# Brazilian Election **URL:** \ **Category:** Politics & Elections\ **Created:** [October 4, 2026, 10:31pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/brazilian-election/1033583 "2026-10-04T22:31:48Z")\ **Posts on this page:** 5\ **Page:** 1
**Author:** ![PhillyGuy](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/p/ed655f/32.png) [@PhillyGuy](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/PhillyGuy)\ **Post date:** [October 4, 2026, 10:31pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/brazilian-election/1033583/1 "2026-10-04T22:31:49Z")
Results of today’s elections are coming in quickly: [The Guardian: Brazil presidential election 2026: first-round live results](https://www.theguardian.com/world/ng-interactive/2026/oct/04/brazil-presidential-election-2026-first-round-live-results) ---
**Author:** ![Aspenglow](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/aspenglow/32/76_2.png) [@Aspenglow](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Aspenglow)\ **Post date:** [October 4, 2026, 10:32pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/brazilian-election/1033583/2 "2026-10-04T22:32:09Z")
Thank you. ---
**Author:** ![LSLGuy](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/lslguy/32/5813_2.png) [@LSLGuy](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/LSLGuy)\ **Post date:** [October 4, 2026, 11:11pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/brazilian-election/1033583/3 "2026-10-04T23:11:45Z")
So the Fascist revolutionaries are in the lead. Again. Seems the public hasn’t learned much since last time. ---
**Author:** ![PhillyGuy](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/p/ed655f/32.png) [@PhillyGuy](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/PhillyGuy)\ **Post date:** [October 4, 2026, 11:55pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/brazilian-election/1033583/4 "2026-10-04T23:55:09Z")
[From Aljazeera](https://www.aljazeera.com/news/liveblog/2026/10/4/brazil-election-results-live-lula-and-bolsonaro-locked-in-a-tight-race): > [@](#): > > Flavio Bolsonaro, therefore, is doing much better than originally predicted, more than what the polls had said and more than what the pundits believed. And this seems to be the trend in the region: the population is moving more towards the far-right than it ever has before. It happened in neighbouring countries, and it appears to be happening now. I read somewhere that minor party candidate votes are expected to mostly go to Bolsonaro in the runoff. Perhaps I should wait until the runoff to opin, in case Lula wins in the end, but since there is no penalty in being wrong, here are possible lessons of a Flavio Bolsonaro victory, perhaps inevitably with a U.S. flavor since that’s where I am: – Don’t run for reelection if you are 80 years old. No excuses. – Don’t think that a successor to the original strongman won’t win just because everyone you knows says the new candidate lacks charisma, or is a nepotism pick, or is a crook. – Don’t think that prison is much of a deterrent. – Don’t think the far right wing project is done just because they lost an election or two – or permanent just because they won an election or two. ---
**Author:** ![LSLGuy](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/lslguy/32/5813_2.png) [@LSLGuy](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/LSLGuy)\ **Post date:** [October 5, 2026, 4:00pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/brazilian-election/1033583/5 "2026-10-05T16:00:05Z")
And now, with the tally pretty much final, it’s young Fascists 47%, aged Leftists 45%, and 7% for minor parties. So now the first two go into a run-off. That 7% needs to break almost entirely for the Leftists, say 5% L / 2% F or better, to deliver a leftist win. Which is exactly _not_ the way to bet. Sigh.