I’m probably going over what has been gone over a hundred times, but dollars only have value because people believe in the full faith and credit of the United States Government, and the US is currently the global reserve currency simply because people believe more in the FF&C of the US than of any other country on Earth.
This belief, one tied in with nationalism, is what Bitcoin is up against. And I don’t see it winning the hearts and minds of 7 billion people, not without having another belief system (like nationalism) blowing in its sails.
Bitcoins only have value because people are willing to denominate them in terms of national currencies. Nobody but a BC evangelist would bother denominating national currencies in terms of BC, it’s just not done.
It’s even in our language and how we phrase the transactions: “I sold a BC for $52,000” is a statement made in a world where national currencies are dominant in the consciousness, otherwise people would say “I bought $52,000 with 1 BC” (“I bought a dress for a dollar!”)… and they don’t. In our world, you still use dollars to buy bitcoins, and not the other way around.
And it will never be the other way around.
It’s going to be very difficult for people to replace their economic faith in the power of their country with the faith needed to accept bitcoin as a more ‘legal’ tender than their national currency. It would, in fact, require… as noted… the sort of economic collapse which would render national currencies useless - and the Great Depression didn’t even come close to achieving this. And even with a collapse, the idea of national currencies is so powerful it always comes back: after all, Jesus referenced Caesar’s coins many a time and the collapse of Rome didn’t a 5th-century Bitcoin make or the twentieth-century dollar prevent.
BC’s are just speculative vehicles upon which a lot of hooey has been foisted by bad actors and people trying not to be the last true believer in an ever-rising market. And their danger is, unlike derivatives, calls, puts, and other regulated (and non-regulated) investment vehicles, these things are being sold to a gullible general public.
Well, the danger is that and the money laundering. Bitcoin is a godsend for criminals. Good going, guys.