# Can Avengers: Endgame get to $300 million domestic this weekend **URL:** \ **Category:** Cafe Society\ **Created:** [April 24, 2019, 4:44pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/can-avengers-endgame-get-to-300-million-domestic-this-weekend/833000 "2019-04-24T16:44:03Z")\ **Posts on this page:** 20\ **Page:** 3
**Author:** ![Mahaloth](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/mahaloth/32/1079_2.png) [@Mahaloth](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Mahaloth)\ **Post date:** [April 28, 2019, 4:25pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/can-avengers-endgame-get-to-300-million-domestic-this-weekend/833000/41 "2019-04-28T16:25:41Z")
\*\*It got $350,000,000 according to estimates coming in. \*\* > [@Mahaloth](#): > > [$270M would be impressive, but $300M looks to be out of reach.](https://www.cnbc.com/2019/04/24/avengers-endgame-box-office-records-wont-include-300-million-debut.html) Wrong! ---
**Author:** ![Dewey\_Finn](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/dewey_finn/32/4222_2.png) [@Dewey\_Finn](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Dewey_Finn)\ **Post date:** [April 28, 2019, 4:28pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/can-avengers-endgame-get-to-300-million-domestic-this-weekend/833000/42 "2019-04-28T16:28:37Z")
And $1.2 billion worldwide. Absolutely astonishing. But my guess is that it slows quite a bit after that. ---
**Author:** ![Mahaloth](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/mahaloth/32/1079_2.png) [@Mahaloth](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Mahaloth)\ **Post date:** [April 28, 2019, 4:36pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/can-avengers-endgame-get-to-300-million-domestic-this-weekend/833000/43 "2019-04-28T16:36:28Z")
> [@Dewey\_Finn](#): > > And $1.2 billion worldwide. Absolutely astonishing. But my guess is that it slows quite a bit after that. Almost doubling the record from Infinity War. Yes, it will obviously drop way down. Does this at least give it a chance to pass Avatar? I would really prefer this to Avatar in terms of “top movie of all time”. This movie will leave a cultural footprint, while Avatar is barely mentioned. This movie was actually really excellent, while Avatar is only a pretty good(but oddly forgettable) movie. Episode IX would have at one time had a shot to beat this, but I think it is clear to me now that Episode IX will definitely not reach this level of viewership. I think The Last Jedi kind of sucked some life out of the series. ---
**Author:** ![The\_Other\_Waldo\_Pepper](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/the_other_waldo_pepper/32/12370_2.png) [@The\_Other\_Waldo\_Pepper](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/The_Other_Waldo_Pepper)\ **Post date:** [April 28, 2019, 5:12pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/can-avengers-endgame-get-to-300-million-domestic-this-weekend/833000/44 "2019-04-28T17:12:12Z")
> [@Dewey\_Finn](#): > > And $1.2 billion worldwide. Absolutely astonishing. From the link, that means it’s made more than CAPTAIN AMERICA: CIVIL WAR did over the course of its entire biggest-movie-of-the-year $1.15B+ theatrical run. ---
**Author:** ![AK84](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/a/85e7bf/32.png) [@AK84](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/AK84)\ **Post date:** [April 28, 2019, 5:52pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/can-avengers-endgame-get-to-300-million-domestic-this-weekend/833000/45 "2019-04-28T17:52:27Z")
And I remember _Civil War_ opening was considered cray cray. And people thought _The Force Awakens_ was amazing in its opening. Every damn screen in town was booked, well in advance. I ended up watching it at my country club theatre/ auditorium. They installed a 3D screen several years ago,. A club with an average member age of 60. (I am 34). 1000 seat auditorium. Barely got two seats for show number 3. A week in advance. They were doing back to back screenings. From lunch time to 1 am. I repeat, a country club theatre screen was booked solid. This is unprecedented. ---
**Author:** ![RikWriter](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/r/49beb7/32.png) [@RikWriter](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/RikWriter)\ **Post date:** [April 28, 2019, 7:54pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/can-avengers-endgame-get-to-300-million-domestic-this-weekend/833000/46 "2019-04-28T19:54:02Z")
> [@Dewey\_Finn](#): > > And $1.2 billion worldwide. Absolutely astonishing. But my guess is that it slows quite a bit after that. Even if it drops the average amount for Marvel movies, that’s a shitload of money. ---
**Author:** ![Wesley\_Clark](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/wesley_clark/32/20581_2.png) [@Wesley\_Clark](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Wesley_Clark)\ **Post date:** [April 28, 2019, 8:40pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/can-avengers-endgame-get-to-300-million-domestic-this-weekend/833000/47 "2019-04-28T20:40:10Z")
> [@Dewey\_Finn](#): > > And $1.2 billion worldwide. Absolutely astonishing. But my guess is that it slows quite a bit after that. Yeah but now all the people who aren’t superfans will watch it. Either as second or third week screenings, or in DVD at redbox, or when it is streaming on Netflix or Amazon. It could make 2 billion when all is said and done. ---
**Author:** ![Dewey\_Finn](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/dewey_finn/32/4222_2.png) [@Dewey\_Finn](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Dewey_Finn)\ **Post date:** [April 28, 2019, 8:42pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/can-avengers-endgame-get-to-300-million-domestic-this-weekend/833000/48 "2019-04-28T20:42:25Z")
Perhaps but those DVD or streaming rentals don’t count as part of the box office numbers. (And I really doubt it will ever stream on Netflix or Amazon anyhow, as Disney will want to keep it on its own services.) ---
**Author:** ![Jonathan\_Chance](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/jonathan_chance/32/701_2.png) [@Jonathan\_Chance](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Jonathan_Chance)\ **Post date:** [April 28, 2019, 8:57pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/can-avengers-endgame-get-to-300-million-domestic-this-weekend/833000/49 "2019-04-28T20:57:21Z")
Yeah, it’ll never stream on Netflix or Amazon. However, it looks like the Average Marvel Movie Multiplier is about 2.80 times opening weekend. If that holds up it’ll end at approximately $3.36B. That’s a heavy lift. But if it does what Infinity War does - a 2.6 multiplier - it would land at 3.12B. On the gripping hand to beat Avatar’s $2.7B it needs to maintain a multiplier of 2.25. That seems very achievable. The Marvel movie with the lowest multiplier was Civil War at 2.26. I really want it to beat Avatar. I really do. ---
**Author:** ![The\_Other\_Waldo\_Pepper](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/the_other_waldo_pepper/32/12370_2.png) [@The\_Other\_Waldo\_Pepper](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/The_Other_Waldo_Pepper)\ **Post date:** [April 28, 2019, 9:04pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/can-avengers-endgame-get-to-300-million-domestic-this-weekend/833000/50 "2019-04-28T21:04:17Z")
> [@Jonathan\_Chance](#): > > Yeah, it’ll never stream on Netflix or Amazon. > > However, it looks like the Average Marvel Movie Multiplier is about 2.80 times opening weekend. > > If that holds up it’ll end at approximately $3.36B. That’s a heavy lift. But if it does what Infinity War does - a 2.6 multiplier - it would land at 3.12B. > > On the gripping hand to beat Avatar’s $2.7B it needs to maintain a multiplier of 2.25. That seems very achievable. The Marvel movie with the lowest multiplier was Civil War at 2.26. > > I really want it to beat Avatar. I really do. Should we adjust for inflation? ---
**Author:** ![Dewey\_Finn](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/dewey_finn/32/4222_2.png) [@Dewey\_Finn](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Dewey_Finn)\ **Post date:** [April 28, 2019, 9:06pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/can-avengers-endgame-get-to-300-million-domestic-this-weekend/833000/51 "2019-04-28T21:06:51Z")
Inflation adjusted, the [top movie at the box office](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_highest-grossing_films#Highest-grossing_films_adjusted_for_inflation) is Gone With The Wind. I’m OK with that; it was a huge movie based on a huge bestseller and was about a huge event in American history. I’m not OK that Avatar, basically a forgettable fantasy film, is the non-inflation adjusted winner. ---
**Author:** ![Wesley\_Clark](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/wesley_clark/32/20581_2.png) [@Wesley\_Clark](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Wesley_Clark)\ **Post date:** [April 28, 2019, 10:03pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/can-avengers-endgame-get-to-300-million-domestic-this-weekend/833000/52 "2019-04-28T22:03:14Z")
> [@Jonathan\_Chance](#): > > Yeah, it’ll never stream on Netflix or Amazon. > > However, it looks like the Average Marvel Movie Multiplier is about 2.80 times opening weekend. > > If that holds up it’ll end at approximately $3.36B. That’s a heavy lift. But if it does what Infinity War does - a 2.6 multiplier - it would land at 3.12B. > > On the gripping hand to beat Avatar’s $2.7B it needs to maintain a multiplier of 2.25. That seems very achievable. The Marvel movie with the lowest multiplier was Civil War at 2.26. > > I really want it to beat Avatar. I really do. Avengers infinity war is on Netflix. Many of the marvel movies have been on Netflix. ---
**Author:** ![Dewey\_Finn](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/dewey_finn/32/4222_2.png) [@Dewey\_Finn](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Dewey_Finn)\ **Post date:** [April 28, 2019, 10:09pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/can-avengers-endgame-get-to-300-million-domestic-this-weekend/833000/53 "2019-04-28T22:09:12Z")
Now that Disney has announced its own streaming service to start in November, I don’t expect that they will let any new movies stream on Netflix and will not renew any existing streaming contracts. ---
**Author:** ![Mahaloth](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/mahaloth/32/1079_2.png) [@Mahaloth](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Mahaloth)\ **Post date:** [April 28, 2019, 10:28pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/can-avengers-endgame-get-to-300-million-domestic-this-weekend/833000/54 "2019-04-28T22:28:34Z")
> [@Dewey\_Finn](#): > > Now that Disney has announced its own streaming service to start in November, I don’t expect that they will let any new movies stream on Netflix and will not renew any existing streaming contracts. Yes, this movie is definitely after the Netflix deal. Disney+ will get this whenever they decide to throw it up on streaming. DVD/Blu-ray is August, I think. ---
**Author:** ![DigitalC](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/d/ebca7d/32.png) [@DigitalC](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/DigitalC)\ **Post date:** [April 28, 2019, 10:35pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/can-avengers-endgame-get-to-300-million-domestic-this-weekend/833000/55 "2019-04-28T22:35:10Z")
> [@Wesley\_Clark](#): > > Avengers infinity war is on Netflix. Many of the marvel movies have been on Netflix. That’s because they Disney streaming channel doesn’t exist yet. ---
**Author:** ![Jonathan\_Chance](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/jonathan_chance/32/701_2.png) [@Jonathan\_Chance](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Jonathan_Chance)\ **Post date:** [April 28, 2019, 11:40pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/can-avengers-endgame-get-to-300-million-domestic-this-weekend/833000/56 "2019-04-28T23:40:08Z")
And Disney has already announced that all their IP will disappear from other streaming services as their contracts expire. Captain Marvel is the first movie they’ve announced will only appear on their own streaming service. ---
**Author:** ![Oredigger77](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/oredigger77/32/3181_2.png) [@Oredigger77](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Oredigger77)\ **Post date:** [April 28, 2019, 11:40pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/can-avengers-endgame-get-to-300-million-domestic-this-weekend/833000/57 "2019-04-28T23:40:33Z")
Wow, $350MM. I was certainly wrong and I’m regretting not going to see the movie this weekend just to be part of the phenomenon. I’m planning on waiting until June to see it so it might break 2B about the time i see it. ---
**Author:** ![DigitalC](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/d/ebca7d/32.png) [@DigitalC](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/DigitalC)\ **Post date:** [April 29, 2019, 12:06am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/can-avengers-endgame-get-to-300-million-domestic-this-weekend/833000/58 "2019-04-29T00:06:13Z")
There’s still one more day to go right? ---
**Author:** ![tracer](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/tracer/32/20578_2.png) [@tracer](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/tracer)\ **Post date:** [April 29, 2019, 12:13am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/can-avengers-endgame-get-to-300-million-domestic-this-weekend/833000/59 "2019-04-29T00:13:57Z")
> [@epbrown01](#): > > My local 10-screen multiplex has only two other movies showing tonight. One showing of Captain Marvel and one of Shazam. So you have a choice of: - Captain Marvel; - Shazam, who back in the Golden Age of Comics was named Captain Marvel; and - Avengers: Endgame, in which Captain Marvel appears There’s not a single movie showing at your multiplex that doesn’t have some kind of Captain Marvel in it! ---
**Author:** ![Mahaloth](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/mahaloth/32/1079_2.png) [@Mahaloth](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Mahaloth)\ **Post date:** [April 29, 2019, 12:19am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/can-avengers-endgame-get-to-300-million-domestic-this-weekend/833000/60 "2019-04-29T00:19:22Z")
> [@DigitalC](#): > > There’s still one more day to go right? They estimate Sunday and are predicting $350M. The final result once Sunday’s totals are finalized could be a bit more or less. I am hearing perhaps slightly more, but we won’t know until Monday or Tuesday. [Previous page](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/can-avengers-endgame-get-to-300-million-domestic-this-weekend/833000.md?page=2) [Next page](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/can-avengers-endgame-get-to-300-million-domestic-this-weekend/833000.md?page=4)