# Butt-Hurt Trump Takes to Twitter Again (Part 1)

**URL:** <https://boards.straightdope.com/t/butt-hurt-trump-takes-to-twitter-again-part-1/772428>\
**Category:** The BBQ Pit\
**Created:** [November 19, 2016, 3:52pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/butt-hurt-trump-takes-to-twitter-again-part-1/772428 "2016-11-19T15:52:34Z")\
**Posts on this page:** 20\
**Page:** 98

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**Author:** ![Sunny\_Daze](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/sunny_daze/32/438_2.png) [@Sunny\_Daze](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Sunny_Daze)\
**Post date:** [June 30, 2017, 9:14pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/butt-hurt-trump-takes-to-twitter-again-part-1/772428/1941 "2017-06-30T21:14:22Z")

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> [@scr4](#):
>
> For the “strong approval” graphs in [your link](https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/politics/wp/2017/06/07/strong-approval-of-trump-is-fading-across-a-number-of-demographics/?utm_term=.292319f18424), hide the left half of the graph, ignore the dotted line (which is the linear regression for the whole graph) and just look at the data points. Some do show a moderate decline over the 5 or 6 latest data points, but most do not. The first one (Republicans), for example, shows a moderate increase over the last 6 data points.

Are you saying that you don’t believe that the technique used was appropriate for the data? If so, do you have another one to propose? To put it another way, it appears you’re suggesting foregoing the mathematical model in favor of eyeballing it.

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**Author:** ![scr4](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/s/59ef9b/32.png) [@scr4](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/scr4)\
**Post date:** [June 30, 2017, 10:56pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/butt-hurt-trump-takes-to-twitter-again-part-1/772428/1942 "2017-06-30T22:56:38Z")

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> [@Sunny\_Daze](#):
>
> Are you saying that you don’t believe that the technique used was appropriate for the data? If so, do you have another one to propose? To put it another way, it appears you’re suggesting foregoing the mathematical model in favor of eyeballing it.

What “technique”?? All they’ve done is do a linear fit (linear regression) to a noisy data, and show that best-fit line. All it says is “if there is a trend, it’s downwards.” And that’s averaged over the whole 5 months. They haven’t even show how good those fits are (no correlation coefficient, no chi-square value, no P value).

If the question is “Has the Strongly Approve number declined over the past 5 months”, then this analysis is appropriate, _if_ they’d show us how good those fits are.

If the question is “is the Strongly Approve number **continuing to decline now** ”, then you need to ignore the initial drop, and look at the past few months of data. I’m an astrophysicist so I’d do this by doing a chi-square linear fit and reporting the chi-square value and the 1-sigma error for the slope. I imagine analysts in other fields may calculate the p value against a null hypothesis that the number is unchanged over time.

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**Author:** ![scr4](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/s/59ef9b/32.png) [@scr4](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/scr4)\
**Post date:** [June 30, 2017, 11:04pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/butt-hurt-trump-takes-to-twitter-again-part-1/772428/1943 "2017-06-30T23:04:39Z")

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p.s. That is how I would analyze the numbers to show there is no correlation, but really, eyeballing the data is enough in this case. I have never come across a case where eyeballing the data shows no correlation, but statistical analysis showed a correlation. The reverse happens all the time though. The human brain is very good at seeing patterns; it sees patterns even when there isn’t any.

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**Author:** ![Sunny\_Daze](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/sunny_daze/32/438_2.png) [@Sunny\_Daze](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Sunny_Daze)\
**Post date:** [July 1, 2017, 12:13am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/butt-hurt-trump-takes-to-twitter-again-part-1/772428/1944 "2017-07-01T00:13:12Z")

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> [@scr4](#):
>
> What “technique”?? All they’ve done is do a linear fit (linear regression) to a noisy data, and show that best-fit line. All it says is “if there is a trend, it’s downwards.” And that’s averaged over the whole 5 months. They haven’t even show how good those fits are (no correlation coefficient, no chi-square value, no P value).
> 
> If the question is “Has the Strongly Approve number declined over the past 5 months”, then this analysis is appropriate, _if_ they’d show us how good those fits are.
> 
> If the question is “is the Strongly Approve number **continuing to decline now** ”, then you need to ignore the initial drop, and look at the past few months of data. I’m an astrophysicist so I’d do this by doing a chi-square linear fit and reporting the chi-square value and the 1-sigma error for the slope. I imagine analysts in other fields may calculate the p value against a null hypothesis that the number is unchanged over time.

I’d be curious to see how some of the other analysis would come out.

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**Author:** ![Jack\_Batty](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/jack_batty/32/3201_2.png) [@Jack\_Batty](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Jack_Batty)\
**Post date:** [July 1, 2017, 3:32pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/butt-hurt-trump-takes-to-twitter-again-part-1/772428/1945 "2017-07-01T15:32:35Z")

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Today’s treasure trove of batshit from the President of the United States of America:

> [@](#):
>
> **Trump’s Tweet-vomit for July 1, morning edition:**
> 
> 8:59 - Word is that @Greta Van Susteren was let go by her out of control bosses at @NBC & @Comcast because she refused to go along w/ ‘Trump hate!’
> 
> 9:07 - Numerous states are refusing to give information to the very distinguished VOTER FRAUD PANEL. What are they trying to hide?
> 
> 9:12 - I am extremely pleased to see that @CNN has finally been exposed as #FakeNews and garbage journalism. It’s about time!
> 
> 9:20 - Crazy Joe Scarborough and dumb as a rock Mika are not bad people, but their low rated show is dominated by their NBC bosses. Too bad!

And people still seem to insist this is somehow normal, not unhinged in any way at all.

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**Author:** ![Folacin](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/folacin/32/3195_2.png) [@Folacin](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Folacin)\
**Post date:** [July 1, 2017, 3:39pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/butt-hurt-trump-takes-to-twitter-again-part-1/772428/1946 "2017-07-01T15:39:47Z")

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> [@VinylTurnip](#):
>
> She’d have to be crazy to try, and then it wouldn’t be defamation.

Well, Paula Jones established that President’s aren’t immune to civil suits. Also, that lying under oath during a civil deposition is grounds for impeachment.

I say let’s go for it. Trump is incapable of not lying. He mixes some truth in occasionally to keep things fresh, but this seems like a good way to get him gone.

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**Author:** ![Siam\_Sam](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/s/d78d45/32.png) [@Siam\_Sam](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Siam_Sam)\
**Post date:** [July 1, 2017, 4:20pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/butt-hurt-trump-takes-to-twitter-again-part-1/772428/1947 "2017-07-01T16:20:09Z")

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> [@Shoeless](#):
>
> I guess the thing I don’t get (and maybe it’s already been discussed and I didn’t see it) is why the Mika tweet is suddenly the one that has pushed everyone over the edge. He’s been spouting hateful bile on Twitter for years and _now_ all of a sudden people are saying “Whoa… That’s over the line”?

> [@jsc1953](#):
>
> That’s a good question. IMHO, it’s the combination of the viciousness of the attack, the “final straw” component, and the weird (and completely unsupported) bloody imagery. Trump has Issues.

> [@BobLibDem](#):
>
> I think we’ve been over the edge before, and as always, he pays no consequences for his behavior. Fortunately, as his popularity continues to seep away, the Republican agenda is mired in the muck along with him.

> [@wguy123](#):
>
> For most of those years, he wasn’t the President of the US. Big difference between tweeting crap as a private citizen versus the President (not to his supporters though).
> 
> And of course, it is yet another part of the huge escalation of his war on the media.

All true. It’s Trump beating up on a woman yet again, and in a spectacularly childish way this time. He’s always childish, but this time this bag of shit really does seem to have jumped the shark. And he’s continuing it! What doe we have today? **“Crazy Joe Scarborough and dumb as a rock Mika are not bad people, but their low rated show is dominated by their NBC bosses. Too bad!”**

It’s official now if it wasn’t before: The voters have elected an eight-year-old brat for President. And the coverage does not stop at the borders. You should check out the international press. The world really is laughing at us now, and this will have ramifications on Traitor Trump’s so-called foreign policy.

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**Author:** ![standingwave](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/s/9de0a6/32.png) [@standingwave](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/standingwave)\
**Post date:** [July 2, 2017, 1:08am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/butt-hurt-trump-takes-to-twitter-again-part-1/772428/1948 "2017-07-02T01:08:04Z")

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_“ **If I had his vicious wit and his ability to tweet out things like that and destroy my enemies, I probably would do it, too.” - Charles Hurt“He’s like a verbal jiu jitsu artist!”** _ -Kimberly Guilfoyl

_ **“He’s the Ernest Hemingway of Twitter!”** _ Corey Lewandowski

> **[On Fox, Lewandowski Calls Trump The ‘Ernest Hemingway Of Twitter’](https://www.newshounds.us/on_fox_lewandowski_calls_trump_the_ernest_hemingway_of_twitter_070117#TSIgtM1jgqlG16tZ.99)**
>
> Watch three Fox Trump sycophants adore the literary stylings of his tweets.

Hemingway???  
😕

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<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![JohnT](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/johnt/32/15048_2.png) [@JohnT](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/JohnT)\
**Post date:** [July 2, 2017, 1:10am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/butt-hurt-trump-takes-to-twitter-again-part-1/772428/1949 "2017-07-02T01:10:37Z")

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“For sale  
Baby shoes  
Never worn  
Sad!”

Yup! Fits in 140! 🙂

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**Author:** ![jayjay](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/jayjay/32/6765_2.png) [@jayjay](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/jayjay)\
**Post date:** [July 2, 2017, 1:51am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/butt-hurt-trump-takes-to-twitter-again-part-1/772428/1950 "2017-07-02T01:51:03Z")

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> [@standingwave](#):
>
> [On Fox, Lewandowski Calls Trump The ‘Ernest Hemingway Of Twitter’ - NewsHounds](http://www.newshounds.us/on_fox_lewandowski_calls_trump_the_ernest_hemingway_of_twitter_070117#TSIgtM1jgqlG16tZ.99)
> 
> Hemingway???  
> 😕

We can only hope the similarities continue to the logical conclusion.

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**Author:** ![Smapti](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/smapti/32/17938_2.png) [@Smapti](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Smapti)\
**Post date:** [July 2, 2017, 2:14am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/butt-hurt-trump-takes-to-twitter-again-part-1/772428/1951 "2017-07-02T02:14:37Z")

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> [@jayjay](#):
>
> We can only hope the similarities continue to the logical conclusion.

Trump fills the White House with dozens of polydactyl cats?

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<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![jayjay](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/jayjay/32/6765_2.png) [@jayjay](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/jayjay)\
**Post date:** [July 2, 2017, 2:29am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/butt-hurt-trump-takes-to-twitter-again-part-1/772428/1952 "2017-07-02T02:29:52Z")

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> [@Smapti](#):
>
> Trump fills the White House with dozens of polydactyl cats?

It would be both more useful and more positive than anything else he’s done since last November.

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<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![jsc1953](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/j/5daacb/32.png) [@jsc1953](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/jsc1953)\
**Post date:** [July 2, 2017, 2:36am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/butt-hurt-trump-takes-to-twitter-again-part-1/772428/1953 "2017-07-02T02:36:38Z")

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“Vicious wit”?? Seriously??? The man has never said a witty thing in his life, vicious or otherwise.

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**Author:** ![Walken\_After\_Midnight](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/w/b487fb/32.png) [@Walken\_After\_Midnight](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Walken_After_Midnight)\
**Post date:** [July 2, 2017, 1:42pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/butt-hurt-trump-takes-to-twitter-again-part-1/772428/1954 "2017-07-02T13:42:47Z")

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My God, the President of the United States is [fucking nuts](https://twitter.com/realDonaldTrump).

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<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![Covfefe](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/c/ee7513/32.png) [@Covfefe](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Covfefe)\
**Post date:** [July 2, 2017, 1:48pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/butt-hurt-trump-takes-to-twitter-again-part-1/772428/1955 "2017-07-02T13:48:20Z")

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> [@Walken\_After\_Midnight](#):
>
> My God, the President of the United States is [fucking nuts](https://twitter.com/realDonaldTrump).

The pro wrestling tweet specifically? Yes, it’s come full circle that’s all his campaign ever was.

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<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![Walken\_After\_Midnight](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/w/b487fb/32.png) [@Walken\_After\_Midnight](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Walken_After_Midnight)\
**Post date:** [July 2, 2017, 2:17pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/butt-hurt-trump-takes-to-twitter-again-part-1/772428/1956 "2017-07-02T14:17:53Z")

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> [@yezlles](#):
>
> The pro wrestling tweet specifically?

Well, all of them really, but he’s definitely getting more and more deranged in a seriously big way.

This somewhat randomly-selected tweet in response to his CNN wrestling video sums up how his supporters feel about having a lunatic flying the airplane:

> [@](#):
>
> Donald trump is a madman and I love it. He just doesn’t give a shit.

So, how long before [this](https://twitter.com/CassandraRules/status/879825218071662596) happens?

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<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![Fiveyearlurker](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/f/da6949/32.png) [@Fiveyearlurker](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Fiveyearlurker)\
**Post date:** [July 2, 2017, 2:21pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/butt-hurt-trump-takes-to-twitter-again-part-1/772428/1957 "2017-07-02T14:21:11Z")

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> [@Walken\_After\_Midnight](#):
>
> My God, the President of the United States is [fucking nuts](https://twitter.com/realDonaldTrump).

Probably why [his own party](http://www.cnn.com/2017/07/01/politics/congress-trump-war-power/index.html) is working to curb his power.

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<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![BlankSlate](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/blankslate/32/80_2.png) [@BlankSlate](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/BlankSlate)\
**Post date:** [July 2, 2017, 3:05pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/butt-hurt-trump-takes-to-twitter-again-part-1/772428/1958 "2017-07-02T15:05:03Z")

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[Trump on the cover of Time magazine.](https://i.redd.it/wqa5h4hxu07z.jpg)

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<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![JackieLikesVariety](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/jackielikesvariety/32/296_2.png) [@JackieLikesVariety](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/JackieLikesVariety)\
**Post date:** [July 2, 2017, 3:59pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/butt-hurt-trump-takes-to-twitter-again-part-1/772428/1959 "2017-07-02T15:59:51Z")

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> [@BlankSlate](#):
>
> [Trump on the cover of Time magazine.](https://i.redd.it/wqa5h4hxu07z.jpg)

I suspect he is actually fatter than that.

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<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![QuickSilver](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/quicksilver/32/7832_2.png) [@QuickSilver](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/QuickSilver)\
**Post date:** [July 2, 2017, 4:03pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/butt-hurt-trump-takes-to-twitter-again-part-1/772428/1960 "2017-07-02T16:03:41Z")

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> [@JackieLikesVariety](#):
>
> I suspect he is actually fatter than that.

And his diaper is always full.

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