Czarcasm)\
**Post date:** [July 13, 2024, 8:21pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/biden-considering-dropping-out-update-biden-drops-out/1003690/1156 "2024-07-13T20:21:49Z")

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> [@wolfpup](#):
>
> Who the hell cares? In a thread where we’re discussing what aspects of Biden’s condition and performance may or may not be relevant to his electability, we’re now going to digress into whether he’s had hair transplants or cosmetic treatments? 🙄

The baseless claims didn’t seem to bother you, but people pushing back on those claims get your dander up?

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**Author:** ![DrDeth](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/d/b487fb/32.png) [@DrDeth](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/DrDeth)\
**Post date:** [July 13, 2024, 8:26pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/biden-considering-dropping-out-update-biden-drops-out/1003690/1157 "2024-07-13T20:26:46Z")

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> [@wolfpup](#):
>
> Who the hell cares?

I do, since parroting Right Wing propaganda without any facts is not the SDMB way…

And since this  
[Who Is Favored To Win The 2024 Presidential Election? | FiveThirtyEight](https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2024-election-forecast/#:~:text=538%20uses%20polling%2C%20economic%20and,to%20explore%20likely%20election%20outcomes.&text=in%20our%20simulations%20of%20the,of%20no%20Electoral%20College%20winner).  
**Biden wins 51 times out of 100**

I assume you are going to back down on this-

> [@wolfpup](#):
>
> To those who can read polls, the need to replace Biden – a great and accomplished elder statesman now well past his prime – is overwhelmingly clear.

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**Author:** ![Dr.Strangelove](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/dr.strangelove/32/6613_2.png) [@Dr.Strangelove](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Dr.Strangelove)\
**Post date:** [July 13, 2024, 8:34pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/biden-considering-dropping-out-update-biden-drops-out/1003690/1158 "2024-07-13T20:34:45Z")

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538 is hardly the only poll aggregator out there. The Economist puts it at 74 to 26, favoring Trump:

> **[Trump v Biden: The Economist’s presidential election prediction model](https://www.economist.com/interactive/us-2024-election/prediction-model/president)**
>
> Our forecast gives Donald Trump a clear lead

Nate Silver only posts full predictions to his subscribers, but as of yesterday his model was at 73 to 27:

> <https://x.com/NateSilver538/status/1811819880615952493>

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**Author:** ![TeroSunbear](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/terosunbear/32/14748_2.png) [@TeroSunbear](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/TeroSunbear)\
**Post date:** [July 13, 2024, 8:45pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/biden-considering-dropping-out-update-biden-drops-out/1003690/1159 "2024-07-13T20:45:13Z")

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It’s not really going to work in favor of Biden the second time. It was not temporary, just the weak voice. He is going to panic again in a 2minute and 1 minute format. So they will just have to take the bad press from canceling. Lesser loss. If there is anyone in charge at all, they will talk him out of this. “Do you want to win in November, Joe? Yes. Then, you cannot do the dbate.”

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**Author:** ![wolfpup](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/wolfpup/32/10618_2.png) [@wolfpup](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/wolfpup)\
**Post date:** [July 13, 2024, 8:47pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/biden-considering-dropping-out-update-biden-drops-out/1003690/1160 "2024-07-13T20:47:11Z")

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> [@DrDeth](#):
>
> I assume you are going to back down on this-

No, because that isn’t a poll, it’s the result of a simulation based on both polls and an assortment of assumptions that may or may not have any validity. The actual polls cited – every single one – show Biden trailing. Even if the optimistic adjustments in the simulation are valid, Biden is ahead of the convicted felon by a razor-thin margin.

ETA: And from a recent quote above from the _Economist_, which is entirely unsurprising:

> Our forecast gives Donald Trump a clear lead

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