[QUOTE=Chez Guevara]
I find Mick’s staking plan difficult to comprehend.
In 1999 he wins a reported £157K for an outlay of £2.50. With this in the kitty he can only bring himself to risk 30 pence the following year. Whatever happened in between he can’t have gambled the money away at those levels of investment.
[/QUOTE]
To be fair, and as Szlater alluded to, bookies will normally only take small stakes on these whopping accumulators. Also, a lot of bookies have a maximum payout in the small print (often £100,000), so it would be a waste of money to stake more, as your winnings could not get any higher!
I’m surprised the bookies paid out the full winnings from 30p at 1.6 million to 1… but I suppose it’s all good publicity for them.
Personally I steer clear of the bookies and their ridiculous overrounds, and do all my betting on Betfair. Apart from offering much better odds most of the time, they also offer most sports markets “in-play” so you can hedge your bets and trade your position, just like on the stock market.
E.g. let’s say you’ve had a bet on Team A to win a football match. They’re underdogs, and you put £10 on at 5/1 with a conventional bookie. Midway through the first half they go a goal up. You’re praying for them to hang on so you can collect, but despite valiant defending, their opponents equalise with 5 minutes to go and the match ends 1-1. You swear, lob an empty beer can at the telly and throw away your betting slip.
Let’s say, instead, you backed them on Betfair. First off, you’d probably have got closer to 6/1. But the best part is, you can sell your bet at a lower price after they score. 1-0 up after half an hour, they might be trading at 3/2 instead, so you can sell your stake back and keep a free bet on the team in the lead. At the moment your position is:
Team A: +£60
Team B: -£10
Draw: -£10
so by laying £10 at 3/2 (for a £15 loss) you’d now have £45 profit on Team A and no loss on the other results:
Team A: +£45
Team B: +/-£0
Draw: +/-£0
Now, as they hold on to their lead, their price gradually drops. After 80 minutes, they’re trading at 1/2 (i.e. 2/1 on). You’re watching the match and it looks like their opponents might grab a late goal, so you sacrifice a bit of your profit so you can actually win MORE on the draw, as Team A are now odds-on favourites. You lay, say, £40 at 1/2 (for a £20 loss), and you now have:
Team A: +£25
Team B: +£40
Draw: +£40
All from a £10 stake. Now you watch the equaliser go in, crack open another beer and collect 40 quid. If they don’t score, you still win £20, and if Team B score a second you also win 40. Neat, huh?
(Of course, if Team B scores first, you’re still screwed, but less screwed than you would be if you placed the bet elsewhere, because you could still lay a little bit to level your losses out, and maybe lose £8 instead of £10.)