Can democracy work in Iraq (without the US holding it up at gunpoint)?

All very true. However I’m speaking of why arab culture fell into decline in the middle ages (and why it is hopelessly out of touch in the modern world).

Because Saudi Arabia is on the brink of civil war over this very thing. The Saudis are a perfect example of what I’m saying. They want it both ways. They live the life of the billionaire westerner, money, women (and how), cars, huge money-making foreign interests, but at the same time they pay lip service to their more fundamentalist brothers who insist this is an hypocrisy (and they’re right). If Saudi Arabia does self destruct those 300,000 troops already in Iraq will save the world from Armegeddon.

Bullshit. The arabs have no one to blame but themselves. The west discovered and developed their oil resources and bought trillions of dollars worth from them. And we were kind enough to not have invaded as they nationalized them. And the only, and I mean the ONLY thing that kept the USSR from eventually killing the arabs and taking their oil was the US nuclear arsenal.

Read Arab Illusions and Modern Terrorism
and
Why do the Arabs hate the West?

furt

It’s odd that you should mention this. I was thinking this very same thing. How is it that the Libertarian and right-wing folks who are such strong advocates of “rise or fall on your own merits” all of a sudden give such a damn about democracy? And not just want it for others, but want it now! Why not just let destiny takes its course and see how in time, one can and will grow?
If we were to assume that they have co-opted a theme from the progressives, why make the first place all the way around the world and not something closer, for example Cuba? Wouldn’t the logistics alone make it a less costly venture (needless government spending being another favored issue by rightists)?

I disagree with the latter part of your statement. That is not a sane policy by any stretch of the imagination. Look, I might be all for free healthcare and free college educations for everyone. But if I were to walk up to someone idly sitting on a park bench and ask him “Hey! Why aren’t you in school dammit? Don’t you know it’s good for you???” and grab him and haul him off to the nearest college, I would be arrested and put in jail for kidnapping and assault. Your good deeds can only go as far as their acceptance.

I agree whole-heartedly. Which is why I was saying in my earlier post that the west should stay the hell out of the way when indigenous elements of those societies strive for change. If I may also be permitted to steal a line… “Those who make peaceful evolution impossible will make violent revolution inevitable.”

hail ants:

I can’t disagree with some of the things you’ve said here, but you definitely have your facts wrong about the Russians and the USSR. They didn’t need the Arabs’ oil (they had plenty of oil in their new acquisitions in the caucuses). In fact, several Arab states were allied with the former USSR (alright, somewhat loosely).
What the Russians wanted, before there even was a USSR or a demand for oil, was Persian lands and by extension, the Persian Gulf. They have coveted that Gulf since they found out it’s there.

No, they didn’t need the oil for themselves. But in the good old days of the cold war if they thought they could pull it off they would have grabbed the Middle East’s fields in a second. It would have given them unbelievable dominance over the entire industrialized world. And in particular the US. And the lives of the arab people there would have meant nothing.

I don’t want to imply that we weren’t mainly just looking out for our own interests in playing various Arab allies against Soviet ones. But if a communist superpower located on the Asian continent had a chance of capturing the west’s oil supply, they would have.

Soviets invading for Oil, laughable, they would of done the same as the Americans, states implementing their ideology and funding by proxy, and since they don’t exactly have a good track record in keeping Muslim states (Barring the minorities in the USSR) in line, take a look at Afghanistan, they would have a worse off time in keeping them controlled, as Communism doesn’t allow large, extremely rich dynasties to evolve like a Kingdom.

Besides, Russians had their own Oil, in large quantities.

I agree Cold War tactics got the US 9/1… but the US still plays the same game Sam… supporting and accomodating the Pakistani dicatorship, Saudi and Kuwaiti Monarchy, dealing with several of the Stan countries where they locate bases. New countries… same old game.

I think ETA, IRA, Oklahoma, the Red Brigades and others prove that democracies do tend to breed terrorists and that violent response isn’t the means of solution by itself. If they keep it “local” its probably because the US/Europe isn’t interfering there as much no ?

Your dead wrong. Asia is all about capitalism… not democracy. China being the biggest example. Your talking about modern capitalism… not democracy. South America is a good example of how Democracy doesn’t necessarily bring prosperity… since we are weak on the capitalistic side of the equation. China is growing and its un-democratic as it comes. The US itself loves trading with despots… so its obvious that democracy is not a requirement for economic inclusion.

I hate reading this every time… especially when your going on the “offensive” in the wrong places. Its ok to be pro-active against terrorism… but not by conventional invasions and occupations.

Sam I think your eating up too much propaganda. I agree that we should “beleive” in the potential of democracy in the ME… but we don’t think it can be force fed to them. Iran was becoming a democracy when the US stopped that. The Domino Theory is very wrong… especially when its imposed. You speak like if Arabs didn’t know about democracy… but many arab students USED to study in the US and especially europe… they watch TV and they have independent news sources now. (Al-Jazeera was critical of Arab govts in a way the US never was for example.) In a way they were slowly and steadily getting infiltrated by the ideals of democracy. That was until their sense of community and respect was raped by a unilateral invasion. Iran’s democracy protests all but stopped since 2001… wierd no ? Democracy is not on the march in the ME.

Well, the Libertarian Party is/was anti-war. As for conservatives, many of them are also opposed to it (George Will being one notable pundit who has questioned the enterprise) As for the rest, the answer is simple: it is in our national interest to do so. We have come to see that Kissinger was wrong, and the moral policy is the practical policy.

Making Cuba into a democracy is a laudable goal, but Cuba poses no real threat to US interests; if Castro were actively working on spreading his influence outside his borders and aiding US enemies, it might be a different story.

I was not calling it “sane;” I was calling it “progressive.” It may well be foolish and crazy; but it is undeniably rooted in a deep faith in the ability and value of all people. It is rooted in hope, not prudence. Hence it is far more progressive than conservative.

Yes it is. We have now Libya giving up its weapons programmes (I know, not democracy, but still a welcome move) Jordan is now reviewing governmental processes so that the people can be more involed in the Kingdom political changes, Saudi Arabia now considering changes in the way it runs things in its Kingdom as well. Things need shaking up. Iran wasn’t becoming a democracy anymore so than before we invaded Iraq, the Guardian council remember, holds all the cards and decides ultimately who gets to be put in office. The invasion of Iraq meant nothing in terms of domestic politics, its more of the other way round, they’re trying to influence the Shia into creating some sort of theocracy in Iraq.

We can’t wait generations for things to change, they need to be changed now.

Those you’ve just mentioned were either, national liberation movements, sectarian conflicts which were the concequence of segregation and persecution, or fanatical ideology (Red brigades) they for the most part had legitimate reasons (barring red brigade) as for Iraq its a completely different situation, for the large part its motivated by Militant versions of Islam, and radical Baa’ths wanting a return of Saddam, who want to re attatch the chains onto the Iraqi people. Large swaths of Sunnis are only attracted too it because they’re poor and need money, and thats about it.

The need for change I agree… its the means of change that stink… and the excuses they serve as for other interests. Plus giving AQ shit heads legitimacy.

And what alternative means do you propose? Nearly all options have been exhausted in the name of pursuing democratic institutions in the Arab Middle East. This ranges from funds to regimes in order to allow them to reform themselves, funding seperatist groups attempting to escape the clutches of tyranny, bringing Western economic and social customs into these countries through agreements, and supporting checks on undemocratic Islamic fundalmentalist movements (granted, this supression in itself not very democratic, but the ends justify the means).

Even if terrorist organizations (and this includes organizations OTHER than Al-Qaeda) are receiving significant funds by regimes that are most easily toppled by means of conventional military force?

Iran’s democracy protests have remained alive and well. The difference is that they are no longer as newsworthy. In particular, threats to end the lives of journalists and teachers and other similar people by the fundalmentalist-supported judiciary have aroused such protests.

As for the embracing of democracy, it has been well over half a century since many of the Middle Eastern and Arab/Persian countries have been granted their independence. In many, democracy has yet to take a firm hold. In those that do have such movements, they can often become intertwined with fundalmentalist persons and organizations. Such efforts are then transformed from democracy movements to anti-secular fundalmentalist movements. Algeria is a good example of this. It is clear that any democracy movement in these countries requires the guiding hand of the West to keep them from simply replacing a secular despotate with a fundalmentalist one.

While I try to decode your cryptic reply, which surely contains in-depth analysis of the issue, I’ll go on with my point.

Iraq, much like many other mostly third-world nations, is socially unprepared for democracy and industrialization. Both of these processes require an involved and prepared social movement. Otherwise, basically, they fall back on quasi-dictatorships and fall prey to international corporation exploitation. I do hope you don’t require cites for this.

Democracy isn’t a switch you flip on. A society has to be prepared for it, and want it. It took England and America and France and the other Western nations that first introduced democracy a helluva long time and a helluva lot of work and social restructuring to “invent” democracy.

So am I saying that they aren’t capable of democracy? No, I’m saying that they aren’t socially prepared for democracy.

I haven’t read everything in here. So please forgive me if I am repeating something.

Let us assume that you are correct. Let us further assume that helping Iraq to become democratic is still our goal.

What do you do? Leave Saddam Hussien in charge and hope that such a social movement developes? Perhaps under one of his sons?

I agree wiht the general principle that creating a democracy from the top down is not possible. However, it is sometimes necessary to remove a particular top when that top is actually a hinderance to said democracy.

In which case do it properly with the right number of troops and reality-based analyses of the problem and policies to match and do it for that explicit reason instead of offering it as a post-hoc rationalisation once all the other ‘reasons’ have been laughed out of court.

And build a suitable coalition.

Have options really been exausted ? I think the US was quite content to have stable dictators and monarchies in order to guarantee oil supply. There was no “pursuing democratic institutions”.

Like Iraq ? They weren’t giving significant funds. Are you proposing to topple the Saudis ? Most of the money to terrorists don’t come from States… besides the US can barely manage Iraq… let alone Iran.

Are you sure ? I’ve heard only the opposite. Iran is flooded with petro dollars from high oil prices and using the money to support their regime. Pro-democracy movements have all but stopped.

What is the reason for that ? Maybe western interference ? Iran had a democratically elected government… and funny how the Brits and the US toppled him. Funny enough that is when terrorism became an Iranian speciality.

The same guiding hand that has supported dictators and toppled regimes in the past ? No thanks. Your “colonial” vision of the superiority of the White Man is the same that has left Africa a mess and the Middle East a breeding ground for resentment.

Cite?

Autocracies breed resentment within its repressed population equating in the extremes to terrorism, then they eventually prove bad to the person or persons supporting it, next!

:rolleyes: Oh please, you whinge if we do something, and whinge when we don’t, the catch 22 scenario is what the world is. You can’t please everybody, but lets just hope Iraq can please the people there and some around the region, ok?

Rashak Mani, the US isn’t the main cause of all the worlds problems, get over it.

With Iraq they certainly were. With the others, measures have been taken, and they have all repeatedly demonstrated that they are simply met with a fundalmentalist backlash.

Really? From the UN Oil-For-Food program alone, more that 35 million dollars have given to the families of Palestinian suicide bombers, an incentive if I’ve ever seen one:

http://devel.harktheherald.com/modules.php?op=modload&name=News&file=article&sid=40298

If I felt it was possible, then maybe. Unfortunately, the population of Saudi Arabia is much more fundalmentalist than the population of Iraq’s, which speaks volumes. Toppling the government of Saud would lead to a quick coup by religious officials. Hopefully, a successfully democratic Iraq bording the Saudis will increase support for democracy in the state, although this remains to be seen.

You’ve heard wrong. In the months of June and July 2003, large pro-democracy protests lasting for several days hit Iran. The ones in July commemorated the massive protests in July 1999. There was also an incident where a journalist was arrested later in July which sparked smaller protests; these incidents have long been associated with the pro-democracy movement.

I love how people fail to cite the fact that Iran’s democracy had all but failed even before the prime minister was toppled from power. Premier Mossadegh had dissolved Parliament in a vote he had clearly rigged, and then attempted to declare Iran a republic in order to dissolve the office of Shah and make himself supreme ruler. Both sides were making anti-democratic power plays, and the US and the UK simply chose the side that wasn’t forging closer ties to the Soviet Union.

[quote[The same guiding hand that has supported dictators and toppled regimes in the past ? No thanks. Your “colonial” vision of the superiority of the White Man is the same that has left Africa a mess and the Middle East a breeding ground for resentment.[/QUOTE]

First of all, I’m African-American you ass. I really don’t appreciate you using the “White Man’s Burden” card against me, and that is rather offensive. Please don’t make assumptions when opening your fat mouth.

Second, you are completely wrong. When the European nations were pulling out of Africa and the Middle East, they did a very poor job of setting up local governments to replace them. In Angola, for example, the Portuguese simply handed over power to three fighting factions and left. Instilling democracy in places that had never known it was considered to be a waste of time and money for the Europeans, and THAT is why we are stuck with the present situation in those two regions.

I agree… but the current attitude and the “colonialism” mentality has caused and will cause a lot of problems.

So he gave money to families… not exactly giving to “terrorism” is it ? Did the money make bombs and buy guns ? Very probably not. Incentive ? Maybe… but hardly an excuse for invading countries is it ? Should the UK invade the US due to americans sponsoring the IRA ?

We discussed the “Domino Theory” in the SMDB… and lets say the case is pretty pathetic. No one managed to defend the idea. Certainly not a reason for War either.

Wow… quite surprised. Not even Al Jazeera gave it much notice then. I’ll check on that… maybe the protests have become non-newsworthy. (Sad. Why ?) Still the protests were quite strong in the past… and you had dozens of newspapers changing names all the time to evade official prohibition. If the protests haven’t died out they hardly compare to what they were a few years ago.
(Ryan: Its my speculation that the excess cash and the current administration have helped take the steam out of the protests.)

Find another expression for “white man’s burden” and I’ll use it. Your the one saying that Arabs have to be taught and aren’t able to get their act together. That is IMHO colonialist mentality… and that used to be white man thingy. Your actual skin color doesn’t matter to me… nor was it my objective to imply so. So much for your “fat mouth” comment. If your going to use your skin color as a debate point you’re being the “ass” with all due respect.

Yep unfortunately some of the good things the US has done have been "whined" about... especially helping arabs surprisingly. Catch 22 indeed. I'm not against an active USA. I'm against an no-checks, no-UN, and bad-excuses-for-War active USA. 

The problem is that most americans profess the belief that government shouldn't interfere in their lives, shouldn't meddle into peoples choices. (Rightly so) Still when it comes to foreign affairs... they don't see it as wrong to tell other people how to live or what to do. They meddle more than necessary in order to get their choice of dictator... when maybe a leftist democrat wouldn't be that dangerous to US interests ? Its hypocritical. Do other countries prefer a "democratic" Middle East ? Of course... Should it be imposed / forced ? Of course not. There are many ways of changing things without resorting to guns.

In the hopless quest some of you might finally learn something about the ME and the impact of the completely misguided US’s foreign ploicy there:

**‘They hate our policies, not our freedom’** – Quietly released Pentagon report contains major criticisms of administration.

**

Much more at source.

IRA has been labelled a terrorist organization by the US government, so no. The state-sponsored funding of families was incentive, and quite possibly has allowed people to become terrorist suicide bombers where they otherwise wouldn’t have.

I never said it was a guarantee.

You look at Al Jazeera for anything? Please.

As for the reduced news coverage, I guess it will have been because of a little thing called the Iraqi occupation. In June the protests occured in the capital and on several universities. In July, one of the protests exceeded 10,000 in number.

I’m not the one using skin color as a talking point. I suppose the reeducation of Germans to accept democracy was colonist mentality too, huh?

FACT: Westerners are not smarter than Arabs.

HOWEVER,

That does not mean that Arabs are not well educated or experienced enough in certain forms of government to successfully engage in such systems. This is not colonist mentality. Only people who accuse Westerners of helping others in gaining the traditions required for faii government (regardless of how much Westerners have also done this to other Westerners) would think that. It’s people stuck in the past, like South Americans who blame the West for all their problems, even though they’ve had a century to rectify their problems themselves. But they don’t, because its a lot easier to blame little Spain for the fact that they have no idea how to run a successful government.

We also had a thread where comprehensive and concrete alternatives were requested (other than stock slogans like “build a real coalition” without details).

No one really offered anything other than minor modifications to the Bush/neocon agenda. I heartily challenge you to bump that thread with any better ideas you have.

Carping is easy work. Try something a little harder.