# Brexit vote prediction thread

**URL:** <https://boards.straightdope.com/t/brexit-vote-prediction-thread/827737>\
**Category:** Politics & Elections\
**Created:** [January 14, 2019, 3:36pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/brexit-vote-prediction-thread/827737 "2019-01-14T15:36:18Z")\
**Posts on this page:** 1\
**Page:** 8

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**Author:** ![Brayne\_Ded](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/b/e9bcb4/32.png) [@Brayne\_Ded](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Brayne_Ded)\
**Post date:** [January 20, 2019, 3:29pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/brexit-vote-prediction-thread/827737/141 "2019-01-20T15:29:59Z")

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> [@Chronos](#):
>
> So, assuming that the UK leaves the EU, and shortly afterwards Scotland leaves the UK, and Scotland then asks for EU membership. Is anything known about the EU’s plans for that situation? Is it just the same as any other country asking to join (and, how hard is that)? Would they be likely to fast-track them in any way? Does seniority of membership matter in any way, and if so, would Scotland be counted as having the former UK’s seniority?

If that happened, Scotland might get some sympathy but no fast-tracking or special treatment. Given that Scotland would meet the EU criteria quite easily, as opposed to some other present and past applicants, I assume it would not take all that long. But certainly not overnight. And I assume that the EU would not worry itself about an application for membership until it is actually made.

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